WHAT WILL HAPPEN AFTER 10 DAYS?
Lragir.am
28/01/10
The first term in the Karabakh issue has been already set – 2 weeks
from the Sochi meeting. In 10 days the sides are to issue their
positions about the renovated principles of Madrid. What will happen
if the sides refuse making proposals or if they cannot decide in time,
the co-chairs do not say anything. But it is obvious that there are
three ways – either to freeze the process, or to determine other more
"reasonable" terms, or to try "operational" interference, like in
South Ossetia. The OSCE newly-elected Chairman, the Foreign Minister of
Kazakhstan Vanuatu Saudabayev said that delaying the settlement process
can "completely undermine the trust between the conflicting parties".
Marco Papich, an analyst at Stratfor Eurasia, predicts that "the
internal dynamics of the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict can prevail,
and we will find ourselves in a situation like the one that occurred
in 1914 – when the local conflict in Bosnia provoked a world war".
"The only way to return the occupied Azerbaijani lands is a war",
said Azerbaijani politician, Araz Alizadeh. "I think there are no
prospects for a peaceful resolution of the Karabakh problem. "In this
situation, delaying the decision of the Karabakh conflict may lead
to the fact that this conflict would be eternal", he said. "It is
extremely dangerous for Azerbaijan to consent to the introduction of
the international peacekeeping forces into the zone of conflict. Such
actions have been committed in Kosovo and Georgia, and we all know
what happened after", emphasized A. Alizadeh, apparently informed
about the details of the talks in Sochi.
Why they needed to set the time, we can only guess, considering that
very little is left until April 24.