THE QUESTION IS WHETHER TURKEY WILL IMPLEMENT AGREEMENT WITH FUTURE FREE OR CURRENT NAZI ARMENIA: POLITICAL EXPERT

Today.az
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Nov 17 2009
Azerbaijan

Day.Az interview with political expert, Azerbaijan-based Social
Research Fund Director Rashad Rzaguliyev.

Day.Az: Talks around the Turkish-Armenian protocols seem to subside.

Do you think parliaments of these countries will ratify them in
scheduled term?

Rashad Rzaguliyev: Most likely, this is not the most important issue
today. These documents are also likely to be prolonged. It is also
realistic that these documents will be ratified sooner or later. One
can be fully confident of that.

The question is whether the agreement will be implemented between
Turkey and the future Armenia which will be free, purified from false
mythology and engaged in building a honest good-neighborly relations
in the region or current Nazi Armenia.

Q: What was Turkey’s goal while forming a policy of rapprochement with
Armenia? There have been many verisimilar versions in recent months.

What is behind this rapprochement?

A: I agree that there were to many options by foreign and local
political experts. But, I will not dwell on any specific version for
one simple reason.

Any global solution of this kind is always made in secret behind
closed doors. Their real motivation is always hidden. The tenth cause
behind what happens is introduced as the main while principal cause
often remains a mystery.

The world will never know what was the true aim of a historical figure
and his team while taking a decision or will learn about it only after
many decades. Past, present and future key players had and will have a
conceivable reason to hide true motivation of their decisions in a bid
to increase their legitimacy. Today our version of what is happening
is only review of founding mechanisms of the process. No more.

It should be noted that discussions on the Armenian issue in Turkish
society run along with the attempt to solve the Kurdish problem. We
hope very much that the current Turkish government is aware of
tremendous historical responsibility which rests on its shoulders to
future generations.

Q: Are Azerbaijan-Turkey relations likely to deteriorate once the
Turkish parliament ratifies these protocols?

A: At least one should proceed from the fact Turkey’s senior officials
have publicly promised not to give up the problem of Azerbaijan’s
Armenian-occupied territories and not to ratify the document till this
problem is solved. But the brotherhood of the peoples of our states is
inviolable. I am absolutely sure about it. Brothers, unlike friends,
are not chosen.

Q: The Armenian media reported about possible wave of "orange"
revolution and possible overthrow of the current regime in the
country. How real is this forecast?

A: There has been conditions for such a development of events long
ago. There is a real instrument to make "pro-Russian" Armenia a
"pro-Western." However, the matter is quite different.

The history showed that the three countries and three people of the
region can live in peace and harmony in the context of a specific
algorithm given by some third force from outside. There was a single
algorithm during the times of the Russia Empire and the USSR.

Collapse of the union led to destruction of balancing mechanisms in
the region and a war. The mechanisms can be recovered only after a
new system of matrix of coexistence is formed which will be dictated
by force which would take the region under its supervision, to put
it mildly.

Unfortunately, it is truth. Because of inadequate policies carried
out by the current Armenian leadership makes it impossible for our
countries to develop self-balance mechanism.

We are not aware of formats of a global agreement between Russia and
the United States while it is clear that such an agreement exists. It
is enough to draw attention to a significant softening of rhetoric
of the official press of these countries against each other. One can
grasp reality only through some hidden meaning. In this perspective,
it think threat of "color revolution" in Armenia is a powerful resource
of pressure on the leaders of this state.

One thing is clear that existence of pro-Western Georgia, pro-Russian
Armenia and neutral Azerbaijan in the South Caucasus is rather
difficult.

Q: How Azerbaijan’s reaction to ongoing events in the region can
be assessed?

A: Azerbaijan’s stance voiced by President Ilham Aliyev and country’s
foreign office is adequate to the current situation and is largely
based on preventive action. Azerbaijan has a fairly wide space to
manoeuvre in the context of its own national interests. Azerbaijan’s
strategy is designed to maximize the effectiveness of region’s
conclusions from a geopolitical crisis.