ANKARA: Eurovision’s Song Remains The Same

EUROVISION’S SONG REMAINS THE SAME

Hurriyet
May 18 2009
Turkey

ISTANBUL – Though this year’s Eurovision Song Contest ended Saturday
night, with a victory for Norway, debate over the voting patterns in
the half-a-century-old cultural competition continues.

Norwegian performer Alexander Rybak, 23, received the highest number
of points from tele-voters and juries from 42 countries, setting a
new record of 387 points. The baby-faced singer garnered the most
points in Eurovision’s 53-year history with his song "Fairytale,"
outstripping Finland’s Lordi, which set the previous record in
2006. Turkey came in fourth, thanks to the support of Turks living
in Europe as well as that of neighboring countries such as Azerbaijan.

Minsk-born Rybak, who left Belarus with his musician parents when he
was four years old, earned the maximum number of points from several of
the former Soviet Union countries that participated in the event. In a
press conference right after the contest ended, Rybak said his victory
brought a mixture of happiness and sadness. According to the official
Eurovision Web site, Rybak "explained that Belarus is known for the
melancholy of its people, whereas the happiest people in the world live
in Norway. For him, the mix of both was a key for success." Asked about
a televised Norwegian talent show that he lost in 2006, Rybak said he
"wasn’t among the best" on that show, but that he was "one of the
best singers" in Eurovision and won because he "had a story to tell."

The second-place finisher, Iceland’s Yohanna, garnered 218 points for
the song "Is It True?" Aysel & Arash from Azerbaijan came in was third
with 207 points; their song, "Always," accompanied a folksy melody with
an acrobatic dance routine and two blonde female backup singers. Local
media in Azerbaijan welcomed the good news yesterday, as finishing
third was a first-of-its-kind success the country’s Eurovision history.

Turkish representative Hadise performed her song "Dum Tek Tek" at this
year’s event, which was held at Moscow’s Olimpisky Indoor Arena. She
took fourth place with 177 points. "I represented my country very
well," Hadise said after the competition.

Despite the change in the voting system this year, the essential
routine in the song contest did not change, as politics played a role
in the voting once again.

Over the past decades, six different systems have been used to pick
the winner of the Eurovision Song Contest. Tele-voting was introduced
in the late 1990s in response to accusations that the juries were
making their selections based on political considerations, but the
new system, which aimed to give power to the people, ended up favoring
former Yugoslavian and Soviet Union countries.

To try and tackle the issue of political votes and reciprocal ones from
neighboring countries, the organizers at the European Broadcasting
Union switched to yet another new system, one that attempts to give
equal weight to both the juries’ and the people’s votes.

"After all songs have been performed, viewers in all 42 participating
countries can vote by making a phone call and/or sending an SMS
for their favorite song. Professional juries in all 42 countries
vote as well," read an explanation on the Web site for this year’s
contest. "The tele-voting results and the jury results are then merged
for each country. Each result counts for 50 percent." Viewers are
allowed to vote up to 20 times, but, as always, cannot cast a vote
for his or her own country.

Staying loyal to the unwritten "neighbor voting" rules, Turkey
and Azerbaijan exchanged their 12 points, showing that Azerbaijan’s
resentment toward Turkey over its rapprochement policy with archrival
Armenia was not reflected in its voting pattern. Although Azerbaijan
did not give any votes to Armenia, it received one vote from Armenia,
which was seen as a gesture. Armenia gave 12 points to Russia, and,
for the first time, four points to Turkey, likely a direct result of
the normalization talks that have been recently initiated between the
two countries. Turkey closed its border with Armenia in solidarity
with Azerbaijan over the 20 percent of its territory that is under
Armenian occupation.

12 points from France

Turkey also received 12 points from its Balkan neighbor, Macedonia,
with which it enjoys friendly relations, and Hadise likewise got 12
points from Belgium, the country where she was born. The 12 points that
came from the United Kingdom, Switzerland and France are attributed to
both the sizable Turkish communities in each country and to the juries’
enjoyment of the song. French President Nicolas Sarkozy’s objection to
Turkish entry into European Union, under the argument that Turkey does
not belong to Europe, seems not to have affected the jury in Paris.

Croatia, Montenegro and Serbia each gave 12 votes to Bosnia and
Herzegovina, which came in ninth. Greece gave its maximum points to
the United Kingdom and received maximum points from Albania, Bulgaria
and Cyprus.

Britain had been billed as a favorite in the contest, but its
singer, Jade, only managed fifth place, despite renown composer
Andrew Lloyd Webber writing her song, the Associated Press reported
yesterday. Greece, another favorite, pinned its hopes on an elaborately
choreographed stage performance involving a giant flashing treadmill.

In its performance, Israel appealed for peace and harmony with
"There Must Be Another Way," sung in Arabic, Hebrew and English by
the Arab-Jewish duo Noa and Mira. Taking the contest seriously this
year did not result in a pleasing outcome for France, whose famous
singer Patricia Kaas could only garner 107 points, coming in seventh.

In a Eurovision first, crewmembers on the International Space Station
gave the command to start telephone voting in a video message from the
orbiting science laboratory. Moscow reportedly spent $42 million on the
five-day event, making it the most expensive competition in Eurovision
history, Reuters reported. As the winner, Norway will host the next
Eurovision Song Contest in 2010. Russia’s efforts to capitalize on the
prestigious event to showcase the nation’s hospitality and growing role
in modern society were undermined several hours before the start of the
competition when riot police attacked gay-pride rallies in the capital.

Police hauled away some 40 demonstrators, including British activist
Peter Tatchell and American Andy Thayer of Chicago, the co-founder
of the Gay Liberation Network, who had defied Moscow authorities and
tried to stage a banned demonstration.

Eurovision winner Rybak appeared to throw his support behind the
protesters when he said at the news conference, "Why did they [the
Moscow police] spend all their energy stopping gays in Moscow when
the biggest gay parade was here tonight?

Inga And Anush Arshakians With 92 Points Take The 10th Place In The

INGA AND ANUSH ARSHAKIANS WITH 92 POINTS TAKE THE 10TH PLACE IN THE "EUROVISION 2009" INTERNATIONAL SONG CONTEST

ARMENPRESS
May 18, 2009

YEREVAN, MAY 18, ARMENPRESS: Representatives of Armenia Inga and
Anush Arshakians with 92 points occupied the 10th place in the
"Eurovision 2009" international song contest. Winner was recognized
the representative of Norway Alexander Rybak with 387 points, who
from the very first moment of presentation of the voting results was
on the first place.

On the day before the final of the contest the bookmakers had predicted
that winner would be Norway. Iceland with 218 points took the second
place. The top ten includes Azerbaijan, Great Britain, Turkey, Estonia,
Greece, France and Bosnia-Herzegovina.

Armenia got the only highest score from the Czech Republic, 8, 7, 6,
points – from Israel, Belgium, Romania, France, Bulgaria and Turkey.

The winner of "Eurovision 2009" contest got the same crystal-made
microphone which was brought to Moscow from Belgrade last year by the
representative of Russia Dima Bilan. According to the contest rules
the "Eurovision 2010" will be held in the winner country.

Yerevan Mayor: Residents Of Nairit Neighborhood Are In No Danger

YEREVAN MAYOR: RESIDENTS OF NAIRIT NEIGHBORHOOD ARE IN NO DANGER

/PanARMENIAN.Net/
15.05.2009 19:57 GMT+04:00

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ Today Yerevan Mayor Gagik Beglaryan visited Nairit
Factory, where explosions occurred the day before.

He expressed his condolences to the families of the deceased and
informed that according to authorities in charge, residents of Nairit
neighborhood are in no danger and the environment is not threatened.

"We’ll take our best efforts to support the families of the deceased,"
the Mayor emphasized.

AGBU SCDC Chair Berj Shahbazian Visits AGBU Central Office in NY

AGBU Press Office
55 East 59th Street
New York, NY 10022-1112
Phone: 212.319.6383, x118
Fax: 212.319.6507
Email: [email protected]
Website:

PRESS RELEASE

Friday, May 15, 2009

AGBU SCDC Chair Berj Shahbazian Visits AGBU Central Office in New York
and Meets with President Berge Setrakian

On April 16, 2009, AGBU Southern California District Committee (SCDC)
Chair Berj Shahbazian visited the AGBU Central Office in New York to
become better acquainted with AGBU’s operations and worldwide programs,
especially those targeting the youth, to help promote them within the
district, and also to implement organizational initiatives that will
continue to align the SCDC’s operational practices with those of the
Central Office.

During his New York visit, Shahbazian was accompanied by Sinan Sinanian,
AGBU Central Board of Directors member and Chairman of the AGBU
Manoogian-Demirdjian School’s Board of Trustees.

AGBU President Setrakian welcomed Shahbazian to the AGBU Central Office
in midtown Manhattan, along with Yervant Demirjian, member of the
Central Board of Directors, and executive officers of the AGBU
headquarters. The meeting entailed a comprehensive overview of AGBU’s
organizational structure and worldwide programs and operations, followed
by individual in-depth meetings with the education, programs,
accounting, development, and press office departments and personnel.

"The AGBU Southern California District Committee (SCDC) will remain
committed to our root promise – to preserve and promote the Armenian
identity and heritage through educational, cultural and humanitarian
programs. This commitment will not just be in words, rather in our deeds
and the hours we will vest into our beloved community. Today, there is
nothing rarer and dearer to our hearts than to help our Armenian
community prosper by remaining true to our roots," Shahbazian said about
his role as SCDC Chair.

Berj Shabazian is well-known figure and contributing member of the
Armenian community in California. He is actively involved in several
Diocesan and community organization, was appointed to chair SCDC in
January and he was joined by several young and energetic new members.
Through a concerted effort, the AGBU Southern California District had
taken the initiative of expanding its activities, with added focus on
programs that reach out to the new generation and address their needs
and expectations in the context of the new and global outlook of AGBU.
On April 3, SCDC organized a banquet attended by leading members of
Southern California’s AGBU community and members of the clergy. The
gathering attracted hundreds of AGBU volunteers from every segment of
the SCDC family to exchange ideas about the new challenges and
opportunities for the local Armenian-American community.

With chapters in Glendale, Pasadena, Orange County, San Diego and San
Fernando, AGBU SCDC oversees a host of cultural, youth and educational
programs that include the Generation Next Mentorship Program, the
Ardavazt Theater Group, Sardarabad Dance Ensemble, the Hye Geen
movement, Asbeds, Young Professionals (Orange County & Los Angeles),
scouts, athletic teams, and a local Ladies’ Committee. SCDC carries on
AGBU’s mission and maintains a prominent role in one of the largest and
most vibrant Armenian communities in the world. Southern California is
also home to two of AGBU’s leading day schools, the Manoogian-Demirdjian
School (MDS) in Canoga Park and the AGBU Pasadena High School, which is
the first new day school to have been established in the Armenian
diaspora during the last decade.

Established in 1906, AGBU () is the world’s largest
non-profit Armenian organization. Headquartered in New York City, AGBU
preserves and promotes the Armenian identity and heritage through
educational, cultural and humanitarian programs, annually touching the
lives of some 400,000 Armenians on six continents.

www.agbu.org
www.agbu.org

Tornike Gordadze: Russia’s Maximum Plan Is To Make Russia Its Sateli

TORNIKE GORDADZE: RUSSIA’S MAXIMUM PLAN IS TO MAKE RUSSIA ITS SATELITE

/PanARMENIAN.Net/
14.05.2009 17:36 GMT+04:00

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ "The war between Georgia and Russia had a brader
areal," Tornike Gordadze, Director of Caucasus Studies Centre
under French Institute of Anatolian Studies, said during the
conference on "Observing Security in South Caucasus: Stability and
Transformation". According to Mr. Gordadze, the conflict started
on August 7, 2008. "The war was just an episode of Russian-Georgian
conflict which had begun much earlier and probably continues to date,"
he added.

"The war can cerrtainly be viewed in a broader context. There were some
activists who insisted on Russian-Georgian conflict being in process
for 4 centuries," Mr. Gordadze noted, emphasizing that both parties’
policies proposed very strange and non-academic interpretations of
Russian-Georgian history. "One the one hand, RF Ministers argued that
their country had created the Georgian state. Georgian politicians,
one the other hand, argued that Georgia always led heroic battles
with Russia."

"Russia’s minimum plan was to make Georgia a neutral neighbor not
belonging to any geopolitical group, and its maximum plan was to make
the country its satelite," Gordadze said, noting that Georgia has been
Russia’s satelite since 1994-95, atlhough this led to nothing good.

Russian military bases were deployed in Georgia. The appointed
ministers were representatives from Russia but that didn’t produce
a positive result either. This too, caused Georgia to change its
geopolitical orientation. Certainly, war was not the only political
tool. There were other tools such as energy resources, Georgia’s
internal conflicts, pressure upon diaspora in 2006, as well as econimic
pressure," Mr. Gordadze said, adding that tensity in Russian-Georgian
relations was observed under President Shevardnadze. Gordadze finds
Georgia the only CIS country conflicting with Georgia on different
issues.

Since the start of 2008, all this was likely to lead to war. Russia’s
reaction to Western countries’ recognition of Kosovo was so harsh
that its further steps in Caucasus were evident. And that will
be a response to Caucasus and first of all, to Georgia," he said,
stressing that on March 6, a few weeks after Kosovo’s reognition,
Russia denounced CIS Treaty on Blockading Unrecognized States. This
was followed by the Bucharest Summit (held early in April), where
Georgia was denied NATO membership. War could have been avoided had
West been more active. But it’s also thanks to West that the war
ended so soon," the Georgian politician said, noting that West has
changaed its attitide to Russia following the war.

Conference On The Security Environment In The South Caucasus To Be H

CONFERENCE ON THE SECURITY ENVIRONMENT IN THE SOUTH CAUCASUS TO BE HELD IN YEREVAN

armradio.am
12.05.2009 13:48

An international scientific conference on the "Reassessment of the
Security Environment in the South Caucasus: Regional conflicts and
stability" organized jointly by the Institute for National Strategic
Studies of the Armenian Ministry of Defense and the Center for Defense
and International Security Research of the Jean Mullen University of
Lyons (France) will take place in Yerevan from 14 to 15 May.

Reference will be made to issues of the intensively changing security
in the South Caucasus in the context of comprehensive discussions on
the new security architecture over the Euro-Atlantic area.

The conference will feature about 20 renowned experts and scholars
from Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Russia, Turkey, Iran, France,
United Kingdom, Norway, the United States and other countries.

Palestinians Seek Papal Pressure On Israel

PALESTINIANS SEEK PAPAL PRESSURE ON ISRAEL

Associated Press Online
May 8, 2009 Friday 8:56 AM GMT

Palestinian officials are using Pope Benedict XVI’s visit next week
to spotlight their disputes with Israel, and in doing so, are drawing
criticism that they are playing politics with an event meant to bridge
differences in the Holy Land.

Palestinian leaders this week made public a long-simmering dispute
over Israeli plans to demolish part of a Catholic church that was
allegedly built illegally. That followed an argument with Israel over
a plan to host the pope in an outdoor theater the Palestinians were
building alongside Israel’s massive West Bank separation barrier.

A Palestinian official said on Thursday that the plan has been scrapped
due to Israeli pressure.

The pope will start his five-day visit Monday after a stop in Jordan
over the weekend. He said he will be visiting as a "pilgrim of peace."

On Wednesday, Rafiq Husseini, an aide to Palestinian President Mahmoud
Abbas, told a news conference the pontiff "should come to see the
suffering of the Palestinian people and not just to see the stones
and historical churches in Palestine."

Husseini said Palestinian officials would raise a list of grievances
with the pope, including Israeli restrictions on access of Palestinian
Muslims and Christians to places of worship in Jerusalem.

Israeli Foreign Ministry spokesman Yigal Palmor accused the
Palestinians of trying to reap "propaganda gains" from the pope’s
visit. "It will serve the cause of peace much better if this visit
is taken for what it is, a pilgrimage, a visit for the cause of peace
and unity," he said.

During stops in Jerusalem, Nazareth and the West Bank town of
Bethlehem, Benedict hopes to promote relations between Israelis and
Palestinians and strengthen the church’s frayed ties with Muslims
and Jews. He is also expected to meet a small group of Catholics from
Gaza in Bethlehem.

Hatem Abdel Qader, the Jerusalem affairs adviser to Palestinian
Prime Minister Salam Fayyad, has led the campaign to publicize the
pending demolition order for two floors of dormitory housing built
atop the Armenian Catholic Church in Jerusalem’s Old City. The shrine
is located in the Old City, along the Via Dolorosa, the path that
tradition says Jesus took to his crucifixion.

Abdel Qader said it is part of a bigger effort to draw attention to
Israel’s policy of demolishing illegally built homes and structures
in Arab areas of Jerusalem.

The Jerusalem municipality says the top floors of the church were
built without a permit, and Israeli maintains all demolitions are
strictly a legal matter. But Palestinians say it is almost impossible
to obtain a building permit and the demolitions are meant to reinforce
Israeli control over the disputed city.

"It’s not only a case of houses. It’s also a case of mosques and
churches.

It’s not a political issue anymore. It’s also a religious issue,"
said Abdel Qader.

Abdel Qader did not explicitly say the pope’s visit was behind his
decision to announce the demolition order now, two years after Israeli
authorities issued the order.

But both Jerusalem City Hall and church officials said they have
been working quietly to resolve the dispute and criticized Abdel
Qader for taking the issue public. Both sides suggested the church
would be able to seek retroactive approval for the additional floors,
which contain rooms for monks and church workers.

"They have until November to either take down the additional structure
themselves or to file for the additional permits," said mayoral
spokesman Stephan Miller.

Another dispute arose last week over a Palestinian plan to receive
Benedict in the Aida refugee camp in the West Bank, next to the
towering cement wall that is part of Israel’s separation barrier. The
Palestinians say they chose the spot to highlight life under Israeli
military occupation.

Israel says the barrier separating the West Bank from Israel is
a security measure needed to keep out Palestinian attackers. But
Palestinians have denounced it as a land grab, since much of the
barrier is located inside the West Bank, slicing off large chunks of
land the Palestinians seek for an independent state.

The Israeli government ordered the construction to stop, saying
organizers in Aida lack the necessary permits and the site’s proximity
to the wall poses a security risk.

On Thursday, Palestinian lawmaker Essa Qaraqie said the organizing
committee had changed the spot to a U.N. school in the camp "after
huge Israeli pressure."

Wadi Abu Nassar, a local spokesman for the pope, said the Roman
Catholic Church is concerned that such disputes will overshadow the
spiritual meaning of his trip. "I urge all parties to collaborate
to make this visit as successful as possible and not to abuse it,"
he said.

Russia will play significant role in NK settlement, Turkey’s ex-FM

Interfax, Russia
May 5 2009

Russia will play significant role in Karabakh settlement, Turkey’s ex-
foreign minister

BAKU May 5

Russia must play a greater role in the settlement of the
Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, said Hikmet Cetin, Turkey’s former foreign
minister and NATO’s senior civilian representative in Afghanistan.

Russia is an important country in the region and it is an important
factor in the region, Cetin told reporters in Baku on Tuesday.

Therefore, Russia must necessarily join the Turkey-proposed Caucasus
Stability Pact, he said.

Cetin said he had been observing important rays of hope for settling
the Karabakh conflict in Russia’s policies. Azeri President Ilham
Aliyev’s latest visit to Moscow and his talks with Russian President
Dmitry Medvedev on the Karabakh problem were important, he also
said. Russia will hopefully make a significant contribution to the
settlement of the Nagorno Karabakh conflict, Cetin said.

This conflict can only be settled through dialogue between Azerbaijan
and Armenia with the participation of and support from the United
States, Russia, Turkey and international organizations, he said.

Ilham Aliyev and Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan will hopefully make
important steps in Prague to settle the problem, he said. The U.S.,
NATO, Russia and Turkey’s greater role in this process will be useful,
Cetin said.

AAA Disappointed With Washington’s Decision To Cut Aid To Armenia

AAA DISAPPOINTED WITH WASHINGTON’S DECISION TO CUT AID TO ARMENIA

PanARMENIAN.Net
08.05.2009 16:53 GMT+04:00

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ Armenian Assembly of America considers incorrect
the decision of the U.S. administration to cut financial assistance
to Armenia for Fiscal Year 2010 (FY). Regional director of AAA in
Armenia and Nagorno Karabakh Arpi Vartanian stated this.

"We are disappointed with that decision of administration. AAA will
cooperate with U.S. congressmen and senators in order to prevent
misbalance in the South Caucasus," stressed the regional director
of AAA, adding that U.S. administration must realize importunacy
of balance in the region. According to her, Ð~PÐ~PÐ~P will draw
administration’s attention to the fact, that Turkey and Azerbaijan
continue blockading Armenia. "We think that circumstance must be taken
into account at the moment of making decision on financial assistance,"
emphasized Arpi Vartanian.

US administration in his Fiscal Year 2010 International Affairs
budget requested cut aid to Armenia. The budget request also upsets
the balance of military aid parity between Armenia and Azerbaijan.

In particular, the U.S. administration proposes to provide $30 million
in Economic Assistance. Additionally, the budget did not include
funding for Nagorno Karabakh, while in FY 2009 Congress approved
$8 million.

Besides, the Administration’s FY 2010 funding proposal for Foreign
Military Financing calls for $3 million for Armenia and $4 million for
Azerbaijan. The proposed budget also suggests $900,000 for Azerbaijan
versus $450,000 for Armenia in International Military Education and
Training assistance.

Finally The ARF Has Resumed Its Traditional Role

FINALLY THE ARF HAS RESUMED ITS TRADITIONAL ROLE
By Michael Mensoian

Asbarez
lly-the-arf-has-resumed-its-traditional-role-2/
Ma y 8th, 2009

For close to a century, Armenians have lived with the psychological
and emotional trauma caused by the genocide. In addition, Armenians
have suffered the indignity of having their centuries-long occupation
of historic Armenia not only challenged, but their physical imprint
upon the land destroyed by their oppressors, and their right to
justice ignored or questioned.

The genocide took the lives of over 1.5 million innocent Armenian men,
women, and children. It caused the forced abandonment of Armenian homes
and lands, and the confiscation and destruction of Armenian churches
and the sacred lands where their deceased ancestors had rested for
centuries. The genocide stole the birthright of thousands of young
Armenian women who only survived by being forced to serve alien
masters. Today, Yerevan is on a path that seeks the normalization
of relations with a government that has maintained a century-long
policy of denying, rewriting, and obfuscating these horrific events
that have been recorded in the archives of history.

Ankara and Yerevan recently agreed to a "road map" to facilitate
negotiations that will lead to a normalization of relations. One
wonders how Yerevan can expect to achieve normalcy when it is apparent
that the Turkish leadership has no intention of recognizing the
Armenian Genocide (see "Why Would Turkey acknowledge the Armenian
Genocide," the Armenian Weekly, Feb. 10, 2006) or of changing its
position supporting the territorial integrity of its ally Azerbaijan
with respect to the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. These are rational
assumptions since the Karabakhtsis and the Armenian people, both
within Armenia and throughout the diaspora can only speculate as to
the concessions to be given and the benefits to be received as the
result of these negotiations.

To date, the political leaders in Yerevan have either been unwilling
or unable to understand the potential dangers that are attached to
this process of normalization that far exceed the difficulties the
country is currently experiencing. One can only surmise the intense
external pressures being placed upon Yerevan to seek normalization
as it navigates the Machiavellian world of international politics.

Despite the emphasis on genocide recognition in the United States
Congress, as well as President Barack Obama’s well-documented personal
views on the Armenian Genocide, his administration has turned its
back to the plight of the Armenian nation. Contrary to his stated
position of not wanting to do anything that may influence ongoing
negotiations between Turkey and Armenia, Obama’s comments during
his recent visit to Turkey and the policy of his administration send
an entirely different message. His long-awaited message on the 94th
anniversary of the Armenian Genocide was political verbiage at its
best. The politically naive leaders of the Diaspora in the United
States were deceived once again (see "Caveat Emptor When Shopping
for Normalization in the Turkish Marketplace," the Armenian Weekly,
March 25, 2009).

This headlong rush toward normalization since the meeting of
President Abdullah Gul and President Serge Sarkisian in Yerevan
received its first serious setback on April 27 when the ARF withdrew
its participation in Yerevan’s coalition government. Although this
was not an unexpected development, it should have occurred months
earlier. By withdrawing their support of Sarkisian, the ARF announced
that it will "…be guided exclusively by…national interests and
goals when addressing the normalization of Armenian-Turkish relations
and the resolution of the Nagorno-Karabakh (Artsakh) conflict."

By assuming their role as the loyal opposition, the ARF has injected
itself into the normalization process, unfettered by the constraints
that hobbled it as a coalition partner. Sarkisian must realize
the serious consequences should he present any agreement as a fait
accompli. This would be a serious setback for the democratization
process in Armenia. The normalization of relations with Turkey
is a historic moment in contemporary Armenian history. The ARF, by
reassuming its traditional, role takes center stage in this process. It
becomes essentially the watchdog, the last line of defense, protecting
both the future of the country and of all Armenians. As the only
effective counterbalance to the present administration in Yerevan,
the ARF has put the administration on notice that it will monitor the
government’s actions, propose alternative strategies, and publicly
evaluate the national security issues that may be adversely impacted
by the direction the negotiations appear to be going.

A baseline for determining the value of normalization is the
Turkish leadership’s willingness to engage Armenia in resolving the
legitimate issues between the two countries that have existed for
nearly a century. One does not expect the slate to be wiped clean by
Turkish acquiescence to every issue that Yerevan, prodded by the ARF,
might propose. However, it is necessary that Turkey commits itself
to a good-faith effort to ameliorate conditions that have festered
for nearly a century. Absent that, there is no benefit to be gained
by normalizing relations. Presently there is no indication that the
leadership or those factions that influence the government, such as
the military, are willing to face these issues head-on. There is
no need to repeat the issues that must be addressed, but they are
summed up in the full meaning of Hai Tahd: recognition, restitution,
reparations, and rectification.

The Turkish offer to normalize relations, which Armenia’s political
leaders seem so eager to accept, recasts Faust’s bargain with the
devil as a victory. Contrary to Armenia’s oft-stated objections,
Turkey still speaks of the preconditions necessary for normalized
relations. Ankara is engaged in a very astute diplomatic offensive that
began with Gul’s visit to Armenia last year (see "Normalization Can
Never Be Worth Turkey’s Asking Price," the Armenian Weekly, Dec. 6,
2008). Turkey has neither the need, and even less the desire, to
normalize relations with Armenia if the cost is genocide recognition
or Karabakh’s de jure independence.

Ankara’s goal is to carry on negotiations under conditions aided and
abetted by the United States that require Armenia to consider difficult
choices. It is a diplomatic offensive that, just prior to the announced
intervention of the ARF, was close to achieving its objective. For the
Turkish leaders it was a win-win situation. If their gambit succeeded
Armenia would have been checkmated. If Armenia refused to play the
game as Ankara defined it, Turkey would have burnished its image as
a country "willing to forget the past" and of reaching out to its
intransigent neighbor.

The "interested" nations and the "think tanks" that play academic
games solving crises eagerly encourage Armenia to come to terms
with Turkey. This was the end-goal of Turkey’s present diplomatic
offensive-to pressure Armenia to accept compromises that are inimical
to its long-term interests. However, Turkey is no longer free to pursue
its diplomatic offensive unchallenged. The ARF has the organizational
structure, credibility, and experience gained during the past century
as Turkey’s principal adversary in the international arena to augment,
redirect, and evaluate strategies that will protect the national
security and enhance the future of the Armenian nation.

What effect Russia and Iran have on these negotiations is best known to
Yerevan. However, there is no question that Russia would do whatever
it can to have Azerbaijani energy resources redirected through its
extensive pipeline system that supplies Europe. Fortunately, this runs
counter to Turkish-United States interests. For the present at least,
the United States is a more reliable ally for Turkey than Russia would
be. Also, Armenia is the only military foothold that Russia can depend
upon in the south Caucasus. For Russia to support Turkey to bring these
negotiations to a successful conclusion at Armenia’s and Karabakh’s
expense could be a dangerous game to play. A resurgent Turkey would
confront Russia in the south Caucasus supported by the United States,
the European Union, and their military component, NATO. Turkey would
have the necessary springboard to extend its influence into central
Asia where it would also confront Russia’s head-on.

In 1991, the independence of Armenia was heralded by Armenians with
joy and expectation that finally their Armenia was on the threshold
of a new and promising era. A few years later, Artsakh (Karabakh) won
its independence from Azerbaijan in a devastating war for liberation,
and just recently Barack Obama, who had stated in no uncertain terms
during his presidential campaign that the Armenian Genocide was a
fact of history, was elected president. From these once promising
beginnings, the Armenian people are witness to bilateral negotiations
between Ankara and Yerevan that appear to lack any meaningful quid
pro quo for Armenia.

Although it is important that Armenia and Turkey normalize relations,
it cannot come about by the Sarkisian Administration sacrificing the
future security or potential of the Armenian nation. It cannot come
about by sacrificing Artsakh. And it cannot come about by sacrificing
Hai Tahd. That is the heavy burden that the ARF finally assumed on
April 27.

www.asbarez.info/2009/05/08/fina