PanARMENIAN.Net

Stratfor Does Not Consider Diplomatic Solution of
Karabakh Problem Possible in Near Future
18.01.2007 17:29 GMT+04:00

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ Experts of American analytical center Stratfor
suppose that the Nagorno Karabakh problem will be hardly solved in the
near future by diplomatic ways. `Azerbaijan has increased its income
from energy resources and wants to increase the official budget up to
$1 billion against $700 million last year. And if the Azeri army was
losing to the Armenian armed forces, the arms race can promote
intensification of the situation around Nagorno Karabakh,’ says the
report of the center. American analyst also think that like in the
case of Georgia, the establishment of Kosovo can serve as a cause for
strengthening the opposition in the Nagorno Karabakh conflict.

`Most likely the UN will grant independence to Kosovo, and it will
give a cause to Russia to increase the Peacekeeping mission in
Abkhazia and South Ossetia, and Georgia will give an adequate
response. Taking into account the tension between Moscow and Tbilisi
the opposition can increase into open confrontation,’ underline
American experts. According to their forecast, in 2007 tension in the
South Caucasus will increase, RFE RL reports.

From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress