TURKEY IS ONLY REAL ALLY OF AZERBAIJAN IN NK PROBLEM

ARMINFO News Agency
September 19, 2006 Tuesday

The only real ally of Azerbaijan in the Karabakh problem is Turkey,
says Mark Katz in his article "Azerbaijan’s Geo-Politics" in United
Press International.

Katz says that Azerbaijan’s enemies in the matter are Armenia, Russia
and Iran (because of Southern Azerbaijan). Struggling not to vex the
influential Armenian Diaspora and, at the same time, to get access to
the Azeri oil, the US and EU have been trying to solve the conflict
but in vain.

Azerbaijan hopes to use its oil revenues for increasing its military
capacity for taking back its territories from Armenia but it will
hardly succeed considering its geo-political disadvantage as compared
with Armenia.

Katz says that a change could come only if anti-US and Europe
Nationalist or Islamist forces come into power in Turkey. This may
well happen if Turkey’s is denied EU membership. Such Turkey may use
force against Armenia if it refuses to give back the territories. In
such a situation, Russia, the US and even Iran may support Armenia.

This may result in a regional war.

Thus, Azerbaijan’s geo-political situation is quite complex and may
get even more complicated.