Monday, Former Ruling Party To Run In Armenian Elections • Sisak Gabrielian Armenia - President Serzh Sarkisian and Defense Minister Vigen Sargsian arrive at a conference venue in Yerevan, 20Apr2017. The former ruling Republican Party of Armenia (HHK) has officially confirmed its participation in upcoming parliamentary elections and nominated former Defense Minister Vigen Sargsian as its top candidate. The HHK announced the decision late on Sunday after a five-hour meeting of its governing board chaired by the party’s top leader, former President Serzh Sarkisian. Sargsian told reporters that the board approved the list of the HHK’s election candidates that will be submitted to the Central Election Commission on Wednesday. He declined to publicize the list, saying only that it will be topped by him. Sargsian also said that Serzh Sarkisian will not run as a candidate in the snap elections scheduled for December 9 despite remaining the party’s chairman. Nor will the former president be involved in the HHK’s election campaign, he said. Sarkisian, 64, resigned in April amid mass protests triggered by his attempt to extend his decade-long rule. He has kept a very low profile since then, leaving it to his political allies to comment on political developments and occasionally challenge Nikol Pashinian, the protest leader elected prime minister in May. The 43-year-old Vigen Sargsian is a U.S.-educated protégé of the ex-president who served as Armenia’s defense minister from 2016-2018. He was widely regarded as Serzh Sarkisian’s potential successor before the dramatic regime change in the country. Most observers believe that the HHK is now too unpopular to pose a serious threat to Pashinian. Some of them say that it will struggle to win any seats in the new parliament. Sargsian, who was elected the HHK’s first deputy chairman on Sunday, admitted that Pashinian’s alliance will almost certainly win the December elections. “The upcoming elections will not determine who will be in power,” he said.“That question seems to have already been answered, and I think that the prime minister whom our fellow citizens rallying in the streets designated as the people’s candidate … will continue to perform his duties. He has something to prove … and we are prepared to hold him in check in the future parliament.” Sargsian further declared that the HHK is aiming to finish second in the polls because it is now the sole genuinely opposition force in Armenia. “I think that if Nikol Pashinian is sincere about his intention to build a new Armenia he will vote for the Republican Party when he finds himself alone in the polling booth,” claimed the former defense chief. “Because he should see no other alternatives in terms of his opponents in the future parliament. If he doesn’t do that, it will mean what he wants to have a puppet opposition.” Pashinian accused the HHK and Serzh Sarkisian in particular of corruption, mismanagement and human rights abuses during the protest movement The HHK won the last parliamentary elections held in April 2017, heavily relying on its administrative and financial resources. It was greatly helped by wealthy government-linked individuals accused by opposition forces and media of bribing and bullying voters. It is still not clear how many of them remain allied to the former ruling party. Pashinian claimed last month that the HHK still counts on the backing of “criminal” local elites. Pashinian Allies Dismiss Republicans’ Election Chances • Ruzanna Stepanian Armenia - Supporters wave the ruling Republican Party's election campaign flags at a rally in Yerevan, 14Mar2017. Former President Serzh Sarkisian’s Republican Party (HHK) is unlikely to win any seats in Armenia’s new parliament, political allies of Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian said on Monday. HHK leaders acknowledged over the weekend that Pashinian’s Civil Contract party will almost certainly win the snap general elections slated for December 9. They said their party will be aiming for second place in the unfolding parliamentary race. Two lawmakers representing Civil Contract dismissed those statements, predicting that the HHK will most probably not be represented in the next National Assembly at all. “I insist that both the leader [Serzh Sarkisian] and the top candidate of the Republican Party … do not know the people of Armenia,” one of them, Alen Simonian, told RFE/RL’s Armenian service. “And not knowing the people’s troubles and often times being the cause of those troubles, they can’t be perceived as opposition by me. I regard them as a bunch of revanchists.” “I don’t consider any HHK’s presence in the [new] National Assembly realistic,” said Simonian. “They have already been present there. The people of Armenia have seen what happens when they run their country.” Another Civil Contract lawmaker, Hrachya Hakobian, was even more categorical. “If they had rebranded themselves, if they had gotten rid of the HHK acronym some of their members might deserve to be in the parliament and might actually win parliament seats,” he said. Civil Contract is expected to enter the race in an alliance with mainly non-partisan politicians, civic activists and other public figures supporting Pashinian. While it is widely regarded as the election favorite, no opinion polls indicating the chances of other contenders have been released yet. The HHK, which won the last parliamentary elections held in April 2017, needs to garner at least 5 percent of the vote in order to win any parliament seats. The legal vote threshold for alliances is set at 7 percent. Likely Supplier Of Armenia’s First Fighter Jets ‘Chosen’ • Sargis Harutyunyan Armenia - Defense Minister Davit Tonoyan speaks at a news conference in Yerevan, . The government has selected the type of first-ever fighter jets which it is planning to acquire for Armenia’s armed forces, Defense Minister Davit Tonoyan said on Monday. “I can put it this way: the choice already been made and some financial-technical issues are being sorted out,” he told a news conference. In June, Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian photographed himself in the cockpit of a Russian Sukhoi Su-30SM warplane parked at the Erebuni airbase in Yerevan. Russian media reported afterwards that that Yerevan is now negotiating with Moscow on the purchase of such sophisticated aircraft. Other news reports said last month that Sweden has offered to sell Armenia lighter JAS 39 Gripen jets manufactured by the Swedish aerospace company Saab. Tonoyan did not deny those reports. “There is no decision regarding Gripen at the moment,” he said. “There is another offer on the table from another partner which is being very seriously considered, and a decision will be made very soon regarding acquisitions.” The minister implied that the offer was made by Russia. But he did not go into details. RUSSIA -- An Su-30 fighter jet of the Russian air force launches a missile during maneuvers in southern Russia, September 27, 2018 The Moscow-based daily “Kommersant” claimed in June that a Russian-Armenian deal signed in 2012 called for the delivery of at least 12 Su-30SMs to Armenia but that the Armenian side did not receive them due to “financial difficulties.” The paper said Moscow now hopes to reach an agreement with new Armenian government on implementing that multimillion-dollar deal “as soon as possible.” The Armenian Air Force currently consists of 15 or so low-flying Su-25 jets designed for air-to-ground missions. Su-30SM can perform a broader range of military tasks with more long-range and precision-guided weapons. It is a more advanced version of a heavy fighter jet developed by the Sukhoi company in the late 1980s. The Russian military commissioned the first batch of such aircraft in 2012. Tonoyan first confirmed Yerevan’s plans to acquire “multirole” warplanes in August. The Armenian army, he told military officials, needs them because “no missile system can be a substitute for this capacity in terms of flexibility and resilience.” Tonoyan made the comments more than a week after visiting Moscow and meeting with a top executive of Rosoboronexport, Russia’s state-run arms exporter. Armenian Military Gears Up For Syria Deployment Syria - Syrians walk by a poster in Arabic that reads, "Thank you guardians of the homeland," in Aleppo, January 18, 2018. Armenia is pressing ahead with plans to deploy military doctors and demining experts in Syria, Defense Minister Davit Tonoyan said on Monday. Tonoyan told reporters that the Armenian military and other relevant parties are now completing “memorandum-related procedures” required for such a deployment. “It could be done very quickly,” he said in comments cited by the Armenpress news agency. “It could happen before the end of this year or early next year.” “The group is fully prepared, it can leave [for Syria] immediately after that process is complete,” he added. Yerevan’s plans to launch a “humanitarian mission” in Syria were first announced by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian following his September 8 talks in Moscow with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Tonoyan clarified afterwards that the Armenian contingent will include about 100 medics, sappers and other military personnel tasked with protecting them. According to one of Tonoyan’s deputies, Gabriel Balayan, they will be primarily helping civilians in the war-ravaged city of Aleppo. Balayan told RFE/RL’s Armenian service on September 11 that the deployment will be carried out “at the request of the Syrian government.” John Bolton, U.S. President Donald Trump’s national security adviser, discussed the issue with Pashinian and Tonoyan when he visited Yerevan on October 25. “The prime minister said this was not going to be military assistance, it would be purely humanitarian,” Bolton said after the talks. “I think that’s important. It would be a mistake for anybody else to get involved militarily in the Syrian conflict at the moment.” Russia has been trying to legitimize its strong military presence in Syria, criticized by the West, by getting other countries to also deploy troops there. A top Russian military official said in August 2017 Armenia and Serbia are ready to join a multinational “coalition” which Moscow hoped would help its soldiers clear landmines. The former Armenian government seemed reluctant to commit troops for such a mission. Speaking at the UN General Assembly in September 2017, then President Serzh Sarkisian said Armenian deployment in Syria requires a UN mandate. An estimated 80,000 ethnic Armenians lived in Syria and Aleppo in particular before the outbreak of the bloody civil war there in 2011. Most of them have since fled the country. Thousands of Syrian Armenians have taken refuge in Armenia. Press Review (Saturday, November 10) A Russian political analyst, Alexei Malashenko, assures “168 Zham” that Armenia’s failure to replace Yuri Khachaturov by another Armenian secretary general of the Russian-led Collective Security Treaty (CSTO) will not seriously hurt its relationship with Russia. Malashenko argues that Russian-Armenian military ties remain strong. But, he says, the CSTO issue could be exploited by political opponents of the new Armenian government. “Zhoghovurd” reports that the Armenian Revolutionary Federation (Dashnaktsutyun) is poised to release its list of candidates for the December 9 parliamentary elections. The paper expects to see few new names there, saying that prominent part figures such as Armen Rustamian, Artsvik Minasian and Davit Lokian will also run for the parliament on an individual basis. It notes that unlike in the last elections both Dashnaktsutyun and other major parties are planning to have their leading members run in nationwide constituencies as well. It wonders whether this will help Dashnaktsutyun win seats in the next National Assembly. “Those who resent the new government’s staffing policy and the incompetence of newly appointed officials are certainly right,” editorializes “Hraparak.” “They are right to believe that because of young and inexperienced rulers there has been -- and there will be -- a catastrophic decline in professionalism in our country. And the complaints of those people who say that the former cadres did a better job and were more competent and efficient in their areas are absolutely understandable. But we cannot fail to counter that under the former regime there was corruption, stagnation and a tradition of getting things done through nepotism … and other vicious practices. It is certainly too early to be happy and claim that corruption has been eliminated, that only worthy individuals will be promoted and that we have already gotten out of the swamp … But there is no doubt that the new government has breathed a fresh life, aroused hopes and showed corrupt officials and weeds grown in shadow of their rich daddies their place.” (Tatev Danielian) Reprinted on ANN/Armenian News with permission from RFE/RL Copyright (c) 2018 Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty, Inc. 1201 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington DC 20036. www.rferl.org