Armenia Telecom Market Strategic Analysis, Insights, Forecasts and Opportunities to 2021-2025

The Host, UK
Nov 1 2021

This contemporary research presentation and detailed market research synopsis on Armenia Telecom market is a real time presentation of all the specific market developments that have a lingering impact on current growth trajectory, besides also harping on vital predications in the realm of future growth scope. This report on Armenia Telecom market also sheds critical understanding on the historical growth trail, mediated by several market components that collectively influenced the uncompromised growth trail.

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A bird’s eye view analytical approach has been primary to gauge decisive market trends in the Armenia Telecom market, citing specific input on essential factors such as overall household income and the core factors that mediate reliance on Armenia Telecom market. The report highlights various factors and reasons that collectively influence the psyche of market participants and stakeholders and their collective comprehension about the need and requirement of Armenia Telecom offerings. Factors as such are anticipated to favorably influence and manifest ample growth prospects in Armenia Telecom market, positioning it as a high profile business venture amongst stakeholders.

Leading Market players including:

Company 1
Company 2
Company 3

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This intensive research presentation on Armenia Telecom market is well crafted by various research experts with ample investments in both primary and secondary research methodologies, to specifically incur substantial information on Armenia Telecom industry forecasts that tangibly have a lingering influence on strategic business discretion and investment planning. Armenia Telecom market in its detailed analytical review and research analysis presentation closely follows dominant trends, regulatory compliance as well as high end commercial collaborations, macro and micro economic determinants that ultimately influence mindful business decisions in Armenia Telecom market.

Armenia Telecom market Segmentation by Type:

Type 1
Type 2
Type 3

Armenia Telecom market Segmentation by Application:

By Applications

Market segment by Region/Country including:

Decisive input on competition intelligence, internationally acknowledged analytical tools such as SWOT analysis, PESTEL analysis as well PORTER’s Five Point analysis have all been critically analyzed in this decisive report to logically decipher competition intensity, opportunity assessment as well as barrier analysis, duly brainstormed by LNG Analysis in its report on Armenia Telecom market.

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Table of Contents:
Chapter 1. Executive Summary
Chapter 2. Research Methodology
Chapter 3. Market Outlook
Chapter 4. Armenia Telecom Market Overview, By Application
Chapter 5. Armenia Telecom Market Overview, By Region
Chapter 6. Company Profiles

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A Geopolitical Reshuffle in the South Caucasus

Nov 2 2021

One of its most important points in the trilateral statement signed by Armenia’s prime minister Nikol Pashinyan, Azerbaijan’s president Ilham Aliyev, and Russia’s president Vladimir Putin in Moscow on 10 November 2020—which established the ceasefire and capitulation of armed forces of the Republic of Armenia in the Second Karabakh War—is the unblocking of transport communications in the South Caucasus region.

Although the trilateral statement mentions reconnecting the Nakhchivan exclave with the main body of Azerbaijan (via the Zangezur corridor) in particular, its ninth point begins with the simple and universal statement: “All economic and transport connections in the region shall be unblocked.”

For the last year, Armenia has found different ways to block the implementation even of the Zangezur Corridor project, even though it is to everyone’s benefit. In the most recent weeks, however, this has been changing. Obstacles in Armenian domestic politics appear to be in the process of being overcome, as Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan succeeds more and more in institutionalizing his government.

Pashinyan won snap parliamentary elections in Armenia in June 2021, despite Yerevan’s catastrophic loss of the Second Karabakh War a year ago. This occurred because of the complete political bankruptcy of the “Karabakh clan” that was hegemonic on the Armenian political scene from the late 1990s through 2018. Since the election earlier this year, Pashinyan has been able to install practical cooperation-minded personnel in key ministries and reduce the influence of the Yerevan “war party.”

The former defense minister Davit Tonoyan, for example, whose infamous slogan, “new war for new territories” typified the aggressive outlook of the old regime, is now under arrest for corruption along with other figures in the defense sector of the economy. On October 15, Pashinyan visited Moscow and agreed to open a railway between Nakhchivan and Azerbaijan proper, across the southern Armenian region Syunik, which borders Iran.

As the noted Russian military expert Igor Korotchenko correctly observed in a recent interview, the Zangezur corridor will make it possible to launch international transport communications in the full region. In his assessment, pragmatic Armenian politicians understand the benefits of the Zangezur corridor for Armenia and are ready to participate in it, but “they are afraid of becoming victims of a witch-hunt.” There are threats of terrorist attacks and assassination attempts even against Pashinyan and his family. Korotchenko is editor-in-chief of the authoritative review National Defense and a former chairman (and current member) of the Public Council at Russia’s Ministry of Defense.

Further according to Korotchenko, despite the “revanchism” (literally, “revenge-seeking”) of “part of the population and part of politicians in Armenia,” nevertheless “Yerevan has an understanding of the benefits of the Zangezur corridor.”

Peace and the development of Armenia are now incompatible with territorial claims against Azerbaijan. “I think they are [finally] ready participate in projects to unblock communications, including work on the opening of the Zangezur corridor,” Korotchenko recently said. This is frustrating to the militant fringes of the Armenian diaspora, particularly in the United States, which has become even more vituperative and aggressive in its attacks on the “peace party” in Yerevan, in Baku, indeed in Washington itself.

The Zangezur transport corridor is the headline project here but not the only one. It will catalyze the development of economic ties within the so-called “3+3” initiative (also called the “Six-way platform”) that brings together the three South Caucasus countries plus Iran, Russia, and Turkey. To take just one example, Armenia, which lost its land connections with Iran that had gone through the de-occupied Azerbaijani territories, will gain a rail connection with Iran through Nakhchivan.

But that is not all. Azerbaijan has surprised observers with the strength and resolve of its efforts to develop the de-occupied territories. According to one estimate, Baku has already invested almost $3 billion to promote such redevelopment. High-profile projects include roadways to improve connections to the rest of the country and airports (notably,  but not only Fizuli, which has already opened) that will also promote international links, including tourism.

The Azerbaijani government has provided tax benefits and created economic development zones in order to promote its initiatives. There are also initiatives to build “smart villages” and renewable-energy infrastructure. Most phenomenally, almost the whole region now has electrical power, including parts did not have it even before the last war. It is indeed likely that the Karabakh region will become, as Rosbalt’s correspondent Irina Dzhorbenadze put it, “an investment center of Azerbaijan” for years to come.

With the price of oil not far from $100 per barrel, whereas Baku’s state budget had been planned according to an expectation of $45 per barrel, Azerbaijan has become and will continue to be the economic driver of economic development in the South Caucasus region for the foreseeable future. Past Armenian governments, led by the now politically bankrupt “Karabakh clan” had earlier refused Turkish proposals for all-round economic cooperation and development. That was nearly a generation ago, and the Armenian public is tired of mass poverty and elite corruption.

Pashinyan is not a newcomer to Armenian politics. He had long been a supporter of Levon Ter-Petrosyan, the country’s president from 1991 until his forced resignation in 1998. When Ter-Petrosyan ran for president again in 2008, eventually losing to Serzh Sargsyan of the Karabakh, Pashinyan was one of his most outspoken supporters. Pashinyan made accusations of vote-rigging and fraud, and he was eventually jailed for “organizing mass disorders.”

Before becoming prime minister during Armenia’s “velvet revolution,” Pashinyan had been notable for his criticisms of Armenian state dependence—indeed vassalage—to Russia. The “back-story” to present-day state-to-state relations between Armenia and Azerbaijan is therefore more complicated than appears at first glance.

Russia, however, is well aware of this back-story, and it was a signal that they remained neutral in the 2021 snap parliamentary elections. These elections were an electoral battle mainly between Pashinyan and the other dominant Karabakh-clan politician, Robert Kocharyan, who had been president from 1998 to 2008. Today, even Russian security elites have pragmatically recognized that in some ways good relations with Baku are more important to Moscow than is the subjection of Yerevan.

 

Robert M. Cutler is a Fellow at the Canadian Global Affairs Institute.


The California Courier Online, October 28, 2021

 1-         Pres. Erdogan Withdraws Empty Threat
            To Expel 10 Western Ambassadors
            By Harut Sassounian
            Publisher, The California Courier
            www.TheCaliforniaCourier.com
2-         Letter to the Editor
3-         Mandatory testing and vaccination: new restrictions in Armenia
4-        Dr. Armand Dorian named CEO of USC Verdugo Hills Hospital
5-         Armenia Continues Fight Against COVID-19

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1-         Pres. Erdogan Withdraws Empty Threat

            To Expel 10 Western Ambassadors

            By Harut Sassounian
            Publisher, The California Courier
            www.TheCaliforniaCourier.com
Once again, Pres. Recep Tayyip Erdogan made empty threats. He
boastfully proclaimed that he would expel the ambassadors of 10
Western countries, including the United States, for issuing a
declaration urging the release of a Turkish human rights activist. He
has been wrongly jailed since 2017 without any conviction.

Here are the twists of Erdogan’s irate words. On October 20, he
harshly criticized and threatened to expel 10 foreign ambassadors who
made a joint declaration on Oct. 18, urging the Turkish government to
release philanthropist Osman Kavala immediately from jail. The 10
countries are: The US, Germany, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, the
Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway and Sweden. On the fourth anniversary
of Kavala’a jailing, the ambassadors encouraged Turkey to find a “just
and speedy resolution to his case.” They warned that Kavala’s
continued detention “cast a shadow over respect for democracy, the
rule of law and transparency in the Turkish judicial system.”

After his initial arrest in 2017, Kavala was acquitted in 2020 of the
accusations against him, but was rearrested on new baseless charges.
Turkey ignored the 2019 ruling of the European Court of Human Rights
calling for the immediate release of Kavala. The European Council
warned Turkey that if it does not comply with the European Court’s
ruling by Nov. 30, 2021, it could suspend its voting rights or even
membership in the Council.

Erdogan lashed back at these ambassadors by saying: “Is it within your
boundary to teach such a lesson to Turkey? Who are you? I told our
foreign minister that we cannot have the luxury of hosting them in our
country.” Erdogan added: “They go to bed, they get up, Kavala,
Kavala…. Kavala is the Turkish branch of [George] Soros. Ten
ambassadors come to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs for him. What kind
of rudeness is this? What do you think this place is? This is Turkey,
Turkey. This place is not what you think — a tribal state. This is
glorious Turkey. You can’t just get up and come to the Ministry of
Foreign Affairs to give instructions. I gave the necessary
instructions to our Minister of Foreign Affairs. I told him what to
do. I said, ‘you will immediately deal with these 10 ambassadors
declaring them persona non grata [an unwelcome person] as soon as
possible.’ They will know Turkey. The day they do not know or
understand Turkey, they will leave this place.”

After their declaration, the 10 ambassadors were summoned to the
Turkish Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Afterwards, the Ministry said
that “the ambassadors were warned.”

The real question is: Who the hell Erdogan thinks he is to warn the
envoys of these countries? By making such a threat, Erdogan just added
another wrinkle to the existing problems with Pres. Joe Biden on the
eve of the G20 summit in Rome, where the two leaders are supposed to
meet. Contrary to Pres. Donald Trump who went to great lengths to
accommodate Erdogan’s wishes, Pres. Biden has taken a much tougher
line on Turkey. Not surprisingly, The New York Times reported that
“the Biden administration was the driving force behind the letter, in
keeping with the president’s policy of publicly calling out states
over human rights violations.”

Seven of the 10 countries that had signed the letter are members of
NATO, while six of them are European Union members. European
Parliament President David Sassoli issued a hard-hitting statement.
“The expulsion of ten ambassadors is a sign of the authoritarian drift
of the Turkish government. We will not be intimidated. Freedom for
Osman Kavala.”

By threatening to expel the 10 ambassadors, Erdogan is engaging in his
usual trick of demagogy as his political rating has plummeted risking
his reelection in 2023. He prefers to raise his own popularity while
damaging Turkey’s reputation around the world. He frequently creates
artificial external crises to deflect the public’s attention from the
dire internal conditions. Meanwhile, the Turkish economy has hit rock
bottom with massive unemployment and poverty. The Turkish Lira has
dropped to a record low of almost 10 Liras per dollar from 1.3 Lira
per dollar from when Erdogan became Prime Minister in 2003.

Even though Erdogan refuses to heed anyone’s advice, he finally came
to his senses, realizing that he cannot go forward with his threatened
expulsion. He was caught in the horns of a dilemma. If he reversed his
decision and allowed the ambassadors to stay, he would lose face in
front of the Turkish public. However, should he have proceeded with
his expulsion order, he may have caused irreversible damage to
Turkey’s economy and relations with the West.

Erdogan was quoted on Oct. 21 as saying that the 10 ambassadors would
not release “bandits, murderers and terrorists” in their own
countries. Thus, Erdogan was urging Western countries not to interfere
with Turkey’s judicial system. While Erdogan is making such a
provocative statement, he himself repeatedly pressured Pres. Trump to
quash the investigation of the Turkish Halkbank which is accused of
money laundering and conspiracy, helping Iran to evade U.S. sanctions.
Erdogan was trying to cover up his own ties to the Halkbank scheme.

Pres. Erdogan’s aides explained to him the catastrophic repercussions
of his threatened expulsion of the 10 ambassadors. Naturally, these 10
countries would have retaliated by expelling Turkey’s ambassadors.
There were dozens of irate articles in the United States and European
countries stating that they were fed up with Turkey’s hostile behavior
and illegal actions.

That same message was relayed to Turkey through private diplomatic
channels. Finally, a compromise was found to deescalate the crisis.
The U.S. Embassy in Ankara tweeted on Oct. 25: “in response to
questions regarding the Statement of October 18, the United States
notes that it maintains compliance with Article 41 of the Vienna
Convention on Diplomatic Relations.” Other embassies, including those
of Canada, New Zealand and the Netherlands, posted similar messages.
Germany and France retweeted the U.S. Embassy’s tweet. Article 41 of
the Vienna Convention bars ambassadors from interfering in the
domestic affairs of host countries.

The Turkish Anadolu news agency gleefully tweeted in response: “The
U.S. Embassy in Ankara has given in,” adding that Erdogan welcomed the
U.S. tweet. Erdogan announced after a Cabinet meeting on Oct. 25 that
the ambassadors had backtracked on their “defamation of our judiciary
and our country.”

Whichever U.S. official decided to send the second tweet which was
interpreted as “backing down” from condemning Turkey’s violations of
human rights, should be immediately fired. How can the U.S. government
send one message a few days earlier and then turn around and
contradict it? What happened to Pres. Biden’s policy of publicly
calling out states over human rights violations? A U.S. State
Department spokesman responded by saying that its second tweet was
meant to underscore that the U.S. envoy’s actions were in keeping with
the Vienna Convention.

Unless the U.S. government keeps its promise to come to the defense of
human rights around the world, Erdogan and others will keep on
violating with impunity the basic rights of their people. There should
be no backing down and no contradictory messages in this regard. It is
now up to the European Court of Human Rights to hold Erdogan’s feet to
the fire.

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2-         Letter to the Editor

Dear Editor:

Harut Sassounian’s recent column was certainly correct in urging the
community to take preemptive steps to prevent the despicable
historical revisionism campaigns by the Azeri dictator and his
consulates. One of the most important preemptive steps would be to
elect more Armenian-Americans to public office.

In 2009, a lobbyist for Azerbaijan tried to convince members of the
California State Legislature to sign a disgusting letter about Khojalu
that accused Armenians of “genocide.” The Azeri Consul General who was
orchestrating this embarrassing public relations stunt was humiliated
when only one out of 120 members of the Legislature signed on to the
letter. The only reason that happened was because I was a member of
the State Assembly at that time, and my colleagues in the Legislature
immediately called me to ask about it. I was able to notify every
member of the Assembly and the Senate directly about this propaganda
effort, and I could explain to them why it was an outrageous lie that
they should not support. If I had not been there as their elected
colleague, I’m sure many would have signed it without a second
thought. That incident really demonstrates why having a seat at the
table of power matters.

The petrodollar-funded Azeri propaganda machine is relentless and
mind-numbingly false. In Orwellian fashion, the Azeri dictator wants
to convince the world that the aggressor and war criminal is the
victim; that the indigenous Armenian people of Artsakh are occupiers;
that ancient Armenian churches and cemeteries in Artsakh are not
Armenian; that the right of the courageous people of Artsakh to demand
self-determination and liberty may legitimately be crushed by brute
force; and that the corrupt Azeri kleptocracy is a model of openness
and democratic values. These are the kind of Big Lies that would make
Joseph Goebbels proud, and they are an extension of deliberate
cultural genocide. The Armenian community must stand against these
lies everywhere they arise, and everyone who cares about truth and
justice must join us.

Paul Krekorian

Los Angeles City Councilmember

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3-         Mandatory testing and vaccination: new restrictions in Armenia

By Armine Avetisyan

Another wave of Covid is hitting Armenia. According to official
statistics, there are approximately 1,000 new cases per day against
nearly 3 million inhabitants. The number of deaths also rises with an
average of 30 deaths – a very high number compared to previous
figures, and despite the strict measures put in place to contain the
pandemic.

Armenia has been in quarantine for a year now, with mandatory face
masks indoors, thermometers in workplaces and in public places, and
hands disinfection. Public officers – including the police – carry out
numerous inspections in public places and public transport, 7 days a
week. Anyone who violates the restrictions is fined. A business, for
example, is fined between 100 and 300 thousand Armenian dram
(approximately between 180 and 545 Euros), and between 150 and 500
thousand dram (approximately between 270 and 905 Euros) in case of
repeated violations.

A new regulation entered into force on October 1. By order of the
Armenian Ministry of Health, workers who are not vaccinated without
having substantial contraindications must submit a certificate
confirming the negative result of the COVID-19 PCR test every 14 days.
In case of lack of vaccination certificate or certificate of
negativity, as in the case of violation of the obligation to keep the
relevant records, administrative penalties are applied by the
inspection body from October 14. Fines range from 10 to 20 thousand
dram (between 18 and 36 Euros) for workers and from 40 to 120 thousand
(between 72 and 218 Euros) for employers.

“I came to the polyclinic early in the morning and queued for the
vaccination: I do it for my safety and to have a vaccination
certificate within the deadline set by the government”, says Lilit,
40, who had not yet vaccinated because Moderna, the vaccine of her
choice, was not available in Armenia.

Lilit works in a private company with not many employees, and they
have different opinions: for some, vaccination is very important,
while others are still thinking about it. According to Lilit, apart
from that, everyone is following the anti-Covid regulations to the
letter, because they understand that through these simple rules they
can reduce the likelihood of being infected.

“I have never had any doubts about getting vaccinated”, adds Lilit,
who studied the information available on the Internet about vaccines
and waited for Moderna to arrive in Armenia. 50,000 doses of Moderna’s
Spikevax vaccine arrived in Armenia on October 4 as a gift from the
Lithuanian government. Prior to this, four types of anti-Covid
vaccines were administered in Armenia: Russian Sputnik V,
British-Swedish AstraZeneca, and Chinese CoronaVac and Sinopharm. From
the start of vaccinations in Armenia on October 10, 514,241
vaccinations have been carried out, including 344,029 first doses and
170,212 second doses, respectively equal to 11.6% and 5.7% of the
population.

The number of people who have chosen to be vaccinated has increased in
recent days, a fact also highlighted by the queues at the vaccination
centres, but the Armenian government denounces that they are still not
enough. During one of the last meetings of the Council of Ministers,
the Prime Minister requested that all the levers of the state be used
for this battle. The Armenian government has allocated more than 2.4
billion Armenian drams for the prevention, control, and treatment of
Covid-19.

While the average number of people vaccinated was 6,000 per day in
September, this month the number has doubled. In order to avoid long
queues, Armenian doctors also carry out outpatient vaccinations. In
addition, if desired, a group of specialists visits companies,
departments, and educational institutions and carries out vaccination
on the spot.

“The entire infrastructure is ready to carry out a large number of
vaccinations. I add that vaccination does not exclude the disease, but
reduces the risk of contagion”, Armenian Health Minister Anahit
Avanesyan reported during a recent press conference, adding that the
late entry into force of the restrictive measures was a shortcoming of
her department.

According to the minister, they are currently considering the option
of requesting certification of negativity from Covid or vaccination to
enter restaurants and attend concerts.

“We are working on it, gathering experiences on the functioning of
these regulatory mechanisms. The preliminary plan will be ready
shortly, within the next two weeks”.

Similar stringent measures are already in place in a large number of
countries around the world. The goal is the same: to overcome the
pandemic emergency and return to a normal life. According to the
picture provided by Reuters, the three best vaccination campaigns are
carried out by the United Arab Emirates (96% coverage), Portugal
(87.2%), and Cuba (84.4%). The specialists inform that for two weeks
after the second dose, even if the person is infected, the symptoms
are much milder and the illness is unlikely to worsen.

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4-        Dr. Armand Dorian named CEO of USC Verdugo Hills Hospital

LOS ANGELES — Armand Dorian, MD, MMM, has been named CEO of USC
Verdugo Hills Hospital (USC-VHH) located in Glendale, California and
part of Keck Medicine of USC.

He has served as interim CEO since March 2021 and will begin his new
role immediately.

AS CEO, Dorian will lead all aspects of the hospital in advancing the
hospital’s mission of providing personalized, high-quality health care
to the local community.

“Armand has nearly 20 years of medical experience as an emergency
board- certified physician and valued leader and administrator,” said
Rod Hanners, CEO of Keck Medicine. “He is an indefatigable and
inspirational leader, as he just proved by successfully leading the
hospital through many challenges during the pandemic. With him at the
helm, and with his commitment to patient care, staff wellness and
community engagement, there is no limit to what USC-VHH can offer our
patients, staff and community.”

Dorian is also the president of the USC-VHH’s governing board, the
former chair and a current member of the hospital’s Caduceus Society,
which is composed of philanthropic medical staff, a hospital
foundation board member and a community advisory board member.

Additionally, he is a clinical professor of emergency medicine at the
Keck School of Medicine of USC. He also serves the city of Glendale
and the greater community by providing local groups and public
officials with timely and accurate medical expertise.

USC-VHH is a 158-bed community hospital that has been serving the
Foothill communities of Southern California for almost 50 years. It
includes a 24-hour emergency room, a primary stroke center, and OB/GYN
and infant services, among other services.

Dorian joined the USC-VHH executive team in July 2018 as the chief
medical officer to help lead the physician medical staff. Previously,
he served as the hospital’s director and vice-chair of the emergency
department.

He received his medical degree from the John A. Burns School of
Medicine at the University of Hawaii and completed his emergency
medicine residency at Olive View-UCLA Medical Center. He received a
Master of Medical Management at the USC Marshall School of Business.

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5-         Armenia Continues Fight Against COVID-19

Armenia is continuing the fight against COVID-19, as the country
continues promoting the vaccination phase.

The U.S. State Department on July 26 warned American citizens to
reconsider travel to Armenia due to the increase in cases of the
Covid-19.

“The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has issued a
Level 3 Travel Health Notice for Armenia due to COVID-19, indicating a
high level of COVID-19 in the country,” said the State Department.

The State Department also urged U.S. citizens not to travel to the
Nagorno-Karabakh region due to armed conflict.

“The U.S. government is unable to provide emergency services to U.S.
citizens in Nagorno-Karabakh as U.S. government employees are
restricted from traveling there,” the State Department added.

WHO, with funding from the European Union, in September supplied X-ray
equipment to 7 COVID-19 frontline hospitals – 1 in the capital Yerevan
and in 6 other cities in Armenia.

A new law came into effect on October 1, which mandates that all
employees in Armenia have a COVID-19 vaccine. But the mandate has been
met with widespread criticism

As of early October, only 5 percent of the country's population had
been vaccinated.

There were 30,276 active cases in Armenia as of October 27. Armenia
has recorded 300,143 coronavirus cases and 6,151 deaths; 263,716 have
recovered.

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California Courier Online provides readers of the Armenian News News Service
with a few of the articles in this week's issue of The California
Courier. Letters to the editor are encouraged through our e-mail
address, . Letters are published with
the author’s name and location; authors are required to disclose their
identity to the editorial staff (name, address, and/or telephone
numbers for verification purposes).
California Courier subscribers can change or modify mailing addresses
by emailing .

Armenian denies withdrawing from border region

Iran Front Page
Oct 28 2021

Armenia’s prime minister denies media reports that the country has withdrawn forces from Syunik a province bordering Iran. Nikol Pashinian was responding to Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev’s claim about the so-called Zangezur corridor before parliament.

Pashinian said there has been no change in the posture of the Armenian troops in Syunik province.

He added, “Our border guards have been serving in the posts since December 2020”. The denial from Pashnian comes after repeated claims by Azerbaijani officials about the Zangezur corridor near the Iranian border.

Aliyev has threatened to capture the corridor by force and in violation of the UN Charter. Azeri officials stand accused of causing tension over “Zangezur” through resorting to propaganda after the country signed a truce with Armenian in November 2020, ending their 44-day bloody war.

They claim that during the ceasefire talks, Azerbaijan Republic and Armenia agreed on carving out a swath of land linking Nakhjavan to Azerbaijan.

This is while the 9-point agreement does not make any reference to the issue. Only Article 9 says Armenia has agreed to open closed routes for transportation between Azerbaijan’s west and Nakhjavan.

The wording does not say anything about the creation of a corridor which would eliminate the border and deprive Iran of access to Armenia’s transit route.

Obviously, Baku is making an effort to insinuate its own narrative and interpretation of Article 9 of the truce deal through resorting to propaganda.

Tensions with Azerbaijan reveal Iran’s loss of influence in Caucasus

The Arab Weekly
Oct 28 2021
Iran lost influence as a result of last year’s conflict, while its arch enemy Israel and rival power Turkey strengthened their positions.
Thursday 28/10/2021

One year after the 44-day war between Armenia and Azerbaijan over Nagorno-Karabakh, another conflict in the Caucasus is brewing. This time tensions have risen between Iran and Azerbaijan, following Baku’s arrest of Iranian truck drivers and its joint military drills with Turkey and Pakistan. While a full-scale confrontation between the two nations remains unlikely, the flare-up demonstrates the deep underlying tensions in the region. Iran lost influence as a result of last year’s conflict, while its arch enemy Israel and rival power Turkey strengthened their positions. The complex ethnic make-up, abundance of energy resources and an intersection of expanding global trade routes means the scramble to hold sway in the Caucasus will continue.

On Oct. 1, Iran conduced massive military exercises on its northern border with Azerbaijan. Thousands of troops, dozens of tanks, artillery guns and helicopters were deployed in the largest drills since the 1990s. Azerbaijan responded by flexing its military muscles together with its ally Turkey. The Caucasus nation has also deployed anti-aircraft systems near the capital Baku, which is not surprising given that Mohammad Bagheri, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps military commander and Iran’s chief of staff, said that in case the conflict escalates, “IRGC will attack Azerbaijan with 4,000 missiles, which will completely destroy Baku.” Moreover, the head of the forces of the IRGC in Tabriz, Col. Hossein Pursmail said that “the repetition of Israel’s threats against Iran through the mouth of the Republic of Azerbaijan is not only not in the interests of Baku, but is also a threat to its very existence.”

Indeed, Israel played a very important role during the war in Nagorno-Karabah in 2020 by supplying Azerbaijan with sophisticated weapons, including so-called kamikaze drones. However, the Jewish state and the energy-rich former Soviet republic have been strategic partners for many years. Tehran now accuses Baku of also hosting Turkey-backed Syrian fighters on its territory, although some reports suggest they were already there during the 44-day war. But why did Iran remain silent for more than a year about these concerns?

After last year’s war, the Islamic Republic lost much of its influence in the Caucasus, and Turkey significantly improved its positions. Even Pakistan managed to increase its standing in the region. In September, troops from Pakistan, Turkey, and Azerbaijan held military drills near Baku, despite protests from Tehran. More importantly, as a result of the 2020 conflict, Azerbaijan captured most of Nagorno-Karbakh and surrounding regions, which means that transport routes from Iran to Armenia now go through Azerbaijan, and not through the territory that was controlled by ethnic Armenians for more than two decades. In other words, there is a new geopolitical reality in the Caucasus, and Iran has many reasons to be worried.

That, however, does not mean that the Islamic Republic is ready to launch an attack on its northern neighbour. After the presidents of Azerbaijan and Turkey, Ilham Aliyev and Recep Tayyip Erdogan, signed the Shusha Declaration in June, the two countries became close military allies. According to the document, the parties pledged to jointly act in response to military threats. Iranian leaders are quite aware that Baku is not on its own. A war against Azerbaijan would also mean a war against Turkey, and it is almost certain that Pakistan and Israel would provide military assistance to the Caucasus nation. Thus, Tehran is unlikely to choose to get involved in such a risky adventure.

Although there were rumours that the Islamic Republic could deploy its troops to Armenia to prevent Turkey and Azerbaijan from capturing southern parts of the country, such an option does not seem very probable. Armenia is a member of the Russia-dominated Collective Security Treaty Organisation, and is heavily dependent on Moscow. Russia’s peacekeeping troops have been stationed in Nagorno-Karbakh since November 2020, and the last thing the Kremlin needs is another conflict in its zone of influence.

For Iran, however, the southern Armenian province of Syunik, which the Azerbaijanis call Zangezur, is a weak point. This strategically important region separates the main territory of Azerbaijan from its isolated exclave – the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic. Given that Baku and Yerevan have gradually started to normalise their relations, it is a matter of time before the two nations build a land corridor that will connect Baku not only with Nakhchivan, but also with Turkey. The Nakhchivan corridor would become part of a global trade route from China to Europe through the Caspian Sea, and would bypass Iran. Meanwhile, the Islamic Republic partially funded the construction of an international transport corridor, known as the North-South project, that goes from Russia to Iran through Azerbaijan and connects by sea with India. If there was a serious confrontation with Baku, the very construction of the corridor would be jeopardised.

Iran’s options are, therefore, rather limited. Hypothetically, Tehran could take a chance and fight a war against Azerbaijan, but in that case millions of Azerbaijanis living in Iran could support a guerrilla war against the Islamic Republic. Azerbaijan’s victory in the 44-day war against Armenia resulted in the growth of national pride among Iranian Azerbaijanis, which means that Tehran will have to think twice before engaging in confrontation against its northern neighbour.

Indeed, there have been signs of a de-escalation with the arrested Iranian truck drivers now free and the countries’ foreign ministers pledging to resolve differences through dialogue.

One thing is for sure. A potential war in the energy-rich Caucasus region would result in even higher gas prices in the global market.

Nikola Mikovic is a political analyst in Serbia. His work focuses mostly on the foreign policies of Russia, Belarus and Ukraine, with special attention on energy and “pipeline politics.”

Syndication Bureau 

Turkologist: Turkey will establish relations with Armenia only if Yerevan meets the Turks’ preconditions

News.am, Armenia
Oct 30 2021

There won’t be obstacles for Turkey to normalize relations with Armenia, if Armenia solves its problems with Azerbaijan. This is what President of Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdogan said on Tuesday during a press conference with President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev in Kovsakan, which is currently under the control of Azerbaijan. Erdogan was in Azerbaijan to attend the opening of the airport that was under construction for the past few months in Varanda.

“The conditions for building strong peace are favorable now more than ever. In this regard, Armenia needs to show sincere will to settle the problems with Azerbaijan. If Armenia does this, there won’t be any obstacle for the normalization of relations between Turkey and Armenia,” Erdogan declared.

During a conversation with Armenian News-NEWS.am, academician of the National Academy of Sciences of Armenia, Turkologist Ruben Safrastan expressed the view that Erdogan’s statements are being used within the Turks’ traditional rhetoric that is not aimed at paving the real way for launching negotiations with Armenia and normalizing relations. “The real goal is to take advantage of Armenia’s defeat in the war and strengthen pressure on Armenia in order to achieve Armenia’s acceptance of Turkey’s preconditions, not normalize relations,” Safrastyan stated.

On October 28, Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu told CNN Turk that Turkey is considering with Azerbaijan the normalization of relations with Armenia. Safrastyan noted that Turkey is an elder partner in its relations with Azerbaijan and that now it is informing Baku about its actions, not reaching an agreement on them with Baku.

Touching upon the statement that the President of Russia made at Valdai Discussion Club a few days ago that the establishment of peaceful coexistence will also favor Armenia, Safrastyan noted that Russia is interested in the establishment of stability in the region, the normalization of Armenian-Turkish relations and the operation of communications. He also agrees with the views that Turkey may intend to penetrate into the economy of Armenia which has become weak after the war.

“Turkey will seek to make sure Armenia accepts and meets its conditions. If Armenia accepts and meets the conditions (the additional condition is the so-called “Zangezur corridor”), Turkey will establish relations with Armenia, open borders, do trade, etc. As to how favorable this is for Armenia, that’s a different story. In my opinion, it’s not favorable. I am certain that Turkey won’t take this step until Armenia doesn’t make concessions. In its turn, Russia wants to see the normalization of relations, but doesn’t have a picture of how difficult it is going to be.

The post-war situation is unprecedented — Russia seems to be losing its monopoly of calling the shots in the region. Now Turkey is taking advantage of Armenia’s defeat in the war and its successes in absorbing Azerbaijan and is trying to play its game in the region. Regional issues may also be discussed during the Russian-Turkish negotiations. Turkey and Azerbaijan are persistently talking about the corridor, and an attempt is being made to exert pressure and turn the opening of the corridor into a more real issue,” he said.


Çavuşoğlu says Turkey is consulting with Azerbaijan on the Armenian-Turkish normalization

Çavuşoğlu says Turkey is consulting with Azerbaijan on the Armenian-Turkish normalization

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 20:49,

YEREVAN, 28 OCTOBER, ARMENPRESS. Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu talked about normalisation of relations with Armenia in an interview with CNN Türk, saying that Ankara consults with Baku over issues in that direction, ARMENPRESS reports, “Interfax Azerbaijan” informed.

Çavuşoğlu told to CNN Türk that the Turkish side discussed that issue with the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Azerbaijan Bayramov during the visit of Turkish president Erdogan to Fizuli.

“We consult with Azerbaijan in that direction. At the same time positive signals came from Armenia. We in our turn announced that will reply to Armenia’s positive steps, but the steps we can take together with Azerbaijan are also discussed”, theTurkish FM said.

Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu had made such a statement also on September 27 during the joint press conference with Azerbaijani FM.

Since August, Yerevan and Ankara exchanged positive signals on the normalisation of bilateral relations a number of times at high level but in practice no steps in this direction have been taken despite the public statements of Prime Minister of Armenia Nikol Pashinyan and President of Turkey Recep Erdoğan. On September 19 the Turkish president stated that Prime Minister of Georgia conveyed to him the offer of Prime Minister of Armenia Nikol Pashinyan to hold a meeting, but the spokesperson of Armenia’s Prime Minister in response mentioned that the Prime Minister believes that high and highest level meetings should take place following working discussions.




Paris votes to establish an Esplanade of Armenia in the 8th arrondissement

Public Radio of Armenia
Oct 15 2021

The City Council of Paris voted unanimously in the evening of October 14 to establish an Esplanade of Armenia in the 8th arrondissement of the capital.

This space will encompass the part of Court Albert I where the statue of Komitas is located, the Garden of Armenia, and will extend as far as the Pont de l’Alma, – an exceptional location in the heart of the prestigious 8th arrondissement of Paris, right in the center of the capital.

Armenia’s Ambassador to France Hasmik Tolmadjian, who was present in the stands of the City Council at the event, immediately reacted to thank the Mayor of Paris Anne Hidalgo, his deputy Arnaud Ngatcha, for this token of friendship and solidarity with Armenia.

Armenian FM received Special Representative of the OSCE Chairman-in-Office for the South Caucasus

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 19:47, 5 October, 2021

YEREVAN, OCTOBER 5, ARMENPRESS. Foreign Minister of Armenia Ararat Mirzoyan received OSCE Chairman-in-Office for the South Caucasus Annika Söder on October 5.

As ARMENPRESS was informed from the Foreign Minsitry of Armenia, Ararat Mirzoyan emphasized the role of the OSCE as a regional organization based on the concept of comprehensive and cooperation-based security. In this context, the Minister highlighted the activities of the OSCE Minsk Group Co-Chairs, the OSCE Chairman-in-Office and his personal representative.

In the context of addressing the humanitarian issues arising from the 44-day war, the need for immediate repatriation of Armenian prisoners of war and civilian hostages held in Azerbaijan was particularly stressed.

The Armenian Foreign Minister stressed that lasting peace in the region can be achieved through a comprehensive settlement of the Nagorno Karabakh conflict under the mandate of the OSCE Minsk Group Co-Chairs.

Armenia’s CB President participates in online int’l research conference hosted by Philippines Central Bank

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 10:59, 28 September, 2021

YEREVAN, SEPTEMBER 28, ARMENPRESS. President of the Central Bank of Armenia Martin Galstyan participated in an online international research conference organized by the Central Bank of the Philippines on September 27, the CBA said.

The conference titled “Shifting Gears, Changing Lanes: Central Banking in a Post-Covid Economic World” touched upon the enduring impact of COVID-19, new monetary policy era for emerging markets, forecasting future crises, and payment innovation, financial inclusion and financial stability risks.

The Armenian Central Bank President delivered speech on topic of new monetary policy era for emerging markets.

The conference was attended by top officials from central banks in Asia, Europe and the US.

 

Editing and Translating by Aneta Harutyunyan