ArmInfo. The war in Ukraine will eventually lead to a redistribution of the zones of influence of global centers of power. It is also possible to forecast significant transformations in the weight of these geopolitical actors. Professor of Political Science at YSU Faculty of International Relations Garik Keryan expressed a similar opinion to ArmInfo.
The professor, in particular, forecasts the expansion of the zones of influence of the conditional pole of the United States and Great Britain due to the reduction of influence of the European Union, moreover, the dependence of the latter on them. Keryan explained his forecast about the likelihood of Brussels losing its own weight and influence in world politics by the huge financial losses of the EU as a result of the sanctions applied against the Russian Federation. Which, in his opinion, directly leads the EU to an energy crisis.
"Against the background of the prospects for a significant reduction in the production of any energy- intensive products in the EU, the current hegemony of Germany and France on the continent is being questioned and begins to fluctuate. At the same time, strengthening the possibilities for expansion into the European market of the United States and Canada. Not to mention the strengthening of the competitive positions of China, Japan, India, Brazil and Turkey. This, in turn, is explained either by their refusal to join the anti-Russian sanctions, or by their too little participation in this process," he emphasized.
Keryan largely links Russia's prospects to the final results of the Ukrainian war and China's policy, which is still maneuvering between the US and the Russian Federation, which the professor explains as huge costs for Beijing in the event of an aggravation of relations with the USA and the problem of Taiwan. "One way or another, today it seems possible to forecast gradual new transformations in the US hegemony that replaced the bipolar world as a result of the end of the Cold War. And the losses that the EU bears from all this processes make the UK's timely withdrawal from the European Union quite understandable," summed up Keryan.