Forecast: Very soon Moscow will try to return its dominant role in the big game of the South Caucasus.

ARMINFO
Armenia –
David Stepanyan

ArmInfo.Very soon, Moscow will try to return its dominant role in the big game in the South Caucasus. Political strategist Vigen Hakobyan expressed a similar opinion to  ArmInfo.

"I don't think that the Russia will try to fit itself and its own  interests into a negotiating format supervised by others, in  particular, in Brussels. I expect that there will be some turns that  will allow Moscow to return to the great game of the Caucasus," he  said.

According to the political strategist, at this stage, Moscow is  trying to stay in the processes supervised by the West, with the  participation of Armenia and Azerbaijan, perfectly understanding and  seeing the attempts of Yerevan and Baku to finally fit into the  Brussels format. Hakobyan explains the current passivity of the  Russia by the Turkish factor. In his opinion, in this way Moscow is  trying to avoid the prospect of confrontation now with Ankara.

The political strategist explains the current activity of the EU and  the US in the Caucasian direction by the desire to form a new front  for Russia, now in the South Caucasus, using for this purpose the  Armenian- Azerbaijani contradictions in general and the issue of  Artsakh in particular. That is why, first of all, they are trying to  deprive Russia of the moderation of the negotiation process

"In reality, either Russia or Turkey can be the moderator of the  region. Accordingly, the West is actually, rather hastily, trying to  lead processes in the Turkish direction. This is due to their  awareness of the prospect of lowering their capabilities in the  Caucasus after the stabilization of the situation in Ukraine," he  summed up.