The politics of ethnic unrest
Written by Sylvia Hui

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Monday, 13 July 2009

Ethnic tensions in China’s restive Xinjiang province have boiled over
again, and this time the unrest has spun so much out of control that
Turkey’s Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan is accusing Chinese forces of
committing "genocide".

What’s interesting about this accusation is not only the premature and
almost casual way it has been pronounced (especially given how
sensitive Turkey is to the word with regard to Armenian accusations
that Ottoman Turks committed the first genocide of the 20th century),
but also how it contradicts other things Erdogan reportedly said on the
same occasion.

If Turkey believes China is committing genocide, how is it that Erdogan
could pronounce that Turkey has no intention of interfering with
China’s internal affairs, and further reaffirm commitments to
developing ties with China? The Genocide Convention clearly stipulates
that the international community not only has a right but a
responsibility to punish those who commit genocide.

In any case, the Turkish leader comes across as thoroughly hypocritical
or too eager to please Uighurs at home to have thought it through
before making such a strong remark. As Darfur shows, calling something
"genocide" can be utterly unhelpful.

I doubt Erdogan will find many diplomats who support his claim. As20
always with Chinese unrest, the facts are murky and the only official
source of information comes from the state propaganda machine. Today
state media for the first time disclosed that of the official death
toll of 184, some 137 were Han Chinese. That’s consistent with
Beijing’s insistence that the riots be blamed on terrorist and
separatist forces aided by "overseas extremists".

Meanwhile the "overseas extremist" in question, exiled activist Rebiya
Kadeer, claims at least 500 were killed; and rumors abound that Uighurs
were fired on during protests.

Lots of questions surround the Xinjiang issue. Clearly there are no
"good guys" and "bad guys", and it would be naive to generalize that an
entire ethnic group are either the "culprits" or "victims." There
aren’t many first-hand, widely available Uighur accounts of grievances
against Beijing’s culturally repressive policies; but from sources like
this special report in Prospect, it is fairly established that many
Uighurs are dissatisfied with the way their religious, cultural and
educational preferences are discouraged or suppressed.

To begin to make any sort of moral judgment on the issue, one needs to
ascertain how serious or systematic is such oppression? How
dissatisfied are the Uighurs? Have they attempted protest but were
violently silenced? For now, at least, the world has not seen a
legitimate (not terrorist), united and large-scale protest movement
emerging in Xinji
ang.

I say a "moral" judgment on the issue, because it seems clear that what
we might think of as right or wrong has, in reality, very little to do
with the political realities of national sovereignty and economic
interests. As the Prospect writer rightly points out,

Westerners have come to view the plight of Tibetans and Uighurs as
simply the latest in an ugly continuum of Chinese human rights abuses,
most visible in Tiananmen Square two decades ago. But the story is
actually much more strategic than ideological. Tibet and Xinjiang are
as crucial to China’s claims to unity and sovereignty as Taiwan is:
weakness from within would undermine its global power projection.

Apart from national stability and sovereignty, there are of course the
economic and security stakes. Xinjiang and Tibet are among the
country’s most bounteous provinces in terms of the rich resources they
possess, and they also stand strategically between China and yet more
energy resources in central Asia. One needs not mention what disasters
would befall the country should Turkic sympathizers in these
neighboring states start to support in the earnest their Uighur
brothers in Xinjiang.

Beijing has already taken the lead to spearhead a loose grouping of the
central Asian nations called the Shanghai Co-operation Organization to
secure its interests in the northwest. Given these stakes, Beijing
really can’t afford to lose the struggle in Xinjiang;=2
0and this NYT
op-ed writer is probably right to predict that China will continue to
win its way with violent crackdowns of grassroots movements.

We might quite easily agree that China has neither historic claim to
Xinjiang and Tibet, nor moral right to take away these people’s
religious and cultural freedom by way of force and violence. What’s
much harder to agree on is – what, then? Kosovo has found international
support for its declaration of independence, but the backlash from
Serbia continues and ethnic tensions there are as fired up as before.

Xinjiang certainly is far from secession. But if there were a movement
to do so – it would be extremely difficult for me to decide whether to
support it for fear of the political repercussions that must follow, or
sit there and cynically accept the fact that ethnic and national
boundaries rarely overlap. In an ideal world everyone of the same
ethnicity and "culture" would group together in one settlement with its
own rulers and national boundaries; but even then, who’s to say that’s
a good thing?

Sylvia Hui is a former prize-winning reporter at The Standard and the
Associated Press in Hong Kong. She now resides in London.

From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress