PanARMENIAN.Net

The absence of the representatives from Karabakh in
the negotiations will not bring to the resolution of
the problem

Baku spoke so much of its intention to "return their
lands by any means and even by war", that the country
has become the hostage of its own rhetoric.
24.05.2008 GMT+04:00

The Karabakh movement started 20 years ago. The first
stage of the national-liberation war of the people of
Artsakh for independence ended with the declaration of
the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic. At present a rather
complicated process of the legal recognition of NKR is
underway, which, for some unknown reasons, is referred
to as the process of regulation of the
Nagorno-Karabakh conflict between Armenia and
Azerbaijan.

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ In Karabakh from the very beginning
this conflict has been referred to as one between
Karabakh and Azerbaijan, and Armenia, quite fairly,
has been considered an interested party, who is the
guarantor of security and independence of NKR. It has
been said more than once, that the absence of the
representatives from Nagorno-Karabakh in the
egotiations within the frames of the OSCE Minsk Group
will not bring to the resolution of the problem.
Though, if thinking twice, there is no resolution: the
people of NKR with weapon in their hands stood up and
won its independence and the possible peace agreement
between NKR and Azerbaijan must simply fix a status
quo. Naturally, this kind of agreement will not be
handy for Azerbaijan. Baku spoke so much of its
intention to "return their lands by any means and even
by war", that the country has become the hostage of
its own rhetoric. "Azerbaijan is an advocate of
peaceful resolution of the Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict,
but if needed, it is ready to go for other ways of the
resolution of the problem," said the Deputy Minister
of Foreign Affairs of Azerbaijan Vagif Sadikhov, and
then added that Azerbaijan is not going to endure the
created situation for decades.

According to his words, Azerbaijan which is developing
its economy very fast and is getting big profits by
realization of projects in the energy sphere and by
supplying its own energy recourses to the world market
has to spend a lot of money on the military
necessities. But is Azerbaijan indeed as successful as
the image-makers from Baku at the head of President
Ilham Aliyev say? According to the Head of the General
Board of the CIS countries and RIA "Novosti" Alan
Kasayev, Azerbaijan is now forming up an image of
investment appeal, trying to solve the problems with
Iran and etermine the status of the Caspian. "The
pre-election situation in Azerbaijan is becoming
complicated because of the instability in the country.
This is the basic reason of the anti-Armenian and
explicit militarist rhetoric, which is used by the
authorities to unite the nation. However, it should
not be forgotten that 60-70% of the population of
Azerbaijan is comprised by villagers, frequently
almost illiterate. On the whole, Azerbaijan is an
underdeveloped and a poorly educated country, living
on the expense of oil income, which sooner or later
will be exhausted. There is no rural economy in the
country, there is no industry, with the exception of a
couple of oil factories in Baku. One cannot fit the
entire population of the country in the capital. So,
the actively developing image of the enemy is one of
the elements of society consolidation," emphasized the
Russian expert.

According to the Russian diplomat Vladimir Kazimirov,
who is one of the best known experts on regulation
process, no country ever announces the stake on the
power like Baku. Perhaps, it is not by chance that
Azerbaijan is recognized one of the most aggressive
countries in the world.

At present the recognition of the independence of the
self-proclaimed republics became a more complicated
process because of the Kosovo precedent. "After the
recognition of Kosovo the international opinion is
against the right on self-determination. It was
announced everywhere that Kosovo must not become a
precedent, and these are not simply words, but the
disposition of the international community. This will
become a big prohibition on our way. Besides, the
intensification of the contradictions between the USA
and Russia will have a negative impact on our region.
However, I think that the document, which is now on
the desk for the negotiations, is the most optimal
one, I hope. Azerbaijan will not give it up," said the
former Minister of Foreign affairs of Armenia Vartan
Oskanyan, who has been holding the negotiations with
the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Azerbaijan within
the frames of the OSCE Minsk Group.

Meanwhile, the OSCE Minsk Group on the
Nagorno-Karabakh conflict regulation had serious fears
about the negotiations and the end of the peaceful
regulation of the conflict. "However, the fears of the
OSCE were scattered away after the meeting with the
heads of Azerbaijan and Armenia, as well as with the
official representatives of two conflicting parties.
At present negotiations on returning 5 regions,
including the Nagorno-Karabakh safe haven are being
held. After that the OSCE suggests determining the
status of the Nagorno-Karabakh. After returning the 5
regions, Karabakh is ready to
start the negotiations with Azerbaijan regarding the
status," said the French Co-chair.
«PanARMENIAN.Net» analytical department