ArmInfo.New military conflicts in the South Caucasus are not excluded at all. Today it seems that we can speak about it quite definitely. Russian political scientist, expert on the Caucasus Andrei Areshev, expressed such an opinion to ArmInfo.
"In the context of the current tension in Ukraine and around Ukraine, one can clearly see the desire of Baku to use the situation for its own purposes. It is clear that the latter consists in obtaining the maximum possible concessions from Yerevan. The desire of the Armenian leadership to resolve the situation and curb Azerbaijani appetites through the West is also obvious. I'm afraid that the hopes for Western help will not come true and in return the Armenian society will only receive another assurance of friendliness," he said.
In any case, Areshev sees Armenia's desire to diversify its foreign policy. Which, in his opinion, in the current geopolitical realities can lead to strengthening relations with Turkey rather than with the West. The political scientist believes that Armenia has recently been quite actively moving in the Turkish direction.
According to the political scientist, gainst this background, Moscow is pursuing a fairly balanced policy between Yerevan and Baku, an example of which was the recent signing of the allied declaration of the Russian Federation-Azerbaijan. Taking into account Armenia's participation in joint integration projects with Russia and high-level bilateral relations, this document, in his opinion, will not have a negative impact on Russian-Armenian relations.
"It is important to understand that against the backdrop of a constantly changing geopolitical situation, both Armenia and Azerbaijan are important regional partners for the Russian Federation in terms of ensuring regional security. I think that Moscow will continue to work towards achieving peace and stability in the region. The main indicator of which may be an agreement to continue the mission of Russian peacekeepers in Artsakh," he stressed.
According to Areshev, the latter, among other things, also requires the successful development of a dialogue between the Russian Federation and Azerbaijan and the Russian Federation and Armenia, including in the direction of development of economic and communication cooperation. According to his forecasts, accordingly, the more predictability and openness of Moscow-Baku relations, will lead to stabilization of the situation around Artsakh, under the control of the peacekeepers of the Russian Federation.