Tuesday, Karabakh Official Objects To EU Mediation • Narine Ghalechian Belgium - European Council President Charles Michel, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev meet in Brussels, May 22, 2022. The European Union is unfit to be the lead player in brokering a settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, a senior official in Stepanakert said on Tuesday. “For us, the European Council (the EU’s top decision-making body) is not the format where issues of the resolution of the Karabakh conflict should be discussed because it is the OSCE Minsk Group which has an international mandate to do that and which we believe must be the main format,” said Artak Beglarian, the Karabakh state minister. “There is also the trilateral format of Armenia, Russia and Azerbaijan which has demonstrated its effectiveness in practice.” “I don’t think that the European Council has the potential and interests to play a very serious role in a final and comprehensive settlement of the conflict,” Beglarian told RFE/RL’s Armenian Service. The EU should focus on other issues such as protection of the Karabakh Armenians’ “humanitarian rights” and preservation of their cultural legacy, he said. The head of the European Council, Charles Michel, has hosted three trilateral meetings with the leaders of Armenia and Azerbaijan in the last five months. After the most recent meeting held on May 22, Michel said that Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev agreed to “advance discussions” on a comprehensive peace treaty between their countries. He said he told them that it is “necessary that the rights and security of the ethnic Armenian population in Karabakh be addressed.” Karabakh’s leadership denounced the latter remark, saying that the top EU official undermined the Karabakh Armenians’ right to self-determination by portraying them as an ethnic minority not eligible for independent statehood. Beglarian likewise suggested that Michel signaled support for Azerbaijani control over the disputed territory. Nagorno Karabakh Sate Minister Artak Beglarian, July 1, 2021 The previous Armenian-Azerbaijani summit held in Brussels on April 6 also raised concerns in Stepanakert. Pashinian said on April 13 that the international community is pressing Armenia to “lower the bar” on Karabakh’s status and recognize Azerbaijan’s territorial integrity. He signaled Yerevan’s intention to make such concessions, prompting strong criticism from Karabakh leaders. Russia has criticized the EU’s mediation efforts, saying that they are part of the West’s attempts to hijack Armenian-Azerbaijani peace talks and use the Karabakh conflict in its standoff with Moscow over Ukraine. The Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman, Maria Zakharova, accused the EU last week of trying to “wedge” into the implementation of Armenian-Azerbaijani agreements brokered by Moscow. “We hope that Brussels will help implement them, and not try to play geopolitical games,” she said. Russia has co-headed the Minsk Group together with the United States and France for nearly three decades. Russian officials say Washington and Paris stopped cooperating with Moscow in that format after the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Pashinian Sees Strong Growth Despite Ukraine War Fallout • Sargis Harutyunyan Armenia - Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian speaks in the parliament, . Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian said on Tuesday that the Armenian economy should expand by 7 percent this year contrary to far more modest growth forecasts made by Western lending institutions following the outbreak of the war in Ukraine. The International Monetary Fund insisted as recently as on April 29 that economic growth in Armenia will slow down to about 1.5 percent due to the fallout from the bloody conflict. The Armenian Central Bank forecast a virtually identical growth rate in mid-March, three weeks after the start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The World Bank predicted an even sharper slowdown in a report released on April 11. The bank pointed to the South Caucasus country’s close economic ties with Russia, its number one trading partner hit by sweeping Western sanctions. Pashinian said, however, that he expects the domestic economy to perform much better in 2022. He cited key macroeconomic data recorded by his government in the first four months of the year. According to the government’s Statistical Committee, GDP growth accelerated to 8.6 percent in the first quarter and continued unabated in April on the back of sharps gains in the services and construction sectors. By contrast, Armenian industrial output shrunk by about 7 percent year on year in March and rebounded only marginally in April. Addressing pro-government lawmakers in Yerevan, Pashinian indicated that he hopes to keep up the growth in the months ahead with capital projects financed from the state budget. “My instruction and mood is that we must concentrate on the execution of our budget, especially capital spending, so that we manage to meet our target of 7 percent economic growth,” he said. Tadevos Avetisian, an opposition lawmaker and economist, dismissed Pashinian’s projection, saying that spillover effects of the war in Ukraine have not yet reached Armenia. Avetisian downplayed the significance of official macroeconomic statistics for January-April 2022. He argued that the Armenian economy contracted in the first quarter of 2021. Parliament Majority To Block Opposition Resolution On Karabakh • Artak Khulian • Naira Nalbandian Armenia - Riot police guard a government building during an opposition demonstration in Yerevan, . Parliament speaker Alen Simonian reaffirmed on Tuesday the ruling Civil Contract party’s plans to block an opposition resolution rejecting any peace accord that would restore Azerbaijan’s control over Nagorno-Karabakh. Armenia’s leading opposition forces drafted the parliamentary resolution last week as they continued daily demonstrations in Yerevan demanding Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian’s resignation. They will try to push it through the National Assembly at an emergency session scheduled for Friday. Simonian confirmed that the parliament’s pro-government majority will thwart the session by boycotting it. Like other Pashinian allies, Simonian accused the opposition Hayastan and Pativ Unem blocs of exploiting the Karabakh conflict for political purposes. He also said that the draft resolution is aimed at reinvigorating what he described as a failed opposition campaign for Pashinian’s resignation. “That [opposition] initiative is yet another attempt to find some way out of the situation,” Simonian told journalists. Armenia - Parliament speaker Alen Simonian speaks to journalists, . The speaker, who is a senior member of Civil Contract, insisted that Pashinian’s government will not cut any peace deals with Azerbaijan that will “not take into account the opinion of Artsakh and Armenia’s citizens.” But he stopped short of ruling out Yerevan’s recognition of Azerbaijani sovereignty over Karabakh. “They are afraid of doing that because they have given [Azerbaijani President Ilham] Aliyev promises,” said Ishkhan Saghatelian, an opposition leader and parliament vice-speaker. “They are afraid because one and a half years after the war [in Karabakh] they have increased only the number of police and interior troops, while the army has been downsized.” The opposition accused Pashinian of planning to place Karabakh back under Azerbaijani rule when it launched the street protests in Yerevan on May 1. The parliamentary resolution proposed by it not only rejects such an option but also says Pashinian’s government cannot make any territorial concessions to Azerbaijan as a result of a planned demarcation of the Armenian-Azerbaijani border. It further says that the demarcation process must start only after Baku frees all Armenian prisoners and withdraws Azerbaijani troops from Armenian border areas occupied last year. Armenia - An opposition supporter waves a Karabakh flag outside a goverment building guarded by riot police, . The protests continued on Tuesday, with hundreds of people led by Saghatelian and other opposition lawmakers marching to a government building that houses three Armenian ministries. The lawmakers tried unsuccessfully to meet with the ministers of foreign affairs, education and justice and hear their opinion about Karabakh’s status. They did not attempt to force their way into the building heavily guarded by riot police. The oppositionists’ attempt to break through a similar police cordon on Monday triggered clashes between their supporters and security forces outside the common building of four other government ministries. More than a hundred protesters were detained as a result. Nine of them remained under arrest on Tuesday. Law-enforcement authorities said they could be prosecuted for participating in “mass disturbances.” Saghatelian claimed that the authorities are “fabricating” such criminal cases in a bid to suppress the opposition movement. “In this way they are trying to isolate participants of the movement and intimidate other citizens,” he said. Reprinted on ANN/Armenian News with permission from RFE/RL Copyright (c) 2022 Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty, Inc. 1201 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington DC 20036.