Energoatom has made a forecast of the consequences of a potential accident at the Zaporizhzhia NPP, it was published by the State Inspectorate for Nuclear Regulation.

The forecast was made for 26 to 28 August and 29 to 31 August according to the conditional scenario “complete loss of power supply with the destruction of the containment” at power unit No. 6 of ZNPP.

In the event of an accident from August 26 to 28, the southwest, south, southeast, east, and north of Ukraine, as well as southwest Russia, will suffer from radiation contamination.

forecast of the spread of CONDITIONAL emission for the time period 08/26/2022 16:00 – 08/28/2022 16:00

If an accident at the ZNPP occurs from 29 to 31 August, it will affect the territories of Turkey, southern Russia, Georgia, Armenia, and southern Ukraine.

forecast of the spread of CONDITIONAL emission for the time period 08/29/2022 12:00 – 08/31/2022 12:00

To make a forecast, the experts used the European RHODOS system, the atmospheric dispersion model – DIPC Not Set, and the parameters of the emission source corresponding to the total emission on the INES scale – 7.

Predictive assessments for NPP sites, including Zaporizhzhya NPP, are performed daily, they are necessary for timely provision of recommendations to the authorities on radiation protection measures for the population of Ukraine, as well as informing neighboring countries in case of risk of transboundary transfer.

This work is being carried out by SE “NAEK Energoatom” in accordance with Article 32 of the Law of Ukraine “On the Use of Nuclear Energy and Radiation Safety”.