Monday, April 2, 2018 Armenian Opposition Group Starts Walking Tour In Regime Change Bid • Sisak Gabrielian • Satenik Kaghzvantsian Armenia - Opposition leader Nikol Pashinian takes a selfie with supporters during a political march in Shirak province, 31 March 2018. Opposition leader Nikol Pashinian and his associates began touring Armenia’s northern and central regions on foot at the weekend in preparation for street demonstrations in Yerevan aimed at preventing President Serzh Sarkisian from extending his rule. A backpack-wearing Pashinian began the two-week walking tour from the central square of Gyumri. He was joined by a group of activists and supporters of his Civil Contract party outside the country’s second largest city. They planned to walk around 200 kilometers through several other Armenian towns and arrive in Yerevan on April 13 in time for their first major anti-government protest. Pashinian said they will hold rallies in the city’s Liberty Square for at least four consecutive days. The Armenian parliament dominated by Sarkisian’s supporter is scheduled to elect on April 17 a new prime minister, who will be the country’s most powerful official because of its ongoing transition to a parliamentary system of government. The outgoing president, whose second term expires on April 9, is widely expected to take up the post. Sarkisian promised in 2014 that he will not seek to become prime minister if Armenia becomes a parliamentary republic as a result of his controversial constitutional changes. His political opponents now accuse him of reneging on that pledge. Sarkisian’s allies claim, however, that he never explicitly pledged to quit power and is better equipped to govern Armenia than anyone else. Pashinian says that Sarkisian’s continued rule would also lead to the “Azerbaijanization” of Armenian politics, a reference to the authoritarian rule of Azerbaijan’s current and former longtime presidents. “Our action plan includes blocking roads, blockading buildings and generating the kind of civic activity that would enable us to go to the National Assembly and halt the work of the deceitful state and deceitful regime created by Serzh Sarkisian,” he told reporters in Gyumri. “We want to enable Armenia’s citizens to speak up against Serzh Sarkisian’s and the [ruling] Republican Party’s perfidy,” he said. Armenia - Opposition leader Nikol Pashinian starting a long political march in Gyumri, 31 March 2018. The outspoken oppositionist is heavily using his Facebook page to provide live video and photo updates of their long march. In particular, he and his mostly young loyalists have been shown pitching tents to spend a night by a roadside in the northern Shirak province. Pashinian , who is highly critical of the Armenia’s president’s decade-long tenure, again stressed on Saturday that his team favors solely peaceful methods of political struggle and will not resort to violence even if the authorities use force against it. The 42-year-old former journalist also acknowledged that the success of his anti-Sarkisian campaign named “My Step” depends on the scale of attendance at its upcoming rallies in Yerevan. Two other opposition parties allied to Pashinian’s Civil Contract, Bright Armenia and Republic, are very skeptical about his ability to attract large crowds. They have cited this as the main reason for their refusal to join his campaign. The three parties make up the Yelk alliance which finished third in last year’s parliamentary elections. The bloc holds 9 seats in the 105-member parliament. Tsarukian Bloc Won’t Take On New PM • Tatevik Lazarian Armenia - Naira Zohrabian of the Tsarukian Bloc speaks during a parliament session in Yerevan, 13Dec2017. A senior aide to Gagik Tsarukian indicated on Monday that his political alliance will not attempt to scuttle President Serzh Sarkisian’s apparent plans to become prime minister after serving out his second term next week. Accordingly, Naira Zohrabian made clear that the Tsarukian Bloc will not join another opposition force, Nikol Pashinian’s Civil Contract party, in trying to prevent Sarkisian from extending his rule. She said the Armenian opposition missed its “legitimate chance” to unseat the country’s leadership in parliamentary elections held one year ago. “Unfortunately, a large part of the public voted, under the influence of one or another factor, for a political force which now has a legitimate right to nominate its prime minister,” Zohrabian told RFE/RL’s Armenian service (Azatutyun.am). She claimed that the ruling Republican Party (HHK) won the April 2017 vote because of massive vote buying made possible by a popular belief that “things cannot be changed in our country.” The Armenian parliament is expected to install the next, far more powerful prime minister on April 17, eight days after the end of Sarkisian’s presidency. Under Armenian constitution, the authorities will have to hold fresh elections if the parliament twice fails to choose a premier. Pashinian and his allies claim that large opposition crowds can disrupt such a vote in the National Assembly and thus force snap polls. Zohrabian dismissed that argument. “Are you sure that in case of fresh elections people will not accept money and will not vote for the Republican Party again?” she said. “I’m afraid I don’t have such confidence.” Eduard Sharmazanov, the HHK spokesman, reiterated, meanwhile, that the authorities are not worried about the anti-Sarkisian protests planned by Pashinian’s party. “As far as political expediency is concerned, they will produce zero results,” he said, adding that the HHK has a “constitutional right” to pick the next prime minister. The Tsarukian Bloc, which holds 31 seats in the 105-member parliament, claims to be in opposition to the Armenian government. However, Tsarukian and his associates refrain from attacking Sarkisian or voting against key government bills. Some Tsarukian Bloc lawmakers have openly stated in recent weeks that they support Sarkisian’s appointment as prime minister. Sarkisian Privatizes Official Residence • Nane Sahakian Armenia -- The official presidential residence in Yerevan. In a move condemned by the opposition, the Armenian government has granted the outgoing President Serzh Sarkisian ownership of a mansion in Yerevan where he and his predecessors have lived while in office. The government formally approved the free privatization of the property and specified its address on Thursday. A senior official from the presidential staff, Varuzh Grigorian, confirmed on Monday that it is the very house where Sarkisian has lived with his family since becoming president ten years ago. The house is part of a secluded government compound just outside the city center which has also been home to other high-ranking state officials. The two former Armenian presidents, Levon Ter-Petrosian and Robert Kocharian, also lived there with their family members when they governed the country. Both men were provided with free housing in other, more remote parts of Yerevan after leaving office. Sarkisian’s decision not to leave the heavily guarded mansion after completing his second term on April 9 is widely seen as a further indication that he will become prime minister and thus stay in power. The Armenian parliament dominated by his loyalists is scheduled to appoint the next premier on April 17. Opposition leaders said the development also means that he is keen to extend his rule indefinitely. “It wasn’t just a decision to give Serzh Sarkisian a house. It was also a decision about the future of that government compound,” said Levon Zurabian, deputy chairman of the Armenian National Congress (HAK), an opposition party headed by Ter-Petrosian. “He has already perpetuated his power in his mind and doesn’t want to leave that property,” Zurabian told RFE/RL’s Armenian service (Azatutyun.am). He suggested that Sarkisian may also be seeking “additional security guarantees” that might be necessary after his eventual retirement. Nikol Pashinian, another opposition leader, condemned the privatization in even stronger terms. “It’s a crime tantamount to a coup d’etat,” he told members of his Civil Contract party. “All members of the government are accomplices to that crime.” Pashinian, who holds a seat in the Armenian parliament, said he will demand an “official explanation” from the government. The latter has so far given no reason for the controversial decision. Civil Contract and other opposition groups are planning to hold rallies in Yerevan later this month to try to force Sarkisian to quit power. Press Review (Saturday, March 31) “Zhoghovurd” writes on the second anniversary of the April 2016 war in Nagorno-Karabakh, saying that it exposed “problems of the Armenian armed forces.” “Two years on, only the frontline positions have been gotten into shape,” it says. “They have been equipped with new equipment thanks to huge donations by Armenian citizens and Diaspora Armenians. Armenia has acquired new weapons with a loan provided by Russia. By contrast, officials who were responsible for this situation have not been prosecuted. They have only been sacked. The April war also offered political lessons, proving the need for a quick political solution to the Karabakh conflict.” “Zhamanak” discusses possible implications for Armenia of the rising tensions between Russia and the West. The paper says that they could complicate the Armenian policy of complementing the alliance with Russia with closer ties with the United States and the European Union. It says that the two sides or just one of them could force Yerevan to openly side with it in the standoff. “It’s hard to tell whether these risks are real or exaggerated,” it says. “The situation changes quite rapidly.” In any case, it says, “Armenia must be prepared for the worst-case scenario.” Interviewed by “168 Zham,” Vladimir Yevseyev, a Russian military analyst, defends Moscow’s decision to deploy military police units at its military base in Armenia. He says this will strengthen discipline among Russian soldiers serving in Armenia and reduce the risk of various offenses committed by them. “The [2015] murder of an Armenian family in Gyumri was a serious blow to both Russia and Armenia,” says Yevseyev. “There have since been many discussions on what measures need to be taken.” “Haykakan Zhamanak” reveals that a recent visit to Washington by an Armenian parliamentary delegation cost Armenian taxpayers at least $12,600. The paper seems to consider this an unnecessary waste of public funds. (Tigran Avetisian) Reprinted on ANN/Armenian News with permission from RFE/RL Copyright (c) 2018 Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty, Inc. 1201 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington DC 20036. www.rferl.org