Nagorno-Karabakh: a conflict with global implications

ASIA TIMES
Oct 8 2023

It increasingly seems frozen conflicts will increasingly become hot wars once again

Azerbaijan’s swift military operation has probably concluded the prolonged Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, but brought with it rising concerns of a potential new inter-state conflict involving Armenia, Azerbaijan and possibly Turkey, Iran and Russia. While the regional implications have been made clear, the wider geopolitical implications must not be ignored.

The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict has thrust the perennial debate of territorial sovereignty against self-determination into the global spotlight. Nagorno-Karabakh has always been internationally recognized as part of Azerbaijan. However, the military means employed to reclaim it starkly contrasts with the diplomatic and multilateral approaches traditionally advocated for resolving territorial disputes.

In particular, the international community’s acquiescence to Azerbaijan’s capture of the territory raises questions about what its attitude is likely to be in situations where the same tensions between territorial integrity and self-determination rise. 

Today, few countries recognize Taiwan as China’s legitimate representative, with most recognizing the People’s Republic of China. Beijing considers Taiwan a renegade province, with President Xi Jinping instructing his armed forces to be ready by 2027 to annex the self-governing island.

The US has maintained strategic ambiguity on whether it would intervene militarily if such an eventuality were to come to pass. President Joe Biden’s statements on the issue, which have seemed to suggest that the US would intervene, have almost always been dialed back by his staffers.

Nagorno-Karabakh enclave emptied after entire ethnic Armenian population flees

ABC News
Oct 2 2023

More than 100,000 Armenians have fled in what's being called "ethnic cleansing."

ByPatrick Reevell

LONDON – Virtually the entire ethnic Armenian population of the disputed enclave of Nagorno-Karabakh has fled, with the last buses carrying refugees having left on Monday, according to Russia's peacekeeping force deployed there.

More than 100,000 ethnic Armenians left the enclave in the last week, according to local officials, abandoning their homes after Azerbaijan, backed by Turkey, recaptured the region with a military offensive just over a week ago.

The exodus has emptied the enclave in what Armenia has condemned as "ethnic cleansing."

A television news crew from Al Jazeera showed the region's capital, known to Armenians as Stepanakert, completely deserted. The city, which had a population estimated at more than 50,000, appeared now to be a ghost town. The Al Jazeera crew showed the city's central square abandoned and strewn with empty chairs, used by people waiting for evacuation.

Before Azerbaijan's offensive, the enclave's population was estimated at 120,000. But a spokesperson for the Karabakh Armenians' unrecognized state's emergency services ministry on Sunday said only a tiny handful of people now remained in the enclave.

Azerbaijan's authoritarian president, Ilham Aliyev, announced plans for Nagorno-Karabakh's reintegration into his country, signaling he intended to quickly restore strong control over it.

The region will now be overseen by special representative offices to Azerbaijan's president and security will be handled by Azerbaijan's interior ministry, Aliyev said. Azerbaijan's currency, the manat, would be reintroduced.

Aliyev said the equality of rights and freedoms, including security, would be guaranteed for all residents of Nagorno-Karabakh, and it would be permitted to use Armenian there. He also pledged that religious freedoms would be guaranteed, and cultural and religious monuments protected.

The pledges appeared to ignore the fact that the enclave's Armenian population had already fled. The Armenians fleeing have said they don't believe Azerbaijan's guarantees of their rights and fear they would face persecution.

A United Nations mission also arrived in Nagorno-Karabakh Sunday to assess humanitarian needs, but it faced heavy criticism from local ethnic Armenian authorities who said they were far too late, given the civilian population was no longer there.

Nagorno-Karabakh has been at the center of a bloody conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan for decades. Internationally recognized as part of Azerbaijan, it had been home to an ethnic Armenian population for centuries. As the Soviet Union collapsed in the late 1980s into the early 1990s, Nagorno-Karabakh's Armenians tried to break away from Azerbaijan, declaring independence.

A bloody war, in which Armenia aided the separatists, saw hundreds of thousands of Azerbaijani civilians also driven out of the region and ended with ethnic Armenians controlling most of Nagorno-Karabakh with their own unrecognized state.

But Azerbaijan reopened the conflict in 2020, starting a full-scale war that decisively defeated Armenia and ended with a truce deal brokered by Russia, which deployed peacekeepers to enforce it.

Two weeks ago, after blockading the enclave for nine months, Azerbaijan launched a new offensive, swiftly defeating the ethnic Armenian authorities in two days. The enclave's population started fleeing shortly afterward to Armenia.

There has been little international response to the crisis. Western countries, including the U.S. and France, have expressed concern and called for Azerbaijan to protect the rights of the Armenians. The Biden administration announced $11.5 million in humanitarian aid and dispatched the high-profile head of the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID), Samantha Power, to the region last week.

Richard Giragosian, the director of the Regional Studies Center based in Yerevan, Armenia's capital, said the international response was "too little too late" and had set a "dangerous precedent."

"[This was] a seeming vindication of the use of force over diplomacy," Giragosian told ABC News by phone. "A military victory of authoritarian power over a struggling democracy."

But he said it had also shown the West has little influence over Azerbaijan. "What we see is Azerbaijan simply does not care about Western threats, pronouncements, and at the same time, the West has little leverage over Azerbaijan," Giragosian said.

Armenia's defense ministry on Monday also accused Azerbaijani forces of opening fire on a car carrying food to an Armenian border post near the village of Kut.

Azerbaijani forces are likely to move into Nagorno-Karabakh's now-empty capital, which it calls Khankhendi, in the next few days.

Russia's peacekeeping contingent said a joint Russian-Azerbaijani patrol came under sniper fire inside Nagorno-Karabakh on Monday, but that there were no casualties.

A meeting of representatives from Azerbaijan and the Karabakh Armenian leadership will take place for the first time in the capital in the "near future," the news agency of the enclave's unrecognized Armenian state reported Monday.

UN teams support burn victims amidst Karabakh crisis

UN News
Oct 1 2023

UN World Health Organization (WHO) teams in Goris, Armenia, are tirelessly working to assist not only the vast numbers of refugees fleeing the Karabakh region but also to provide urgent medical support to individuals grappling with severe burn injuries resulting from a massive fuel depot explosion that occurred last week amidst the exodus.

More than 170 people were killed and over 200 more injured, many with grievous burns and in a critical condition, in an explosion at a crowded fuel depot along the route taken by those entering Armenia last Monday.

WHO Special Envoy Robb Butler, who visited a burns treatment centre in the Armenian capital, Yerevan, described the suffering as “heart-breaking”.

“Every single bed in this 80-bed hospital is occupied with a survivor from the explosion in Karabakh. Health workers here are working hard to treat and rehabilitate them, but this is a small country with limited capacity, and the needs are immense.”

The UN health agency, for its part, is bringing in burns kits as well as mobilizing international support to deploy burns specialist to support the needs there. It is also gauging how it can best support rehabilitation for the survivors in the medium and longer term.

Alongside support to the victims of the fire, WHO is providing refugees with vital health services, including mental health and psychosocial support.

It is setting up modular prefabricated clinics, and is supporting the Armenian Government integrate health workers, including about 300 doctors and 1,200 nurses – who arrived as of Saturday from the Karabakh region – into primary healthcare centres and hospitals in Armenia. It is also sending medicines for non-communicable diseases, which will cover three months of treatments for up to 50,000 persons.

According to latest estimates, about 100,000 people have crossed into Armenia. Working with the authorities and partners, UN teams on the ground are supporting the arrivals.

The UN Children’s Fund (UNICEF) has established a children’s’ safe space in Goris, serving nearly 300 children every day along with their parents. It offers a space for children to play, a breastfeeding space for mothers, and paediatric support to help with acute concerns.

The World Food Programme (WFP), UN’s emergency food relief agency is providing people with hot meals, food parcels and food cards, while the UN refugee agency (UNHCR) is supporting the Government with technical equipment, including laptops and tablets, to facilitate registration.

It also provided essential relief items such as foldable beds and mattresses for refugees.

https://news.un.org/en/story/2023/10/1141732

EU Mission in Armenia adds 11 vehicles to its fleet to strengthen patrolling activity

 17:43,

YEREVAN, SEPTEMBER 30, ARMENPRESS. The EU Mission in Armenia (EUMA) has added 11 new vehicles to its fleet to strengthen its patrolling activity at the Armenian-Azerbaijani border areas.

“Today, 11 new vehicles arrived to Yeghegnadzor to join the EUMA fleet,” EUMA said on X.

“The vehicles will be distributed to our operating bases to strengthen the Mission’s patrolling activity at the Armenia-Azerbaijan border areas,” it added.

Fire breaks out after Russian fuel truck crashes on Shushi-Lachin road – Azerbaijani media

 13:00,

YEREVAN, SEPTEMBER 28, ARMENPRESS. A fuel truck of the Russian peacekeeping contingent in Nagorno-Karabakh has crashed on the Shushi-Lachin road, according to the Azerbaijani APA news agency.

The 8-ton fuel truck overturned and caused a fire.

Two vehicles, a Hummer and Mercedes, belonging to Armenians, caught fire as a result.

No casualties were reported.

U.S. cannot turn a blind eye to ethnic cleansing – Congressman Sherman calls for sanctions against Azerbaijan

 15:35,

YEREVAN, SEPTEMBER 28, ARMENPRESS. United States Congressman Brad Sherman has called on the Biden Administration to sanction Azerbaijan amid its ongoing ethnic cleansing of Nagorno-Karabakh.

“The ethnic cleansing of Artsakh [Nagorno-Karabakh] is unfolding before our eyes as Armenians flee their home of +2000 years. Azerbaijan’s arrest of Artsakh’s leaders sends a message to Armenian residents – you're next. Ruben Vardanyan & all who have been unjustly arrested must be released.

“The Biden Admin. must publicly tell Azerbaijan: end this now or face sanctions. Last week Rep. Chris Smith & I introduced H.R.5686 to sanction Azerbaijan for its war crimes in Artsakh. This is the 21st century – the U.S. cannot turn a blind eye to ethnic cleansing,” Sherman said on X.

US Congressional delegation led by Senator Gary Peters arrives in Armenia

 11:24,

YEREVAN, SEPTEMBER 23, ARMENPRESS. A United States Congressional delegation led by Senator Gary Peters (Democrat, State of Michigan) has arrived in Armenia, the US Embassy announced in a press release.

During the September 22-25 visit, Senator Peters will have meetings with Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, Speaker of Parliament Alen Simonyan, Deputy Foreign Minister Paruyr Hovhannisyan and others, to discuss the Armenian-American relations and the impact of Azerbaijan’s latest military operations on the Armenian population of Nagorno-Karabakh.

Senator Peters will also visit the Armenian Genocide memorial in Yerevan to lay a wreath. He will also travel to Syunik Province to meet with local officials and discuss security and humanitarian challenges.

Azerbaijan deploys UAVs, mortars in unprovoked strikes targeting Armenian border outposts

 13:22, 1 September 2023

YEREVAN, SEPTEMBER 1, ARMENPRESS. The Azerbaijani military has deployed UAVs and mortars in targeting Armenian border outposts near Sotk, the Armenian Ministry of Defense said in a statement.

“At around 12:50 p.m., the units of the Azerbaijani Armed Forces used UAVs and mortars in the direction of Sotk. The Ministry of Defence will make an additional report,” the Defense Ministry said in a statement.

Nagorno-Karabakh residents block Azerbaijani humanitarian aid delivery

Aug 31 2023
By bne IntelliNews 

The standoff in the disputed Caucasus region of Nagorno-Karabakh has intensified after its ethnic Armenian residents established a tent camp along a key road leading to the Azerbaijani town of Aghdam, mirroring the Azerbaijani blockade of the Lachin corridor to Armenia.

 

The move comes in response to the attemped delivery of humanitarian aid by Azerbaijan via the Aghdam route, which the locals argue is a ploy to legitimise Baku's ongoing blockade of the Lachin corridor, the only route from Nagorno-Karabakh to Armenia. Azerbaijan has imposed a blockade of the Lachin corridor since December – first with self proclaimed environmental activists – in what is widely seen as an attempt to force residents to accept rule from Baku or even flee to Armenia.

 

Azerbaijan had offered to deliver humanitarian aid via the Aghdam route in response to Nagorno-Karabakh's international campaign to publicise the hardship caused by Baku's blockade of the Lachin corridor. 

 

This week, demonstrators set up a makeshift camp near a Russian military checkpoint, effectively obstructing access to the Aghdam route. The camp remained occupied throughout the night following the arrival of two trucks carrying 40 tonnes of flour provided by the Azerbaijan Red Cross in Aghdam.

 

"We don't want to receive anything from our adversary," declared Hamlet Apresian, the mayor of Askeran, a neighbouring town to Aghdam, who joined the protesters at the roadblock, reports RFE/RL Armenia service. 

 

Karabakh's leadership in Stepanakert has steadfastly supported the blockade resistance, arguing that Azerbaijan's proposed aid distribution diverts global attention from the blockade itself. By offering help, Azerbaijan  – the cause of Nagorno-Karabakh's hardships – also forces Stepanakert to acknowledge it is de jure part of Azerbaijan, although it has been de facto independent since the war between Armenia and Azerbaijan in the early 1990s after the break-up of the Soviet Union.

 

Stepanakert also emphasises the significance of Baku adhering to the Russian-brokered 2020 ceasefire agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan after Baku was victorious in the Second Nagorno-Karabakh War. This agreement stipulates unhindered commercial and humanitarian transit through the Lachin corridor. 

 

Davit Ishkhanyan, the speaker of the Karabakh parliament, affirmed the decision to maintain the road closure during a press briefing in Stepanakert. He later visited the protest camp to show his solidarity with the demonstrators.

 

The tension between the conflicting sides escalated in mid-June after Baku initiated a stricter blockade of the Lachin corridor. Consequently, Russian peacekeepers and the International Committee of the Red Cross found it increasingly challenging to deliver vital supplies, including food and medicine, to the inhabitants of Karabakh.

 

A senior aide to Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev conveyed to the BBC that the resumption of humanitarian traffic through Karabakh's blocked link with Armenia hinges on reopening the Aghdam road. This stipulation was reportedly reiterated during a recent phone conversation between Aliyev and French President Emmanuel Macron, whose administration has been increasingly critical of the Azerbaijani blockade.

 

The European Union, the United States, and Russia have echoed calls for the immediate lifting of the blockade. However, Azerbaijani authorities have brushed aside these appeals.


https://www.bne.eu/nagorno-karabakh-residents-block-azerbaijani-humanitarian-aid-delivery-290647/?source=armenia

Armenpress: Azerbaijan drops criminal prosecution but imposes 10-day jail term for kidnapped Nagorno-Karabakh residents

 22:03,

YEREVAN, AUGUST 28, ARMENPRESS. The Azerbaijani authorities have announced that the three residents of Nagorno-Karabakh kidnapped in Lachin Corridor will face a 10-day jail term.

In a statement, the Prosecutor General's Office of Azerbaijan said the three men will not face criminal prosecution and instead imposed “administrative punishment in the form of a 10-day detention”, after which they will be “deported from Azerbaijani territory.”

On August 28, Azerbaijani border guards in the illegally installed checkpoint in Lachin Corridor kidnapped residents of Nagorno-Karabakh Alen Sargsyan, Vahe Hovsepyan and Levon Grigoryan. All three are students who were traveling to Armenia to continue their studies. The transport was agreed upon in advance and was being carried out with Russian peacekeeping escort.

The Foreign Ministry of Armenia called out the Azerbaijani authorities after the kidnapping and warned that Baku seeks to perpetrate collective punishment against the entire population in Nagorno-Karabakh.