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    Categories: 2022

Turkey in tandem with Azerbaijan could take advantage of Ukraine crisis to occupy Armenia`s Syunik – Ashot Melkonyan

ARM INFO
Feb 17 2022
David Stepanyan

ArmInfo.Turkey in tandem with Azerbaijan could take advantage of the crisis over Ukraine with a view of military occupation of Armenia's Syunik region, Ashot  Melkonyan, Director of the Institute of History, RA Academy of  Sciences, told ArmInfo. 

"Nothing can be ruled out amid the geopolitical tension between the  West and Russia. And Turkey is not at all on Russia's side in this  game. I think that should the current tension develop into a  full-scale war, the tandem, primarily Turkey, is sure to take its  chance to finish what it started a hundred years ago. First of all,  in view of the fact that a war in Ukraine will greatly weaken Russia,  and it will not be capable of resisting Turkish military invasion of  Syunik. As a result, Iran will be isolated, which will complicate  Armenia's situation," he said. 

The Armenian scholar hopes that Ankara and Baku will prove rather  sensible and refrain from an overt incursion into Armenia and  infringement on its sovereignty and territorial integrity, primarily  in the context of prospective condemnation by the international  community. Moreover, military incursion into Armenia's territory will  leave the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) with no  alternative but to respond.  Otherwise, the CSTO will cease to exist  even formally. 

With respect to the current problems between Armenia and Azerbaijan,  Mr Melkonyan notes that full- fledged border delimitation and  demarcation will curb the Aliyev-led regime's appetite. Referring to  the Azerbaijani president's statements, he notes that even signing of  a peaceful treaty with Armenia will not force Azerbaijan to give up  its "programmes to defend its vitally important interests." 

"We realize that the 'programmes' imply Aliyev's claims to Syunik. In  other words, Aliyev has reached the limits of his impudence by  stating that even after signing a peace treaty with Armenia he and  his 'elder brother' Erdogan will not give up their plans to invade  Syunik. Thus they are obviously showing us that a peace treaty  between Armenia and Azerbaijan does not at all mean peace along the  Armenian-Turkish border. So we have to draw the following  conclusions: the better we are prepared for another war the remoter  will be its prospect for us," Mr Melkonyan said. 

Maral Takmazian: