Baku Can Get South Azerbaijan As Compensation For Nagorno Karabakh?

BAKU CAN GET SOUTH AZERBAIJAN AS COMPENSATION FOR NAGORNO KARABAKH?

PanARMENIAN.Net
25.07.2007 15:55 GMT+04:00

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ "It’s demonstrative that some of the U.S. observers
arrived to watch the presidential elections in Karabakh from Kosovo and
returned there afterwards. The observation mission included members
of the Group of International Law and Policy and the U.S. University
of Kosovo Foundation. It turns out that the same people are dealing
with the Kosovo and Karabakh issues. Does it mean that Washington
may apply the same approach to Kosovo and NKR?" Russian political
scientist Alexander Krylov writes in an article titled "Will the
United States exchange Karabakh for South Azerbaijan?" and published
on Novaya Politika website.

Given the striving of the current U.S. administration for reshaping
borders, such supposition doesn’t seem absurd. The difference is that
Serbia, in case it surrenders, will receive nothing but unsubstantiated
promises about EU membership. Azerbaijan, however, can receive a
territorial compensation in the form of South Azerbaijan. Thus,
a decision can be found at the expense of Iran, whose partition is
openly discussed by the western media and American expert community.

Evidently, resolution of the Karabakh problem by Kosovo model may seem
attractive for the U.S. administration. It will allow accomplishing
the main task in the Caucasus: to secure simultaneous accession of
the Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia to NATO, what will push Russia
out of the South Caucasus and will offer the opportunity to put into
operation the scenario of Iran’s split into ethnic elements. In this
context, the information about U.S. readiness to deliver a blow on
Iran furnished by "reliable sources" is very demonstrative.

"May such a variant be admissible for Armenia and may it receive
benefits that will force the republic to refuse from strategic
partnership with Russia? I think, yes. But in this case the Karabakh
settlement will be all-embracing, including recognition of the Armenian
Genocide by Turkey, without which normalization of the Armenian-Turkish
relations is hardly possible.

Will Turkey accept such a scenario? Yes, it can prefer a "mild variant"
of Genocide acknowledgement in order to avoid paying material and
territorial compensations. The Armenian nation, for its part, may
receive Karabakh as a compensation for the 1915 Genocide. For this
purpose, the U.S. will have to persuade Baku to refuse from Nagorno
Karabakh in exchange for South Azerbaijan. Although, experience of the
Middle East shows that U.S. daring experiments on world rearrangement
create problems rather than solve them," Alexander Krylov writes.