DETENTION OF GENERALS ACCELERATES TURKEY’S POLITICAL SHOWDOWN

Asbarez
s-accelerates-turkeys-political-showdown/
Feb 23rd, 2010

ANKARA (RFE/RL)-Turkey’s Islamist-rooted ruling party has dramatically
upped the stakes in its showdown with the secularist establishment
by detaining more than 50 current and former military commanders.

For decades, the military has been considered the guardian of
the secular order established by the republic founder and revered
army officer, Mustafa Kemal. The first president of Turkey is known
throughout the country simply as Ataturk, or "Father of the Turks,"
and his adherents as "Kemalists."

On February 22, the long-established order suffered a significant
blow when 21 generals were detained, including former navy chief
Admiral Ozden Ornek, former air force chief General Ibrahim Firtina,
and former 1st Army commander General Ergin Saygun. Most of the others
detained were colonels.

The detentions are by far the most sensational single event in the
government’s investigation of the "Ergenekon" network, an alleged
gang of top military officials who sought for decades to act as a
shadow government and determine the country’s political course.

According to Turkish press reports, the new round of detentions may
be linked to a plan by Ergenekon members to carry out a military coup
against the ruling Justice and Development (AK) party in 2003.

The plot for the coup, code-named "Balyoz" (Sledgehammer), allegedly
involved plans to spark unrest by bombing two major mosques in Istanbul
and staging an assault on a military museum by attackers disguised
as Islamic fundamentalists.

‘Uncharted Territory’

The detentions have electrified Turkey as the most sweeping move to
date by the Islamist-rooted AK to redefine the Turkish republic by
challenging the traditional dominance of the military as its protector.

That protection to date has included the military’s toppling of four
governments since 1960 in the name of safeguarding the republic’s
Kemalist secular identity. Ozgur Ogrit, a correspondent for "Hurriyet
Daily News" in Istanbul, says it is impossible to predict what will
happen next.

"This is uncharted territory for Turkey because, since last month,
everyday you see the same phrase in the headlines: for the first
time in Turkey, for the first time in republican history, for the
first time this general came to give testimony, or this general was
arrested, or a secret room of the military was inspected," Ogrit says.

"I don’t think anyone in Turkey can tell you where we are going to
go from here."

Dividing Turkey

The Ergenekon investigation, launched in 2007, is causing huge
divisions within Turkey as the pro-AK and pro-Kemalist camps have
squared off in political and media circles.

The division has equally reached into the once solidly Kemalist
bastions of the military, judiciary, and bureaucracy – the three legs
of the traditional Turkish state – making it still more impossible
to predict how the showdown will end.

The Ergenekon case has divided Turks on many levels of society. The
detentions of the generals come close on the heels of a fierce battle
within the judiciary itself between prosecutors determined to push
ahead with the Ergenekon investigation and those who see the affair
as a political tool for the AK to punish secular opponents.

The battle within the judiciary came to a head last week as the
Higher Board of Judges and Prosecutors condemned the arrest of
a prosecutor who had been charged by colleagues with belonging
to Ergenekon himself. The arrested prosecutor, Ilhan Cihaner, had
launched a probe into the Islamic community.

After the board removed four other prosecutors from an investigation
into Cihaner, the AK-led government condemned the board for delivering
a "heavy blow" against justice.

Turkey’s Future In The Balance

But if tit-for-tat moves like those have at times risked making the
public weary of the now years-long political crisis over the Ergenekon
investigation, this week’s detention of some 50 commanders guarantees
the affair a new and long life.

"People had been asking why, if the Ergenekon gang was supposed to
be planning a coup, the investigation was bringing in journalists,
scholars, writers, but where were the soldiers who would carry out
the coup? And that was a very fair question," Ogrit notes. "Now,
they have started to go after the top generals and now, I think,
the case is meaningful once more."

The credibility of the Ergenekon investigation had waned as it focused
on soft targets without any immediate indication it would reach the
alleged core Ergenekon group itself.

At times, the arrests or detentions of secularist journalists, writers,
and academics, appeared to rely upon increasingly dubious anonymous
letters and secret witnesses. Some suspects accused the police of
fabricating evidence.

But now, with the stakes dramatically raised, the question of whether
the investigation would reach some of the country’s most powerful
current and former members of the military is answered.

And instead, the question for the months ahead has become whether
the AK has the political strength to bring the detained commanders
to trial and whether, if convicted, the verdicts would still be
overturned by the old-guard Supreme Court of Appeals.

The answer will tell much about the future direction in which Turkey
will go. That direction now is generally seen inside Turkey itself as
a choice between two poles: the traditional Kemalist secular state vs.

an Islamic order that critics say would usher in Shari’a law.

But the reality may ultimately be an identity at a point somewhere
along this continuum that has not yet been determined. And part of
the process of determining that point may be exactly the political
crisis now rocking the country.