What Affects Import?

WHAT AFFECTS IMPORT?
By Ara Martirosian

AZG Armenian Daily
12/09/2006

Karen Tchshmaritian Indicate Several factors

Touching upon problems connected with export, Karen Tchshmaritian,
minister of trade and economic development, said on Friday that there
is no decline of export volumes in Armenia. But there is drop of pace
of growing export. It’s impossible to have 25 percent growth each
year; and the decline is connected with conquering new markets. In
minister’s words, in conditions of reviving economy conquering of
new markets is carried out more swiftly but a phase comes when
it slows down. Then we face a need of investing more resources,
marketing capacities and financial means in order to keep the pace
of growth. The market of Diamond also has an impact on the drop of
growth pace. "The more we integrate into the international market,
the more we feel the influence of these impacts. But what rejoices us
is that if we had such a decline in the diamond sphere 4-5 years ago,
Armenian export would have serious drop. Now there is no such drop
as due to diversification of economy new branches of export have
emerged," Karen Tchshmaritian said. He added the closed border pass
of Upper Lars has also affected the export.

Dashnaktsutyun Not To Take Part In Preelection Blocs At Forthcoming

DASHNAKTSUTIUN NOT TO MAKE PART OF PREELECTION BLOCS AT FORTHCOMING PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS

Noyan Tapan News Agency, Armenia
Sept 12 2006

YEREVAN, SEPTEMBER 12, NOYAN TAPAN – ARMENIANS TODAY. The ARF
Dashnaktsutiun should take part in 2007 NA elections through
wide cooperation with political forces without making part of any
preelection bloc. Armen Rustamian, representative of the party’s
Armenian Supreme Body, declared at the September 12 press conference,
summing up the results of the ARFD Armenian structure’s 10th Supreme
Assembly.

In Rustamian’s words, the holding of free and fair elections is the
main precondition for overcoming the challenges faced by the country
without shocks and losses.

The representative of ARFD Armenian Supreme Body emphasized that
cooperation with political forces should be built on the basis of
principles of ensuring supremacy of common national-state interests
and solution of current problems, setting themselves the task to
increase the impact and role of political forces in the country,
to raise the political activity of electors, reducing the impact of
electoral bribes and other bad ways on manifestation of people’s will,
to achieve holding of legal elections.

Armen Rustamian reported that in 2007 parliamentary elections the ARFD
proportional list will be compiled in correspondence with the law,
through a special Supreme Assembly.

In Armen Rustamian’s words, the Dashnaktsutiun’s opinion about the
presidential elections is the following: "Taking into consideration
the essential connection between the parliamentary and presidential
elections, it will be possible to clarify the strategy of the party’s
participation in the presidential elections only on the basis of
estimation to holding of NA elections and the results registered by
the party. A regular Supreme Assembly scheduled for the next year
will also clarify the party’s candidate in the presidential elections."

The Supreme Assembly also touched upon some issues giving rise to
anxiety and having received a wide publicity in the recent period.

The Assembly condemned acts of violence towards journalists and
confirmed that freedom of expression is the main precondition in the
issue of forming a favorable preelection atmosphere.

The representative of ARFD Armenian Supreme Body said that the
resolutions of the Supreme Assembly will be publicized soon.

NKR Foreign Minister Georgy Petrossian’s Commentary On UN General As

NKR FOREIGN MINISTER GEORGY PETROSSIAN’S COMMENTARY ON UN GENERAL ASSEMBLY RESOLUTION ON FIRES

Lragir.am
11 Sept 06

– Mr. Minister how do you assess the Resolution on fires on the
territories under the NKR control adopted at the 60th session of UN
General Assembly?

– On the whole taking into account the final result, namely an
intention to send the OSCE Mission with support of the UN experts
to the region to assess the long-term and short-term threats, which
can lead to ecologic catastrophe in the region, the Resolution can
be considered acceptable for the NKR. Moreover, it is necessary to
emphasize that this process is a logical continuation of Nagorno
Karabakh authorities’ initiative. The NKR authorities were extremely
alarmed at the situation with the fires as those inflammations caused
damage to the agriculture of our republic. In connection with this
the NKR MFA sent a note to the Office of the Personal Representative
of the OSCE Chairman-in-Office with an urgent request to conduct a
crisis-monitoring in the area bordering with Azerbaijan. Two weeks late
the OSCE Mission conducted a series of monitorings, which resulted in
the report of Personal Representative of the OSCE Chairman-in-Office,
which refuted the accusations of the Azerbaijani side on alleged
burnings of settlements in the NKR security zone. Thus, the NKR
authorities were the first to address the OSCE for a dispatch of a
monitoring group to the region, which was passed over in silence by
the OSCE Minsk Group Co-Chairmen in their report, which was made public
at the General Assembly’s session. However, if the report of the OSCE
high rank needs additional confirmation, – we are ready to receive
a new Mission of the OSCE to discredit Azerbaijani myths once more.

The position of this issue in the UN itself and some formulas of the
Resolution are not acceptable. The attempts to transfer the issues
which are to be solved by the OSCE Minsk Group to the UN cannot
promote the advance of negotiation process but only postpone the
possible prospect of the Nagorno Karabakh conflict settlement.

The fact that the given Resolution, namely its contents is a result
of consensus between Armenia and Azerbaijan – rare phenomenon for
recent years, especially under the conditions of the absence of
confidence between the parties, is worthy of notice and it can be
only welcomed. We consider that such projects are to be discussed
with participation of all three parties to the conflict in order to
avoid problems in the course of implementation of accepted decisions
especially because these decisions concern the territories which are
exceptionally under the control of the Nagorno Karabakh republic’s
authorities.

The NKR’s position remains invariable – we are going to continue
our cooperation with the international structures and are ready to
assist the work of a group of experts sent by the OSCE exclusively
from neutral countries.

Gerard Cafesjian And Eduardo Ernekian Awarded St Mesrop Mashtots Ord

GERARD CAFESJIAN AND EDUARDO ERNEKIAN AWARDED ST MESROP MASHTOTS ORDER

Noyan Tapan
Armenians Today
Sept 08 2006

YEREVAN, SEPTEMBER 8, NOYAN TAPAN – ARMENIANS TODAY. By RA President
Robert Kocharian’s September 8 decrees Gerard Cafesjian and Eduardo
Ernekian were awarded St Mesrop Mashtots orders in connection with
the 15th anniversary of proclamation of the independence of the
Republic of Armenia, for their significant services rendered to
the homeland. As Noyan Tapan was informed from RA President’s Press
Office, RA Ambassadors Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary to China and
Germany Vasili Ghazarian and Karine Ghazinian were awarded Mkhitar
Gosh medal in connection with the 15th anniversary of proclamation
of RA independence, for their significant services in the sphere of
diplomacy. By another decree of the President, Jivan Movsisian, Chief
of the Agency of Contacts with the Diaspora of RA Foreign Ministry,
was given the diplomatic title of RA Envoy Extraordinary and Minister
Plenipotentiary.

Opposition Must Win People’s Trust, CRU Leader Says

OPPOSITION MUST WIN PEOPLE’S TRUST, CRU LEADER SAYS

Panorama.am
14:19 09/09/06

‘The major aim of the opposition must be the recovery of the lost trust
among the public," Hrant Khachatryan, Constitutional Right Union head,
told a press conference today. Khachatryan does not think rallies and
demonstration may help in this sense. "The opposition must be very
careful in any negative deal with the authorities since there are some
suspicions around," Khachatryan said. The party leader underlined two
reasons for the failure to establish a political field in Armenia. He
said there have been no favorable preconditions for that since 90s
and that socio-economic conditions have been poor.

National Council On RA Cooperation With European Union To Be Created

NATIONAL COUNCIL ON RA COOPERATION WITH EUROPEAN UNION TO BE CREATED

YEREVAN, SEPTEMBER 8, NOYAN TAPAN. The RA Government made a decision
at the September 7 sitting to create a National Council on the
RA cooperation with the European Union as well as a commission
coordinating that cooperation. According to information submitted
to Noyan Tapan by the RA Government’s Information and Public
Relations Department, regulations of the mentioned national council
and commission as well as the staff with the RA Prime Minister’s
chairmanship were affirmed by the same decision. It was defined
that representatives of the civil society are involved in the staff
of the national council on the RA cooperation with the European
Union. Standards for choosing representatives are the experience of
the organization they represent and goals of the regulations. The
RA Government’s staff head-minister was instructed to affirm the
individual staff of the national assembly civil society representatives
created by a decision, based on the civil society representatives’
applications.

US Senate Resumes Hearings On Nomination Of Ambassador To Armenia

US SENATE RESUMES HEARINGS ON NOMINATION OF AMBASSADOR TO ARMENIA

PanARMENIAN.Net
07.09.2006 13:45 GMT+04:00

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ On September 7 the US Committee on Foreign
Relations will resume hearings on nomination of Richard E. Hoagland,
of the District of Columbia, to be Ambassador to the Republic of
Armenia. Besides, the meeting will consider nomination of John
Robert Bolton, of Maryland, for the Representative of the United
States of America to the United Nations, with the rank and status of
Ambassador, and the Representative of the United States of America
in the Security Council of the United Nations, says a release placed
at the US Senate website.

We note that US incumbent Ambassador in Yerevan John Evans
has completed his diplomatic mission and is leaving Armenia in
mid-September. We remind that 9 out of 18 members of the Commission
were against recall of John Evans in August 2006. They also
considered that Hoagland’s candidacy does not fit for the position
of the Ambassador to Armenia, as he does not acknowledge the Armenian
Genocide in 1915 in Ottoman Turkey.

Press Release: Artsakh Marks 15th Anniversary Of Independence

OFFICE OF THE NAGORNO KARABAKH REPUBLIC IN THE USA
1140 19th Street, NW, Suite 600, Washington, D.C. 20036
Tel: (202) 223-4330
Fax: (202) 315-3339
E-mail: [email protected]
Web site:

PRESS RELEASE
September 6, 2006

ARTSAKH MARKS 15TH ANNIVERSARY OF INDEPENDENCE
Congressmen Knollenberg and Pallone Send Congratulations

Washington, DC – On September 2, 2006 the people of the Nagorno
Karabakh Republic, Artsakh were joined by an ever-expanding circle
of friends around the world to celebrate fifteen years of liberty,
perseverance and progress in Artsakh. In 1991, after suffering from
over seventy years of discrimination and oppression by Soviet
Azerbaijan and the Soviet regime, the people of Artsakh boldly and
fearlessly stepped up their struggle for freedom and democracy,
shaking off the shackles of subjugation.

The decision to establish a sovereign state came as a continuation
of the national liberation movement that began immediately after
Joseph Stalin’s infamous and arbitrary decision to include Nagorno
Karabakh within Soviet Azerbaijan in 1921. The NKR Declaration of
Independence, formally adopted on September 2, 1991 at a joint
session of local legislatures – Nagorno Karabakh Regional and
Shahumian District Councils of Peoples Deputies, said in part:

"Expressing the popular will supported by a documented referendum …
striving for freedom, independence, equality and good neighborly
relations … recognizing Azerbaijan’s policies of apartheid and
discrimination [against its] Armenian population … striving for
restoration of good neighborly relations between Armenian and
Azerbaijani peoples … abiding by the Universal Declaration of Human
Rights … and trusting in the understanding and support of the
international community … declares [the establishment of] the
Nagorno Karabakh Republic." (The full text of the document appears
below.)

Fifteen years later, Artsakh is justifiably proud of its impressive
achievements: successful defense of its freedom against Azerbaijani
military aggression, nearly complete restoration of its
war-devastated economy, continued strengthening of its democracy,
unprecedented economic growth and constructive partnership with the
international community to bring about lasting peace and stability
to the South Caucasus.

Foreign dignitaries and friends traveled to Stepanakert to
participate in the Independence Day celebrations and to express
their solidarity with the people of Artsakh. In his address, NKR
President Arkadi Ghukasian thanked the Republic of Armenia and the
Armenian Diaspora around the world for their vital, steadfast and
ongoing support of Artsakh. He also thanked Artsakh’s international
friends and well-wishers, including elected officials, international
organizations and individuals, who supported Artsakh during the most
difficult years of Azerbaijan’s attack and post-war reconstruction
efforts.

President Ghoukasian particularly underscored the unparalleled
support and commitment of the Vice-Speaker of the British House of
Lords Baroness Caroline Cox. For their significant contribution to
Artsakh’s development, the President especially thanked benefactors
Louise M. Simone, Kevork Hovnanian, Hirair Hovnanian, Vahakn
Hovnanian, Albert Boyajian, Gerard Cafesjian, Eduardo Eurnekian,
Vahe Karapetian, Levon Hairapetian, Ara Abrahamian and George
Pagoumian.

Joining the people of Artsakh on this milestone anniversary were
also the two Co-Chairs of the Congressional Caucus on Armenian
Issues Congressmen Joe Knollenberg (R-MI) and Frank Pallone, Jr.
(D-NJ), who sent a joint letter to the NKR President.

In their letter the Congressmen said in part, "We are writing to
congratulate the people of the Nagorno Karabakh Republic, Artsakh,
your Government, and yourself, on the 15th Anniversary of
Independence. This historic anniversary represents an important
milestone in your struggle for liberty. On September 2, 1991, the
people of Nagorno Karabakh declared their intention to create their
own independent state. With declaration [of independence] the
courageous people of Artsakh expressed their determination to live
in freedom."

The Co-Chairs also said, "for the past 15 years, the Nagorno
Karabakh Republic, Artsakh has proven its vitality, its strong
commitment to universal values of freedom, peace, democracy and
protection of human rights."

They voiced strong support for Nagorno Karabakh’s struggle for
freedom, saying that the U.S. Congress stood by the people of
Nagorno Karabakh along their path to liberty. "We continue standing
with you in your noble effort to achieve formal, international
recognition of your independence," concluded the letter.

NKR Representative to U.S. Vardan Barseghian thanked Mr. Knollenberg
and Mr. Pallone for their ongoing, critical and multifaceted support
of Artsakh.

"Artsakh’s friends around the world make a big difference in the
lives of our people. Most of our achievements would not have been
possible without their support. During last 15 years, Artsakh has
indeed proved its vitality and we look to our future with great
optimism. I have no doubt that liberty, democracy and progress will
continue guiding us toward new victories for Artsakh, Armenia and
the world," said Barseghian.

The Office of the Nagorno Karabakh Republic in the United States is
based in Washington, DC and works with the U.S. government, academia
and the public representing the official policies and interests of
the Nagorno Karabakh Republic.

* * *
To request photos from Independence Day celebrations in Artsakh for
publishing with this press release, send an email to [email protected]

* * *
Full text of the Co-chairs’ letter follows:

September 2, 2006

H.E. Arkadi Ghukasian
President of the Nagorno Karabakh Republic
20th February Street, 3
Stepanakert, NKR

Dear President Ghukasian:

We are writing to congratulate the people of the Nagorno Karabakh
Republic, Artsakh, your Government, and yourself, on the 15th
Anniversary of Independence. This historic anniversary represents an
important milestone in your struggle for liberty. On September 2,
1991, the people of Nagorno Karabakh declared their intention to
create their own independent state. With this declaration the
courageous people of Artsakh expressed their determination to live
in freedom.

You have successfully defended your right to live in freedom against
Azerbaijani military aggression. Many of your brave sons and
daughters laid their heads to ensure the triumph of liberty on the
land of Artsakh. The unwavering faith in your righteous cause and
your commendable perseverance led you to many more victories in
restoring your war-torn economy, strengthening your democracy and
creating a firm foundation for continued development and prosperity.
For the past 15 years, the Nagorno Karabakh Republic, Artsakh has
proven its vitality, its strong commitment to universal values of
freedom, peace, democracy and protection of human rights.

We have stood with you along your path to liberty and we continue
standing with you in your noble effort to achieve formal,
international recognition of your independence. We assure you of our
strong commitment to Karabakh’s security and development and we look
forward to the day when the flag of an independent Artsakh proudly
beckons all over the world as a testament to the realization of your
democratic dream!

Sincerely,
/signed/
Joe Knollenberg Frank Pallone, Jr.
Member of Congress Member of Congress

* * *
Full text of the NKR Declaration of Independence:

ration_independence.shtml

PROCLAMATION OF THE NAGORNO KARABAKH REPUBLIC
(Adopted at a joint session of legislative bodies)

With the participation of delegates from all levels of councils in a
joint session of peoples’ deputies of the Nagomo Karabakh (NK)
regional and Shahumian district councils, by the expression of the
popular will supported by a documented referendum, and by the
decision taken by the authorities of the NK autonomous region and
the Shahumian district between 1988-91 concerning its freedom,
independence, equal rights, and neighborly relations;

Noting specifically the Azerbaijani Republic’s declaration of
restoring its national independence according to its 1918-20
boundaries;

Recognizing that Azerbaijan’s policies of apartheid and
discrimination have created an atmosphere of hatred and intolerance
toward the Republic’s Armenian population, and led to armed clashes,
casualties, and the deportation of Armenian civilians from peaceful
villages;

Establishing itself on the basis of the current constitution and the
laws of the Union of the Soviet Socialist Republic (USSR), which,
upon the secession of a union republic from the USSR, allow the
peoples of autonomous formations and coexisting ethnic groups the
right to self-determination of its national-legal status;

Noting that the territory of the Shahumian district was forcibly
detached from Nagorno Karabakh, and recognizing the intentions of
the Armenian population to reunify as commensurate with the norms of
natural and international law;

Intending that neighborly relations between the peoples of Armenia
and Azerbaijan be restored based on mutual respect for each other’s
rights;

Taking into consideration both the complexity and controversial
nature of the situation in the country, the future of the [Soviet]
Union, and the uncertain future of the [Soviet] Union structures of
ruling authority and government;

Respecting and abiding by the Universal Declaration of Human Rights,
the International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights,
the principles of the International Covenant on Civil and Political
Rights, and trusting in the understanding and support of the
international community;

Declares:

The Nagorno Karabakh Republic within the current boundaries of the
NK autonomous region and the adjacent Shahumian district, the NKR

The Nagorno Karabakh Republic, basing itself on the authority given
to republics by the constitution and legislation of the USSR,
reserves the right to decide independently its legal status as a
state on the basis of political consultations and negotiations with
the leadership of other countries and republics.

Prior to the acceptance of the constitution and laws of the NKR, the
constitution and legislation of the USSR, as well as other existing
laws shall be in effect on the territory of the NKR unless they
contradict the purposes and principles of this declaration and the
specific nature of the republic.

/Signed by delegates of all levels participating in the joint
session of the NK regional and Shahumian district council’s peoples
delegation/

September 2, 1991

* * *

This material is distributed by the Office of the Nagorno Karabakh
Republic in the USA on behalf of the Government of the Nagorno
Karabakh Republic. The NKR Office is registered with the U.S.
Government under the Foreign Agent Registration Act. Additional
information is available at the Department of Justice, Washington,
D.C.

http://nkrusa.org/nk_conflict/decla
www.nkrusa.org

Lebanon, Armenians And Ottoman Turkey

LEBANON, ARMENIANS AND OTTOMAN TURKEY

Herald Tribune
6 Sept 06

ANKARA, Turkey Some Turks see participating in the Lebanon peacekeeping
force as a chance to reassert Turkish influence in the region,
decades after their Ottoman Empire ruled across southeastern Europe,
North Africa and the Middle East.

But others see a more dangerous outcome if they send troops to
help enforce a cease-fire between Israel and Hezbollah militants:
a Mideast quagmire that could engage Turkish troops in hostile fire
with fellow Muslims.

"Turkey having a military presence beyond its borders would be a
prestigious development," said Turhan Comez, a legislator from the
ruling Justice and Development Party.

"However, such a risk taken under these unstable conditions will draw
Turkey into the line of fire, and I don’t even want to think of the
consequences," he added.

The government asked parliament late Friday to approve sending troops
to monitor the cease-fire between Israel and Hezbollah guerrillas
that ended 34 days of fighting last month.

The lawmakers were expected to vote on the resolution Tuesday –
the day U.N.

Secretary-General Kofi Annan is to arrive in Ankara. The government
has yet to determine the number of peacekeepers it would send, but
it was expected to range between 500 and 1,000.

Europe, the U.S. and Israel are eager to see peacekeepers from Turkey –
NATO’s only Muslim member and one of the few Muslim nations with ties
to Israel – in the hope it could avert the impression the U.N. force
is primarily Christian and European.

And Ankara, nostalgic for the former glory of the Ottoman Empire,
has hankered for a key role in a country it ruled for centuries.

The Ottoman Turks – who began conquering nearby lands with the decline
of the Arab empire in the 14th century – added Lebanon and Syria
to their domain in 1516. By the 19th century, however, the Ottoman
Empire was unable to stop Western interest in the oil-rich Middle
East and regional desires for independence. After World War I, France
and Britain divided what remained of the empire into protectorates:
today’s Syria, Lebanon, Iraq and Jordan.

Since then, however, the region has fallen into turmoil – and the
Islamic-rooted Turkish government believes it could play a role in
returning stability to the region.

"Turkey has an obligation as a regional power and the old guardian
of the Middle East to exert its positive influence on developments,"
editor in chief Ilnur Cevik wrote in The New Anatolian.

Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan said he is responding to Lebanese
Prime Minister Fuad Saniora’s request for Turkey’s help monitoring the
truce. He assured Turks the soldiers would only be protecting peace
and helping with humanitarian aid, not disarming Hezbollah militants.

"It would be treason to our history, our future and the high interests
of our people to stay away," Erdogan told the nation in a televised
address Thursday, playing on the emotional outpouring of support in
Turkey for the Lebanese people.

"Let’s not forget: If we shut our doors, we can’t escape the flames
that are surrounding us," he said. "If you stay away, you become
spectators to the killings of innocent people and to your own future."

The government is also aware that responding to the international
call for help could boost Ankara’s efforts to join the European Union.

European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso highlighted Turkey’s
"strategic role" in the U.N. force Wednesday, praising the "significant
reforms" Ankara has made on democracy and the economy, according to
Turkey’s state-owned Anatolia news agency.

But some analysts question the consequences of Turkish participation.

"No good can come of this deployment for Turkey," said Michael Rubin
of the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative Washington
think tank.

"There is no real peace between Hezbollah and Israel. Does Turkey
really want to be in the middle of it?"

Rubin said joining the U.N. mission would have little meaning other
than being "a triumph for Erdogan’s neo-Ottomanism." He also warned
that any confrontation with Hezbollah could pit Turkey against Iran,
a key backer of Hezbollah with which it now has cordial relations.

"Such an unwanted development would amount to an undeclared war
against Iran," said Nihat Ali Ozcan, an analyst with the Economic
Policy Research Institute in Ankara.

And then there is the potential for fierce opposition at home.

Many Turks fear their soldiers could end up facing hostile fire
with fellow Muslims. President Ahmet Necdet Sezer, who serves in
a figurehead role but has enormous influence in the country, has
already spoken out against such a mission.

"It is not our responsibility to protect the interests of other
countries," he said last week.

Lebanon’s Armenians, who make up about 4 percent of the country’s
population, have also come out against Turkish participation –
a reminder that some in the region have not completely shed bitter
memories of Ottoman rule.

Armenians accuse the Ottoman Turks of killing 1.5 million ethnic
Armenians in 1915 in what they call a campaign of genocide. But
Turkey vehemently denies any systematic genocide, insists the number
of dead is significantly inflated and says most died from disease and
hunger when they fled or were deported to Syria and Lebanon during
World War I.

An estimated 120,000 ethnic Armenians live in the country today –
some 50,000 in Beirut alone.

The spiritual leader of Lebanon’s Armenians, Catholicos Aram I,
released a statement calling Turkish participation in the peacekeeping
mission "morally unacceptable," and also warning Annan against the
deployment.

ANKARA, Turkey Some Turks see participating in the Lebanon peacekeeping
force as a chance to reassert Turkish influence in the region,
decades after their Ottoman Empire ruled across southeastern Europe,
North Africa and the Middle East.

But others see a more dangerous outcome if they send troops to
help enforce a cease-fire between Israel and Hezbollah militants:
a Mideast quagmire that could engage Turkish troops in hostile fire
with fellow Muslims.

"Turkey having a military presence beyond its borders would be a
prestigious development," said Turhan Comez, a legislator from the
ruling Justice and Development Party.

"However, such a risk taken under these unstable conditions will draw
Turkey into the line of fire, and I don’t even want to think of the
consequences," he added.

The government asked parliament late Friday to approve sending troops
to monitor the cease-fire between Israel and Hezbollah guerrillas
that ended 34 days of fighting last month.

The lawmakers were expected to vote on the resolution Tuesday –
the day U.N.

Secretary-General Kofi Annan is to arrive in Ankara. The government
has yet to determine the number of peacekeepers it would send, but
it was expected to range between 500 and 1,000.

Europe, the U.S. and Israel are eager to see peacekeepers from Turkey –
NATO’s only Muslim member and one of the few Muslim nations with ties
to Israel – in the hope it could avert the impression the U.N. force
is primarily Christian and European.

And Ankara, nostalgic for the former glory of the Ottoman Empire,
has hankered for a key role in a country it ruled for centuries.

The Ottoman Turks – who began conquering nearby lands with the decline
of the Arab empire in the 14th century – added Lebanon and Syria
to their domain in 1516. By the 19th century, however, the Ottoman
Empire was unable to stop Western interest in the oil-rich Middle
East and regional desires for independence. After World War I, France
and Britain divided what remained of the empire into protectorates:
today’s Syria, Lebanon, Iraq and Jordan.

Since then, however, the region has fallen into turmoil – and the
Islamic-rooted Turkish government believes it could play a role in
returning stability to the region.

"Turkey has an obligation as a regional power and the old guardian
of the Middle East to exert its positive influence on developments,"
editor in chief Ilnur Cevik wrote in The New Anatolian.

Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan said he is responding to Lebanese
Prime Minister Fuad Saniora’s request for Turkey’s help monitoring the
truce. He assured Turks the soldiers would only be protecting peace
and helping with humanitarian aid, not disarming Hezbollah militants.

"It would be treason to our history, our future and the high interests
of our people to stay away," Erdogan told the nation in a televised
address Thursday, playing on the emotional outpouring of support in
Turkey for the Lebanese people.

"Let’s not forget: If we shut our doors, we can’t escape the flames
that are surrounding us," he said. "If you stay away, you become
spectators to the killings of innocent people and to your own future."

The government is also aware that responding to the international
call for help could boost Ankara’s efforts to join the European Union.

European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso highlighted Turkey’s
"strategic role" in the U.N. force Wednesday, praising the "significant
reforms" Ankara has made on democracy and the economy, according to
Turkey’s state-owned Anatolia news agency.

But some analysts question the consequences of Turkish participation.

"No good can come of this deployment for Turkey," said Michael Rubin
of the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative Washington
think tank.

"There is no real peace between Hezbollah and Israel. Does Turkey
really want to be in the middle of it?"

Rubin said joining the U.N. mission would have little meaning other
than being "a triumph for Erdogan’s neo-Ottomanism." He also warned
that any confrontation with Hezbollah could pit Turkey against Iran,
a key backer of Hezbollah with which it now has cordial relations.

"Such an unwanted development would amount to an undeclared war
against Iran," said Nihat Ali Ozcan, an analyst with the Economic
Policy Research Institute in Ankara.

And then there is the potential for fierce opposition at home.

Many Turks fear their soldiers could end up facing hostile fire
with fellow Muslims. President Ahmet Necdet Sezer, who serves in
a figurehead role but has enormous influence in the country, has
already spoken out against such a mission.

"It is not our responsibility to protect the interests of other
countries," he said last week.

Lebanon’s Armenians, who make up about 4 percent of the country’s
population, have also come out against Turkish participation –
a reminder that some in the region have not completely shed bitter
memories of Ottoman rule.

Armenians accuse the Ottoman Turks of killing 1.5 million ethnic
Armenians in 1915 in what they call a campaign of genocide. But
Turkey vehemently denies any systematic genocide, insists the number
of dead is significantly inflated and says most died from disease and
hunger when they fled or were deported to Syria and Lebanon during
World War I.

An estimated 120,000 ethnic Armenians live in the country today –
some 50,000 in Beirut alone.

The spiritual leader of Lebanon’s Armenians, Catholicos Aram I,
released a statement calling Turkish participation in the peacekeeping
mission "morally unacceptable," and also warning Annan against the
deployment.

Overall Solution In Opposition

OVERALL SOLUTION IN OPPOSITION

Lragir.am
06 Sept 06

In the election years of 2007 and 2008, for the first time since 1991,
people in Armenia will discover again that they belong to Armenia
and the free and lawful election, stated Raffi Hovannisian, leader
of the Heritage Party September 6 at the Pastark Club.

"I believe that people will cast their vote, although they will
encounter money and weapon and other attributes of power. If the
opposition settles its internal affairs, the opposition will win the
upcoming election," says Raffi Hovannisian.

The Heritage Party declines to tell for the time being how it will be
running for parliament. The head of the bureau of the political party
says the format of running in the election is under consideration.

"We state that a process is underway which will enable finding out
later and taking the right orientation in the functional sphere.

In other words, those who are able, or if no alliance is going to form,
the possibilities of the political party separately will be assessed
after certain developments," says Vardan Khachatryan.

According to him, the standpoint of the political party should be
running in the election, but first of all, Vardan Khachatryan thinks,
the roots of electoral fraud need to be eliminated, which reoccurred
for years on.

Raffi Hovannisian believes that none of the opposition parties can
prevent and battle electoral fraud alone. "The society itself should
decide in the period of elections in 2007 and 2008 who Armenia belongs
to. I’ve been for an overall solution for a long time now. Because
local, localized, bilateral solutions, despite the wisdom and abilities
of the participants, won’t be determined and effective, I think. The
contacts, consultations intended to start a non-partisan civil movement
continue. Today I will meet with Vazgen Manukyan, though I meet with
different representatives of the political sphere, but the problem
is that this is not a movement involving two political parties or two
persons. This one, this social revival, this feeling of identity, this
new civil movement, if it is going to be continuous, and is not going
to die out soon, should be based on political activity. Two leaders,
two political parties separately cannot solve this problem," says
Raffi Hovannisian in connection with the civil movement they initiated
with Vazgen Manukyan. He says for this reason they sustain active
relations with their colleagues, but they underline the importance
of activity of the citizens, which is essential to success.

The leader of the Heritage Party announces that the political party
is ready to cooperate with both the old and new representatives
of the opposition. "I think it is possible that soon processes may
start in the pro-government sphere, belated processes, which will
allow cooperating with certain representatives of the pro-government
sphere," says Raffi Hovannisian.