Russian FM Lavrov in Baku: Normalization of Azerbaijani-Armenian relations is in Russia’s best interest

JAM News
    JAMnews, Baku

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has paid a visit to Baku and held a meeting with Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev and Foreign Minister Jeyhun Bayramov. During the meeting with President Aliyev, Lavrov stressed that “military aspects of the settlement of the Karabakh conflict are resolved”.


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Prior to his arrival in Baku on May 5-6, Sergey Lavrov visited Yerevan, where he met with the acting Prime Minister of Armenia Nikol Pashinyan and Minister of Foreign Affairs Ara Ayvazyan.

The main result of the visit of the Russian Foreign Minister was the signing of a memorandum on biological safety. Lavrov spoke about the need to sign it back in November 2019.

During his speech at a meeting with Lavrov, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev noted that his country is showing goodwill in matters related to humanitarian issues.

“I must say that after the end of hostilities, we transferred all the prisoners of war whom we captured during the active phase of the conflict, and, after the end of hostilities, we handed over the bodies of 1,600 Armenian servicemen that we found over the last six months together with the peacekeepers and representatives of Armenia in the territories liberated from the occupation.

For comparison, I will say that after the first Karabakh war and throughout the years of occupation, not a single body of a missing Azerbaijani serviceman was handed over to us by Armenia, and there are approximately 4,000”, President Aliyev said.

Sergey Lavrov and Ilham Aliyev. Photo: AzerTac

“Along with this, I would also like to express my position in regards to what is happening in Armenia, namely, the growing tendencies of Azerbaijanophobia, which, in my opinion, is the only factor that unites both the Armenian government and the opposition today. The anti-Azerbaijani hysteria has already gotten out of hand, and it is completely unreasonable …

Therefore, the processes that are taking place in Armenia, including statements by various political forces about the possibility of re-occupying a part of the internationally recognized Azerbaijani territory, statements that reek of revanchism, and are, of course, very dangerous, primarily for Armenia itself. The second Karabakh war has already demonstrated what the policy of hatred and Azerbaijanophobia can lead to”, the president of Azerbaijan added.

In response, in his own speech, Sergei Lavrov noted that Russia is committed to fulfilling the agreements on the Nagorno-Karabakh settlement in accordance with the trilateral November 9 agreement and in accordance with the results of the meeting in Moscow on January 11.

“Our peacekeeping contingent is fulfilling the tasks that you agreed upon during the communication with the leadership of Russia and Armenia, and we are grateful for the high assessment of the role of our peacekeepers. We will do everything to ensure that, as you stressed, everyone proceeds from the fact that the military aspects are resolved. Now we need to deal with the issues on the ground. There are issues related to delimitation, demarcation, everything is not so simple, but everything can be solved. We are convinced that military experts with the participation of diplomats can agree on mutually acceptable solutions”, the Russian foreign minister said.

Sergei Lavrov added that it is in Russia’s best interest to facilitate the normalization of relations between Azerbaijan and Armenia: “We believe that joint work focused on the economic aspects of overcoming the protracted conflict creates an optimal framework for this”.

Sergei Lavrov in the Martyrs’ Alley in Baku. Photo: AzerTac

On May 11, Sergey Lavrov met with his Azerbaijani counterpart Jeyhun Bayramov.

The Russian foreign minister has also visited the Martyrs’ Alley, where he honored the memory of those who died during the entry of the Soviet army into Baku on January 20, 1990, and in the first Karabakh war.

He also laid wreaths at the grave of former President of Azerbaijan Heydar Aliyev and at the Eternal Flame memorial commemorating those who died fighting against fascismduring the World War II.

Union of Armenians of Ukraine sends letter to UNESCO over vandalism against Armenian cultural heritage in Artsakh

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 15:21, 8 May, 2021

YEREVAN, MAY 8, ARMENPRESS. The Union of Armenians of Ukraine has sent a letter to UNESCO over the vandalism against the Armenian historical-cultural heritage in Artsakh, AnalitikaUA.net reports.

In the letter the Union has asked for UNESCO’s attention on the Armenian cultural heritage in Artsakh, which is currently under danger.

“It’s important to note that there are over 3000 monuments of Armenian history and culture in the Republic of Artsakh, including more than 500 Christian churches, as well as dozens of monuments of the pre-Christian era. The oldest of these monuments has a history of over 2000 years (Tigranakert Fortress).

Let us remind that the Union of Armenians of Ukraine became the first NGO in Ukraine that was included in the EU’s Transparency Register. The representation of the Union operates in Brussels”, the Union said in a statement.

 

 

Editing and Translating by Aneta Harutyunyan

Swampscott selectmen commemorate the Armenian genocide of 1915

Wicked Local, MA
May 6 2021
William J. Dowd

Wicked Local


The Swampscott Board of Selectmen put the town’s name among Bay State communities that have issued official proclamations commemorating the 106th anniversary of the Armenian genocide of 1915.

The Ottoman Empire’s systemic and mass execution and displacement of 1.5 million Armenians began on April 24,1915, largely marching them out into the Syrian desert without food and water. 

“Armenian-Americans have been talking about this for the last century, and it’s really important for us to reflect and remember the atrocities that occurred,” Swampscott Town Administrator Sean Fitzgerald told selectmen before they issued the proclamation on May. 3.  “One of the hardest things is when [genocides] are denied, and justice is denied.”    

When he was the Essex County Advisory Board's budget analyst, Fitzgerald worked with former Peabody mayor Peter Torigian, whom Armenian-genocide survivors raised, for close to 15 years. 

“To hear the stories of the displacement and absolute inhumanity continues to chill my thoughts about how awful folks can be,” Fitzgerald told selectmen. “It also reminds me of how fortunate we are to live in a society where our freedoms are protected, and our rights are protected.”   

He added, “It's important that we hold the past to account in spite of all those who choose to ignore the facts and the realities.”   

Swampscott's proclamation endeavors to "protect historical memory, ensure similar atrocities do not occur again and remain vigilant against hatred, persecution and tyranny." 

What happened  106 years ago is widely recognized by the world as a genocide, but it remains a point of deep contention for the Republic of Turkey. The country's leaders deny genocide occurred, and they contend that both Ottomans and Armenians are responsible for the bloodshed.  

Armenian genocide, in the eyes of the executive branch, in the company of others  from the killing of the 6 million Jews by the Nazis to the killing of Cambodians by the Khmer Rouge. 

“We honor their story. We see that pain. We affirm the history,” Biden said. “We do this not to cast blame but to ensure that what happened is never repeated.” 

Over the decades, Biden said the tragic history brought the genocide’s survivors to the United States shores.   

“Of those who survived, most were forced to find new homes and new lives around the world,” said Biden said on April 24. “With strength and resilience, the Armenian people survived and rebuilt their community.”   

Selectman Peter Spellios underscored Biden’s formal recognition as the right thing to do.  

“There is a lot of importance [in Swampscott issuing this proclamation] especially given what President Biden did recently,” Spellios said. “His accurate reference of this as genocide, his accurate reflection of history. That we don’t want to whitewash history, and we don’t downplay this.”   

Biden’s recognition follows resolutions passed in the U.S. Congress in 2019, formally acknowledging the Armenian genocide.  Presidents and federal lawmakers' reticence to ascribe the genocide label lies in the fact that many saw Turkey as too strategic an ally for the United States geopolitical and militarily to lose.

Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren has been at the forefront of the Armenian-genocide-recognition movement. She praised Biden’s acknowledgement, saying its “long overdue.” 

“I commend President Biden's decision to formally recognize the Armenian Genocide. Calling this atrocity what it was — genocide — we must recognize the horrors of the past if we hope to avoid repeating them in the future. This is an important human rights moment,” Warren said. “President Biden pledged to put human rights back at the core of U.S. foreign policy, and I applaud this affirmation.” 

Swampscott’s proclamation falls in line with Massachusetts’ storied history as a sanctuary for Armenians and for its recognition of what happened in 1915.  Massachusetts elected officials, both on local and state levels, pinned the word “genocide” to the horrific events as early as 1965.  

Today, the Bay State claims the second-largest Armenian population in the country after California.  Worcester is home to the nation’s first Armenian church,  and the Armenian Library and Museum of American resides in Watertown

Since the mid-to-late 19th century and the turn of the 20th century, Armenians fled Ottoman persecution and oppression, finding refuge in Massachusetts – especially Greater Boston, Worcester and Watertown.   

“In the years following the genocide, thousands more arrived," reads an article on Massachusetts’ ethnic-Armenian population posted on Boston College’s Boston Global archive website.  “By 1930, there were more than 3,500 Armenians living in Watertown—nearly ten percent of the population.”  

The article goes on to read:  “In subsequent years, the town would become a major center of Armenian culture and heritage, even as later generations dispersed to surrounding suburbs.”  

 

Parliament approves pardoning draft evaders

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 10:09, 6 May, 2021

YEREVAN, MAY 6, ARMENPRESS. The government-backed bill on granting pardon to draft evaders was adopted by parliament at the second reading with 83 votes in favor.

The pardon will be granted to those who evaded service before September 27, 2020 – the day when the 2020 Artsakh War began, and who are above the age of 27 (35 for reserve officers).

Justice Minister Rustam Badasyan had earlier said the government made the decision in order to enable draft evaders to “contribute to the economic, social, spiritual and cultural development” of the country. He said the decision was made upon the principle of solidarity.

Those who are fugitives under the respective article of the penal code will also be granted pardon.

Editing and Translating by Stepan Kocharyan

Armenian, Russian FMs discuss humanitarian problems facing Artsakh

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 15:02, 6 May, 2021

YEREVAN, MAY 6, ARMENPRESS. Armenia’s caretaker foreign minister Ara Aivazian and Russian foreign minister Sergei Lavrov discussed the humanitarian problems facing Artsakh during their meeting in Yerevan.

“In the context of ongoing actions aimed at restoring living conditions in Artsakh I would like to once again highlight the efforts of the Russian side with gratitude. Solving people’s return to their homes, restoring infrastructure, normal life ad solving the healthcare problems are very important for the Artsakh residents more than ever today”, Ara Aivazian said during a joint press conference with the Russian FM in Yerevan.

Russian FM Sergei Lavrov has arrived in Armenia on May 5 on a two-day visit.

He is scheduled to meet with Armenia’s caretaker prime minister Nikol Pashinyan on May 6.

Lavrov will also pay a working visit to Baku on May 9-10.

 

Editing and Translating by Aneta Harutyunyan

No incidents recorded at line of contact with Azerbaijan, says Armenian military

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 18:08, 4 May, 2021

YEREVAN, MAY 4, ARMENPRESS. No border incidents and no changes in the operational tactical situation were recorded on May 3 and May 4 at the entire length of the Armenian-Azerbaijani line of contact of the Armenian state border, the Defense Ministry said in a news release.

No border incidents were recorded at the Vorotan-Davit Bek section of the Goris-Kapan road as well, which is under the responsibility of the National Security Service border troops of Armenia.

The Defense Ministry said that the Armenian Armed Forces and the National Security Service Border Troops are controlling the border situation and fulfilling their mission.

Armenpress: Russia provides Artsakh with 15 thousand doses of Sputnik V vaccine

Russia provides Artsakh with 15 thousand doses of Sputnik V vaccine

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 21:35,

YEREVAN, APRIL 29, ARMENPRESS. Russia has delivered 15 thousand doses of Sputnik V vaccine to Artsakh, ARMENPRESS reports President of Artsakh Arayik Harutyunyan wrote on his Facebook page.

''I express my deepest gratitude to the Russian-Armenian Lazarev club and personally the coordinator of the Council of the Club Konstantin Zatulin, due to the efforts of whom thousands of citizens of Artsakh will be able to be secured from coronavirus in the nearest days'', Harutyunyan wrote, adding that it's a great support for preventing the spread of the pandemic for a country struggling to eliminate the consequences of the war.

Armenian genocide President Biden Turkey Worcester community

Telegram & Gazette, Worcester

WORCESTER – The Worcester Armenian community is grateful that President Biden Saturday became the first U.S. president to officially recognize the massacre of Armenians under the Ottoman Empire more than a century ago as a genocide.

“Our president made history by recognizing this great human tragedy in its true definition as genocide,” said Rev. Aved Terzian of the Armenian Church of Our Saviour on Salisbury Street.

“I think it is absolutely important for us Armenians that President Biden used the word 'genocide' in his statement and with that he acknowledged that what happened in 1915 were not massacres or sad events, as the Turkish government is trying to represent in its official commentary on the Armenian genocide,” said the Rev. Torkom Chorbajian, pastor of Holy Trinity Armenian Apostolic Church on Grove Street.

In a statement released Saturday, Biden said, “Each year on this day, we remember the lives of all those who died in the Ottoman-era Armenian genocide and recommit ourselves to preventing such an atrocity from ever again occurring,” risking a potential fracture between the U.S. and Turkey but reflecting Biden’s commitment to human rights.  

April 24 marked the 106th anniversary of the beginning of the arrest of Armenian intellectuals and community leaders in Constantinople by Ottoman authorities, resulting in 1.5 million people being deported and killed.  

“We honor the victims of the Meds Yeghern (Armenian term for genocide) so that the horrors of what happened are never lost to history. And we remember so that we remain ever-vigilant against the corrosive influence of hate in all its forms,” Biden said.

Another reason for Biden to go in this direction, Chorbajian said, is that Turkey is becoming an authoritarian state “with no respect to human rights,” though being an important member with NATO and a strategic partner to the United States.  

“On numerous occasions it is acting against the interests of the United States in the region,” Chorbajian said.  

Despite the declaration made by Biden, concerns and struggles still continue.

Chorbajian is extremely grateful that Biden honored his promise to the Armenian community and acknowledged the Armenian genocide. 

However, on the other hand, he is uncomfortable with the fact that many people may think that this is the sole purpose of years of lobbying and talking about the Armenian genocide and the historic Western Armenian lands that Turkey usurped following the genocide. 

“I have mixed feelings,” Chorbajian said. “I think the struggle must continue until the government of Turkey acknowledges the genocide and just reparations follow it, through which only a full reconciliation can happen between Armenia and Turkey." 

Terzian said reconciliation means many things, but more importantly people should focus on the definition, “to fix broken relationships,” where the formal political stance has generally been avoided out of concern about damaging relations with Turkey. 

“Denial of the genocide makes reconciliation impossible,” Terzian said. “How can reconciliation take place in a relationship based on a lie?” 

Terzian firmly believes and prays that the declaration serves as an appropriate time for the governments and society to use the platform established by Biden as an opportunity for reconciliation. 

The number of Armenians killed has been a major contention. Estimates range from 300,000 to 2 million deaths between 1914 and 1923, with not all of the victims in the Ottoman Empire. But most estimates – including one of 800,000 between 1915 and 1918, made by Ottoman authorities themselves – fall between 600,000 and 1.5 million. 

Whether due to killings or forced deportation, the number of Armenians living in Turkey fell from 2 million in 1914 to under 400,000 by 1922. 

The Worcester Armenian community said it is also grateful to local leaders, including U.S. Rep. James P. McGovern, D-Worcester, on the occasion of the 106th anniversary of the Armenian genocide, who were at the forefront of the Armenian cause all along the way.

They will never stop seeking justice in recognizing the Armenian genocide.  

“The Armenian community in Worcester is content with the fact that there is a politician who did not betray his promise when he was a candidate, and did not use this sensitive topic only to get Armenian sympathy and votes,” Chorbajian said.  

Biden recognizes atrocities against Armenians as genocide

Victoria News, Canada
  • ASSOCIATED PRESS
  • Apr. 25, 2021 7:50 a.m

The systematic killing and deportation of more than a million Armenians by Ottoman Empire forces in the early 20th century was “genocide,” the United States formally declared on Saturday, as President Joe Biden used that precise word after the White House had avoided it for decades for fear of alienating ally Turkey.

Turkey reacted with furor, with the foreign minister saying his country “will not be given lessons on our history from anyone.” A grateful Armenia said it appreciated Biden’s “principled position” as a step toward “the restoration of truth and historical justice.”

Biden was following through on a campaign promise he made a year ago Saturday — the annual commemoration of Armenian Genocide Remembrance Day — to recognize that the events that began in 1915 were a deliberate effort to wipe out Armenians.

While previous presidents have offered sombre reflections of the dark moment in history, they have studiously avoided using the term genocide out of concern that it would complicate relations with Turkey, a NATO ally and important power in the Middle East.

But Biden campaigned on a promise to make human rights a central guidepost of his foreign policy. He argued last year that failing to call the atrocities against the Armenian people a genocide would pave the way for future mass atrocities. An estimated 2 million Armenians were deported — 1.5 million of whom were killed in the events known as Metz Yeghern.

“The American people honour all those Armenians who perished in the genocide that began 106 years ago today,” Biden said in a statement. “We affirm the history. We do this not to cast blame but to ensure that what happened is never repeated.”

Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan said in a letter to Biden that recognition of the genocide “is important not only in terms of respecting the memory of 1.5 million innocent victims, but also in preventing the repetition of such crimes.”

Turkish officials struck back immediately.

“We reject and denounce in the strongest terms the statement of the President of the US regarding the events of 1915 made under the pressure of radical Armenian circles and anti-Turkey groups,” the Turkish Foreign Ministry said in a statement.

Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu tweeted that “words cannot change history or rewrite it” and Turkey “completely rejected” Biden’s statement.

Minutes before Biden’s announcement, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan sent a message to the Armenian community and patriarch of the Armenian church calling for not allowing “the culture of coexistence” of the Muslim Turks and Christian Armenians to be forgotten. He said the issue has been “politicized by third parties and turned into a tool of intervention against our country.”

The U.S. Embassy and consulates in Turkey issued a demonstration alert, and announced their offices would be closed for routine services on Monday and Tuesday as a “precautionary measure.” They cautioned Americans to avoid areas around U.S. government buildings and exercise caution in locations where foreigners gather.

During a telephone call Friday, Biden had informed Erdogan of his plan to issue the statement, said a person familiar with the matter who was not authorized to publicly discuss the private conversation and spoke on the condition of anonymity.

The U.S. and Turkish governments, in separate statements following Biden and Erdogan’s call, made no mention of the American plan to recognize the Armenian genocide. But the White House said Biden told Erdogan he wants to improve the two countries’ relationship and find “effective management of disagreements.” The two also agreed to hold a bilateral meeting at the NATO summit in Brussels in June.

In Armenia on Saturday, people streamed to the hilltop complex in Yerevan, the capital, that memorializes the victims. Many laid flowers around the eternal flame, creating a wall of blooms two meters (seven feet) high.

Armenian Deputy Foreign Minister Avet Adonts, speaking at the memorial before Biden issued his statement, said a U.S. president using the term genocide would “serve as an example for the rest of the civilized world.”

Biden’s call with Erdogan was his first since taking office more than three months ago. The delay had become a worrying sign in Ankara; Erdogan had good rapport with former President Donald Trump and had been hoping for a reset despite past friction with Biden.

Erdogan reiterated his long-running claims that the U.S. is supporting Kurdish fighters in Syria who are affiliated with the Iraq-based Kurdistan Workers’ Party, known as the PKK. The PKK has led an insurgency against Turkey for more than three decades. In recent years, Turkey has launched military operations against PKK enclaves in Turkey and in northern Iraq and against U.S.-allied Syrian Kurdish fighters. The State Department has designated the PKK a terrorist organization but has argued with Turkey over the group’s ties to the Syrian Kurds.

Biden, during the campaign, drew ire from Turkish officials after an interview with The New York Times in which he spoke about supporting Turkey’s opposition against “autocrat” Erdogan. In 2019, Biden accused Trump of betraying U.S. allies, following Trump’s decision to withdraw troops from northern Syria, which paved the way for a Turkish military offensive against the Syrian Kurdish group. In 2014, when he was vice-president, Biden apologized to Erdogan after suggesting in a speech that Turkey helped facilitate the rise of the Islamic State group by allowing foreign fighters to cross Turkey’s border with Syria.

Lawmakers and Armenian American activists had lobbied Biden to make the genocide announcement on or before remembrance day. The closest that a U.S. president had come to recognizing the World War I-era atrocities as genocide was in 1981 when Ronald Reagan uttered the words “Armenian genocide” during a Holocaust Remembrance Day event. But he did not make it U.S. policy.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, a California Democrat, lamented that “the truth of these heinous crimes has too often been denied, its monstrosity minimized.”

“History teaches us that if we ignore its darkest chapters, we are destined to witness the horrors of the past be repeated,” she added.

Rep. Adam Schiff, also a California Democrat, praised Biden for following through on the pledge.

“For Armenian-Americans and everyone who believes in human rights and the truth, today marks an historic milestone: President Biden has defied Turkish threats and recognized the slaughter of 1.5 million Armenians for what it was — the first genocide of the 20th Century,” Schiff said in a statement.

California is home to large concentrations of Armenian Americans.

Salpi Ghazarian, director of the University of Southern California’s Institute of Armenian Studies, said the recognition of genocide would resonate beyond Armenia and show Biden’s seriousness about respect for human rights as a central principle in his foreign policy.

“Within the United States and outside the United States, the American commitment to basic human values has been questioned now for decades,” she said. “It is very important for people in the world to continue to have the hope and the faith that America’s aspirational values are still relevant, and that we can in fact do several things at once. We can in fact carry on trade and other relations with countries while also calling out the fact that a government cannot get away with murdering its own citizens.”

___

Lee reported from Washington and Bilginsoy from Istanbul. Associated Press writer Avet Demourian in Yerevan, Armenia, contributed to this report.

Aamer Madhani, Matthew Lee And Zeynep Bilginsoy, The Associated Press

US-Turkey relations to be tested by possible Armenian genocide recognition

Al-Monitor
April 22 2021

ISTANBUL — US President Joe Biden is reportedly preparing to formally recognize the 1915 mass killings of up to 1.5 million Armenians by the Ottoman Empire as genocide in a move that would further strain US-Turkey relations.

On April 24, Biden is expected to use the designation while marking Armenian Genocide Remembrance Day, becoming the first US president to do so since Ronald Reagan, who later retracted his statements following pressure from the Turkish government.

Ankara officials reject the term, maintaining far fewer Armenians lost their lives during what they claim was a broader World War I era conflict and that Ottoman officials did not commit systematic killings, in contrast to research by most historians who designate the events as genocide.

Nearly all US presidents have refrained from using the genocide term to maintain positive relations with NATO-allied Turkey, but despite a long list of grievances between Ankara and Washington, Biden may follow through on his campaign pledge for formal recognition, though some reports indicate he might make a last-minute reversal.

When asked about Biden’s recognition plans Wednesday, White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki said the president would “have more to say” about it on Saturday.

This comes after more than 100 members of Congress signed a bipartisan letter circulated by the Armenian Caucus Wednesday urging Biden to stand by his campaign promise. Previously, both the House and Senate approved measures in 2019 to recognize the genocide as a formal matter of US foreign policy.

Speaking Thursday, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said, “Turkey will continue to defend the truth against so-called ‘Armenian genocide’ lies and against those who are supporting this slander with political calculations.”

Gonul Tol, director of the Center for Turkish Studies at the Middle East Institute, said previous US presidents, including Barack Obama, had made similar pledges regarding the Armenian genocide on the campaign trail, but withheld formal designation to avoid damaging US interests involving Turkey, which hosts a military base used by American forces to launch operations in Syria.

Tol said current dynamics have reduced the potential for serious harm in US interests, and that Biden may seek to signal his prioritization of human rights and democratic values, in contrast with his predecessor Donald Trump, who openly praised autocratic leaders.

“I think Biden is more likely to recognize it because there are several areas where American and Turkish interests overlap, such as in Afghanistan, the Black Sea, Iran,” Tol told Al-Monitor. “But it comes down to the question of what can Erdogan do in response?”

Tol continued, “I wouldn’t expect a dramatic response from Erdogan at a time when he’s seeking Western support, and that will certainly factor into Biden’s decision-making.”

Still, the prospect of recognition has already riled Turkish leaders and financial markets, with the lira sliding up to 2% early Thursday on worries of possible US-Turkey discord along with concerns over depleted central bank reserves.

Sinan Ulgen, chairman of the Istanbul-based Center for Economics and Foreign Policy Studies, said Thursday’s market volatility was an early warning sign regarding the prospects of escalation between Ankara and Washington ahead of Biden’s planned comments.

“Turkey will surely need to react,” Ulgen told Al-Monitor, which would spark political tensions that “could also irk market participants.”

Some analysts said Ankara could respond to the designation by restricting non-NATO missions out of Incirlik Air Base in Adana. Turkish officials could also once again take unilateral actions in Syria, disregarding US interests. Yet few expect reversals on Turkish policies in Ukraine and Afghanistan, where Ankara’s interests are served by the status quo.

Ozgur Unluhisarcikli, Ankara director for the German Marshall Fund, said Erdogan would be forced to show a strong reaction in the short-term, but long-term consequences could increase distrust of US policies in Turkish society, as some citizens might believe “Turkey is being singled out in yet another sign of double-standards.”

“This will initially raise nationalist sentiments in Turkey … creating a rally around the flag moment,” Unluhisarcikli told Al-Monitor. “Anger will be directed at the United States.”

Biden’s designation would come after falling short on promises to take direct action regarding the human rights record of Saudi Arabian Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, despite US intelligence reports suggesting he approved the murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi.

Tol said the lapse in holding Mohammed accountable “sent the wrong signal,” but that the Armenian genocide designation might materialize due to added support from US Vice President Kamala Harris. Noting Biden may be a one-term president and that Harris is a former senator of California, which hosts a large Armenian diaspora community, Tol said Harris may seek to recognize the genocide to boost a possible future presidential run.

“She’s been playing a surprisingly big role in foreign policy and the decision-making process, so this could be part of her track record,” Tol told Al-Monitor.

The developments come as Turkey was officially excluded from an F-35 fighter jet agreement as a result of its expulsion from the program after its 2019 acquisition of Russian-made S-400 missile defense systems, according to a Wednesday.

https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2021/04/us-turkey-relations-be-tested-possible-armenian-genocide-recognition