Turks embrace novelist’s war on EU

The International Herald Tribune
October 13, 2005 Thursday

Turks embrace novelist’s war on EU

by Dan Bilefsky

The year is 2010 and the European Union has rejected Turkey. Fascist
governments have come to power in Germany, Austria and France and are
inciting violence against resident Turks and Muslims. A vengeful
Turkey joins forces with Russia and declares war against the EU.
Turkish commandos besiege Berlin, obliterate Europe and take control
of the Continent.

Some critics will be quick to dismiss “The Third World War,” a new
futuristic novel by a 30-year-old Turkish writer, Burak Turna, as the
wild imaginings of a conspiracy theorist and literary shock jock and
in many ways it is.

But the novel, which dominates bookstore display windows in Istanbul,
has sold more than 130,000 copies in just two months and is rising on
best-seller lists across the country. As Turkey embarks on 10 years
of tortuous talks to join the EU, Turkish observers say the novel’s
popularity reflects the growing wariness of Turks about a Europe that
is increasingly wary of them.

“Turks are getting fed up with the EU’s constant demands and ‘The
Third World War’ has tapped into that,” said Sinan Ulgen, a Turkish
commentator. He noted that the book’s pithy, cinematographic style
has helped it resonate with taxi drivers, government officials and
housewives alike.

Turna is no fringe figure. His first novel, “Metal Firtina” (“Metal
Storm”), became the fastest-selling book in the history of Turkey
when it was published in December, a time of deep Turkish ambivalence
about the U.S.-led war in Iraq.

The book is a fictional account of a U.S. invasion of Turkey that
provokes a Turkish agent to detonate a nuclear bomb in a park in
Washington, leveling the capital. Overnight, the grungy former
journalist and philosophy student became a chat-show celebrity, a
cult figure among 20-somethings and an unofficial cultural barometer
for his country.

Turna says Turks’ fear of U.S. domination, reflected in the
popularity of “Metal Storm,” is being supplanted by a growing Turkish
ambivalence about Europe an ambivalence that has lurked in the
Turkish soul since after World War I.

At that time, West European powers dismembered the Ottoman Empire.

He says he wrote “The Third World War” “Ucuncu Dunya Savasi” in
Turkish to give Turks an outlet for their wounded pride about the
EU’s constant snubbing.

“Turks are waking up to two facts,” Turna said at a cafe near
Istanbul’s bustling Taksim Square, where he was greeted like a rock
star by young fans. “One is that everything told to the Turkish
people by EU leaders is lies. Two, that a Muslim country will never
get into an EU that doesn’t want us.”

Turna is a self-confessed history and science fiction junkie, whose
authoritative descriptions of U.S. military maneuvers in “Metal
Storm” prompted some in Turkey to accuse him of being a CIA agent.

He says he began researching “The Third World War” by brushing up on
1,000 years of European history and concluded that Europe will
inevitably reject Turkey and that the Continent will descend into
chaos and war.

“Europe is based on a racist nation-state structure that has created
world wars for the last 900 years,” said Turna, who added that none
of his works have been published abroad due to his incendiary themes.

“Even if there are no guns, the EU’s decision to turn its back on
Turkey will create a cultural war between Islam and the West.”

His novel pours scorn on the West in passages like one in which
Russian and Turkish officers discuss how they will carve up Europe
after defeating it:

“You are right, no matter what the consequences, a new European order
will be established,” interrupted Cemil Pasha, “and a new European
Union will be formed, and this time the strength will lie with
Eastern Europe.” The Russian general was pleased with this
assessment. “I will never say no to Istanbul being the center of the
new European Union. After all, I’ve been there myself,” the general
joked, “and I’ve seen the Bosporus which was quite enough for me!”
Cemil Pasha said, “Such an outcome would please me. Then Western
Europe would watch with grief the reconciliation between the Orthodox
world and Istanbul.”

The author has been spreading his “clash of civilizations” ideas on
the Turkish chat-show circuit and in fiery speeches titled “The World
Order After the Dissolution of the EU” to sold-out audiences across
the country. At a recent book signing event in Izmir, an Aegean port
facing Greece, he began by asking the crowd of mostly 15- to
25-year-olds how many supported Turkey’s joining the EU. Not a single
hand was raised.

He says this is a Turkish backlash against what he calls the
“anti-Turkish mania” on the Continent.

Sales of “The Third World War” have been helped by the fact that the
book was published in August against a backdrop of rising nationalism
in Turkey.

In recent weeks, as the EU intensified its demands for Turkish
concessions in sensitive, emotionally charged policy areas like
Cyprus and Armenia, sales of Turkish flags have surged.

“Turks are a proud people,” Turna said. “Countries like France think
we are begging them to join the EU, but the reality is that we will
just turn in on ourselves, become skeptical or just lose interest.”

His depiction of Turks’ growing skepticism is borne out by opinion
polls here. One by the Istanbul-based Foundation for Economic
Development, an independent research institute, showed that Turkish
support for EU membership plunged in May to 63 percent from 94
percent a year earlier.

Turna acknowledges that his propensity for satire and hyperbole often
gets in the way of the facts. In “The Third World War,” Governor
Arnold Schwarzenegger has become president of the United States and
supports Europe’s offensive against Turkey. He provides backing
through a secret pagan society, the Brotherhood of Death, that seeks
global domination and is meant to represent U.S. neo-conservatives.

Turna grew up in a traditional but intellectual family in Istanbul,
imbibing a mix of military history, Kantian rationality and secular
Islam. As a student, he spent hours on the Internet, googling U.S.
military sites and memorizing Pentagon jargon. In college, he studied
business and philosophy, then worked briefly as a journalist before
writing “Metal Storm” with a friend, Orkun Ucar.

He confesses that his only trip to Europe was one visit to Munich
five years ago, a fact that helps explain why “The Third World War”
features baroque descriptions of Germany’s beer capital but is
spartan in its characterizations of the rest of the Continent.

His frequent travels in Asia, he said, have led him to conclude that
Turkey’s future rests in an “eastern alliance” rather than in the
West.

Turna proposes that Turkey limit its relationship with the EU to a
free-trade agreement and instead link up politically with China,
India and Russia.

“India has 250 million rich people, China has a huge economy and
middle class. Russia is flowing with cash. Why are my politicians
wasting time in the corridors of the EU when they should be visiting
and courting these countries, like the U.S. does?”

Just as Europeans are ignorant about the real Turkey, Turna argues,
Turks are ignorant about the real EU. He blames the Turkish media and
the political establishment for portraying the EU as a panacea that
will help make poor, agrarian Turkey flush with cash.

“There is not a proper debate on Europe in Turkey,” Turna said. “It
has become taboo to criticize the EU. The Istanbul elite sell the EU,
while the rural part of the country has little understanding of what
joining the bloc really means.”

Pressed about the benefits that Turkey’s EU membership drive has
brought, including better rights for minorities and the
liberalization of the Turkish economy, Turna acknowledged that the
carrots and sticks of the EU process have been important for a
country that has been plagued by instability. But he adds a caveat
often heard in the salons, cafes and boardrooms of Ankara and
Istanbul.

“What matters for Turkey is being part of a process that has
accelerated political and economic change,” he said. “But the process
is more important than the endgame, and no one will shed a tear if
the EU doesn’t let us in 10 to 15 years’ time.”

Since “The Third World War” came out, Turna has been working on a
soon-to-be-published philosophical treatise called “Sistema.” He also
has started his own publishing house to translate new foreign authors
into Turkish.

These days, he says, he spends a lot of time playing video games. His
favorite? A game called the Rise of Nations in which countries
compete for global domination. “I love to pretend that I’m China and
to bomb Europe into the Stone Age,” he says.

Boxing: Lonely at top for flyweight: Vic Darchinyan

The Age, Australia
Oct 15 2005

Lonely at top for flyweight
By Stathi Paxinos
October 15, 2005

FLYWEIGHT Vic Darchinyan, Australia’s sole remaining world champion,
says he will be forced to go to America for his pay days if interest
in boxing in this country falls any lower.

Darchinyan, who arrived in Melbourne yesterday to attend tonight’s
Australian National Boxing Hall of Fame induction dinner, said
Australian boxers needed to reverse this year’s disappointing results
and claim world titles to maintain interest in the sport.

Australian boxing’s year started brightly, with Kostya Tszyu and
Darchinyan holding world titles and Robbie Peden winning the
International Boxing Federation junior-lightweight belt in February.

But the Armenian-born Darchinyan conceded he was now feeling a bit
isolated at the top after a year that included junior-welterweight
king Tszyu losing his crown, Peden also losing his belt last month
and super-middleweights Anthony Mundine and Danny Green both being
beaten in world title shots.

“At the moment, we are a little bit down in Australia, but what can I
say? I hope that we have a lot more world champions and Australians
get more involved in boxing … I want to tell all of Australia (that)
I’d like you to support me. If I can’t see support, I can’t stay long
here. If they give me more money in America, I will leave but I don’t
want to go. I’ve been here for five years … I love Australia, it’s
the best place,” Darchinyan said.

Darchinyan, planning the third defence of his IBF belt
on November 25 against Northern Ireland’s Damaen Kelly in Sydney, was
confident Australian boxers could bounce back next year.

The boxing fraternity is gathering in Melbourne for the announcement
of 10 inductees, who have been chosen in six categories (moderns,
old-timers, veterans, pioneers, non-participants and honorary
internationals) by boxing historians and commentators. This will be
the event’s third year, with previous inductees including Jeff
Fenech, Jeff Harding, Les Darcy and Johnny Famechon. Nominees include
Tony Mundine, Hector Thompson, Paul Ferreri and Bobby Dunlop
(moderns); Fred Henneberry, Tom Uren, Bill Squires and Jack Green
(old-timers); and Merv Williams, Johnny Lewis, Ray Mitchell and Bill
Mordey (non-participants).

Political Coalition Comes To Preliminary Agreement On CompensationPr

POLITICAL COALITION COMES TO PRELIMINARY AGREEMENT ON COMPENSATION PRINCIPLES AND INDEXATION OF DEPOSITS

Noyan Tapan News Agency, Armenia
Oct 13 2005

YEREVAN, OCTOBER 13, NOYAN TAPAN. The issue of deposit compensation
was discussed tt the October 12 meeting of the Political Coalition
Board. The government confirmed its position and is ready to allocate
1 bln drams (about 2.2 mln USD) to compensate, within the framework
of the Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper, for the deposits of those
depositors who have been put on the list of beneficiaries. RA Prime
Minister Andranik Margarian stated this on October 12 at the joint
sitting of the National Assembly standing committes to discuss the
state budget. He assured that the process will be a continuous one,
but it is not yet clear how long it will take. It was noted that the
government will include the issue of paying compensation to depositors
in its future medium-term expenditure programs.

Prime Minister said that the examination of relevant information,
including international expertise, allowed the coalition to come to
an agreement on indexation. It is envisaged to pay a sum in drams
equivalent to 200 US dollars against 1 thousand Soviet rubles;

– for 1-3 thousand rubles, the basic sum of 200 US dollars plus 70%
of the basic sum (i.e 140 dollars) for each next thousand rubles
above 1,000 rubles

– for 3-5 thousand rubles, the basic sum of 200 US dollars plus 40%
of the basic sum (i.e. 80 dollars) for each next thousand rubles
above 1,000 rubles

– for 5-10 thousand rubles, the basic sum of 200 US dollars plus 20%
of the basic sum (i.e. 40 dollars) for each next thousand rubles
above 1,000 rubles

– for a sum exceeding 10 thousand rubles, the basic sum of 200 US
dollars plus 10% of the basic sum (i.e 20 dollars) for each next
thousand rubles above 1,000 rubles.

At the same time the government requested that it be given 6 months to
clarify the data base on beneficiaries and depositors. Neither the NA
ad hoc commission that examined the issue nor the working group set
up by RA President have informatiom about it, so the government has
not been provided information either. According to the preliminary
agreement, pensioners over 70 (later also pensioners under 70),
single pensioners, the families of the servicemen killed during the
Great Patriotic War and the Artsakh freedom war, disabled persons,
as well as citizens living in the disaster zone and border areas will
be the first to receive compensation. A. Margarian said that the
principles of compensation will be stipulated more clearly in the
2006 draft state budget to be submitted at the NA 4-day session to
start on October 24. The order of compensation will be defined later.

A. Margarian considered it inexpedient to discuss the draft laws
on deposit compensation currently in circulation at the National
Assembly. He noted that the present government is resolute to deal with
the problem of beneficiaries-depositors, and the future governments
will identify other vulnerable groups entitled to compensation. He
added that the experience of 14 countries that have paid such
compensations shows that there is no common principle regarding this
issue and the process has not been completed in any of these countries.

A New Fund “Book” With The Property Capital Worth AMD 100 Thsd IsEst

A NEW FUND “BOOK” WITH THE PROPERTY CAPITAL WORTH AMD 100 THSD IS ESTABLISHED IN ARMENIA

ARKA News Agency, Armenia
Oct 13 2005

YEREVAN, October 13. /ARKA/. The RA government took a decision to
establish a Fund “Book” and approved its by-laws and the staff of the
Council of trustees. According to the RA Government’s Press Service
Department, AMD 100 thsd was assigned as a property investment in the
fund. According to the decision, the RA Ministry of Culture and Youth
Affairs is the state administering body representing the Fund. The
goal of the activity of the Fund is creating favorable conditions for
preserving, disseminating and developing written culture of literature
heritage, ensuring information awareness of the population, as well
as carrying out social protection of writers, editors and polygraphic
workers. The activity of the Fund will also enable to regulate the
issues connected with selling of the literature published with the
support of the government, and efficient use of funds gained from
selling of it. The Fund will be engaged in attracting additional
financial resources. ($1 = AMD 446,77).

ANKARA: Babacan Relaxes With Erdogan-Gul Support

BABACAN RELAXES WITH ERDOGAN-GUL SUPPORT
By Suleyman Kurt

Zaman, Turkey
zaman.com
Oct 13 2005

“We have taken a long and rocky road,” is the phrase widely repeated by
the public as to how Turkey will conduct the membership negotiations
with the European Union (EU). The first official assessment on the
subject came from the Chief Negotiator Ali Babacan as he underlined
the same point rather than discussing technical details: “At the end
of the road, the standards of life in Turkey will further improve.”

That the Turkish flag was together with that of the EU in one frame
in the room where Babacan met the press did not pass unnoticed. The
background behind him was split into two; on the one side stood
Turkey’s crescent and star and on the other EU’s 12 stars. The
beginning of the negotiations confers Turkey the right to wave both
flags. If the government decides, both flags can stand next to each
other in Turkey’s all foreign missions.

Ali Babacan’s tone so far was not much political, as he is the
minister of state for treasury; it just manifested how competent he
was in this subject. He used to have rather a technocratic profile.

On October 12, he provided technical information about the organization
of the negotiation delegation and the negotiation process; but he
produced assertive statements as well. The sentence, “policies will
henceforth be grounded upon progress rather than fear” should be
underlined. This sentence targets those who, inside and abroad base
their policies on fears. During the entire conversation, Babacan
seemed committed to the negotiation process and its outcomes.

Those who criticized his youth and thought that he could not
simultaneously handle the ministry and the office of chief negotiator
were faced by a self confident Babacan. In fact his youth can turn
into an advantage during the process. His forming friendship with the
EU Commissioner for enlargement Olli Rehn to the extent of spending
his family holiday with him is a consequence of this. We should not
also forget the EU’s positive approach towards young leaders.

Top negotiator Babacan strongly believes that Turkey will successfully
handle negotiations and end up being a full member of the European
Union (EU). However, he needs to talk the bureaucracy and the public
into believing that this will come true sooner or later. There is no
doubt that as a top negotiator, Babacan will spend most of his time
persuading the Turkish public. As the short-term difficulties emerge,
objections will ease gradually. Those with financial disadvantages
will put much pressure on him eventually. And what’s more is the
need to talk to members of the cabinet into believing in Turkey’s EU
membership. Matters such as Cyprus, allegations about the so-called
Armenian genocide, and the minorities will give the government a
headache. Babacan will be dealing more with the economic aspect of
the EU program.

A large number of government officials claim nothing will be the same
again after October 3. Turkey is most likely to face huge problems
and debates soon on its one-way path. The government is also perfectly
aware of this. Considering the fact that the EU process is so difficult
to manage, the 25-nation bloc was set high on top of the agenda for
all the departments and institutions. A new department has not yet
been formed, and a new structure not developed to meet requirements
due to emerge during the negotiations. The Turkish Prime Minister
has given the ministers the order to deal with the Union first. A
deputy secretary of each department will assume responsibility for
the negotiations.

The high performance of Babacan and his confidence is evidence that
he can overcome the difficulties. Babacan has the chance to find
much room for maneuver thanks to the support of Erdogan and Turkish
Foreign Minister Abdullah Gul. The business world and non-governmental
organizations look on it as sure that the government that Babacan
will manage to follow his successful policies on the EU as he has
been successful in dealing with the global business circles. The
picture that Babacan portrayed of himself at Wednesday’s meeting has
the characteristics to prove this point right.

S. Sargsian: Today Probability Of War Is No Greater Than Ever

S. SARGSIAN: TODAY PROBABILITY OF WAR IS NO GREATER THAN EVER

Noyan Tapan News Agency, Armenia
Oct 11 2005

YEREVAN, OCTOBER 11, NOYAN TAPAN. Despite the bellicose mood of the
Azeri side, today the probability of war is no greater than ever. RA
Defence Minister Serge Sargsian expressed this opinion during a talk
with reporters on October 11.

S. Sargsian said that three years ago the Azeris were also speaking
about solving the problems using arm power, and how much thier present
statements correspond to reality will be evident in two months,
after the elections in Azerbaijan. The minister underlined the
existence of an element of election propaganda in these statements:
“Simply I cannot fully imagine the size of this element.”

Having read the media reports about the situation in Azerbaijan,
the minister took the view that the party lead by Ilham Aliev will
win in the elections.

Asked if this victory would be a real one, Serge Sargsian noted that
there may be violations but “great things cannot be done by rigging”.

In response to NT correspondent’ question, the minister said that
no increase in the tension at the Armenian-Azeri borderline has
been observed in connection with the upcoming elections. “Today’s
situation does not differ from the one existing, say, 2 or 5 months
ago. Compared with the situation 7 months ago, today is quite calm,”
Serge Sargsian stressed.

Speaking about the increase of Azerbaijan’s military budget, RA
Defence Minister noted that after a while the quantitative factor of
the budget changes into the qualitative one, but it is not yet clear
when it will happen. “No doubt it is dangerous when the enemy, or
rival, or neighbor has a budget several times greater than yours. But
there is also the problem of using this budget efficiently, various
forms of meeting the needs of the army,” Serge Sargsian noted.

“It would be most advantageous if we had comparable financial
possibilities. On the other hand, the difference in our budgets will
never become a reason for making any concessions,” RA Minister of
Defence stated.

Deputy Parliament Speaker Endorses Proposal For Turkish-ArmenianInte

DEPUTY PARLIAMENT SPEAKER ENDORSES PROPOSAL FOR TURKISH-ARMENIAN INTERGOVERNMENTAL COMMISSION

Armenpress
Oct 10 2005

YEREVAN, OCTOBER 10, ARMENPRESS: Deputy parliament chairman Vahan
Hovhanesian from the Armenian Revolutionary Federation endorsed a
president Robert Kocharian’s proposal to set up a Turkish-Armenian
inter-governmental commission to tackle a broad range of sensitive
issues hurdling the two neighbor nations to normalize their relations,
saying it would be more effective than a commission of historians as
proposed by Turkey.

Speaking on the last day of a NATO-sponsored conference in Yerevan on
Saturday, Hovhanesian blamed Turkish authorities for leaving Armenian
proposal unanswered. Hovhanesian said apart the 1915 genocide of
Armenians the Turkish government has also seized a big part of
the Armenian republic in 1919. He said this was also an issue of
intergovernmental relations. He said the 1919 Turkish aggression was
the main reason behind many other subsequent problems, such as the
Karabakh conflict, the issue of Nakhichevan region, Armenian-Azeri
conflict and Turkish blockade of Armenia.

Constitutional Reforms Dominant Of Armenia Political Life

Pan Armenian

Constitutional Reforms Dominant Of Armenia Political Life

08.10.2005 09:28

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ Armenian President Robert Kocharian today received
Chairman of the Constitutional Court of Lithuania Egidijus Kuris, reported
the Press service of the Armenian leader. Highlighting mutual contacts,
Kocharian hailed steps aimed at cooperation and exchange of experience.
Egidijus Kuris noted that close cooperation is established between the
Constitutional Courts of the two countries. Speaking of constitutional
reforms in Armenia, Mr. Kocharian noted these were the dominant of the
political life of the country today. In his words, they are aimed at
strengthening stability. The changes are especially significant from the
point of view of local self-government, human rights, increase of
constitutional court authority, strengthening constitutional control.

British Envoy Questions Russian Military Presence In Armenia

BRITISH ENVOY QUESTIONS RUSSIAN MILITARY PRESENCE IN ARMENIA
By Emil Danielyan

Armenialiberty.org, Armenia
Radio Liberty, Czech Rep.
Oct 6 2005

A senior British diplomat publicly questioned on Thursday the need
for continued Russian military presence in Armenia, suggesting
that it would be particularly unjustified after a resolution of the
Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.

“We understand that [Russian troops] are there with the agreement
of the host country, so that problem does not arise,” Brian Fall,
Britain’s “special representative” for the South Caucasus, said in
a speech in Yerevan. “But the agreement of the host country may be
largely determined by their perception of a military threat from
Azerbaijan. If the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh were resolved,
and frontiers at present closed were opened up to peaceful traffic,
that perception of threat would rapidly diminish, and perhaps sooner
or later disappear.

“Would Armenia in those conditions want a substantial Russian military
presence on its territory? And would Russia want to retain one in
circumstances which could not plausibly be explained in terms of the
conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh?”

Armenia’s successive governments have not cited the unresolved Karabakh
conflict as the main reason for their close military ties with Russia
or asked for Russian protection against Azerbaijan. They have said all
along that the presence of the Russian military base primarily serves
as a deterrent against a perceived threat from Turkey, Armenia’s much
more powerful neighbor.

That perception is in turn derived from the 1915 genocide of Armenians
in the Ottoman Empire and modern-day Turkey’s refusal to recognize
and apologize for it. A Karabakh settlement alone is unlikely to
eliminate it.

For its part, Moscow considers its troops, mainly deployed along
the closed Armenian-Turkish border, to be essential for its efforts
to maintain a strong influence in the South Caucasus. That also
explains its reluctance to close two other Russian bases remaining
in neighboring Georgia.

Still, Fall claimed that the Russians themselves might feel after
Karabakh peace that their military presence is useless. “Looking at the
same picture through Russian eyes, we might find that, post-conflict,
there was no very strong reason for keeping Russian troops in Armenia
and plenty of other things that could be done with the human and
financial resources that might become available for redeployment,”
he said.

The British envoy spoke at the start of a three-day seminar on security
in the South Caucasus which was organized by the NATO Parliamentary
Assembly, of which Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia are members. It
is attended by representatives of the Organization for Security and
Cooperation in Europe and other international organizations.

The Karabakh dispute was a major theme of the first day of
discussions. It also reportedly topped the agenda of Fall’s meeting
later in the day with Foreign Minister Vartan Oskanian. A brief
statement by the Armenian Foreign Ministry said the two men “exchanged
thoughts” on the subject, but gave no details.

In his speech, Fall, whose country now holds the rotating presidency
of the European Union, stressed that concerted efforts by Russia and
the United States are a “necessary condition” for ending the Karabakh
conflict. He complained that “cold warriors” in the two nations have
hampered such cooperation.

“It is true that there have been voices in Washington unduly dismissive
of the need to build peace and security in the South Caucasus with
rather than against or despite Russia,” Fall said. “And that there
have been voices in Moscow seemingly unable to distinguish the natural
influence which geography and history, culture and commerce, will
give to Russia among its next-door neighbors, from a neo-imperialist
striving for a backyard fenced off against the outside world.”