UN AND OSCE TO IMPOSE SANCTIONS ON WHOEVER RESUMES WAR IN KARABAKH
YEREVAN, JUNE 9. ARMINFO. UN and OSCE will impose sanctions on whoever
first resumes war in Karabakh, former OSCE Minsk Group co-chair
Vladimir Kazimirov said at a seminar in Baku.
If Azerbaijan does this first it will lose its geo-political
importance. One can win this war if he is enjoys overwhelming
prevalence over his enemy – this will require 5 years at least. For
both Azerbaijan and Armenia resumed war means vast human and material
losses, new flows of refugees, economic stagnation. No Blitzkrieg
should be expected in the coming 5 years. It is easy to start but hard
to stop war.
As to the peace talks Armenia’s return 7 districts to Azerbaijan will
require multi-stage guarantees. Azerbaijan should first make specific
commitments – for it is more inclined to force than peace. The other
two parties to the conflict Armenia and Karabakh should also undertake
specific commitments while the co-chair states and UN and OSCE should
guarantees that the conflicting parties will not resume war after the
peace treaty is made. With no such guarantees there will be no
peaceful solution to the conflict. If Azerbaijan resorts to force it
will fail says Kazimirov.