ARMENIA SHOULD MAKE IT CLEAR WHAT THE USA, RUSSIA, TURKEY AND EVEN THE EU PROMISE HER FOR "MODEL BEHAVIOUR"
Karine Ter-Sahakyan

PanARMENIAN.Net
04.10.2008 GMT+04:00

In fact, Armenia is offered temporary economic dividends, which in
the future will simply bring to a loss of independence, not to mention
the country’s sovereignty.

Baku demonstrates hyper-nervousness in connection with the
latest developments in the region, particularly because of the
consolidation of Turkey’s position after Mikhail Saakashvili’s
unsuccessful blitzkrieg, which "guaranteed" regional reshaping for
all and retirement for Saakashvili himself. Azerbaijani political
analysts and experts began to comment out exactly every word uttered
by Armenia, never doubting accuracy of the received information and
quoting some unauthorized Armenian mass media.

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ Thus, political analyst Rasim Musabekov states that
"The bright prospects described in the Armenian mass media as regards
the link between Armenia and Turkey to be constituted through the
railway line Gyumri-Igdir, as well as the viewpoint that it can stir
up competition against the railway magistral Baku-Akhalkalaki-Kars can
only arouse laughter"… The Kremlin, which despite the declarations
of the RF Foreign Minister still gives preference to Armenia against
Azerbaijan, has a hand in Musabekov’s statement, which, as usual,
comprises more hypothetical than factual elements. However, once
again it is the standpoint of Azeri political analysts, who follow
the example of Vafa Guluzade, whose amazing "revelations" have already
become the talk of the town.

Fuel was added to the fire of Azerbaijani ambitions by the visits of
the US Administration high-ranking officials. In our opinion Baku
doesn’t believe that the arrival of John Negroponte or the regular
travels of Mathew Bryza to Azerbaijan are made for the mere sake
of pleasing her. But for its oil, no one would ever take notice
of Azerbaijan; a position we now face in Armenia. Simply after the
reckless move of Georgia, Armenia was offered a chance to become a
transit country for the energy carriers. Thus, US representatives’
visits to our country are to be expected too, and not only after
the Presidential Elections. However, all this is not so important,
especially when October 15 is just around the corner.

It should be made clear what the USA, Russia, Turkey and even the
EU promise Armenia for her "model behaviour". "Model behaviour"
as such comprises renunciation of strategic basis of Armenian state
system: handover of Nagorno Karabakh, silence in the recognition of the
Armenian Genocide and absence of territorial claims against Turkey. The
latter can be somehow submitted, as Armenia has neither resources nor
manpower to lay claims on at least part of Western Armenia. In this
particular case the matter will concern only compensation, which by
the most conservative estimate will be no less than US$50 billion,
and neither the current nor the future Turkish Government can pay it,
even by installments.

Instead, Armenia is offered participation in such regional projects
as Nabucco, Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline and Kars-Akhalkalaki-Baku
railroad. Besides, there is also the project of Yerevan-Batumi highway,
which, by the way, is of great importance not only to Armenia but to
Georgia as well. However, Leader of the Georgian Opposition Shalva
Natelashvili is sure that the agreement signed between Mikhail
Saakashvili and the Armenian President on building Yerevan-Batumi
highway through Goderdzi pass is nothing else but "a new Roki tunnel
on our soil, where complex, awful separatism is certain to break
out." "And it will not take long," declared Natelashvili, obviously
having in view Javakhk…

In fact, Armenia is offered temporary economic dividends, which in the
future will simply bring to a loss of independence, not to mention the
country’s sovereignty. In a word, we may face the Georgian scenario,
when Turkey’s territorial expansion totally wrecked the country’s
economy. Now Turkey is determined to do the same with Armenia,
with the help of Russia of course. According to Director of Caucasus
Institute Alexander Iskandaryan Baku feels extremely awkward in the
light of Turkish-Russian developing relations. "We shall observe
the future developments. In my opinion, what is going on in the
Armenian-Turkish relations are merely opportunities, which did not
exist before. But these opportunities should still be seized, they
should be regained. Much depends on Yerevan-Ankara interaction and
on the internal processes in Turkey, as a considerable part of the
Turkish political elite and its population do not welcome the onset
of these processes. So, I can conclude that resumption of Baku’s
bellicose rhetoric depends on two main factors: Armenia’s foreign
policy and Turkey’s domestic affairs," Iskandaryan stated.

Thus, Baku and Tbilisi have to be reminded that on the whole
aggressive war is nothing else but an armed robbery in especially
large dimensions, and the punishment for it is extreme penalty.