ArmInfo.The 44-day-war in the South Caucasus disturbed the politico-military and geopolitical balance. And a new politico-military balance that would ensure long-  lasting peace in the region will take a considerable amount of time  to form, Ambassador Arman Melikyan said in an interview with ArmInfo. 

"The present geopolitical situation does not allow either the  Armenian or the Azerbaijani leaders to ignore the geopolitical  situation in our region and in the neighboring ones even during the  next six months. Under the circumstances, any document Yerevan and  Baku would sign here and now will not secure the signatories against  possible – and even expected – geopolitical shocks in and round our  region," Mr Melikyan said.  

Amid the ongoing geopolitical transformations, signing any interstate  document supposed to "legally cement" the Armenian-Azerbaijani  relations in terms of their level and content is pointless. On the  other hand, the negotiations amid the region's geopolitical  reconfiguration are, beyond doubt, a deterrent to possible use of  force.   

Even if Armenia and Azerbaijan sign a peace treaty in the foreseeable  future, such a treaty should not be expected to contain special  points on Artsakh. And given the fact that Azerbaijan's legislation  does not contain a point on a territorial unit named  Nagorno-Karabakh, Baku can at best guarantee the rights of the  Artsakh Armenians.  

"My greatest concern is that Armenia's incumbent authorities are  lacking experience and knowledge necessary to manage such complicated  processes. In this context, I think that the prospects of Russian  military presence in Artsakh will depend on the presence of the  Armenian population that needs protection rather than on an  Armenian-Azerbaijani peace agreement," Mr Melikyan said.