SERGE SARGSYAN MUST SEE
Hakob Badalyan

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11:55:31 – 23/09/2009

Those who doubt that the Armenian government will sign the
Armenian-Turkish protocols and the Armenian parliament will ratify them
are few. Serge Sargsyan says openly that he realizes the difficulties
of this path but he is completely decisive in passing it up to the
end. There are two circumstances because of which he will refrain
from signing: first, if the public has clear opinion and expresses
it. And second if some powerful player in the international society
does not let him sign.

There is no "hope" in connection with the international public. In
other words, no one seems to want to keep Serge Sargsyan’s hand for
him not to sign the protocols against the Armenian interests. Each
of the "representatives" of the international public tries to serve
this reality for their own interest.

As the process of 6-week home political discussions shows, there is
still no hope that the Armenian public will forbid Serge Sargsyan
to sign them either. At least, the past two-three weeks did not
pre-determine at all any possibility of public repression. If clearer,
Serge Sargsyan does not see the consequence he can feel after signing
the Armenian and Turkish protocols in this form.

Who will say him anything inside the country if he sign the
protocols. Of course, there will be criticizers but no one is able
to worry the Armenian government through criticisms. Moreover, this
criticism is even in favor of the Armenian government because this way
the value of what they did enhances among the international public. The
main worry of the Armenian government is to sell the signature as
expensive as possible to the international society. So, the criticism
heard until today contributes to increase of the price of singing.

Those political forces which are honestly against the content of the
Armenian and Turkish protocols, if they want to prevent their singing
or their further ratification by the NA, have to find a way to show
Serge Sargsyan in practice the possible consequence of this step. He
knows clearly what his own interests in signing he also knows that
he will not have a concrete problem inside the country. Until the
forces criticizing him have not cleared up to him, the problems he
will have with the public in case of signing the protocols, all the
criticism will be willy-nilly expedient for Serge Sargsyan.