As Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi completes his official visit to the United States, and following the historic meeting of National Security Advisers from the United States, Japan, and the Philippines in Manila, the United States continues to develop its network of flexible partnerships, institutions, alliances, and groups of countries around the world, to balance with China.
US analyst Nicholas Gvosdev, professor of national security studies at the US Naval War College and director of the National Security Program at the Foreign Policy Research Institute, believes that the challenge facing the US political establishment is how to prevent these partnerships from deviating from their path.
So the fact that a coalition of states might find very close consensus on a particular issue (or set of issues) and is looking for ways to facilitate joint action does not mean that there is a complete alignment of interests or agreement on all issues.
Gvosdev said, in a report published by the American National Interest magazine, that today, when the rise of China and greater coordination between the countries of the Global South provide greater hedging opportunities, other countries have options, while the United States has little influence.
The network’s approach to international affairs means that the mix of obligations and obligations to other partners will vary on a case-by-case basis.
For example, Josh Rogin, a columnist for the American Washington Post, says that the security consultations between Japan, the Republic of the Philippines and the United States may herald the emergence of the “Garopus Triple Alliance” (Garopos is the initials of the names of Japan, the Philippines and the United States), which is It is firmly rooted in a common threat assessment emanating from China’s efforts to extend its maritime sphere of influence.
This does not automatically mean that Garopus will act along the lines of the Australia-U.S.-UK Partnership (Ocos), even though Ocos is also there to respond to China’s improvement of its naval capabilities in the Indo-Pacific basin.
The Ocos alliance, for example, involves a level of defense technological and industrial integration, and this is not a step that Japan or the Philippines, the two partners in the “Garropos Triple Alliance”, are willing to take.
These two alliances, Garopus and Ocos, do not assume the emergence of a joint security alliance with India through the Quad Alliance (which includes Japan, Australia, India and the United States).
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