Karabakh Key To Turkish – Armenian Peace – Azerbaijan

KARABAKH KEY TO TURKISH – ARMENIAN PEACE – AZERBAIJAN

New York Times
April 23 2010

BAKU/YEREVAN (Reuters) – Azerbaijan warned Armenia on Friday it
could not achieve anything in the region unless it makes peace over
Nagorno-Karabakh, and warned its army was ready "to hit any target"
to take the breakaway region back.

The comments follow the collapse on Thursday of a U.S. and
Russian-backed bid to mend ties between Armenia and Turkey after a
century of hostility stemming from the World War One mass killing of
Armenians by Ottoman forces.

Armenia suspended ratification of a deal to establish diplomatic
ties and reopen its border with Turkey after Ankara said Armenia
should first reach terms with Azerbaijan over Nagorno-Karabakh,
where ethnic Armenians threw off Azeri rule in the early 1990s with
backing from Armenia.

Armenia says it is unacceptable to link the two issues.

But in Baku, Azeri President Ilham Aliyev said nothing would be
possible without a solution to Nagorno-Karabakh, something that has
evaded mediators since a cease-fire was agreed in 1994.

"You cannot achieve anything in the region without a solution to
the Karabakh conflict," Aliyev said in a televised meeting of the
government.

Azerbaijan, its military budget swollen by petrodollars, frequently
threatens to take the mountain region back by force.

But the rhetoric became sharper after the thaw began between Turkey
and Armenia late last year, and traditionally good ties with the
United States have become strained by Washington’s support for the
rapprochement.

ISOLATED

"The fact that we continue peaceful negotiations is a major compromise
on our part," Aliyev said.

Defence Minister Safar Abiyev told him: "The Azerbaijan army has
all the capabilities to hit any target on the territory of Armenia
if necessary."

To the vast majority of Armenians, the idea of giving up some of
the land won during the Nagorno-Karabakh war in exchange for an open
border and diplomatic ties with Turkey, is unacceptable.

But Turkey, which closed the border in 1993 in solidarity with
Azerbaijan, has been stung by the backlash in Azerbaijan, an oil and
gas exporter and one of the West’s key hopes for gas for the planned
Nabucco pipeline.

Though the deal is now on ice, some analysts warn it is too late to
sooth tempers in Azerbaijan.

"It increases instability because the process has left Azerbaijan
isolated and effectively pulled the rug from under its foreign policy
framework, built on close ties with the U.S. and Turkey," said Svante
Cornell of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute.

The Armenian-Turkish peace process has also roused opposition within
Armenia and the huge Armenian diaspora, many of whom trace their
roots to the killings and deportations of World War One.

On Friday, the eve of the 95th anniversary of the massacres, thousands
of Armenians with flaming torches marched through the capital Yerevan
to demand Turkey recognise the events as genocide.

Turkey rejects the term genocide and says many Muslim Turks and Kurds,
as well as Christian Armenians, were killed in inter-communal violence
as Russian forces invaded eastern Anatolia during World War One.