BAKU: It’s unlikely that Turkey will turn its back on Azerbaijan

Today, Azerbaijan
Jan 6 2010

South Caucasus expert Amanda Paul: It’s unlikely that Turkey will turn
its back on Azerbaijan

06 January 2010 [13:12] – Today.Az

Senior research fellow at the European Policy Center and an expert on
Southern Caucasus Amanda Paul commented on a number of issues, in
particular touched upon possible opening of Armenian-Turkish border
and the Nagorno-Karabakh problem.

`Opening of the border will only follow the ratification of the two
protocols in Turkey and Armenia. It is still very unclear when this
will happen (if it ever does) and from Ankara’s perspective continues
to remain dependent on movement on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and
in particular withdrawal of Armenian forces from at least 5 of the
Azerbaijani territories that they continue to occupy. Armenia
continues to say this is not an option. Given all the promises that
have been made by Turkey’s leaders to Azerbaijan’s leadership it is
highly unlikely that Ankara could make a u-turn at this point unless
of course Azerbaijan itself could be convinced to think differently on
the issue which is also highly unlikely, indeed, probably impossible,"
said Paul.

Paul also pointed out that closer to the 24th of April, the date which
Armenians mark as the date of `genocide’, situation in the region
could be changing faster.

`Opening the border without such a development on Karabakh would make
Baku ` to say the least ` extremely unhappy and very unpredictable.
24th of April is a very significant date for all concerned, and of
course for the US, where President Obama will come under increased
pressure by the armenian lobby both in and outside of Congress. The
big players ` US and Russia ` can continue to push and cajole all
three countries but so far ` since the signing of the protocols on 10
October ` a stalemate has set in and in the case of Russia, at least,
their approach is always open to change depending on other
developments in the world. If there were positive developments by
April it would be extremely good news for the whole South Caucasus
region but at this point in time the outlook does not look
particularly rosy," she said.

T. Teymur

URL:

http://www.today.az/news/politics/58973.html

BAKU: ICRC reps meet with Azerbaijani soldiers in Armenian captivity

APA, Azerbaijan
Jan 6 2010

ICRC representatives meet with Azerbaijani soldiers in Armenian captivity

[ 06 Jan 2010 12:00 ]

Baku. Kamala Guliyeva ` APA. Representatives of the International
Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) in Armenia visited the soldiers of
Azerbaijani army Rafig Rahman Hasanov and Anar Khanbala Hajiyev, who
are in captivity in Armenia, on December 29, 2009 spokeswoman for ICRC
Office in Azerbaijan Gulnaz Guliyeva told APA.

She said ICRC representatives held private meetings with the captured
soldiers, talked to them and observed their detention conditions and
received their letters to their families.

Guliyeva said the letters would be delivered to their families on Wednesday.

Soldier of the Azerbaijani Defense Ministry’s N military unit Rafig
Rahman Hasanov, 20 was captured by the Armenian military units on
October 8, 2008 in the contact line between the troops in Gazakh
Region.

Anar Khanbala Hajiyev, 20, drafted by Goranboy regional military
commissariat, was captured by the Armenian armed forces on May 10.

The captives were visited by ICRC officials in October, 2009 last time.

1,500 applications submitted to European Court, 20 verdicts returned

1 500 applications submitted to the European Court, 20 verdicts returned
05.01.2010 18:41

Lusine Vasilyan
`Radiolur’

According to statistics, the number of applications to the European
Court from Armenia falls into the average as compared to the
population size. Armenia submits as many cases as any other European
country or Russia (0.33 applications from 10 thousand citizens).

The statistics is almost the same for our neighbors – Azerbaijan and
Georgia, although an abrupt growth was registered in Georgia (the
number of applications increased from 0.37 to 4.04 connected with the
five-day Russian-Georgian war).

Which is the importance of the verdicts of the European Court for
Armenia? According to lawyer Ara Ghazaryan, they act as a restricting
mechanism for the state.

Thus, more than 1 500 applications have been submitted to the European
Court from Armenia over the past years. Twenty verdicts have been
returned. The state has won only in one of the 20 cases.

NKR: We Secured the Rate of Development of the Country

We Secured the Rate of Development of the Country and will Keep it in
Forthcoming Year
The premier summarized the passing year

NKR Government Information and
Public Relations Department

December 22, 2009

On December 29, prime minister Ara Haroutyunyan during the traditional
meeting with the journalists touched upon the adopted budget draft for
2010. Considering it essential the premier noted that expenditures and
proceeds would be secured and a number of socio-economic programs
would be carried out. The Executive hopes that by the end of 2010
economic growth will be fixed in the republic.
At the instance of the journalists the premier touched upon the
resettlement program, also to those omissions because of which the
program was slightly failed. Ara Haroutyunyan noted that in
forthcoming year "development policy" would be carried out in this
sphere.
With the view of receiving a profit the credit will be given to migrants.
It is envisaged to build a market and a car park in Berdzor. To
the question concerning "rate policy" A.Haroutyunyan noted that the
prices would be reconsidered and fixed so that the structure would be
able to exist, needy families would get social assistance from the
state. Rate of water will be increased, electricity charges won’t be
changed.
According to the premier the greatest achievement of 2009 is the
improvement of the demographic representation of the Republic, among
shortcomings he points out the indices recorded in the sphere of
agriculture, which are far from ones anticipated. There are too many
tasks to be carried out in this direction; during the forthcoming year
special courses will be organized for land users.
To the estimation of the prime minister, state administration
system is too exaggerated and has dangerous position. We must have
optimal administration system, in this concern it is necessary to be
optimistic and conduct flexible policy; make discharges in
administration system and open new working places in the economic
sphere,- underlined the premier.
According to Ara Haroutyunyan there are neither essential
admissions nor achievements in home and foreign policy.
To the question about the participation of the party "Azat
Artsakh" headed by him in the parliamentary election in 2010, he noted
that the party had a program by which it will be guided.
At the end Executive congratulated the participants and people of Artsakh.

Summing Up The Year: CRRF, "Eastern Partnership" And Armenian-Turkis

SUMMING UP THE YEAR: CRRF, "EASTERN PARTNERSHIP" AND ARMENIAN-TURKISH PROTOCOLS
Karine Ter-Sahakyan

/PanARMENIAN.Net/
29.12.2009 GMT+04:00

Yerevan does everything or almost everything in her power to neutralize
the negative impact of Turkey on international community concerning
the Armenian question.

In the sphere of foreign policy of Armenia the year of 2009 was
an ordinary year with mandatory and unexpected events, the most
important of them being perhaps the signing of the Armenian-Turkish
Protocols on normalizing relations and opening the Armenian-Turkish
border. This issue by itself deserves a separate discussion, which we
were actually engaged in for most of the year. But, understandably,
foreign policy of the country is not limited to these protocols only.

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ In February Armenia, together with other states of
the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), signed an agreement
on the creation of collective rapid reaction forces (CRRF), which would
join efforts to fight against terrorism and drug trafficking, as well
as respond to another state’s attack on a CSTO member state. Signing
of the agreement on CRRF naturally led to another inappropriate
response from official Baku, which, however, was foiled by rather a
harsh statement of President Dmitry Medvedev, who confirmed that any
form of aggression against CSTO member states would be regarded as
an attack on the entire organization with all its consequences.

The agreement on establishing collective rapid reaction forces
was signed on February 4, and on May 7 Prague hosted a summit to
launch, initiated by the European Commission, the project "Eastern
Partnership", designed to boost the European Union’s relations with
six former Soviet countries: Armenia, Georgia, Azerbaijan, Ukraine,
Moldova and Belarus. The program provides for visa facilitation with
the EU, establishment of deep and comprehensive free trade areas,
and EU assistance to the countries signing the initiative.

In early February, a resolution on recognition of the Armenian Genocide
was once again introduced in the 111th U.S. Congress. Sponsor of the
resolution was Congressman Adam Schiff. In 2008 a similar resolution
Number 106 was approved by U.S. House of Representatives Committee on
Foreign Affairs, but the administration of President George W. Bush
blocked the vote. The current Resolution 252 may have a greater chance
of success. But, alas, it depends on how the Turkish authorities will
behave in the US-Turkish relations.

On April 23 the text of the Armenian-Turkish Protocols on normalization
of relations between the two countries was made public.

Why they were released on this very day became clear on April 24, when
President Barack Obama in his annual address to the Armenian community
in U.S. once again avoided the term "genocide" with reference to the
Armenian Genocide in the Ottoman Empire in 1915-1923. And that he used
the Armenian version of the word genocide "Metz Yeghern", the essence
of the address did not change; Obama, like previous U.S. presidents
could not or did not want to "insult" Turkey, an important ally in
the Iraqi war. Be that as it may, the publicized Protocols and Obama’s
address did their job – Diaspora became more rigorous in their demands
to recognize the Armenian Genocide and to reject any proposed condition
on the part of Turkey. Ankara, understandably, sighed with relief
for a while and even tried to play her own game in the settlement of
the Karabakh conflict, but, of course, she failed. The latest visit
of the Turkish Prime Minister to the United States brought Erdogan
nothing but disappointment, and if we add to this also the tension
in the Israeli-Turkish relations, it becomes obvious that Turkey
finished the year not so successfully. Our great attention to the
neighboring country is due to the fact that in most cases she becomes
the factor that determines, though indirectly, the foreign policy of
Armenia. That is, Armenia does everything or almost everything in her
power to neutralize the negative impact of Turkey on international
community concerning the Armenian question. And if we also add to
this Azerbaijan, which lately coordinates all her steps with Turkey,
it turns out that Armenia alone resists half of the Turkic world.

On October 10 the Armenian-Turkish Protocols were signed in Zurich,
after which another anti-Armenian fit of hysteria immediately broke out
in Baku, followed by President Aliyev’s statements on the "military
settlement of the Karabakh conflict". The world community is already
sick and tired of such statements and this was the reason that it
did not even pull up President Aliyev…

On October 14, President of Armenia Serzh Sargsyan paid a courtesy
visit to Bursa for a football match between the national teams of
Turkey and Armenia.

Over the past year Presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan Serzh
Sargsyan and Ilham Aliyev met five times. None of these meetings were
productive, except for Baku being warned against waving fists and a
policy of threats and blackmail. That’s all. The USA changed its OSCE
Minsk Group co-chair: Matthew Bryza was replaced by Robert Bradtke.

However, it did not result in great changes, except for the fact that
the number of "inappropriate" statements from the U.S. side decreased.

In short, the year of 2009 was a regular year. Most of the events
were predictable, and the fact that they occurred just now and not
yesterday or at any other time, once again confirms the well-known
truth that whatever is done is for the better . Even if at first
glance, everything is very bad.

Armenia-Iran Railroad Launch Next Year

ARMENIA-IRAN RAILROAD LAUNCH NEXT YEAR

Iran Daily
Dec 28 2009

Armenia is set to begin work early next year on a large-scale project
aimed at connecting Armenia and Iran through a north-south railroad,
according to Armenia’s Transport and Communications Minister Gurgen
Sargsyan.

Speaking at a press conference on Wednesday, Sargsyan said the first
phase of the project will involve a feasibility study, scheduled to
begin in April 2010, Asbarez.com reported.

"An agreement to grant a loan of $1 million has been reached with
the Asian Development Bank for implementing the feasibility study of
this project. An international tender for the provision of consulting
services will be declared in early 2010 and we will begin the direct
implementation of the feasibility study in spring," he said.

The minister said the project’s first phase will be carried out in
two stages.

The first will study whether the Yerevan-Ararat and Yerevan-Ashtarak
passes are safe for rail travel; the second will begin work on
restoring the Ashtarak-Gumri rail section; and the third stage
envisages construction of a new Goris-Kapan railroad.

The Armenian government has registered a corporation titled "Directions
for Iran-Armenian Railroad Construction" to implement the project.

Sargsyan noted that Iran has demonstrated its readiness to finance
the project.

Sona Harutyunyan: Unemployment Rate Has Raised In 2009

SONA HARUTYUNYAN: UNEMPLOYMENT RATE HAS RAISED IN 2009
Shakeh Avoyan

"Radiolur"
28.12.2009 14:00

Head of the State Employment Service Agency Sona Harutyunyan today
summed up the results of 2009.

"The unemployment rate has raised in Armenia because of the
finical-economic crisis, like anywhere else in the world," she told
a press conference today.

According to Sona Harutyunyan, the task of the agency is to support
people searching for a job first by providing allowances and then
helping to find a job.

"It’s not that easy, but there are a number of sate and international
programs targeted at solving the issue," Head of the State Employment
Service Agency Sona Harutyunyan said.

BAKU: Most probable date of protocol ratification February-April ’10

Trend, Azerbaijan
Dec 26 2009

Most probable date of protocols ratified by Turkey is February-April
2010: Armenian expert Alexander Iskandaryan
26.12.2009 09:01
Azerbaijan, Baku, Dec. 25 / Trend News E. Tariverdiyeva /

The process of normalization the relations between Turkey and Armenia
has already been launched. There are prospects for ratification of the
protocols in 2010, the Armenian Caucasus Institute director Alexander
Iskandaryan said.

"The prospect of ratification is not full. But it is real. The
protocols are likely to be ratified by the Turkish parliament,
Iskandaryan told Trend News.

The most probable date of ratification of protocols by Turkey, if this
happens, is the second half of February – April 2010, he said.

The Armenian parliament will discuss and finally clarify its position
on the Armenian-Turkish protocols only after the Turkish parliament
will make a decision on these documents, the Speaker of the Armenian
Parliament, Republican Hovik Abrahamyan said at a press conference on
Dec. 24.

If the Turkish Parliament ratifies the documents without preconditions
in a reasonable time, we will do the same, otherwise, in this case we
will act the same," the speaker of the Armenian legislative body said.
He stressed that Armenia is interested in ratifying the protocols by
the Turkish Parliament.

If the protocols are ratified by the Turkish legislative body, the
Armenian parliament will not have the problems with the approval of
the documents, Iskandaryan said.

"Configuration of the coalition parties and the opposition in the
parliament allows me to think so," he added.

The Turkish parliament can ratify the protocols or not. But it is
impossible to change them legally, the expert said.

Of course, the Nagorno-Karabakh problem has a direct impact on the
situation in the region. It affects Georgia, and oil and energy
projects. This question was raised in the statements of Turkish
officials, Iskandaryan said.

"I think their statements differ as opposed to the audience for which
they are planned," he said.

Time will tell about the results, Iskandaryan said.

Turkish and Armenian foreign ministers signed the Ankara-Yerevan
protocols in Zurich Oct. 10. Diplomatic relations between Armenia and
Turkey were broken in 1993.

Vigen Chaldranyan presents his books

Aysor, Armenia
Dec 26 2009

Vigen Chaldranyan presents his books

Today, on his birthday, Armenian screenwriter, producer, and a film
director Vigen Chaldranyan presents his books `Voice of Silence’ and
`Eternal Way of Light’ at National Library in Yerevan.

The books are composed of Vigen Chaldranyan’s autobiography and
narrate about his carrier.

54 year-old Vigen Chaldranyan was born in Yerevan, on December 26
1955. He is awarded with Gold Award pf the Houston International Film
Festival for the film Voice in the Wilderness.