PanArmenian News
Dec 4 2004
ARMENIAN POLITICAL SCIENTIST A. ISKANDARIAN SAYS PRESENT SITUATION
WITH NAGORNO KARABAKH CONVENIENT FOR ARMENIANS AND AZERIS
03.12.2004 14:38
/PanARMENIAN.Net/ “We can recall Cyprus, for instance, the conflict
with a long history. However the Greek part of Cyprus has been
recently admitted to the EU. Thus, unsettled Cypriot conflict did not
impede Europe to take such a decision. Europeans just resigned to the
situation”, well-known Armenian political scientist Alexander
Iskandarian, who moved in Armenia 2 years ago to head the Department
of Researches of the Caucasian Media Institute in Yerevan, stated in
his interview with Yerkir Armenian newspaper. The importance of
Caucasus for the West is exaggerated, he says after a long-term
travel across the Western Europe and Turkey. In Iskandarian’s
opinion, “there are tens of territories like Nagorno Karabakh and a
dozen of regions like Caucasus all over the world”. So, recognizing
the independence of Karabakh as Turkey did in respect of the Northern
Cyprus, Armenia will “cause a little anger”, but then everything will
remain as it is. When commenting on the possibility of Azerbaijan’s
resuming hostilities in case the peaceful negotiations are broken
off, A. Iskandarian said the Azeri authorities are not so stupid to
launch a war without being sure of victory. To make the army more
efficient first the Azeri society should change, while such changes
cannot occur within a short period of time. “Without such a
transformation even the most brilliant plan drawn up by Turkish
general is unrealizable.” According to Iskandarian, a war, which will
last more than two or three weeks, will inevitably lead Azerbaijan to
destabilization and inner opposition. “As for the military and
anti-Armenia propaganda, it is a correct step” of political
technology. However this technology has nothing to do with the
resumption of war. Concluding his speech the political scientist
stated that the most realistic scenario is the preservation of status
quo, what is favorable for Armenians, Azeris and for the West as
well.