STRATFOR EXPERTS DON’T BELIEVE IN KARABAKH SETTLEMENT TILL YEAREND

PanARMENIAN.Net
04.10.2006 14:09 GMT+04:00

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ The analysts of Stratfor, a security consulting
intelligence agency, do not consider that the Nagorno Karabakh conflict
will be settled till the end of the year even in case of a new round
of talks.

Azerbaijan is reinforcing its army but has not made big achievements
yet. Meanwhile, according to the experts, during the next three
months Azerbaijan will have a new source of income – a gas pipeline
will be put into operation in addition to the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil
pipeline. The Stratfor analysts suppose that the Georgian conflicts
will aggravate and the referendum in South Ossetia scheduled for
October 12 will worsen the situation.

Georgia will long to strengthen ties with the West, first of all with
the United States. Russia will try to encourage separatist movements
and undertake steps to hinder the possibility Georgia’s joining the
NATO, the experts say, reported RFE/RL.