US-Israeli Attack Against Iran Imminent

en.fondsk.ruÐ?rbis Terrarum
14.03.2010
Yuri BARANCHIK (Belarus)

The statement that the US and Israel are bracing for an invasion of
Iran made by Israeli envoy to the UN G. Shalev shows that – after
failing to drum up international support for the offensive –
Washington and Tel-Aviv decided to act on their own.

Iran’s civilian nuclear program is used as a pretext for the
aggression. The actual motivation behind it is that Iran’s economic
and political integration into Eurasia, the space stretching from
France and Germany to China, would undercut the US influence over the
continent. It is not Iran’s nuclear program, but its oil and gas
reserves that are important in the context as they can serve as the
basis of the economic development of China and the EU.

Under the current circumstances in international politics, France is
ready to sell military ships to Russia, Germany suggests integrating
Russia into the European armed forces, and the EU is looking into the
possibility of establishing its separate analog of the IMF.
Consequently, the US is no longer needed as a global moderator.
America’s last resort in the struggle over retaining the role of the
global policeman is war. It does not matter that much what war and
against whom – making inroads into Eurasia is Washington’s priority
and all it takes is not necessarily a serious humanitarian pretext.

Therefore, the imminent US withdrawal from Iraq and Afghanistan and
the accompanying embarrassment will be followed by destabilization in
Iran, which will for years arrest the socioeconomic development of
Eurasian countries, or by US seizure of control of Iran’s oil and gas
reserves. This would allow the US to go on acting as the global
moderator.

The US is invoking as the ideological basis the myth of the Russian
military threat to Europe – a successor to the Soviet threat myth – as
a pretext for intervening into the dialog between Europe and Russia.
The picture Washington is trying to paint is that Europe is
defenseless unless the powerful US patronizes it.

Similarly, the US is securing its presence in other parts of the world
by spreading appropriate myths like the ethnic cleansing in the former
Yugoslavia allegedly perpetrated by Serbs, the nonexistent WMD
stockpiles in Iraq, the alleged organization of the 9/11 terrorist
attack by the Talibs, Iran’s nuclear bomb, etc. Provocation is
Washington’s traditional instrument in the struggle for global
dominance.

Accordingly, any warming between Eurasian countries that is not
brokered by the US tends to met with Washington’s resistance (the
story of the organization of Russia’s gas supplies to West Germany
being an example). The key conclusion to be drawn from the above is
that the US is the number one opponent of peace and of Eurasia’s
steady development who provokes armed conflicts to derail progress in
international relations. Without conflicts, the US would see its
influence contract to the proportions of just one continent, its six
navies and countless military bases across the world – turn into
useless assets, and its nuclear arsenal – into a burden.

There is yet another reason why the US has to launch an aggression
against Iran – it is rooted in the US dollar’s role of the global
currency. At the moment, the economic situation the US is finding
itself in is no better than in the epoch of the great depression. At
that distant time the US was dragged out of trouble by the
unprecedented war in Europe, not by Roosevelt’s remarkable economic
endeavors. The US got out of the crisis at the cost of millions of
lives of Russians, Germans, Belorussians, Frenchmen, Poles, etc.

The present-day situation is similar – without a major war, the US
economy is doomed to either a dollar default or hyperinflation. The
same logic applies to Israel. Having lost the US superpower backing,
Tel-Aviv is forced to negotiate peace with the Palestinians more or
less on their terms. Such development can jeopardize the very
existence of Israel in its current shape, not due to the Arab threat
but rather due to mass out-migration of its own population.

No doubt, the US would readily blow up the world to safeguard its
global leadership and therefore, the US and Israeli war against Iran
is imminent. The key question is not when the war is going to erupt
but what other major countries are prepared to do to prevent a global
catastrophe.

All military conflicts involving the US were sparked by provocations,
and the priority at the moment is to focus on neutralizing the
consequences of the provocation that the world is about to encounter.
The logical hypothesis is that the likely provocation to trigger an
attack against Iran is a detonation of a «dirty» nuclear bomb by the
US and Israeli intelligence services (or a blow-up of a nuclear power
plant) in Israel or somewhere in West Europe.