Karabakh analyst: Ilham Aliyev justifies militarization and
hyper-centralization by Karabakh factor
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15:44 04/07/2006
`Oil drug heavily influenced minds of Azerbaijani politicians: their
optimism , caused by inflow of oil dollars into Azerbaijani economy and
Azerbaijan’s advantages concerning Armenia turns into bragging and creating
political mythology, which are very dangerous for societies,’ stated
Karabakh analyst David Karabekyan to REGNUM.
At the same time, he stressed, most likely Baku will intensify its activity
in foreign policy in future, wishing to strengthen its positions as
independent actor of sub-regional and regional politics, that more and more
firmly and harder proclaims its interests and readiness to defend them. `In
the situation, when the neighboring country strengthens its pressure on us,
it is necessary to defend our position more fundamentally, more heartily to
correct errors, look for resources to solve problems. I personally believe
that to deal with aggressive regime, propagating hatred against Armenia, is
the same as to put out fire with petrol or to try to calm down predator
with victim’s meat. Every new concession will cause new demand,’ said
David Karabekyan.
The analyst stressed, by manipulating the Karabakh factor, Azerbaijani
leaders solve questions of internal policy and of their power’s
strengthening. ` Manipulating the Karabakh factor, Aliyev-senior succeeded
in dismissing his fellow countrymen from Nakhichevan Abulfaz Elchibey from
the presidential post, and conjointly, having clearly calculated political
state of affairs in the country and around Transcaucasia, he got rid of
competitors-representatives of national security, defense and law
enforcement agencies, and opponents, as well as suppressed mutinies in
Lenkoran and people’s liberation movement of Lezghins, living in the North
of Azerbaijan,’ said David Karabekyan.
According to the analyst, Aliyev-junior smartly uses the factor for
justifying of military expenditures growth, hyper-centralization of
governing, and abundantly wide and active participation of power
structures’ representatives in social and political life of the
country. `As for the struggle against opposition, everything is easy and
effective here. Like his father, Aliyev-junior succeeded in persuading
Azeri and international community, that the post and political niche,
occupied by him, are exactly those, he is to occupy and will do it for
benefit of all and everyone. In contrast to impulsive and unpredictable
Saakashvili, Aliyev is predictable and bears certain traditions. It means,
unlike his opponents-oppositionists, Aliyev-junior intends to carry out
more reserved and considered policy in direction Russia-West and
Iran-Turkey-Russia-USA. Evidence of it is pretended successes of his
regime, which are proclaimed by Azerbaijani propaganda to be real, in
Karabakh settlement, economy, and growth of Azerbaijani factor in regional
policy,’ said David Karabekyan.
The analyst believes, forces opposing to the current regime are not able to
change fundamentally the situation in the country, whereas the ruling
regime demonstrate that it anyhow pushes the country forward.
From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
