Institute for War & Peace Reporting
July 7 2005

AZERBAIJAN BOOSTS MILITARY

Baku increases defence spending, though some question how effectively
the money will be spent.

By Adalat Bargarar in Baku

Azerbaijani president Ilham Aliev has used National Army Day to
announce a big increase in defence spending that he says will
transform his country’s military capacity.

The president said the rise in spending was in response to Russia’s
recent transfer of military hardware from neighbouring Georgia to
Azerbaijan’s arch-rival Armenia. Moscow moved the tanks and other
equipment as part of an agreement under which it is to close its two
military bases in Georgia by 2008.

`True, this military technology is not being given to Armenia but
remains under the control of the Russian base [located in Gyumri,
Armenia],’ said President Aliev on June 26. `But nevertheless it is
being transferred to Armenian territory, and that requires active
measures on our part, which we have taken by raising budgetary
expenditures on defence.’

Aliev said that while the defence budget was 135 million US dollars
in 2003 and 175 million last year, this year it reach 300 million
dollars.

The increases have been made possible by a massive injection of
revenues to the Azerbaijani budget from the new Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan
pipeline, which will start exporting oil later this year.

`In past years, spending has been raised by 70 per cent. We are
continuing that policy,’ said the president.

The defence ministry says Azerbaijan’s army has 76,000 servicemen.

In recent months, there has been more talk in Azerbaijan of using the
military option to resolve the frozen conflict with Armenia over the
disputed enclave of Nagorny Karabakh. The two sides signed a
ceasefire in 1994, but tensions remain high along the front line.

Azerbaijani defence minister Safar Abiev stated recently that
`sufficient force and decisiveness by Azerbaijan will liberate the
occupied territories’.

Most observers believe a resumption in hostilities is unlikely, at
least for the moment.

Hikmet Hajizade, a political analyst close to the Azerbaijani
opposition, says that fighting in Karabakh is `not realistic’ right
now. But he added that `in the future, if negotiations reach a dead
end, then it can’t be ruled out that war will break out’.

`Azerbaijan will by that time have a lot of money, some of which will
be directed to increasing military spending and developing the army,’
Hajizade told IWPR. `And society will grow tired of the lack of
results from the negotiations and demand a solution.’

Ramiz Melikov, the defence ministry’s press secretary, says that in
view of the continuing negotiations with Armenia, it would be
`incorrect’ to comment on the possibility of renewed fighting.

Hajizade believes that at the very least, boosting military spending
will strengthen Baku’s hand in the ongoing negotiations over
Karabakh.

`In principle, such significant growth, and a policy geared towards a
further rise in military spending, can influence the peace
negotiations,’ he said. `This needs to be done, because Azerbaijani
society is tired of waiting [for a resolution].

`The armies of Armenia and Russia are facing off against our armed
forces. This is a way of levelling the playing field. It is necessary
to follow this policy; it is correct.’

Ilgar Verdiev, another defence ministry spokesman, said the extra
funds will be used to deepen cooperation with NATO, with which
Azerbaijan is already working very closely. `[The money will be
spent] on training personnel and improving our military-technical
potential,’ said Verdiev.

Azerbaijan signed an individual partnership plan with NATO in April
2005, which reqiures Baku to bring its army into compliance with the
alliance’s standards before future membership can be considered.

Lieutenant-Colonel Uzeir Jafarov, a reserve officer and military
analyst, expects the defence ministry will spend the money mostly on
improving soldiers’ living conditions, participating in international
military exercises and repairing antiquated equipment from the Soviet
era.

`I approve of the spending increase for military goals – but this is
not enough,’ Jafarov told IWPR. `Increased expenditures does not mean
that tomorrow we will buy C-300 or C-400 rockets.’

`We have to do an awful lot to raise our army to NATO’s standards,’
he continued. `Our military’s biggest problem is that there are no
officers in our defence ministry who have received NATO instruction.’

Jafarov is doubtful that even 300 million dollars will be enough to
allow the military to fulfill its new NATO obligations.

Not all commentators are in favour of a spending boost, and point to
deep weaknesses in the military.

Alekper Mamedov, a reserve army major and director of an organisation
promoting civilian control over the armed forces, fears that
Azerbaijani taxpayers’ money is going straight `into the pockets of
the defence ministry’.

`I think that despite the increase in expenditures, the funds are not
being spent as they are meant to be,’ said Mamedov. `The defence
ministry is one of the most important components in the system of
corruption in the country. As long as this system does not change, it
will be impossible to speak of any significant growth in the armed
forces and honest expenditure of these funds.’

In addition to corruption, Mamedov said the armed forces were plagued
by violence against conscripts, disregard of decisions by civilian
courts and theft of state property.

`The rights of soldiers, cadets and even officers are violated in our
army,’ said Mamedov. `Defence ministry officials fire officers
without any legal basis or sense of responsibility.’

According to Mamedov, within the Baku region alone, defence officials
are refusing to implement some 200 court decisions which were handed
down against the ministry. Furthermore, every year the number of
suicides and criminal acts rises – a sign of the poor living
conditions within the army.

`Instead of rectifying these problems, our ministry creates a false
illusion that they are carrying out reforms and that the army is
following NATO standards,’ he said. `Changing uniforms and the way
soldiers march does not create NATO standards.’

Mamedov recommends a complete overhaul of the system along western
lines, which would include civilian control over the armed forces and
accountability to the courts, parliament and the public. `Only then
might you speak of qualitative growth of the army,’ he said.

One soldier, who wished to remain anonymous because he is currently
serving, agrees with Mamedov’s assessment, `There are such horrifying
incidents at our base.

`For example, young men from the city become thin, weak shadows of
themselves, frequently falling ill. Our base is more or less OK.
There are others that are much worse.’

Ilgar Verdiev of the defence ministry dismissed Mamedov’s criticisms.
`I’m not interested in what that person says,’ he told IWPR.
`Everyone can see the army is growing. We have the strongest armed
forces in the region and nothing anyone can say can gainsay that.’

Adalyat Bargarar is the pseudonym of an Azerbaijani journalist in
Baku.

From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress