Monday, Ruling Parties ‘Untroubled’ By Opposition Protests • Ruzanna Stepanian Armenia - Civic activists protest against President Serzh Sarkisian's continued rule outside the ruling Republican Party's headquarters in Yerevan, 24 March 2018. The ruling Republican Party of Armenia (HHK) and its junior coalition partner, Dashnaktsutyun, said on Monday that they are not worried about opposition plans to stage street demonstrations against President Serzh Sarkisian’s apparent plans to extend his rule. Sarkisian is widely expected to become prime minister and thus remain Armenia’s most powerful man after serving out his final presidential term on April 9. Various opposition groups, notably Nikol Pashinian’s Civil Contract party, have pledged to rally supporters next month in a bid to scuttle his perceived plans. Pashinian indicated last week that the focal point of his and his allies’ campaign will be the period between April 9 and April 17, the anticipated date of the new prime minister’s election by the Armenian parliament. He claimed that Sarkisian will be particularly vulnerable to popular pressure during that time because he will have no formal control over the government, the military and security agencies. “I don’t take that seriously,” Vahram Baghdasarian, the leader of the HHK’s parliamentary faction, said, commenting on Pashinian’s statement. “Power is not a box which they can pick up. You need grounds to take power.” “We have had many cases where the president of the republic was abroad or on vacation,” Baghdasarian told reporters. “He was substituted for during those times.” Dashnaktsutyun’s Aghvan Vartanian also dismissed Pashinian’s plans. “During that period [from April 9-17] power won’t be lying on the street,” he said. “Every state body will be performing their functions.” Pashinian’s Civil Contract is one of the three opposition parties making up the Yelk alliance which finished third in last year’s parliamentary elections. While also opposing Sarkisian’s continued rule, the two other Yelk parties have refused to back his plans. They say that anti-Sarkisian protests are unlikely to attract big crowds. Also campaigning against Sarkisian’s “reproduction” is the For the Armenian State coalition of more radical opposition groups and activists, including Raffi Hovannisian’s Zharangutyun party. The grouping pulled a small crowd for its most recent rally held in Yerevan on Friday. It hopes to team up with Civil Contract. “I can understand when extraparliamentary forces try to use the street,” said the HHK’s Baghdasarian. “It’s just a bit unclear to me why there are parliamentary forces willing to leave the parliament and opt for street protests.” “I think that there are no grounds [for doing that,] but as I said, it’s up to a political force to choose its method of political struggle,” added the pro-government lawmaker. Russian Official Plays Up Fresh Arms Supplies To Armenia • Artak Hambardzumian Armenia - Konstantin Zatulin, deputy chairman of a Russian State Duma committee, speaks to reporters in Yerevan, . Russia has supplied Armenia with more weapons and other military equipment in response to the April 2016 fighting in Nagorno-Karabakh, a senior Russian lawmaker said during a visit to Yerevan on Monday. “We do realize that after the 2016 escalation, which was initiated by one of the parties, Armenian public opinion showed serious discontent with Russia regarding arms supplies to Azerbaijan on the part of Russia,” Konstantin Zatulin told reporters. “We very much regret that Azerbaijan found no use for them other than violating the ceasefire agreement on the [Karabakh] Line of Contact reached in 1994 with our help.” “We have drawn conclusions regarding the breach of the military balance in the region and provided Armenia with state-of-the-art defense equipment which we had a chance to see at the [September 2016] military parade organized on the occasion of [Armenia’s] Republic Day,” said the deputy chairman of a Russian State Duma committee on relations with former Soviet republics. Despite its military alliance with Armenia, Russia signed an estimated $5 billion worth of defense contracts with Azerbaijan in 2009-2011. Many in Armenia feel that the resulting deliveries of hundreds of Russian tanks, artillery systems and combat helicopters to Baku encouraged the latter to launch the April 2016 offensive in Karabakh. The four-day hostilities, which Moscow helped to halt, left at least 180 soldiers from both warring sides dead.It was the worst escalation of the Karabakh conflict since 1994. Visiting Yerevan earlier this month, another senior Russian lawmaker, Konstantin Kosachev, indicated that Moscow will scale down its future arms dealings with Baku. “Of course, we are reacting to what occurred in April 2016,” said Kosachev, who chairs the foreign relations committee of the Federation Council, the Russian upper house of parliament. Armenia - The Armenian military demonstrates Iskander missile systems during a parade in Yerevan, 21Sep2016. The fresh Russian arms supplies to Armenia mentioned by Zatulin stem, in part, from a $200 million Russian loan allocated in June 2015. The Armenian military has used that money for buying, among other things, Smerch multiple-launch rocket system, thermobaric and anti-tank rocket systems and shoulder-fired surface-to-air missiles. At its September 2016 parade in Yerevan, the military also demonstrated medium-range Buk air-defense systems and, more importantly, Iskander tactical missiles. Armenia most probably received the precision-guided missiles shortly before or after the four-day war in Karabakh. In October 2017, the Armenian government announced that Moscow will provide it with a further $100 million loan that will be spent on the purchase of more Russian weapons at internal Russian prices set well below international market-based levels. Deputy Defense Minister Artak Zakarian said in December that the Armenian side has already finalized three defense contracts with Russian arms manufacturers as part of the loan agreement. Zatulin, who is known for his pro-Armenian views on the Karabakh conflict, on Monday also denounced Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev’s recent pledge to “return Azerbaijanis” to Yerevan and other parts of Armenia which he called “historic Azerbaijani lands.” “It’s just not clear how anyone can take such a statement seriously,” added the veteran lawmaker. The Russian Foreign Ministry also criticized Aliyev’s remarks last month. Nevertheless, the Azerbaijani leader repeated his claims last week. Former German Envoy Again Visits Karabakh Nagorno-Karabakh - Hans-Jochen Schmidt (R), a former German ambassador to Armenia, meets with Masis Mayilian, the Karabakh foreign minister, in Stepanakert, . Germany’s former ambassador to Armenia, Hans-Jochen Schmidt, met with senior officials in Stepanakert on Monday during yet another private visit to Nagorno-Karabakh. Schmidt, who headed the German diplomatic mission in Yerevan from 2009-2012, was reported to discuss with Arayik Harutiunian, Karabakh’s state minister primarily responsible for economic policies, the socioeconomic situation in the Armenian-populated territory. A Karabakh government statement said Harutiunian briefed him on recent economic developments and “a number of investment projects.”The retired German diplomat, for his part, “presented details of his visit and forthcoming plans.” The two men also spoke about “prospects for cooperation between Karabakh and Germany in some sectors of the economy,” the statement added without elaborating. Schmidt also had a separate meeting with Masis Mayilian, the Karabakh foreign minister. According to Mayilian’s press office, they discussed international efforts to resolve the Karabakh conflict and the unrecognized republic’s contacts with the outside world. Schmidt is known to have also visited Karabakh on at least two occasions in the past, most recently in September 2016. Bako Sahakian, the Karabakh president, awarded him a “medal of gratitude” at the time. Schmidt reportedly called for more political and people-to-people contacts between the European Union and Karabakh. “I always thought that it is impossible to be informed about Karabakh without visiting it,” he told the local Artsakhpress news agency. In that regard, he criticized Azerbaijan for blacklisting non-Armenian foreign dignitaries travelling to the region. Schmidt, 70, is one of the founding members of the German-Armenian Forum (DAG), a group set up in Berlin in 2015 to “promote mutual understanding between Germans and Armenians and safeguard the interests of Armenians living in Germany.” Press Review (Saturday, March 24) Interviewed by “Haykakan Zhamanak,” opposition leader Nikol Pashinian defends his decision in 2015 not to campaign against President Serzh Sarkisian’s controversial constitutional changes that eventually enabled the latter to prolong his rule. Pashinian insists that now is a better time to fight against Sarkisian’s continued rule. “We are capable of organizing a struggle and creating a platform for the people and winning,” he says. “If there is an expression of popular will, it will be easier to effect regime change under the current constitution than the previous one. Why? Because Serzh Sarkisian will not be president during the political processes envisioned by us.” “Zhamanak” disagrees with Pashinian’s view that the period between the end of Sarkisian’s presidential term on April 9 and his anticipated appointment as prime minister on April 17 represents a unique opportunity for the Armenian opposition to seize power. The paper believes that Pashinian and his Civil Contract party cannot topple the ruling regime on their own. It says they are extremely unlikely to cobble together a broad-based opposition coalition for that purpose. Armenia needs a smooth and lawful transition of power, rather than revolutionary upheavals, it says. A German political analyst, Susan Stewart, tells “168 Zham” that she expects only minor “technical” obstacles to the ratification of the European Union’s Comprehensive and Enhanced Partnership Agreement (CEPA) with Armenia. She also notes that Russia did not react negatively, at least in public, to the signing of the CEPA in November. “Zhoghovurd” comments on serious problems with the implementation of an ambitious government project to refurbish Armenia’s main highways stretching to the Iranian and Georgian borders. “Right from the beginning it was evident that this project is not cost-effective for Armenia,” writes the paper. “On the contrary, it will mean a waste of financial resources, part of them loans.” It accuses senior government officials of using the project to enrich themselves. (Tatev Danielian) Reprinted on ANN/Armenian News with permission from RFE/RL Copyright (c) 2018 Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty, Inc. 1201 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington DC 20036. www.rferl.org