World focused on the Near East and the Middle East
Analytical Department of KarabakhOpen.com
09-03-2007 18:53:07 – KarabakhOpen
Global processes are underway which may lead to sweeping geopolitical
changes. In particular, the information of the past few days is
evidence that cataclysms are drawing nearer.
Judging by this information, it is foreseen to create a Kurdish state
in the Near East on pieces of territories belonging to Turkey, Iran
and Iraq. The preparations are underway. A few days ago the media
reported that the leader of the Kurdish party Ocalan was poisoned in
prison. This information is obviously intended to get the Kurds living
in these countries rise an armed riot. This outcome would solve three
underlying problems – dividing and weakening Iraq and Iran through a
civil war, as well as full control over Turkey. Several cards are
played at once to solve these problems.
In particular, the card of North Azerbaijan. In Azerbaijan protests
are held in front of the Iranian embassy. Iran suddenly replaced its
ambassador to Baku, the helicopters of the Iranian air force cross the
Azerbaijani border, etc.
The Armenian issue is used to weaken Turkey’s position. The U.S.
Congress may adopt a resolution on the Armenian genocide in the
context of the current events.
Another trump card is Iran’s nuclear program and Iran’s threats
against Israel pushed by the United States. The Arab world opposes to
these events. Recently the leaders of the Arab countries announced
that Iran is ready to recognize Israel. However, tensions were not
thus relieved in the region.
Russia as always, interfered at the crucial moment. In answer to the
statement of the U.S. on the possibility of deploying missiles in
Europe as well as in the Caucasus, Russia launched indignant threats
to take `asymmetric measures’. Washington repeated for several times
that the missiles will be directed at the south, not at Moscow. Moscow
disbelieved, however, and the United States even had to draw up a
document on the friendship of the United States and Russia.
It is not clear yet when these events will happen. Although the EU is
already likely to reconsider the deployment of missiles in Eastern
Europe. Some American sources had stated last year that in April the
United States may strike Iran. However, such events usually occur as
emergency. And we should expect sensational news at any moment.