RFE/RL Armenian Report – 10/12/2017

                                        Thursday, 

Armenia To Get Another Russian Loan For Arms Imports


 . Hovannes Movsisian


Russia -- A Russian TOS-1A multiple rocket launcher fires during the
opening of the Army-2015 international military forum in Kubinka,
outside Moscow, June 16, 2015

Russia will provide Armenia with a fresh $100 million loan that will
be spent on the purchase of more Russian weapons for the Armenian
military, it was announced on Thursday.

The Armenian government formally approved a relevant draft loan
agreement with Moscow at a weekly meeting chaired by Prime Minister
Karen Karapetian.

The upcoming agreement posted on the government's website says the
funding is aimed at "further developing and reinforcing friendly
relations" between the two states. It stipulates that the Russian loan
will carry an annual interest rate of 3 percent and be repayable in 20
years, with a 5-year grace period.

The government did not publicize an annex to the deal that lists the
types of Russian-made military hardware which the Armenian side will
be able to buy with the loan.

Two years ago, the Russian government already lent Yerevan $200
million for arms acquisitions from Russian manufacturers. It
subsequently publicized a long list of weapons covered by the
deal. Those included, among other things, Smerch multiple-launch
rocket system, TOS-1A thermobaric rockets, anti-tank weapons and
shoulder-fired surface-to-air missiles.


Armenia - The Armenian army demonstrates Buk air-defense systems
recently acquired from Russia as well as S-300 surface-to-air missiles
during a parade in Yerevan, 21Sep2016.

The Armenian military demonstrated Smerch systems as well as several
other new weapons at a September 2016 parade in Yerevan.

Defense Minister Vigen Sargsian announced on October 2 that the arms
supplies financed from the $200 million loan will be completed by the
end of this year. Other officials in Yerevan said earlier that 18
supply contracts were signed with the Russians as part of the 2015
deal.

Armenia buys Russian weapons at internal Russian prices that are set
well below international market-based levels. The South Caucasus
country is entitled to such discounts because of its bilateral
military alliance with Russia and membership in the Collective
Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), a Russian-led security bloc
comprising six ex-Soviet republics.

Yerevan announced the impending release of the $100 million loan one
week after the Armenian parliament ratified a Russia-Armenian
agreement on a joint military force based in Armenia. Under that
accord signed late last year, "the united group of troops" is tasked
with "ensuring military security in the region."

The close military ties with Yerevan have not stopped Moscow from
selling billions of dollars worth of heavy weapons to Azerbaijan in
the past several years. Russian arms sales to Baku continued even
after unusually strong criticism voiced by Armenian leaders following
the April 2016 fighting in Nagorno-Karabakh. In July this year,
President Serzh Sarkisian reiterated Yerevan's discontent with the
Russian-Azerbaijani arms dealings while seemingly downplaying their
impact on the military balance in the Karabakh conflict.




Armenian Official Downbeat On Karabakh Peace


 . Sargis Harutyunyan


Russia - Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev (R) looks on as his
Armenian counterpart Serzh Sarkisian speaks at a Commonwealth of
Independent States summit in Sochi, 11Oct2017.

A senior Armenian diplomat sounded pessimistic on Thursday about
prospects for the resolution of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict ahead of
a planned meeting of Armenia's and Azerbaijan's presidents.

The U.S., Russian and French mediators said after their latest visits
to Yerevan and Baku over the weekend that Presidents Serzh Sarkisian
and Ilham Aliyev agreed to resume their face-to-face peace talks
soon. The three co-chairs of the OSCE Minsk Group said they discussed
with them "possible topics" that will be on the agenda of the
"forthcoming summit."

Aliyev and Sarkisian did not meet on the sidelines of a summit of
ex-Soviet states held in the Russian city of Sochi on Wednesday. It
remains unclear when and where their encounter will take place. The
mediators hope that it will help to revive the Karabakh peace process.

"We must always differentiate between two planes," said Deputy Foreign
Minister Shavarsh Kocharian. "One of them is about forming an
atmosphere of trust, without which progress in the negotiation process
is impossible, and the other about making progress in the negotiation
process itself."

"It is evident that right now there are no grounds, no positive trends
that would allow us to speak of progress in the negotiation progress,"
he told reporters.

Kocharian pointed to Baku's reluctance to comply with
confidence-building agreements that were reached by Aliyev and
Sarkisian at their last meetings held more than a year ago. Those
called for the deployment of more OSCE observers in the conflict zone
and international investigations of truce violations occurring
there. Armenian leaders have repeatedly said that the peace process
cannot move forward without these confidence-building measures.

Speaking in Baku on Monday, Aliyev claimed that Yerevan has been
forced to give up its "preconditions" for resuming substantive
negotiations on a Karabakh settlement. Sarkisian angrily denied that
claim through a spokesman the following day. His press secretary,
Vladimir Hakobian, accused Aliyev of "trying to deceive the
international community and his own people."




Government Bill To Limit Power Of Armenia's Next Commander-In-Chief


 . Ruzanna Stepanian


Armenia - President Serzh Sarkisian and Prime Minister Karen
Karapetian arrive for a cabinet meeting in Yerevan, 29Jun2017.

Armenia's prime minister will likely have less authority over the
armed forces than the president of the republic currently has after
the country becomes a parliamentary republic next April.

The existing Armenian constitution gives the president sweeping
powers, including the right to introduce martial law, call a general
mobilization and ask the parliament to declare war.

A government bill circulated last month would transfer these powers to
the cabinet, rather than the prime minister personally, even though
the latter will become the Armenian army's commander-in-chief after
the parliamentary system of government takes effect in April 2018.

The draft Law on Defense would also introduce a more complex chain of
command. The Armenian military would be controlled by the government
and the defense minister in particular. At the same time its top brass
would be directly subordinate to the chief of the army's General
Staff. The latter will in turn report to the defense minister in times
of peace and to the prime minister during a war.

Tevan Poghosian, the director of the Yerevan-based International
Center for Human Development (ICHD), agreed that the proposed law
calls for a more collective leadership of the army. He welcomed this
change.

"There is going to be more teamwork in decision making, this is what
the parliamentary model is all about," Poghosian told RFE/RL's
Armenian service (Azatutyun.am). "We have always fought for ensuring
that all the levers [of power] are not in the president's hands,"
added the former opposition parliamentarian.

But Poghosian also cautioned: "The answer to the question of whether
or not a lot will change in our reality after April also depends on
who will # hold that post [of prime minister.]"

President Serzh Sarkisian has still not publicly clarified what he
plans to do after completing his second and final presidential term in
April. He said vaguely in March that he would like to "play a role, in
some capacity, in ensuring the security of our people." For his part,
Prime Minister Karen Karapetian has repeatedly indicated his desire to
retain his post.

Some observers have suggested that Sarkisian is planning to stay in
power in a different, more unofficial capacity. The president is also
the top leader of the ruling Republican Party of Armenia, which enjoys
a solid majority in the parliament.




Armenian Top Brass Lectured On Russian Operations In Syria


 . Emil Danielyan


Armenia - Colonel-General Aleksandr Dvornikov (R), the commander of
Russia's Southern Military District, speaks at the Armenian Defense
Ministry in Yerevan, 12Oct2017.

The former commander of Russian troops in Syria on Thursday briefed
Armenia's Defense Minister Vigen Sargsian and top army generals on
Russian military operations conducted in the war-torn nation.

The Armenian Defense Ministry said Colonel-General Aleksandr Dvornikov
gave the "lecture" at its headquarters in Yerevan. Photographs
released by the ministry showed that the chief of the Armenian army's
General Staff, Colonel-General Movses Hakobian, and at least two of
his deputies were among several dozen military officials attending the
event.

A ministry statement said Dvornikov, who now heads Russia's Southern
Military District, spoke about Russian tactics of fighting against the
so-called Islamic State militant group in Syria and "specificities of
modern warfare."

The statement added that the lecture was organized "within the
framework" of joint military exercises taking place at a training
center about 50 kilometers west of Yerevan. More than 2,500 soldiers
of the Armenian army, the Russian military base in Armenia and a
rapid-reaction force set up by the Russian-led Collective Security
Treaty Organization (CSTO) are taking part in the five-day drills that
began on Monday. The Russian base is part of the Southern Military
District.

It was not clear whether Dvornikov discussed the possibility of
Armenian involvement in Russian operations in Syria.

Another top Russian military official said in August that Armenia and
Serbia have expressed readiness to join a multinational "coalition"
which Russia hopes would help its troops clear landmines there. Moscow
formally proposed its creation at the United Nations in April.

The Armenian Defense Ministry said on September 11 that it is ready in
principle to send sappers to "those parts of Syria where there are no
ongoing hostilities." But it stressed that their deployment must
follow "all international legal procedures." Speaking at the UN
General Assembly in New York on September 20, President Serzh
Sarkisian clarified that such a mission would have to have a UN
mandate.




Press Review



"Zhamanak" reports that President Serzh Sarkisian raised "a number of
concrete issues important to Armenia" at Wednesday's summit in Sochi
of the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU). The paper finds "interesting"
the fact that this happened shortly after the Armenian parliament
debated opposition calls for the country's exit from the Russian-led
trade bloc. It wonders whether Sarkisian used the opposition Yelk's
initiative to "get more aggressive vis-á-vis other EEU members" or on
the contrary to "demonstrate that he is in full control of the
situation and able to manage developments."

An Iranian analyst, Kayhan Barzegar, tells "168 Zham" that Prime
Minister Karen Karapetian did not discuss new issues with Iranian
leaders during his official visit to Tehran this week. He says that
"the most serious" Armenian-Iranian projects remain the planned
expansion of an electricity-for-gas swap arrangement, the creation of
a free economic zone on Armenia's border with Iran and the increase in
cargo traffic between the two countries. "After the lifting of
sanctions [against Iran] the political and economic agenda of
Armenian-Iranian relations has expanded," he says. "But even this does
not correspond to the full potential of those relations because Iran
has not gotten rid of the sanctions for good. What is more, the new
U.S. president is threatening Iran with new sanctions."

"Zhoghovurd" condemns the "thuggish" behavior of members of the ruling
Republican Party (HHK) who continued to insult their opposition
colleagues during Wednesday's session of Yerevan's municipal
council. "Civilized debate is not something that suits the
Republicans," writes the paper. "They are more familiar with insults
and swear words simply because the Republicans do not understand a
different language."

"Offensive statements made during the debate are unacceptable to me,"
Vahram Baghdasarian, the leader of the HHK faction in the Armenian
parliament, is quoted by "Haykakan Zhamanak" as saying. The paper is
unimpressed by this reaction to what happened in the Yerevan
assembly. It says Baghdasarian also complained on Wednesday that media
outlets ignore controversial statements made by opposition politicians
and activists.

(Tigran Avetisian)


Reprinted on ANN/Armenian News with permission from RFE/RL
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