Azerbaijan: Ready to host trilateral summit with Israel, Turkey

Israel Hayom

Bilateral relations between Israel and Azerbaijan have upgraded significantly over the past year. The process that saw the countries' security, economic and social ties steadily improve ever since Azerbaijan declared independence in 1991 came to a head during the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh War, in which Azerbaijan secured a resounding victory.

One person whose popularity has skyrocketed since the war is President Ilham Aliyev's foreign policy adviser, Hikmet Hajiyev. He does not fit the Israeli description of an "adviser." Rather, he is one of a small handful of officials in Azerbaijan truly dictating Azeri foreign policy. Hajiyev, who was born in the city of Ganja – the country's second-largest city that came under enemy bombardment during the war – left the safety of his office once the war began to visit civilians across the country to boost their morale.

In a special interview with Israel Hayom, Hajiyev discusses his immense admiration for Israel and its citizens, says Baku deems Israeli-Turkish rapprochement as highly important, notes his criticism of Washington, Azerbaijan's position on the nuclear deal with its neighbor Iran, and explains why Azerbaijan doesn't have an embassy in Tel Aviv.

Q: Hikmet, is President Aliyev interested in hosting a trilateral summit with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan aimed at bridging the divisions between the two countries?

"Turkey is a sister country of Azerbaijan and Israel is our strategic partner. We want our friends to be friends with each other. If the sides agree to such an initiative, then Azerbaijan will always welcome them."

Q: Are the recent developments in relations between Israel and Turkey due to President Aliyev's mediation efforts?

"We believe that Israel and Turkey share similar interests. We believe that cooperation between them also serves these interests. Azerbaijan does everything it can to improve this relationship."

PM Netanyahu with Azeri President Ilham Aliyev (Amos Ben Gershom / GPO)

Q: What makes Israel-Azerbaijan relations unique?

"Our relationship is not predicated on words. It is strategic. We understand one another. I think the backbone of the relationship is actually the connection between the peoples. Israeli-Azeri relations are built on honest historic understanding. There have been many attempts to harm our cooperation, even though good relations with Azerbaijan are an interest of the Jewish people across the globe."

Meanwhile, similar to Israel, Azerbaijan doesn't truly know what the Biden administration's red line is in regards to Iran. "We are waiting for messages" from the US administration, says Hajiyev, adding that "the past two American administrations didn't do a complete job in the Caucasus. On the contrary, the Obama administration erred in its conduct with its friends, including Israel. The same applies to Azerbaijan."

A main issue for the Azeris is the Biden administration's decision to recognize the Armenian genocide. On this matter, Hajiyev's position is unequivocal. "If this is a historic mistake," he says, "nothing can be compared to the Holocaust."

Q: Are you in contact with the Jewish lobby in Washington?

"Our relations with Israel are excellent, in all fields. At the same time, Israeli-Azeri relations are also founded on the friendship between the Jewish people and the Azeri people. For us, there's no such term as lobby; Jews living in the US are friends of Azerbaijan and our friendship is based on the same friendship with Jews as everywhere else in the world.

"Jewish organizations in the US are a great help to us in conveying Azerbaijan's message – which is that we are trying to build new areas of cooperation in the region, peace and stability in the southern Caucasus. In Azerbaijan, different cultures and religions have lived together for many years. We are proud to see Jews living in Azerbaijan and the Jews across the globe help us."

Q: What is your country's position regarding the nuclear deal with Iran?

"We always support negotiations. The talks could be useful and be conducive to understandings between the peoples."

Q: Why doesn't Azerbaijan have an embassy in Israel?

"When Israelis come to Azerbaijan they see the message of peace and there are Israeli flags all over the country. This came from the heart of the people in Azerbaijan and expresses the appreciation for the value of the relationship between the countries. We have excellent understandings and wonderful diplomatic ties. Israel was among the first to recognize Azerbaijan when we declared independence. Sometimes a diplomatic mission can exist but relations aren't as good as the one [Israel and Azerbaijan] have."

One of the events that deeply impacted the Azeri people, beyond just the government in Baku, was the delegation of Israeli eye doctors who went to Azerbaijan to treat the casualties of the First Nagorno-Karabakh War. "I was grateful," says Hajiyev. "They came to Azerbaijan, even though they were obviously busy back home, and performed 10-15 surgeries per day. This is the reverence the Jewish people have for life and this concern is part of the Jewish DNA. It relates to the Jewish desire to help. We intend to implement other similar initiatives and we use Israel's experience to help our wounded."

Q: Do you intend to incorporate Israeli companies in the rehabilitation of Karabakh?

"We are in contact with Israeli companies and are exhausting inter-governmental ties. The potential of the Israeli companies to help us is considerable. We are interested in the help of Israeli companies in building smart cities and in the water sector."

Q: To summarize, what message do you want to send Israel?

"I want to wish Israel peace and convey my belief that the Azeri and Israeli peoples are historical friends. The Israeli people have always suffered due to not having peace. We wish them peace and ongoing Israeli success. The start-up nation is our friend and I wish it tremendous success."

 

Armenia, Azerbaijan exchange accusations of ceasefire violation

JAM News
April 22 2021
    JAMnews, Baku-Yerevan

Ceasefire violations between Armenia and Azerbaijan

Armenia and Azerbaijan exchanged accusations of violating the ceasefire in recent days in the conflict zone.

The Armenian side accuses Baku of shelling military positions and peaceful territories of the unrecognized NKR. According to reports from Nagorno-Karabakh, the Azerbaijani Armed Forces have violated the ceasefire in Nagorno-Karabakh in recent days using small arms of various calibers.

In turn, the Azerbaijani side accused the Armenian of ‘provocations’ on the Armenian-Azerbaijani border.


  • How have Armenian villages ended up in Azerbaijan?
  • What will become of the Zangezur corridor? Comments from Azerbaijan and Armenia

In the message of the Ministry of Defense of the unrecognized republic, it is said that shots from the Azerbaijani side were recorded earlier, but this was mainly shooting in the air. And recently, the combat positions of the Defense Army and settlements have been fired upon.

In particular, it is reported that the Azerbaijani side opened fire on the capital of Nagorno-Karabakh and the villages of Shosh and Mkhitarashen.

The NK Defense Ministry is sure that such violations are aimed at “creating panic among the population of Artsakh” as well as “casting a shadow on the implementation of the Russian peacekeeping mission.”

The shelling was also commented on by the Foreign Ministry of the unrecognized republic, noting that “any attempts to terrorize the Artsakh people are doomed to failure and cannot undermine their determination to live freely on their own land”:

“Attacks on Armenian vehicles, shelling of villagers performing agricultural work, sabotage entry into the territory of the monument located on the Shushi-Stepanakert road and the act of vandalism committed there, destruction of Armenian cultural and historical monuments and many other hostile actions of the Azerbaijani side are a consequence of the Armenian hateful and fascist policy pursued by in Azerbaijan at the state level”.

The State Border Service of Azerbaijan reports that after the visit of Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan to Zangezur (Syunik region of Armenia) on April 21, provocations took place on the Azerbaijani-Armenian border.

In particular, “units of the State Border Service located in the village of Seidlyar of the Zangilan region near the Azerbaijani-Armenian border, as well as the positions of the border service of the Federal Security Service of the Russian Federation, serving in this direction on the territory of Armenia, were fired upon by Armenian servicemen.”

Azerbaijani media report that in connection with the incident, Russian border guards appealed to their Azerbaijani counterparts, stating that the provocateurs were drunk and asked not to respond to the incident:

“Considering the request of the Russian side, the Azerbaijani border guards showed restraint and did not respond. After the incident, the Azerbaijani side became aware of the removal of the Armenian military provocateurs from the territory.

On the same day, a group of 30-40 people, heading to the state border in the direction of the village of Shurnukh, Gubadli region, chanted anti-Azerbaijani slogans in Armenian. “

The State Border Service said that in case of a repetition of such provocations in the future, “the most decisive retaliatory measures will be taken.”

The Armenian Defense Ministry issued a statement, which reads:

“Azerbaijan is making a desperate attempt to accuse the Armenian side of the violation of the ceasefire regime that took place the day before, in particular, the shelling of some settlements in Artsakh.

You need to have a very vivid imagination to accuse the Armenian Armed Forces of shelling the positions of a strategic ally – the Russian peacekeeping mission.

The armed forces of Artsakh and Armenia are committed to a trilateral agreement on maintaining the ceasefire and call on the Azerbaijani military-political leadership to do the same. “

Turkish press: Armenian patriarch slams use of 1915 events as political tool

The Armenian Orthodox Patriarch Sahak Maşalyan during an interview with AA in Istanbul, Turkey, . (AA)


The Armenian Orthodox Patriarch Sahak Maşalyan Friday criticized the sorrow of the Armenian community being used as a political tool by third parties, underlining that such actions prevent Turkish and Armenian societies from moving on or building fresh relations.

Speaking to Anadolu Agency (AA), Maşalyan expressed the importance of building bridges of friendship and sincerity between Turkish and Armenian people in order to have a clear understanding and evaluation of the historical events.

"It is desired that third party countries provide encouraging contributions to these aims," he stated and added that governments for decades have used the 1915 events in their agendas, which only causes further tension and serves no solid positive contribution.

Maşalyan said that he will continue to wish for peace, friendship and well-being between Turks and Armenians, as his predecessors did before him.

"We will see the events that took place 105 years ago as an exception to a 1000 years long common history and encourage for relations to be rebuilt in mutual neighborhood and interests," he continued.

Maşalyan also expressed his thankfulness to President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan for being the only Turkish president so far who expressed open solidarity with the Armenian community.

"In the messages (shared by Erdoğan on the 1915 events), there is respect that attracts attention. We believe it would be right to see these messages as positive steps for a future reconciliation. I wish there could be a joint history commission as it was suggested (by the Turkish government)," the patriarch further highlighted.

As allegations are being stirred up by Armenian lobbies and some countries for political goals, it was reported this week that United States President Joe Biden is planning to recognize the events of 1915 as "genocide."

Turkey objects to the presentation of the events of 1915 as “genocide,” rather calling them a tragedy in which both Turks and Armenians suffered casualties in the heat of World War I. Ankara has repeatedly proposed the creation of a joint commission of historians from Turkey and Armenia under the supervision of international experts to examine the issue.

London: Service to mark anniversary of Armenian Genocide

ICN – Independent Catholic News

A Service of Remembrance to Commemorating the 106th Anniversary of the Armenian Genocide will be livestreamed from the Church of Our Lady of Victories in Kensington next Tuesday, 27 April from 7-8pm.

The Celebrant will be Mgr James Curry KCHS, assisted by Mgr Roger Reader KCHS and Fr Daniel Herrero Pena.

Fr Shnork Baghdassarian, Parish Priest of the Armenian Church of St Sarkis in Kensington will be leading a Prayer for the Repose of the Souls of all Victims of the Genocide (in Armenian & English)

George Jerjian, author and speaker will read the Lesson from the New Testament.

Dr Harry Hagopian KSG, International Lawyer and Middle East expert will give a reflection entitled: The Armenian Genocide: Healing Open Wounds?

Claire Mouradian, Violinist, will play Armenian News by Fr Gomidas. Armenian News, a crane (bird) in Armenian, is mentioned twice in the Bible as a messenger of God and symbolises communion with God. Cranes also represent endurance and have been likened to Christ's resurrection.

The music and hymns will be led by Timothy Macklin. The two Armenian pieces are Der Voghormia (Lord, Have Mercy) & Kta Dér (Pity Us, Lord).

James Abbot, Head of Digital Communications at the Catholic Bishops' Conference of England & Wales, will help record the event.

Join the lifestream here: www.ourladyofvictories.net

 

South Caucasus: Prospects and challenges

Modern Diplomacy

PUBLISHED BY

Yuri Menshikov

During an online conference on the current situation in the South Caucasus, hosted by Rossiya Segodnya news agency, the executive director of the “Eurasian Development” center Stanislav Pritchin and Alexander Karavayev, a researcher with the Russian Academy of Sciences’ Institute of Economics, presented their joint report on the “Settlement of the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict and the development of the South Caucasus: prospects and challenges.”

Earlier, Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov met with his Azeri and Armenian colleagues on the sidelines of the meeting of the Council of Foreign Ministers of the CIS to discuss humanitarian and economic issues related to Nagorno-Karabakh. They noted that the Russian-mediated ceasefire agreement in Nagorno-Karabakh, signed on November 9, 2020, was the first document in many years to tackle systemic issues of settlement and offer a primary plan for normalizing relations between the conflicting sides.

During the online conference, Stanislav Prichin and Alexander Karavayev outlined potential areas of cooperation in various fields and identified the role of external actors, primarily of Russia and Turkey, in realizing the existing potential. They also analyzed the prospects of economic development in the South Caucasus.

Stanislav Pritchin said that the idea of writing the report came right after the signing of the peace accord in Nagorno-Karabakh. In addition to the usual collection of information, several roundtables were held, attended by Russian experts, and Armenian and Azerbaijani specialists were polled and asked the same questions. Naturally enough, Baku and Yerevan had diametrically opposite views of the results of the ceasefire agreement, with  Azerbaijan seeing them as a reflection of the changes brought about by its military victories, while Armenia views them as a major defeat that forced it to make major concessions. There was even talk about the resignation of Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan and his government. Pashinyan has so far managed to stabilize the situation, with early parliamentary elections slated for this coming summer, which will most likely keep him in power. Polls also showed that even if Pashinyan’s party loses out, Armenia will still be forced to comply with the terms of the agreement simply by virtue of its position. Indeed, Yerevan has been quick to give the Akdam, Geybaldar and Lachin regions back to Baku.

Speaking of risks and challenges, the expert noted that we are primarily talking about domestic political risks both in Armenia and Azerbaijan, as well as external ones – exacerbation of contradictions between outside players and, finally, the danger of a new conflict flaring up directly between Yerevan and Baku. … First of all, Armenia finds itself in the former group of risks. A  survey of experts done in February showed that 67 percent of respondents  believed that Nikol Pashinyan would not stay in power, while only 33 believed he would. The situation in Azerbaijan is calmer: they expect Armenia to fulfill all the terms of the trilateral agreement. By the way, Azerbaijan has a lot of work to do to restore the region’s infrastructure and resettle the refugees, which will prove a heavy burden on the country’s budget.

As far as external risks go, the gravest concern is the regional rivalry between Russia and Turkey. Seventy-two percent of the Armenian experts surveyed believe that this is fraught with destructive consequences, and only 28 said that Russian-Turkish interaction will help stabilize the region. The overwhelming majority of Azeri experts have no problem with the Russian and Turkish influence on the peaceful settlement in Nagorno-Karabakh. The role of the OSCE Minsk Group in the settlement of the Karabakh problem is assessed differently in Armenia and Azerbaijan. While the Armenians pin hopes on the Group, the Azerbaijanis do not see any benefit from it.

The status of the Russian peacekeepers, who will stay on in the conflict zone for the next five years, is an important issue. Their mandate will automatically be renewed if it is not objected to by either side. As of now, 42 percent of Azeri experts believe that five years from now the mission of the Russian peacekeepers will be over. Just as many believe that they will still be needed, and 16 percent said that it will depend on the situation. In Armenia, 85 percent of respondents answered that five years from now the presence of Russian peacekeepers will still be needed.

The dispute between Armenia and Azerbaijan over Nagorno-Karabakh remains the biggest sticking point, with Azerbaijan considering this territory as its own, which is confirmed by the relevant resolutions of the UN Security Council issued in the wake of the Soviet breakup. The Armenians, conversely, believe that even after the conclusion of the November trilateral agreement, Nikol Pashinyan does not recognize Azerbaijan’s right to Nagorno-Karabakh. A survey of the two countries’ experts showed that in each of them the absolute majority – more than 80 percent – thinks that within the next five years the status of Nagorno-Karabakh will not acquire a mutually acceptable legal form. Pritchin also considers the problem of border delimitation in disputed territories as being intractable.

Wrapping up the political section of the report, Stanislav Pritchin outlined three possible scenarios of political development in the South Caucasus: negative, neutral and optimal. In a negative scenario, one or more parties opt out of the trilateral accord. According to the neutral scenario, some of the provisions of this agreement will be implemented, while some will not. The positive scenario sees the implementation of all provisions by all the signatories to the deal. The majority of experts in Armenia (about 80 percent) and a significant number (over 40 percent) of those in Azerbaijan, gravitate towards the second, neutral variant.

The economic part of the report was presented by Alexander Karavayev, who emphasized that it is for the first time in 30 years that a post-Soviet state is restoring its territorial integrity, including in economic terms. Not only did the territory of Nagorno-Karabakh suffer from the ethnic conflict of 1991-92, but it was not developing economically and did not have any investment status. The development took place only at the microeconomic level; there were no large-scale recovery programs sponsored by the state, including those aimed at luring major foreign investors. Karavayev warns that given the enormity of the tasks at hand one should not expect any quick results – we are talking about a decade, no less.

The Azeri leadership has outlined the first stage of restoration to run until 2025. In 2021, US 1.3 billion will be allocated for the reconstruction of energy facilities, the construction of roads, trunk infrastructure, including the creation of transit transport communications across the territory of Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh. To fill them with goods, Armenia, as the party that has suffered the most from the conflict, must see the prospects for making up for the losses. This could be achieved through exports, primarily of raw materials, such as copper ore and rare earth and precious metals (molybdenum, gold, etc.). In practical terms, the export of raw materials from Armenia to Mediterranean ports would be facilitated by modernizing the old Soviet railway via the Nakhichevan autonomous region to the Turkish port of Iskenderun, where there is a terminal of the Magnitogorsk Iron and Steel Works. Alexander Karavayev warned, however, that the implementation of large-scale economic projects would attract big investors and competition between them could stir up contradictions between large regional players. He still believes that “the game is worth the candle.”

The main conclusion that can be drawn from the report is that the signing of the trilateral agreement has opened a “window of opportunity” for the gradual normalization of political and economic relations between Armenia and Azerbaijan, including the settlement of the situation in Nagorno-Karabakh.

From our partner International Affairs

LA County Supervisor Kathryn Barger calls on President Biden to recognize the Armenian Genocide

Public Radio of Armenia

LA County Supervisor Kathryn Barger called on President Joe Biden to recognize the Armenian Genocide.

“I’m showing solidarity with Armenian communities across LA County and throughout the nation to call on President Biden to formally recognize the Armenian Genocide,” Kathryn Barger said in a video message.  

Supervisor Barger urged everyone to join the “Yes, it’s Genocide” petition on Change.org.

“Together let’s make our voices heard,” she added.

Russian peacekeepers in Nagorno-Karabakh initiated the campaign Family History-the History of Victory

Panorama, Armenia
April 6 2021
Society 13:25 06/04/2021NKR

The servicemen of the Russian peacekeeping contingent in Nagorno-Karabakh initiated an action dedicated to the 76th anniversary of the Victory in the Great Patriotic War called Family History – the History of Victory, the Russian Ministry of Defense reported. 

The beginning of the action was initiated at the monument to 104 soldiers – natives of the village of Khanabad of the Askeran region of Nagorno-Karabakh, who died in 1941-1945 on the fronts in battles against the Nazi coalition.

In order to increase the interest among the younger generation in the topic of the Great Patriotic War and prevent the distortion of history, the servicemen of the Russian peacekeeping contingent will continue to regularly take part in the lessons of Courage. Together with the teachers, the peacekeepers will regularly meet with schoolchildren and students and tell them about the exploits of the heroes of the war of 1941-1945.

In addition to the campaign Family History – the History of Victory, the Humanitarian Response Center of the Russian peacekeeping contingent, in cooperation with the administrations of Mardakert, Martuni and Askeran districts, initiated work on the improvement of monuments to soldiers who went to the front from Nagorno-Karabakh and died during the Great Patriotic War.

These actions, carried out with the direct participation of the servicemen of the Russian peacekeeping contingent in Nagorno-Karabakh, will last until May 9 – Victory Day, the source said. 

The U.S. Army Goes to School on Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict

Foreign Policy
March 30 2021

A Turkish-made Bayraktar TB2 drone flies at Gecitkale Air Base near Famagusta in the self-proclaimed Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus on Dec. 16, 2019. BIROL BEBEK/AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES

When Azerbaijan took over the skies in its fight with Armenia over the disputed enclave of Nagorno-Karabakh last fall, winning the air war with commercial Turkish and kamikaze drones, one thing started to become clear to U.S. Army strategists: It’s becoming easier to hunt and kill troops than ever before—and to do so on the cheap.

With inexpensive, combat-ready drones proliferating on battlefields all over the world, in the not-too-distant future unsuspecting soldiers might get killed just by getting out of their positions for a moment to go to the bathroom.

“You can see video of tanks being hit by an unmanned aerial system, artillery positions being hit by an unmanned aerial system, troops being hit by an unmanned aerial system,” said Col. Scott Shaw, the outgoing head of the Army’s Asymmetric Warfare Group.

What has become apparent after Azerbaijan routed Armenia last fall, he said, is that not only will the U.S. military no longer enjoy uncontested air superiority against peer rivals like China—something Defense Department officials have long resigned themselves to—but that poorer nations can buy themselves a respectable air force mostly off the shelf.

“What’s clear in that conflict is that a less funded nation can do combined arms warfare,” Shaw said. “You don’t have to be the United States or Russia. The price point to entry into combined arms warfare is lower than initially thought. You don’t need something like the United States Air Force, a superbly trained, spectacular capability, in order to conduct potentially a local air-to-ground or air-to-air activity.”

During the six-week conflict, Azerbaijan deployed Turkish Bayraktar TB2 drones and loitering munitions, many of them Israeli-made, to shrink the battlefield and chip away at Armenia’s armored forces as well as the logistical tail that hadn’t even reached the front lines.

As Azerbaijan rolled up more territory in the disputed region, propaganda videos showing the destruction of Armenian convoys and ammunition depots became a calling card of the new military approach. In the waning days of the conflict, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev even touted a laundry list of Armenian equipment purportedly destroyed or captured, including nearly 250 tanks, 50 infantry fighting vehicles, and four Russian-made S-300 missile defense systems, as well as 198 trucks and 17 self-propelled artillery units. In mid-October, Aliyev credited Turkish drones with helping his military to destroy more than $1 billion worth of Armenian equipment.

But it’s not clear how those numbers translate into truth. Shaw said the tremendous amount of disinformation flying around on open-source networks made it difficult to figure out everything that happened in real time.

It’s also still not clear to experts that drones definitively tilt the balance toward attackers or defenders. Some think that the war in Nagorno-Karabakh is another sign that the days of the U.S. military relying on overwhelming “shock and awe” bombing campaigns, like those that marked the start of both Iraq wars, are over. Instead, the United States should prepare for a knock-down, drag-out fight, similar to attrition wars of the past.

“Basically they’re telling themselves a story through convergence and military shock and awe that they’re going to be able to create effects on an opponent that we know through history simply does not happen,” said Michael Kofman, a senior research scientist at CNA and a fellow at the Wilson Center’s Kennan Institute, referring to the U.S. Army’s current operating concept for future wars.

Automation is likely to move beyond the skies, too. Shaw, an infantry officer by training, sees weaker militaries following the U.S. lead by deploying unmanned ground and sea vehicles. “If it comes by air, it’s going to come by ground and eventually by sea,” Shaw said. “These unmanned systems are just going to proliferate because they’re cheaper, and they’re just going to get smaller and smaller.”

U.S. defense planners are already moving in that direction. Mark Esper, the former defense secretary, sought to reach the Trump administration’s goal of a 355-ship Navy by investing more into research and engineering for unmanned vessels. It’s not clear yet how the Biden administration will approach the future size and composition of the fleet, but the Navy and Marine Corps released a road map for the use of unmanned systems this month.

Meanwhile, unmanned aerial vehicles are becoming more lethal. Shaw noted that drones will increasingly resemble aerial tanks—flying, armored beasts that can pack a devastating punch. And as drones become harder to kill, troops on the ground will potentially become easier to kill, with battlefield surveillance also getting cheaper. That means the Army, which hasn’t changed its camouflage face paint pattern for more than two decades, needs to find new ways to avoid being spotted, and killed, even by a weaker opponent.

That’s creating new challenges for the U.S. style of maneuver warfare. Even communication over FM radio, which was standard operating procedure for U.S. troops fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan over the past two decades, will need to be rethought as countries like Russia are getting much more skilled at locating—and striking—units that are careless about staying unmasked on the electromagnetic spectrum.

“We need to be thinking about greater camouflage than just this,” Shaw said. “You can hide a vehicle wherever you want to hide it. Here’s what you can’t hide: the tracks that go into the position, the tank tracks, the mud rucks, or whatever. Same thing with footprints. So at the tactical [level], we’ve got to figure out how to mask our movements, mask our position, mask our headquarters.”

Shaw’s unit, which spent most of the past two decades sending specially trained advisors downrange to fight threats including improvised explosive devices in Iraq and information warfare in Europe, is closing in May, part of a previous reorganization effort by then-Defense Secretary Esper last year. An Army analysis assessed the need to use the group’s resources and manpower to prep for a major-power war.

But Shaw is busy briefing other service leaders, such as Army Training and Doctrine Command chief Gen. Paul Funk, on what he and his soldiers have learned from hours of poring over footage from the Nagorno-Karabakh fight. He has brought on a historian to write a full study of the group’s history.

And he’s hoping that the lessons from the group’s 20 years in business will stay in the Army’s bloodstream, even as service leaders turn their attention away from the wars of the Middle East to deal with an increasingly assertive China—which has also disrupted U.S. planning with increasingly accurate ranged missiles. The Army, which has long enjoyed a firepower advantage in static positions, will have to think about reinventing the wheel to be a constantly mobile force, avoiding detection and incoming fire.

“If survivability moves are constant, that increases your rate of consumption for food, water, fuel. People have to sleep,” Shaw said. “We’re going to have to have leaders who are comfortable operating under the uncomfortable.”

Jack Detsch is Foreign Policy’s Pentagon and national security reporter. Twitter: @JackDetsch

CivilNet: In New Report, US State Dept. Highlights Azerbaijan’s, Turkey’s Human Rights Abuses Against Armenians

CIVILNET.AM

02 Apr, 2021 03:04

By Emilio Luciano Cricchio 

The US State Department has affirmed Turkey’s involvement in the Second Karabakh War in its annual Country Reports on Human Rights Practices, noting that numerous human rights violations were committed against Armenians by Azerbaijan, “with Turkey’s backing.”

The report raised issue of the treatment of Armenian POWs, as well as other unlawful actions committed during the Second Karabakh War by Azerbaijan. These included arbitrary killings, torture, harsh prison conditions, and the killing of civilians. 

The Country Reports on Human Rights Practices is an annual publication submitted by the United States Department of State to Congress. It looks into a whole range of rights areas, including individual, civil, political, workers, minority, women’s, and other human rights focus points.

The report cited a number of examples to substantiate its findings regarding the Karabakh War, including video footage showing two Armenian POWs being executed in the village of Hadrut in Nagorno-Karabakh, an Amnesty International report focused on two Armenian civilians who nn were decapitated by Azerbaijani servicemen, the bombing of a hospital in the town of Martakert, and the targeting of civilian areas and infrastructure in Stepanakert with cluster munitions. 

Azerbaijan’s bombing of the Ghazanchetsots Cathedral in Shushi, its targeting of journalists and press, including those from CivilNet and other international media outlets, also made it into the list.

The report furthermore lamented that the Azerbaijani government had not pursued prosecution for officials who committed abuses stating that “impunity remains a problem.”

Russia documents fewer than 300 daily COVID-19 deaths for first time since Nov 9, 2020

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YEREVAN, MARCH 29, ARMENPRESS. Russia has documented 293 deaths from COVID-19 in the past 24 hours compared to 336 the day before. The overall death toll has reached 98,033, TASS reports citing the federal anti-coronavirus crisis center.

This is the lowest daily death toll since November 9, 2020, when 256 deaths were reported.

The preliminary COVID-19 lethality rate in Russia stands at 2.16%.

In particular, 49 deaths were recorded in Moscow, 30 in St. Petersburg, 12 in the Rostov Region, 11 each in the Moscow, Nizhny Novgorod and Krasnodar Regions.