Beirut: Alternating top pol jobs around the three main confessions

Daily Star – Lebanon,
March 11 2006

Alternating the top political jobs around the three main confessions
every four years can reinforces the sense of national identity in the
Lebanese

Saturday, March 11, 2006

Since Syria’s “sanctities” collapsed along with its project in
Lebanon, is it time for Lebanese safeguards to establish true civil
peace that protects this country-message from booby-trapped, poisoned
and imported rhetoric?

By Lebanese safeguards I mean the constitutional guarantees that
preserve confessional diversity and balance between institutions
without failing to promote national identity in every Lebanese,
regardless of confession, tribe or place of birth.

It is true that the Taif Accord saw Lebanon’s Civil War end. However,
the inherent faults and constitutional defects that endangered the
institutions’ work were demonstrated on the one hand through
practice, and on the other by being partial, selective and
temperamental implementation in a manner that distorted its content
and shook its consensual foundations.

Consequently, if the Lebanese are serious about coexisting on the
basis of equality and regaining their sense of national belonging,
they have to prove that by forming a committee of high-ranking
lawmakers that would address the Taif’s defects without tampering
with its substance. This committee would also have to present these
amendments to the first House freely elected on the basis of a fair
and modern law.

One of the major issues that should be disregarded is the
reconsideration of the jurisdiction of the three powers – not to
limit it but rather to facilitate a stable and equal rule, allowing
confessions to alternate between these powers after the creation of
the Council of Ministers stipulated in Article 22 of the Lebanese
Constitution.

The presidency

Reducing the term of the president from six years (Article 49 of the
Constitution) to four nonrenewable and nonextendible years is
imperative to implementing the principle of alternation of the
presidency between the confessions. This ensures that no single
confession monopolizes a specific presidency for too long. The
four-year mandate has become sufficient to implement the program of a
specific presidency, giving the people the opportunity to decide
whether to maintain this program of not. By reducing the mandate to
four years, the parliamentary elections would coincide with the
presidential elections; they should be even held before the
presidential elections so the people can have the opportunity to
change the parliamentary majority should they wish to.

The legislative power

Parliament’s ordinary session:

Articles 31 and 32 of the Constitution set the legal dates to hold a
parliamentary session; other dates are considered void and in
violation of the law. The House’s two ordinary periods stretch from
the Tuesday following March 15 until the end of May and from the
Tuesday following October 15 until the end of the year, provided
texamining and voting on the take precedence over anythign else.

Consequently, the meeting of MPs to legislate and vote on a budget
does not exceed 180 days a year if no extraordinary sessions were
called for.

First, regarding the increasing need to legislate and emphasize the
quality of the laws, it is not acceptable to limit Parliament’s
legislative work only to the mid-year. There are draft laws and law
proposals lying in the drawers not for political reasons but for the
financial impossibility of examining and voting on them.

Second, limiting Parliament sessions to a relatively short period of
time, and giving the president, with the premier’s consent, the
authority to call for extraordinary House sessions by virtue of a
decree setting the opening and closing date as well as the agenda
(Article 33 of the Constitution), means limiting the jurisdiction of
the House to serve as an executive power and comes in violation of
paragraph (c) of the Constitution’s preamble which clearly stipulates
that “Lebanon is a parliamentary democratic republic.”

This is why we suggest the amendment of Article 32 of the
Constitution and the adoption of one ordinary session for the House,
stretching from mid-October until mid-June.

Such an amendment would contribute to making Parliament its own
master.

Executive power

Separating Parliament from the Cabinet:

The principle of separating the legislative power from the executive
power stipulated in the Constitution is not effectively implemented.
Article 28 of the Constitution, which authorizes grouping the
Parliament and Cabinet function, contradicts paragraph (e) of the
Constitution’s preamble which stipulates that the regime is based on
the principle of separation, balance and cooperation between the
powers.

So how can the House hold Cabinet to account if ministers are also
MPs? Could it be both the opponent and the arbiter?

Consequently, based on the principle of separation of powers which
guarantees government’s performance, we believe the Cabinet and the
House should be separated and therefore Article 28 of the Lebanese
Constitution should be amended, and a mechanism regulating the
vacancy of the positions of MPs who joined the Cabinet be included in
the electoral law.

About urgent bill:

Article 58 of the Constitution stipulates that: “Every bill the
Cabinet deems urgent and in which this urgency is indicated in the
decree of transmission to the Parliament may be issued by the
president within 40 days following its communication to the House,
after including it on the agenda of a general meeting, reading it
aloud before the House, and after the expiration of the time limit
without the House acting on it.”

Linking the 40-day deadline granted to the president to pass an
urgent bill by Cabinet to the proviso of including this bill in the
agenda of the general House meeting and reading it aloud before the
Assembly gives the House speaker the chance to maneuver and the
possibility to hamper the implementation of this article by not
raising the urgent bill in the agenda and consequently postponing the
40-day deadline.

Based on the principle of equal and separated powers, the House
speaker should not be given this authority to hamper the Cabinet’s
work. But, if we adopt the one-session principle for the House, which
stretches from mid-October to mid-June every year, then the general
meetings become weekly throughout the year and including an urgent
bill as soon as possible in the agenda becomes inevitable.

The governmental solidarity

The National Accord document entrusted the executive power with the
Cabinet (Article 65 of the Constitution) and Article 66 of the
Constitution made the ministers responsible in general of
Parliament’s general ministerial policy and made them responsible of
their personal actions.

The practice gave the ministers the freedom to revolt against the
ministerial decisions and the Cabinet’s general policy, which
destabilized the governmental solidarity and weakened the position of
the prime minister, who coordinates with the ministers and gives
general instructions to guarantee the well-functioning of public
institutions and administrations (Article 64 of the Constitution).

In order to avoid any embarrassment and to guarantee the governmental
solidarity, which incarnates a unified political will and a coherent
vision of the Cabinet’s direction, the opposition ministers should
voice their rejection from inside the Cabinet.

Any minister, who rejects the Cabinet’s general policy by publicly
criticizing its directions and objecting its practices, should resign
or should be forced to resign.

The Cabinet cannot stay in power if it is divided and cannot be an
arena for the loyalists and the opposition at the same time. It is
true that Lebanon is based on a consensual democracy but this does
not allow the executive power to turn into a forum for exchanging
accusations between its members, because such a thing would hamper
democracy.

Keeping the opposition ministers away from the government strengthens
executive power and enhances both the opposition and the loyalists.

Setting a deadline for the prime minister to issue decrees

Article 56 of the Constitution set a time limit for the president to
issue the laws and decrees to prevent him from stalling and hampering
the work of the constitutional institutions. Article 64 of the
Constitution did not set any deadline for the prime minister to issue
these decrees, which encouraged the adoption of the boycott and the
refusal to signing the decrees for political reasons concerning the
premier, effectively hampering the work of the government and
destabilizing the relations between the president and Parliament.

Consequently, in order to restore balance between the three top
politicians and guarantee the smooth running of the government,
Article 64 of the Constitution should be amended by adding deadlines
on the prime minister similar to the president’s deadlines to issue
decrees.

Prosecuting the ministers

The Lebanese Constitution neither includes a document that defines
“high treason,” the “violation of the Constitution,” or “failing to
assume the duties,” nor does it impose compliance with the Penal
Code; knowing that the Law of Procedures before the Higher Council To
Try (the Three Top Posts) and Ministers compelled this council to
abide by the principle of the legality of the crimes and the legality
of punishments stipulated by articles one and six of the Penal Code.

Consequently, in order to abide by Article 70 of the Constitution, it
is necessary to include in the Law of Procedures before the Higher
Council a text explaining the meaning of the minister’s failure to
assume his/her duties so that the minister does not remain above the
law.

The Constitutional Council

The Constitutional Council should be granted a mandate to review the
constitutionality of the laws, according to a request of one of the
legal parties before the State Council or the Cassation Court. This
mandate should be preceded by a two-year period, during which
Parliament accounts for the laws that might be unconstitutional. It
is obvious to include in the constitutional council the mandate to
review the constitutionality of the constitutional amendments and to
preserve the higher principles in the Constitution, which cannot be
altered even in a constitutional amendment, like coexistence or
consensual democracy, and these principles are called
“supra-constitutional” in the constitutional law.

An interpretation of the Constitution by Parliament cannot produce
mandatory results unless this interpretation takes place through a
legal text that respects the constitutional procedures stipulated by
articles 76 and 77 of the Constitution.

Consequently, it is necessary to reconsider allowing the
Constitutional Council to interpret the Constitution, since this
mission does not conflict with the concept of sovereignty, especially
as the theory of monitoring the constitutionality of laws is now
adopted in most countries of the world.

The independence of the judiciary

The Constitution provides only Article 20, which organizes the
executive power and stipulates that: “The executive power is handled
by all the courts, regardless of their competence and levels, within
a system that is stipulated by the law and provides the legal parties
with the necessary guarantees. The conditions of the judicial
guarantee and its limits are set by the law. The judges are
independent in performing their job while the decrees and decisions
are issued by all the courts and implemented in the name of the
Lebanese people.”

While the Constitution stresses the independence of the judges, it
does not mention any mechanism that guarantees this independence.

The National Accord document noted this gap and tried to fill the
void in paragraph (b) pertaining to the courts, and said: “In order
to enhance the independence of the judiciary: the judicial body
elects a certain number of the members of the Higher Judicial
Council.”

However, the paragraph has not been put into effect yet. Criticism
cannot stop as long as the judicial power remains dependent on the
executive power.

Consequently, we call for the implementation of the part of the Taif
Accord pertaining to the independence of the judiciary and we also
propose that the Higher Judicial Council be granted the mandate to
make the judicial appointments without referring to the executive
power, which would give the public prosecutors and the judicial body
total independence, absolving them of all suspicions. We also call
for promoting the judges’ social situation, which would encourage
skilled individuals to join the judicial body and empower them
against bribery.

The Senate

Article 22 of the Lebanese Constitution says: “With the election of
the first Parliament on a national basis and not on a confessional
basis, a new Caabinet should be created, in which all the spiritual
families are represented and whose mandate is limited to critical
issues.”

Consequently, this article linked the creation of a Senate to the
election of the first Parliament on a national, nonconfessional
basis. This link is illogical, because the creation of a Parliament
on national basis could take dozens of years and is related to the
prior presence of the Senate, which represents the guarantee of
moving from a confessional Parliament to a national one.

The creation of a Senate would also resolve the issue of the
representation of the Druze, Catholic and Orthodox confessions in the
Lebanese pyramid, which will be formed of four powers: the president,
the premier, the speaker and the Senate president.

The jurisdictions of the Senate are summarized as follows:

l The authority to veto every law that contradicts the principle of
consensual democracy or co-existence and rights of the confessions.

l Proposing laws, especially those related to the confessional
structure in Lebanon.

l A second reading of the laws whereby the Senate has the right to
return to Parliament provided that a two-thirds majority of its
members (16 members as we will see later) vote for it. In this case,
the House should adopt the law by its majority. If the president of
the Republic requests to reconsider this law in accordance with
Article 57 of the Constitution, then the House should adopt with its
two-thirds majority (after amending Article 57 of the Constitution).
The Senate is composed of 22 members after the number of MPs in the
House is reduced from 128 to 108 as was mentioned in paragraph six of
the item on political reforms in the National Accord document.

The Senate members are distributed as follows:

Three Sunni representatives, three Shiite representatives, three
Druze representatives and one Alawite representative (10 Muslims).
Three Maronite representatives, two Catholic representatives, and two
Greek Orthodox representatives, one Armenian Catholic representative,
One Armenian Orthodox representative, and one representative for the
Christian minorities (10 Christians). One representative for the Jews
and one representative for the nonconfessional (22 altogether). Each
sect elects Senate members who represent them and each voter has one
vote (one man, one vote). Lebanon follows one electoral district and
those who secure the largest number of votes possible from the voters
within their sect for the seats allocated to this sect are considered
successful.

Alternations in presidency and in positions among confessions

What has offended the Lebanese structure the most was the domination
of one confession of a certain post for a permanent period. This made
other confessions feel they were treated unfairly even though they
were competent enough to assume a certain position. But their
confessional belonging hindered their chances of assuming a position.
This is one of the reasons that weakened national identity and pushed
the Lebanese people to take refuge behind their confessional
identities. It is difficult to change this reality especially after
the country witnessed 15 years of war in the name of the weak and 15
years of struggle in the name of the marginalized people. The answer
to to resolving this confessional reality lies in giving it
guarantees so that it doesn’t turn to foreign countries, requesting
protection from abroad, or to bloody internal fighting or division.

Confessions in Lebanon are a fact that we have to acknowledge if we
are to find a solution to the problems that the country has been
suffering from ever since these confessions existed. Therefore,
terminating political sectarianism in Lebanon can’t be acommplished
following the French approach that has begun to suffer from its
shortcomings and restrictions.

Terminating political sectarianism in Lebanon definitely passes
through alternations in presidencies and posts between the major
confessions (Maronites, Shiites and Sunnis) and the others (Druze,
Catholics and Orthodox) to pave the way for other confessions to be
active and play their roles in order to achieve actual equality
between the Lebanese people and to reinforce their national identity
in lieu of pure confessional belonging.

These alternations should be made every four years (duration of the
mandate of the president and House speaker) according to the way
defined in the attached table (the table is an example, which is why
it does not tackle all posts in all ministries and administrations).

The philosophy of alternations, which should coincide with adopting
the broad-based administrative decentralization stipulated in the
Taif Accord, is to pave the way for all confessions to actually
participate in the essence of governance without any one sect being
dominated by another or making the other confessions feel they are
marginalized. In this way, national identity is strengthened through
the confessional guarantees whereby each party feels that banking on
foreign countries will not be more profitable than banking on
Lebanon. During each governance session, alternation and change in
posts, confessions get used to dealing with each other on the basis
of equality and complementarity and it becomes a motivation for peace
without risk. From here, each confession should feel it is
represented by a person who holds a leadership position in the four
authorities and there is no default in that. As much as alternation
secures national balance and equality among the Lebanese on “the
Lebanese way” (that is much better than what is used today), the
election of each confession for its representative in the post of the
presidency of the Republic or the ministry or public prosecution or
Senate secures political stability that Lebanon has lacked since its
independence.

There is no shame in having each confession elect its “leader” at a
certain stage as long as it has the option after four years of
re-electing this leader, but allow the succeeding presidency to have
a different position and competence but which still cooperates and
interacts with the other presidencies.

This system limits these confessions from turning to other countries.
At the same time it limits the instinct that leans toward division
because, by maintaining the unity of the country, each confession is
given its right in the authority, and the right to participate and
express its specificities within the general structure. This doesn’t
stop the candidates of a certain confession wishing to assume one of
these presidential posts from cooperating with other candidates of
other confessions. Each one strives to win the confidence of his
voters on the basis of a unified governance program where it is up to
the people to decide an integrated ruling team on the basis of
political and economic choices and not on the basis of instincts.

Confessional strife under such a system can’t be justified especially
after adopting a modern and fair law for parliamentary elections on
the basis of proportionality and large historic muhafazat that
safeguards the rights of “nonconfessional individuals.”

With reference to the table on the alternation of posts between the
confessions every four years, the establishment of a Senate gives a
fourth confession the opportunity to assume a post in the authority.

This post was allocated to the Druze, but it is possible that even on
this level, there would be an alternation every four years between
the Druze, the Orthodox, the Catholics whereby each confession takes
part in determining Lebanon’s fate on all levels.

In a quick reading of the typical table of the alternation of posts
between the confessions, we can see for example when the president of
the Republic belongs to a certain confession, Maronite or Sunni, the
same confession is given the finance portfolio since it is the main
ministry. That is done in order to compensate the modest powers of
the president of the Republic compared with the other presidencies.
Furthermore, the posts of defense minister and director general of
the Surete Generale are given to a person from his confession
(Maronite, Sunni or Shiite) or from another confession (Druze,
Catholic or Orthodox) if the president was a Druze, Orthodox or
Catholic.

When the prime minister is a Druze or Shiite for example, his
confession can’t be given a major portfolio except for the Justice
Ministry to maintain the balance with the other confessions due to
the broad jurisdiction the premier enjoys although the Cabinet rules
like an assembled commission. In this context, the post of public
works and transport minister (the largest service provider ministry)
can’t be given to someone who is from a different confession than the
premier. The same is applicable to the post of the president of the
Council of Development and Reconstruction. As for the post of the
Internal Security Forces Commander, it is given to a person who is
from the same confession as the premier is so that this confession
secures an advanced position among leaders of security apparatuses.

For example, when the Speaker of the House is a Sunni or Catholic,
the foreign minister, education minister, army commander, president
of the Council of Development and Reconstruction are from his
confession. In this way, this confession secures a position for
foreign affairs, and other social, security and developmental
positions.

The Senate, with the jurisdiction it has to legislate regarding
issues such as co-existence, consensual democracy, and rights of
confessions, is like a guarantee for a confession whose leader
presides the Interior Ministry, the Lebanese University, and the
Constitutional Council. These jurisdictions safeguard for this
confession the Public Works and Transport portfolio as a development
guarantee.

If we apply the principle of alternation, with its defaults, in the
presidential posts between the confessions, we would allow the major
confessions (Maronites, Shiites, and Sunnis) to alternate the four
presidencies between them in a complete cycle every 16 years with a
different presidency for each of them every four years. This would
also allow the confessions (Druze, Catholics, and Orthodox) to take
their turns in assuming these presidencies even for a longer period
(once every eight years, meaning that every confession needs 32 years
to alternate one complete session).

Isn’t this equation, with its defaults, much fairer than the equation
that is currently adopted, wherey the Maronite confession dominates
the post of the president of the Republic, and the Shiite sect
dominates the post of the speaker of the House and the Sunni sect
dominates the post of the prime minister and then they all quarrel
over the jurisdictions and denying the other confessions their rights
in shaping the history and future of Lebanon until they give up in
frustration?

It is true that this system is not being fair to all the confessions
in Lebanon starting with the Armenians and the Christian minorities
to the Alawites. But it is a bold step on the way to eradicate
political sectarianism stipulated in Article 95 of the Constitution.

When the largest number possible of confessions take part in running
this country, then their sense of national identity is reinforced,
mutual distrust disappears and fears and concerns vanish.

Our apologies to all those who still dream of a day where all
confessional identities disappear in favor of national identity and
then naively try to impose patriotism.

I can’t imagine the orient without religions or a society without
minorities. Lebanon lies in the heart of this eastern part of the
world and the Lebanese community is composed of large minorities of a
confessional nature. So why do we lie to each other? And why do we
ignore each other or challenge each other? No one can eliminate the
other or even live without the other. Our fates are linked to the
fate of the community as a whole. That’s why we have to always
picture modern systems that sponsor co-existence in a fair and modern
manner. These systems should be tailored to Lebanon’s needs, they
should be neither copied from foreign systems nor imposed on us. This
alternation in the presidencies between the confessions is an attempt
to picture solutions to some of the challenges that are somehow
difficult our societies are facing. This solution does not claim to
be comprehensive and does not claim to be the perfect solution that I
look forward to. It is a real attempt that stands in the face of the
cycle of irrationality that is paralyzing our initiatives. Whoever
believes that the “truth” in Lebanon is only to safeguard this
constitutional equation (the charter and Taif Accord) is like a
tourist riding in a taxi that has run out of gas and believes that he
reached his destination!

So, to all those who are convening in the name of the dialogue and
are aiming to reach a settlement for the country, I urge you to not
let this stage of our long national journey pass us by. Gather all
your ideas and initiatives before the country burns down!

Rabieh al-Shaer
Adviser in Public Policies

The Luxury and Hollowness of Azeri Oil

AZG Armenian Daily #044, 11/03/2006

Interview

THE LUXURY AND HOLLOWNESS OF AZERI OIL

Mayis Gyulaliev: Oil shipment is not in Azerbaijan’s interests

Beginning in previous issue

– But Aliyev talks of military solution.

– Armenia and Azerbaijan are too small to settle this
issue on their own, and the West currently pursues the
following goals: stability, therefore it needs now
neither war nor regulation and also it needs secure
balanced development of three national economies. This
means that even if Azerbaijan produces 50 million
tones of oil annually its economy will never surpass
those of Armenia and Georgia because the necessary
balance will be upset in that case. It is not playing
into the West’s hands. It strives to keep the Karabakh
issue unresolved in order to keep the republics under
its control. In my opinion, the aim of Aliyev’s
statements is to upset the balance between Azerbaijan
and other states, including Russia, Kazakhstan,
Georgia, Iran and even the USA and the West as a
whole.

– Do others agree with this opinion of yours?

– Regrettably, no. Only 2-3 non-parliamentary parties
do but no NGO. In general there are two approaches to
this issue in the society: governmental – peaceful
settlement and radically oppositional – military
settlement, which I think will bring no solution and
is just a means to keep the people in fear. Those two
approaches oppose the interests of the Azerbaijani
people and the Caucasus as a whole because it has only
one way of development – integration of three South
Caucasus states.

– Is that possible that the West’s stance as you
portrayed it will change at some point in time?

– Only when Azerbaijan will run out of oil.

– But Azerbaijan has a purely economic interest; now
is it better to go on with or without the pipeline?

– When I speak of damaging influence of oil agreements
on politics I mean the economic aspect; we did not
need to expand oil production and we should direct the
oil money to other spheres especially educational and
expect revenue in 10 or 15 years. But today only the
oil production is developing and other branches do not
and will not develop. All structures are serving oil
production.

– What has changed after Rambouillet? Why have accents
shifted?

– Before the Rambouillet I said and wrote that the
Karabakh issue will not be settled before 2025. More
precisely, before Azerbaijan runs out of oil as the
threat of war first of all endangers Western projects.
There is also a threat that Armenia and Azerbaijan may
make friends and settle the issue on their own –
something that goes against Western plans.

– How you personally see the regulation? (answering
this question the civilized Azeri displayed his true
Azeri nature)

– If we begin with useless historic questions such as
to whom this land belongs, then let us begin with
Darwin’s theory… There are two options: Karabakh
remains within Azerbaijan and solves all its problems,
Karabakh gets out of Azerbaijan’s structure and unites
with Armenia. If Azerbaijan does not give up the first
option and Armenia the second one trying jointly to
find the third option then our states cannot develop.

– Which is the third one?

– I do not have the recipe either. But I believe that
the Armenian and Azeri societies can recuperate. We
need to get rid of historic hostility toward each
other.

By Marietta Khachatrian

Abovyan Celebrated a Win in Greece

ABOVYAN CELEBRATED A WIN IN GREECE

12:54 pm 10 March, 2006

The dance troupe `Kotayq’ of the town Abovyan celebrated a win in
Greece where it participated in the dance festival `Trakia’.

In the Greek city Qasnti the dance troupe `Kotayq’ represented the
Armenian dance for ten days and was recognized the best among the
participants from 23 countries.

`Although the dance troupe from Spain was a serious competitor for
`Kotayq’, the Jury liked our performance more’, the head of the troupe
Armen Kostandyan says.

This award gave the dancers the possibility to participate in the 9th
world festival `Trakia’ which will take place in Brazil in summer,
with the participation of dance troupes from 173 countries.

`Abovyan’ TV Company of Abovyan

More questions over alleged squad of mercenaries

Daily Nation , Kenya
March 12 2006

More questions over alleged squad of mercenaries

Story by SUNDAY NATION INVESTIGATIONS TEAM
Publication Date: 03/12/2006

Police detailed to investigate the alleged presence of Russian
mercenaries in the country have not questioned any of the suspects –
despite circulation of copies of Armenian passports of two of the
men.

“We only saw some documents displayed on a news report on television
on Friday evening but police have not received any document,” a
senior CID officer said.

The Sunday Nation can reveal today that the men Langata MP Raila
Odinga claims are mercenaries working for the Government are two
Armenian “businessmen.”

Travel documents indicate the two men – aged 33 and 36 – arrived in
the country early this year from Dubai, but have also visited Kenya
in the past on missions that remain a mystery.

Investigations have established that the suspects have changed their
residence four times since they arrived in Kenya separately on
January 23 and January 24.

On arrival, they booked in at a five-star city hotel before they
moved to the upmarket Runda Estate in early February.

A leading city hotel confirmed yesterday that one of the men had been
a guest there on different occasions since 2003.

They allegedly moved to Lenana Road after Mr Odinga gave details of
the Runda house to police.

Runda residents in the vicinity of the single-storey mansion
confirmed to Sunday Nation that a truck pulling a 40-ft container
entered the estate at around 9.15 pm on Thursday night and moved all
the household goods.

The relocation from Runda capped a week of dramatic happenings in the
palatial residence and its vicinity, including an assault on an
alleged police officer in circumstances that remain unclear.

Not interviewed yet

Police have not interviewed the two men despite the furore and have
dismissed Mr Odinga’s claims even after inviting him to record a
statement on Wednesday.

On arrival in January, the two men were granted a two-year category H
permit, which is for professionals or foreigners investing in the
country.

They paid Sh60,000 each and posted a bond of a similar amount for the
permits.

A Mombasa politician and businessman yesterday denied being among
those who had been seen in the company of the alleged mercenaries.

Following the March 2 raid by hooded police officers on the Standard
Group offices, there have been claims of involvement of foreigners.

Mr Odinga displayed faded photocopies of the passports of the two
foreigners on Friday, saying they were Armenians and not Russians as
earlier claimed.

But police say they have not received such documents and do not,
therefore, know who the alleged mercenaries are.

“We have not received any documents or fresh information regarding
the presence of mercenaries. We only saw some documents displayed on
a news report on television on Friday evening but police have not
received any document,” a senior CID officer said.

It would be easy for police, through the Immigration Department, to
find out who the people are, how they entered the country and who
posted bond for them when they entered the country. The category ‘H’
visa issued to them would also identify the kind of business they
intend to engage in and the name of the company, if any.

On Friday, police officers led by the Deputy Nairobi Provincial
Criminal Investigations Officer, Mr Isaiah Osugo, began
investigations into the alleged existence of mercenaries as ordered
by the Commissioner of Police, Maj-Gen Hussein Ali.

But even as the investigations were going on, the CID boss Joseph
Kamau were dismissing the story of the alleged mercenaries as a lie.

CID boss Joseph Kamau, whose team is supposed to investigate Mr
Odinga’s allegations, on Wednesday dismissed the mercenary claims as
“untrue” and urged Kenyans not to take them seriously.

Mr Kamau said this as Mr Odinga made a formal complaint to the
Commissioner of Police, Maj-Gen Hussein Ali.

Mr Kamau said the MP was spreading propaganda, which should not be
taken seriously.

In a statement signed on his behalf by Senior Superintendent Gideon
Kibunja, Mr Kamau dismissed the MP’s dossier as “baseless, wild,
unsubstantiated.”

ANKARA: Washington – Baku Relations

WASHINGTON – BAKU RELATIONS
By Semih Idiz

Turkish Press
March 13 2006

MILLIYET- Possible US plans to invade Iran have raised Azerbaijan’s
strategic importance for Washington. This situation is infuriating
Yerevan and the Armenian lobby, because their hopes for turning
the anti-Turkish wind – raised over such factors as Hamas’ visit
to Ankara and the anti-American film ‘Valley of the Wolves Iraq’ –
into an advantage in the US Congress are now fading. The Azerbaijani
people reject the so-called Armenian claims as much as Turks do. In
short, the Bush administration knows that an Armenian “genocide”
resolution would make not only Turks, but also Azerbaijanis angry.

Therefore, the possibility that April 24 will be declared ‘Armenian
genocide commemoration day’ in the US seems to be weak this year
as well. This time the tide is working against the Armenians due
to Iran. Meanwhile, the US administration is taking certain steps
pleasing Azerbaijanis and Ankara even at the cost of making Armenians
angry. I can give two examples:

1. Washington is preparing to bring home its Ambassador to Yerevan John
Marshall Evans before his term of office ends, because, speaking to
US Armenians last year in California, Evans said that he would call
the incidents of 1915 a genocide, no matter what other people call
them. This incident made the Azerbaijanis very angry. Meanwhile,
this made the US angry, too, because it contradicts its current
policy. Firstly, it forced Evans to say that these words were
only his personal opinion and then prevented the American Foreign
Service Association (AFSA) from giving him an order of merit. Now
it’s preparing to send US Ambassador to Tajikistan Richart Hoagland
to replace him.

2. The US administration is moving to water down a law which was
passed by Congress under the pressure of the Armenian lobby. This
law envisages a balance in US military aid extended to Armenia and
Azerbaijan. Azerbaijan’s strategic importance, which rose after Sept.

11, has actually caused this balance to spoil.

The administration wants Congress’ approval so more military aid is
sent to Azerbaijan than Armenia. In addition, Washington started to
make its importance felt more for a solution of the Montenegro issue.

It sent Deputy Secretary of State Matt Bryza to the region last
week and it will send Assistant Secretary of State for European and
Eurasian Affairs Daniel Fried this week. This liveliness of course
increases Armenians’ suspicions. Meanwhile, Scott Ritter, former
weapons inspector of the United Nations, explained Azerbaijan’s
importance for the US in terms of the Iran issue in an article
on aljazeera.net. According to Ritter, Washington is preparing
Azerbaijan for a possible military operation against the regime in
Tehran. Meanwhile, it’s also watching the population of northern Iran,
which consists mostly of ethnic Azerbaijanis. We can’t know if Ritter
is right on this issue. However, it’s true that military relations
between the US and Azerbaijan have developed rapidly. This situation
provides Turkey with an important ‘strengthening’ element against
the Armenian lobby in the US.

Dolls As Pre-Election Weapon?

DOLLS AS PRE-ELECTION WEAPON?

A1+
| 21:06:41 | 17-10-2005 | Economy |

In 2006 the budget of the Armenian National TV-Radio Company will be
3.1 billion AMD which is 70 million more than last year. It is the
lowest among all the CIS countries.

By the way, the commercial income will grow by 30% next year. One
of the most interesting programs is the program “Dolls” which is
the Armenian variant of the Russian “Kukly”. This will be a very
interesting weapon in the hands of the Armenian National TV-Radio
Company in the pre-election period which will not be long in coming.

NPR Transcript: Rumblings of controversary at the Swedish Academy

National Public Radio (NPR)
SHOW: Morning Edition 11:00 AM EST NPR
October 13, 2005 Thursday

Rumblings of controversary at the Swedish Academy [DP]

ANCHORS: STEVE INSKEEP

REPORTERS: NEDA ULABY

STEVE INSKEEP, host:

Moving now from one untold story to another, the winner of this
year’s Nobel Prize for literature will be announced this morning. The
announcement usually comes with all the other Nobel winners, and that
would have been last week, and when it was delayed rumors circulated
there was a split among the judges. Earlier this week, a member of
the Swedish Academy resigned over a seemingly unrelated matter.
Seemingly. NPR’s Neda Ulaby reports.

NEDA ULABY reporting:

When Austrian author Elfriede Jelinek won last year’s Nobel Prize for
literature, it took Katherine Arens by surprise.

Ms. KATHERINE ARENS (University of Texas): Completely.

ULABY: Arens teaches German at the University of Texas. She co-edited
a book about Jelinek.

Ms. ARENS: Completely from the point of view of eminent Austrian
authors, not surprised if one takes the last 20 years of the Nobel
Prizes being responses to certain kinds of political correctness.

ULABY: Arens believes Jelinek was chosen because the Swedish Academy
had decided to reward a postmodern European feminist.

Ms. ARENS: So she fit a lot of the bills.

ULABY: But such pigeonholing was not the complaint of Nut Onland(ph).
He’s an older, inactive member of the Swedish Academy. He quit
Tuesday over Jelinek’s selection. It’s not clear why he waited a full
year to do it, but Onland attacked Jelinek’s work in a Swedish
newspaper. He called it, quote, “a mass of text that appears shoveled
together without trace of artistic structure.”

Ms. ARENS: There is a point there.

ULABY: Katherine Arens.

Ms. ARENS: Even if you accept postmodern literature pastiche as a
kind of deconstruction of an untenable political viewpoint.

ULABY: Snap. And there’s a heated debate this year, according to
international newspapers, over whether to honor Turkish author Orhan
Pamuk. Erdag Goknar is an assistant professor at Duke University who
translated one of Pamuk’s novels into English.

Professor ERDAG GOKNAR (Duke University): He’s young to get the
Nobel. I mean, he’s 53 years old. That would be young.

ULABY: Pamuk has written just seven novels. And Goknar concedes that
most Nobel literature laureates are rewarded for a lifetime of
achievements.

Prof. GOKNAR: But he’s at a point in his career where he is both a
cultural figure inside and outside of Turkey and he’s now a very
political figure inside and outside of Turkey.

ULABY: Pamuk is scheduled to stand trial in his homeland this
December for publicly commenting on Turkey’s role in the massacre of
thousands of Armenians during World War I. Palmuk’s selection would
be additionally freighted because the European Union is deciding
whether to include Turkey as a member.

But there’s also speculation that delay came, not from international
politics, but aesthetics; specifically, whether to choose a
nonfiction writer as this year’s Nobel literature laureate. Neda
Ulaby, NPR News, Washington.

INSKEEP: You can find details about this year’s Nobel winners, from
peace to physics, at npr.org.

This is MORNING EDITION from NPR News. With Renee Montagne, I’m Steve Inskeep.

Assistant of U.S Secretary of State to Arrive in Yerevan

AZG Armenian Daily #186, 15/10/2005

Visit

ASSISTANT OF US SECRETARY OF STATE TO ARRIVE IN YEREVAN

Daniel Freed, assistant US secretary of state, will arrive in Yerevan on
October 18, Madiamax informs referring to its sources at the US embassy.
Freed will meet Armenian President Robert Kocharian during his visit. Freed
used to be director for European and Eurasian Affairs at the National
Security Council before appointment as assistant state secretary.

Daniel Freed is the first high-ranking US official of that caliber who will
visit Armenia since George Bush’s election in 2004. In March of 2004 US
deputy secretary of state Richard Armitage visited Armenia. In August of
2001 Elizabeth Jones, assistant secretary of state for European and Eurasian
affairs, arrived in Yerevan and deputy secretary of state Strobe Talbott
from Clinton’s administration was in Armenia in 1999.

Only once a US secretary of state landed in Armenia. It was James Baker in
1992.

AXA Versera 17 Millions De Dollars a Des Descendants D’Armeniens

AXA VERSERA 17 MILLIONS DE DOLLARS A DES DESCENDANTS D’ARMENIENS

Liberation, France
jeudi 13 octobre 2005

LOS ANGELES – Le groupe d’assurance francais AXA s’est engage a
verser 17 millions de dollars aux descendants de victimes du genocide
armenien qui avaient souscrit des polices d’assurance-vie avant 1915,
annoncent des avocats.

L’accord doit recevoir en novembre l’approbation du tribunal de
district de Californie, qui abrite le plus grand nombre d’Armeniens
au monde hors d’Armenie.

Il est le fruit d’une action collective engagee depuis plusieurs
annees. Un accord similaire a ete conclu en fevrier entre des
descendants de victimes et l’assureur americain New York Life, pour
un montant de 20 millions de dollars.

Aux termes du pacte, AXA, dont le siège est en France et qui opère
aux Etats-Unis via des filiales, versera plusieurs millions de dollars
a des organisations caritatives armeniennes basees dans l’Hexagone.

Elle versera par ailleurs 11 millions de dollars a un fonds mis en
place pour dedommager les descendants de victimes qui avaient souscrit
avant 1915 des polices d’assurance avec des compagnies aujourd’hui
integrees dans le groupe AXA.

Dans le chaos, de nombreux souscripteurs n’avaient jamais pu recuperer
leur argent.

La mort d’un million et demi d’Armeniens massacres par les forces
ottomanes en 1915 est reconnue comme un genocide par l’Onu, la France
ou encore le Conseil de l’Europe.

La Turquie nie pour sa part l’existence d’une campagne systematique
d’elimination, meme si elle admet qu’il y a eu des massacres. Les
Etats-Unis ne reconnaissent pas non plus officiellement la thèse
du genocide.

“Les règlements d’AXA et de New York Life sont d’importantes etapes
non seulement d’un point de vue financier mais vers notre but ultime,
qui est la reconnaissance officielle du genocide par la Turquie et
les Etats-Unis”, a declare Mark Geragos, avocat et Armenien de souche.

–Boundary_(ID_HnwPG+cRWBgNvbWFHJydxw)–

Modern Hardships Catch Up With Karabakh Old-Timers

MODERN HARDSHIPS CATCH UP WITH KARABAKH OLD-TIMERS
By Ashot Beglarian in Stepanakert

Institute of War and Peace Reporting
Oct 14 2005

Mountain air and good food used to keep people living well past a
hundred, but the stresses of war and poverty are now hitting home.

Elizaveta Pogosian celebrated her 100th birthday last week in
grand style – inviting more than a hundred relatives including her
great-grandchildren to a lavish feast in Stepanakert, the capital of
Nagorny Karabakh.

Time has not slowed Elizaveta down. At the party, paid for by her
grandson Ashot, a Moscow businessman, she was still sprightly enough
to perform a traditional Armenian dance and her family says she can
thread a needle without glasses.

Nor has she lost her sense of humour. She likes to tell people that
she is “under 90”.

Elizaveta says she has led a happy life, and when asked if she plans
to go on for another 50 years, she exclaimed, “Have pity on me! There
is a time for everything!”

Born in the village of Nngi in 1905, Elizaveta has lived through
three wars and two revolutions, and seen the end of two empires.

In Karabakh, centenarians are no rarity, and Elizaveta was not the
only one celebrating a birthday last week: a woman called Zara from
the Martuni district turned 105.

This mountainous region boasted one of the world’s highest rates
of longevity during the Soviet era. But it was just one of several
areas in the Caucasus famed for its “dolgozhiteli” or “long-livers”
as they are known in Russian. There are also disproportionately high
numbers of nonagenarians and centenarians in Ajaria, Abkhazia and
Lenkoran in the south of Azerbaijan.

In Karabakh, war and hard times now seem to be taking their toll on
the oldest generation. Precise figures are hard to come by, but the
number of people aged 90 or over is probably around 160, compared
with well over 200 when the last census was recorded in 1989.

Population movements over a turbulent decade-and-a-half may have
affected the figures.

What is certain is the life here has become a great deal more
difficult, for older people in particular. Changes in diet, health
problems, war, meagre pensions, and stress caused by uncertainty
about the future have had an effect on what was once a remote mountain
community.

David Karabekian, a sociology professor, says that in the last 15 years
alone, the elderly have experienced a lifetime’s-worth of troubles.

“The break-up of the Soviet Union, the [Karabakh] war, the continuing
animosity with Azerbaijan, economic hardship, adaptation to new
lifestyle, a change in mentality – all this has had a disastrous
effect on people’s health and life expectancy,” said Karabekian.

“Many old people lost their life savings overnight during the Soviet
monetary reform of 1991, and many of them never recovered from the
blow. Now they can barely afford food on their miserly pensions,
let alone medicines.”

The secret of longevity in Karabakh – as in any place with a
higher-than-average number of very old people – is a mystery, although
many experts attribute it to the mountain climate, mineral-rich water
and healthy, fresh produce.

“Our examinations have shown that Karabakh residents have a healthy
cardiovascular system, as well as solid peripheral and central nervous
systems,” said David Babayan, a local environmental expert.

“Their motor system is in excellent condition, and they have no
serious digestive tract problems.”

Diet is believed by many to be the main contributory factor to a long
and healthy life.

According to Babayan, residents tend to avoid spicy foods, and instead
eat natural dairy products, vegetables, fruit, wild berries and herbs,
all of local origin.

The region’s favourite dishes include soups made from beans, berries
or yoghurt; “hashil” – boiled wheat with butter; “kchakhash” – boiled
wheat, beans and peas; and rice pilaf. Perhaps the most popular item is
“tanav”, the local sour-milk yoghurt.

Many Karabakhis avoid eating fat, believing that it accelerates
ageing. Instead, they consume green grapes, and drink wine as well
as grape juice. They also go through large amounts of mulberries,
from which they make a sugar-free syrup. Some scientists believe
mulberries can prevent or cure heart, stomach and liver illnesses.

Aida Saakian, a nonagenarian who was in charge of Karabakh’s medical
system in the Soviet period, believes that it is specifically a decline
in food quality that has had a negative impact on public health.

“The environment as well as food quality was much better before –
everything was natural and pure,” she said. “Now people for the most
part buy low-quality products, there’s no quality control, and all
these concentrates are bad for people’s health.”

Karabakh families tended to cook more often during the Soviet era,
when few ready-to-eat meals or canned foods were available.

Nonna Musaelian, who chairs a medical panel at Karabakh’s
social-security ministry, says that post-war syndrome, stress,
economic hardship and inferior quality foods have lowered average life
expectancy. Moreover, she says diseases such as cancer, diabetes and
heart complaints are now more common than before.

Diabetes, which Musaelian says is often associated with poor diet,
is now particularly widespread in Karabakh, with 700 people registered
as diabetics, most of them pensioners who cannot afford the medication.

Tsovinar Javadian agrees that life has got harder in many respects.

The 90-year-old Stepanakert native, who has lived on her own since her
son was killed in the 1992-94 Karabakh war and her husband’s death a
few years later, thinks that as a result, there are fewer people of
her age around than there used to be.

“Back then [in the Soviet period], there was much that was good,
although people worked hard on the collective farms and aged quite
fast – but they lived for a long time nonetheless,” she said. “We
were taken care of, everyone had money, and no one was in need. That
was best for older people.

“Now we’re more free, but you can’t enjoy life unless you have money.”

Tsovinar watches every penny of her pension, which is just over 30
US dollars a month. She spends about a third of it on housing and
utilities, one-third on bread, and the remainder on noodles and
vegetable oil. Occasionally she treats herself to some biscuits
or sweets.

“Now there’s plenty of everything, but you can’t be sure about the
quality. You never know what you’re buying,” she said.

“I don’t feel old. I could live to 100, but illnesses, worries and
bad memories do take their toll.”

Ashot Beglarian is an IWPR contributor in Stepanakert.