Analysts treat Nagorno-Karabakh’s status as reason for conflict escalation

Caucasian Knot
Aug 7 2022
Analysts treat Nagorno-Karabakh's status as reason for conflict escalation
By its military actions, Azerbaijan is trying to speed up the implementation of the tripartite declaration on ceasefire in Nagorno-Karabakh in order to prevent discussion of its status, the analysts interviewed by the "Caucasian Knot" believe.

The "Caucasian Knot" has reported that on August 3, Azerbaijan announced a "Retribution" operation in Nagorno-Karabakh in response to the murder of an Azerbaijani serviceman. The MoD also reported that the Azerbaijani Army had captured a number of dominant heights. Baku demanded an immediate removal of Armenian militaries from Nagorno-Karabakh and threatened "even more destructive countermeasures" in case of provocations on the contact line. The authorities of Nagorno-Karabakh called for the world community to respond to Baku's actions. In the evening on August 4, the Russian MoD announced that the peacemakers registered four violations of the ceasefire regime in Nagorno-Karabakh during the day.

Naira Airumyan, a political observer, believes that Russia and Azerbaijan are speeding up the implementation of the tripartite statement. "Such haste suggests that they have fears of a possible change in the negotiations format. Any such format involves discussing the status of Nagorno-Karabakh and its territorial borders, which is absent in the tripartite Moscow-Baku-Yerevan format," Ms Airumyan has explained.

She is sure that Armenia has real leverage to prevent such a course of events by insisting on changing the negotiations format. "There is another option, as many political forces assert: Pashinyan should resign and nullify at least his oral agreements," Naira Airumyan has concluded.

Tigran Grigoryan, a political analyst, also agrees that Azerbaijan is trying to speed up the implementation of the agreements reached earlier by means of military operations. "The latest escalation only aims to speed up the process that had already been agreed," he told the "Caucasian Knot" correspondent.

This article was originally published on the Russian page of 24/7 Internet agency ‘Caucasian Knot’ on August 6, 2022 at 07:31 pm MSK. To access the full text of the article, click here.

See earlier reports:
Azerbaijan claims capture of strategic height in Nagorno-Karabakh, Residents of Karabakh villages outraged by demand to leave their homes, Azerbaijani MoD did not confirm information about withdrawal of troops from heights in Karabakh.

Author: Tigran Petrosyan Source: CK correspondent
Источник:
© Кавказский Узел

Artsakh reports more ceasefire violations by Azerbaijan at night

Panorama
Armenia – Aug 4 2022

Artsakh’s Defense Ministry reports more ceasefire violations by Azerbaijan in some sections of the line of contact last night.

“As of 9am, the situation along the line of contact is relatively stable. The units of the Azerbaijani armed forces violated the ceasefire in some sections overnight using firearms of various calibers,” the ministry said in a statement on Thursday, adding the Artsakh Defense Army had no casualties.

One of the 19 Artsakh servicemen wounded in Azerbaijani attacks earlier is in critical condition.

“Measures are being taken through the command of the Russian peacekeeping contingent to stabilize the situation,” added the statement.

Artsakh church leader visits wounded soldiers in hospital

Panorama
Armenia – Aug 4 2022

SOCIETY 16:45 04/08/2022 NKR

Primate of the Artsakh Diocese of the Armenian Apostolic Church, Bishop Vrtanes Abrahamyan visited the wounded soldiers in the central hospital of Stepanakert on Thursday.

Two Artsakh servicemen were killed and 19 others were injured in Azerbaijani attacks on Artsakh military positions on Wednesday.

“The Primate of the Artsakh Diocese offered prayers for the speedy recovery of the wounded and thanked the medics for their dedicated service,” the Artsakh Diocese said in a statement.

Rep. Cárdenas demanding answers about U.S. parts in Turkish drones deployed by Azerbaijan against Armenians

Public Radio of Armenia

Members of Congress are calling for an investigation into how U.S. technology ended up in Turkey’s TB2 drone, which has fast become a favorite of embattled nations. “We need a full accounting,”  Rep. Tony Cárdenas (D-Calif) told ProPublica.

“We’ve been paying close attention to Turkey’s drone sales and how these weapons have been deployed around the world,” Cárdenas said. “I’m troubled about the destabilizing effects we’re seeing and the human rights concerns that follow, especially in places like Nagorno Karabakh. We need a full accounting of the role U.S manufactured parts are playing so that Congress can conduct proper oversight.”

If enacted, the legislation would require the Defense Department, in consultation with the State Department, to produce a report on U.S. parts in the TB2s used in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and any potential violations of export laws, sanctions or other regulations. 

Manufactured by the Turkish firm Baykar Technology, the TB2 can hover high above a battlefield and strike targets with laser-guided missiles. A range of components were made by manufacturers in the U.S., Canada and Europe.

Rep. Cárdenas recently introduced an amendment to the House version of the National Defense Authorization Act. The annual budgeting bill is often an opportunity for lawmakers to require reports from the administration on pressing issues, and Cárdenas focused on the TB2, highlighting Azerbaijan’s deployment of the weapon in its 2020 war against Nagorno-Karabakh. Images of drone wreckage published by local media outlets and the Armenian military at the time showed parts that matched those made by several U.S.-based companies. Some of those firms have taken steps to stop direct sales to Turkey, but others continue to sell key parts.

Turkey has ramped up TB2 exports in recent years. At least 14 countries now own the drones, and 16 others are seeking to purchase them.

AW: Armenian Genealogy Conference announces new speakers

YEREVAN — The Armenian Genealogy Conference is pleased to announce the addition of two prominent names to the list of speakers — Dr. Panov Dmitri Arkadievich and Andranik Nahapetyan — who will present at the first-ever annual assembly to be held in Armenia, September 23-25, 2022.

Dr. Arkadievich is a Russian historian, genealogist and archivist. He is chief of research and genealogical study at The DST Kristian (The House of Family Tradition). Dr. Arkadievich will present a survey of the Armenian genealogical research sources available in the Russian archives.

Nahapetyan is an independent researcher and member of the Council of Experts of the SFU ISRS Center for Armenian Studies (Southern Federal University, Institute of Sociology and Regional Studies). Nahapetyan will give a talk on the genealogy and origins of Simon Vratsian, the fourth prime minister of the First Armenian Republic. The presentation will also explore the resources available for researching Nor Nakhichevan (Crimean) Armenian genealogies.

In addition to these speakers, George Aghjayan, founder of the Armenian Genealogy Conference, will be exploring the use of DNA testing in Armenian genealogical research. The Armenian people have been subjected to multiple traumatic events over the past 200 years that have caused inordinate ruptures in family histories. DNA testing provides a modern scientific tool that can enhance our ability to determine ancestry, bridging existing generation gaps to reconnect families. A limited number of DNA kits will be available to participants of the conference.

Participants in the fifth Armenian Genealogy Conference can register online.

Since 2016, four conferences devoted to Armenian genealogy have been held in the United States. This year, for the first time ever, the Armenian Genealogy Conference will be hosting the annual assembly in Armenia. The conference is cosponsored by the Hamazkayin Cultural Association and the American University of Armenia (AUA).

Founded in 1991, the American University of Armenia (AUA) is a private, independent university located in Yerevan, Armenia, affiliated with the University of California, and accredited by the WASC Senior College and University Commission in the United States. AUA provides local and international students with Western-style education through top-quality undergraduate, graduate, and certificate programs, promotes research and innovation, encourages civic engagement and community service, and fosters democratic values.


RFE/RL Armenian Report – 07/27/2022

                                        Wednesday, 


Armenian Oppositionist Freed For Now

        • Naira Bulghadarian

Armenia - Opposition figure Avetik Chalabian speaks at the start of his trial, 
Yerevan, .


An Armenian opposition figure was released from custody late on Wednesday more 
than two months after being arrested on what he sees as trumped-up charges.

Avetik Chalabian was charged on May 13 with trying to pay university students to 
participate in daily anti-government demonstrations in Yerevan.

The charges are based on leaked audio of short fragments of his conversation 
with the head of the student council of the Armenian National Agrarian 
University. Law-enforcement authorities say it shows that Chalabian offered 2 
million drams ($4,800) for the presence of 2,000 students at daily opposition 
rallies in Yerevan that began on May 1.

Chalabian’s lawyers say that the recording, which first appeared on a 
pro-government website, was doctored by the authorities. They have repeatedly 
demanded the release of full audio of the conversation, saying that it would 
disprove the accusations.

Chalabian, who leads a small opposition party, has described them as government 
retribution for his active participation in the protests aimed at forcing Prime 
Minister Nikol Pashinian to resign. Prosecutors deny any political motives.

The 49-year-old oppositionist walked free from a prison about 50 kilometers west 
of Yerevan one day after the start of his trial. He was released immediately 
after the expiry of the duration of his detention sanctioned by a court.

The prosecutors could have asked the judge presiding over the trial to extend 
the detention period during a court hearing scheduled for Wednesday morning. The 
hearing was adjourned, however, after the prison administration told the judge 
that Chalabian cannot attend it because of having a fever and high blood 
pressure.

Speaking at the opening session of his trial on Tuesday, Chalabian accused 
Pashinian of “persecuting” him and his family. He appeared to echo allegations 
that his brother Ara, who holds a senior position in the Armenian Central Bank, 
is under strong government pressure to resign.

Armenian media reports have claimed that the Central Bank governor, Martin 
Galstian, has told Ara Chalabian to quit his job, citing an order from Pashinian.

The bank’s press service reacted vaguely to those reports while Pashinian’s 
office declined any comment earlier this week.

Ara Chalabian also remains silent on the subject. There have been no official 
announcements of his dismissal or resignation so far.



Armenian Judge Dismissive Of Leaked Audio Scandal

        • Naira Nalbandian

Armenia - The Supreme Judicial Council holds a hearing in Yerevan, July 26, 2021.


An Armenian judge confirmed on Wednesday that he had organized a dinner meeting 
the leaked audio recording of which forced the controversial head of the 
country’s judicial watchdog to resign.

Stepan Mikaelian, who is also a member of the Supreme Judicial Council (SJC), 
said he sees nothing wrong in the content of the 14-minute recording publicized 
last month.

It features a February 2021 conversation between Ruben Vartazarian, the then 
chairman of the SJC at odds with the Armenian government, and Gagik Jahangirian, 
a newly appointed member of the body overseeing Armenia’s courts. It suggests 
that Jahangirian warned Vartazarian to step down or face criminal charges.

Vartazarian ignored the warning. Two months later, he was indicted and suspended 
as SJC chairman while Jahangirian became acting head of the judicial watchdog.

The audio secretly recorded by Vartazarian caused uproar in Armenia, with 
opposition figures and civic activists demanding that Jahangirian be not only 
sacked by also prosecuted. The latter claimed that he did not blackmail his 
predecessor. Still, he announced his resignation from the SJC on July 1.

Mikaelian has also faced resignation calls from government critics who believe 
that he too was involved in the illegal pressure exerted on Vartazarian.

The judge dismissed those calls when he spoke to journalists in Yerevan. “You 
take part in different conversations in different places. So what?” he said.

Mikaelian claimed that both Jahangirian and Mikaelian are his “friends” and that 
he took them out to dinner to try to ease “some tension” between them.

Armenia’s Investigative Committee launched last week a criminal inquiry into the 
leaked recording. It said it is investigating possible abuse of power and 
obstruction of justice. The law-enforcement body has not indicted anyone so far.



Opposition Blasts Likely Choice Of Armenia’s Top Election Official

        • Gayane Saribekian

Armenia - The Central Election Commission meets in Yerevan, 3Apr2017.


A leader of the main opposition Hayastan alliance on Wednesday condemned the 
ruling Civil Contract party’s reported plans to install a longtime associate of 
Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian as chairman of Armenia’s Central Election 
Commission (CEC).

Tigran Mukuchian, the current CEC chairman who has been in office since 2011, 
will complete his tenure in October. His successor should be elected soon by the 
Armenian parliament controlled by Civil Contract.

Armenian newspapers reported earlier this month that Pashinian’s party will 
nominate one of its senior lawmakers, Vahagn Hovakimian, for the post. 
Hovakimian did not deny the reports when he spoke to RFE/RL’s Armenian Service 
last week.

The National Assembly is also due to appoint the six other members of the body 
administering general and local elections and releasing their results. Its 
factions had until July 25 to make initial nominations for the CEC positions.

Civil Contract has still not named its candidates. The leader and the secretary 
of its parliamentary group did not answer phone calls from RFE/RL’s Armenian 
Service on Wednesday and earlier this week.

Maria Karapetian, another parliament deputy from the ruling party, said it is 
still discussing possible candidacies. She too did not deny that Hovakimian 
could become the CEC’s next chairman.

Armenia - Opposition leader Artsvik Minasian, .

Artsvik Minasian, a senior lawmaker representing Hayastan, decried the possible 
choice of Hovakimian, saying Pashinian is seeking full and direct control over 
electoral process in the country.

“For them [the current authorities] there is no more important thing that 
appointing members of their gang to key positions,” charged the opposition 
leader.

Minasian argued that Armenia’s former leaders did not install their confidantes 
or overtly partisan figures as CEC chairpersons. “These people are trampling 
underfoot everything and openly violating all principles,” he said, referring to 
Pashinian and his political team.

The Armenian constitution stipulates that the chairperson and members of the CEC 
cannot be affiliated with any political party or engage in political activities 
otherwise during their tenure.

Mukuchian, the outgoing CEC chairman, had been installed by former President 
Serzh Sarkisian’s administration. Pashinian for years accused the former 
Armenian authorities of rigging elections. But he apparently did not try to 
replace Mukuchian after coming to power in 2018.



Remittances To Armenia Soar In 2022

        • Sargis Harutyunyan

Armenia - A schoolboy walks past a currency exchange sign in Yerevan, 17Dec2014.


Money transfers to Armenia have risen sharply this year amid an influx of 
thousands of skilled Russians which followed Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Data from the Armenian Central Bank shows that local commercial banks processed 
a total of $1.27 billion in incoming remittances from individuals in January-May 
2022, up by 70 percent year on year.

Cash inflows from Russia accounted for three-quarters of this gain. They more 
than doubled in absolute terms, totaling almost $680 million during the 
five-month period.

By comparison, remittances from the United States rose by 21 percent to about 
$257 million.

Thousands and possibly tens of thousands of Russian nationals, many of them tech 
professionals, relocated to Armenia following the outbreak of the war in Ukraine 
on February 24. An even larger number of Russians is thought to have opened 
Armenian bank accounts.

The South Caucasus state also receives multimillion-dollar remittances from 
hundreds of thousands of its own citizens working in Russia. The Russian ruble 
is now stronger against the U.S. dollar than it was before the war despite 
crippling Western sanctions imposed on Moscow.

The Armenian dram has similarly strengthened by 15 percent against the dollar 
and 29 percent against the euro since February 24.

Armenia - Newly arrived Russian citizens in Yerevan, March 7, 2022.
Gevorg Papoyan, the pro-government chairman of the Armenian parliament committee 
on economic issues, claimed on Wednesday that the soaring remittances to the 
country are the result of government policies.

“Our economic policy of attracting investors and protecting their rights, 
maintaining financial stability and ensuring fair competition has been a 
success,” he said.

Tadevos Avetisian, an opposition lawmaker and economist, dismissed the claim, 
linking the increased cash inflows to economic consequences of the Ukraine war.

“These ‘hot money’ inflows will fall as quickly as they have increased if this 
accidental factor disappears,” Avetisian told RFE/RL’s Armenian Service. “So 
pinning big hopes on them or setting ambitious objectives because of them is 
just wrong.”

Both lawmakers agreed that the sharp rise in remittances is significantly 
contributing to economic growth in Armenia.

Right after the outbreak of the war, the growth was projected to practically 
grind to a halt this year given Armenia’s closer economic ties with Russia. But 
it on the contrary accelerated in the following months.

The Central Bank governor, Martin Galstian, said last month that the Armenian 
economy is now on course to expand by 4.9 percent.

“This has mainly to do with the presence of foreign visitors in Armenia and the 
Russian economy’s short-term performance which is not as bad as we expected 
earlier,” Galstian said.


Reprinted on ANN/Armenian News with permission from RFE/RL
Copyright (c) 2022 Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty, Inc.
1201 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington DC 20036.

 

Armenia plans to begin production of satellites



  • JAMnews
  • Yerevan

Satellite production in Armenia

The Armenian government plans to launch production of space satellites in Armenia, Minister of High-Tech Industry Robert Khachatryan states.

Two months ago, the Armenian authorities announced the launch of the first Armenian satellite into space. Now the minister has added that the government has other “ambitious goals”.


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Work on production has reportedly already begun. At the moment, negotiations are underway with the major partner, Spanish firm Satlantis, but the government has said it is open to “new cooperation.”

At the end of May 2022, the first Armenian satellite was sent into space through the cooperation of the Armenian state-owned CJSC Geocosmos and Satlantis.

Satlantis was founded in the USA in 2013, a year after which the head office relocated to Spain.

Armenia’s first satellite in space: PM Pashinyan, that the launch, which took place on May 25 in Cape Canaveral (USA), had been kept in secret ‘due to certain considerations’

This statement was made by the Minister of High-Tech Industry, adding:

“It is a terrestrial remote-sensing satellite.”

According to Robert Khachatryan, at this stage the country is exploring further possibilities of development:

“During the Soviet era, there were certain opportunities in Armenia [for the development of the industry]. We can say things are still possible. We have both good ideas and specialists whose knowledge can be used very effectively.”

The Minister did not specify how much money would be required to complete the project. He said only that “various models are being discussed, including the possibility of cooperation between the public and private sectors.”

Russian IT specialists are convinced that their relocation can contribute to real economic growth. Stories of Russians who moved their business to Yerevan

While not divulging details, the minister maintained that other space-related projects are in the works. He did, however, say that a second satellite would be launched in the near future.

In addition, Robert Khachatryan said that work is underway on a control center and receiving station for the first satellite. Equipment supply and specialist training have already begun, and the project should be completed by the end of the year, he said.

On May 26, Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan announced that the first Armenian satellite had been launched into space, and that the country was entering the “era of space activities”:

“Satellite photographs will be used for monitoring the national border, preventing emergencies, managing and protecting the environment, including monitoring climate change; as well as in urban planning, road construction, geology and other areas.”

The prime minister also said that by the end of 2023, a satellite control center and a receiving station would be established.


Armenia to completely withdraw forces from Nagorno-Karabakh region

CGTN, China
July 19 2022
CGTN

The secretary of Armenia's Security Council, Armen Grigoryan, said on Tuesday that the Armenian military units will completely withdraw from the Nagorno-Karabakh region in September.

"After the establishment of a ceasefire and the deployment of Russian's peacekeeping contingent, the withdrawal of the Armenian Armed Forces units is logical," Grigoryan added.

https://news.cgtn.com/news/2022-07-19/Armenia-to-completely-withdraw-forces-from-Nagorno-Karabakh-region-1bNps733Ire/index.html

 

"Azerbaijan does not recognize the occupation policy of Russia" – comments from Baku




  • JAMnews
  • Baku

Azerbaijan is set to double its exports of natural gas to Europe against the backdrop of what experts in Baku on Russian-Azerbaijani relations dub Russia’s “occupation policy”.

But in spite of this doubling of volume to EU nations, Azerbaijani gas will meet only 4% of the needs of these states, in the opinion of Azeri experts speculating on the Russian threat. According to doctor of political science Dzhumshud Nuriev, Russian provocations can even move from Central Asia to the Caucasus ⁠— namely to Georgia and Azerbaijan.


  • Opinion from Baku: “Russia is a wounded bear that lost its mind”
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At the beginning of this week, Azerbaijan and the European Union signed a “Memorandum of Understanding on the strategic partnership between the European Union, represented by the European Commission, and the Republic of Azerbaijan in the energy sector.” The document was signed by Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev and European Commission President Ursula Von der Leyen.

According to the memorandum, Azerbaijan will increase the volume of gas supplied to EU nations by up to 20 billion cubic meters per year.

Azerbaijan signed a memorandum on gas export with the European Union. According to the document, Baku will double the volume of natural gas exported to Europe

At present, 10 billion cubic meters of gas are supplied from Azerbaijan to the EU through the “Southern Gas Corridor” annually.

According to economists, EU nations’ annual need for natural gas is about 500 billion cubic meters. Of this volume, 60% is covered by Russian gas. The EU intends to seriously reduce gas imports from the Russian Federation.

Yet even with a doubling of Azerbaijani gas exports, only 4% of EU nations’ need will be met, Azeri experts on the Russian threat stated in connection with Baku’s intention of replacing Russian gas.

According to former member of the Milli Majlis (Azeri parliament), doctor of political sciences and professor Jumshud Nuriyev, relations between Baku and Moscow haven’t been particularly friendly since Azerbaijan declared independence.

“At times the tension in the relationship was quite serious. I consider November 10, 2020, the height of this tension. But it then began to wane,” Nuriev said.

“This essentialy a reprint” – former Azerbaijani FM discussed similarities and differences of Shusha and Moscow declarations

Nuriev is confident that the development of bilateral cooperation between Russia and Turkey benefits Azerbaijan. Furthermore, a memorandum of alliance between the two countries signed by Aliyev and Putin on February 23, 2022 has eased tension somewhat.

“At present, tensions are at a low level. But there is a kind of orthodoxy among the Russian military brass, closely connected to Armenia. We can see some enmity in their attitude toward Azerbaijan.

“In particular, they are trying to cover up failures on the Ukrainian front by diverting attention to other areas. So as far tension between Moscow and Baku, the tension is rather hidden,” he added.

Jumshud Nuriyev further stated that processes inside the country, namely a galvanizing opposition and the actions of immigrants abroad, show that provocations against Azerbaijan are possible:

“This cannot be ruled out. And earlier experts have stated that there is a danger of tension spreading from Central Asia to the Caucasus. We must be prepared for such provocations.”

In the part of Karabakh where the peacekeeping contingent of the Russian Federation is deployed, the authorities are completely subordinate to Moscow, Azerbaijani politician Igbal Agazade believes

Deputy of the Azerbaijani Parliament and economist Vahid Ahmadov also maintained that Russia’s attitude toward Azerbaijan has never been friendly. “Recently there have also been threats, often straight from Moscow,” he said.

“Take the Karabakh issue. Which points of the tripartite statement of November 10, 2020 have been fulfilled? Neither the delimitation of the borders, nor the withdrawal of Armenian armed forces from this territory happened. The infrastructure linking the main part of Azerbaijan with Nakhichevan hasn’t been started either.

Russian peacekeepers leave the Lachin corridor. Azerbaijan government reports their illegal activities becoming more frequent

“We often point to Armenia as the culprit, but Russia is behind it. That is why Russia’s attitude toward us is no surprise.

“Moscow is pursuing a colonial policy. It wants to keep Azerbaijan as its colony. But this is no longer possible; Azerbaijan is pursuing an independent policy, trying to solve its problems on its own. And Moscow doesn’t like that.”

Ahmadov noted that another factor irritating the Kremlin is rapprochement between Azerbaijan and Turkey:

“Russia doesn’t like that Turkey has become an active player in the region by developing fraternal relations with Azerbaijan. Although it has some influence on this process, it is basically impossible to stop.

Russia banned the import of tomatoes from Azerbaijan, citing ‘pest infestation’. The ban also extended to Azeri potatoes and cherries. But what has sparked these ‘food wars’?

“Both the world and Azerbaijan itself have changed. We have serious political, economic, military and humanitarian ties with Turkey. Turkey and Azerbaijan are responsible for each other’s security.”

The Azerbaijani MP noted that Azerbaijan has never severed relations with Russia.

“Relations between our countries have always existed. Russia is our neighbor. There are close political, economic and humanitarian ties. It is impossible not to note President Ilham Aliyev’s good relations with Russia.

“But in spite of this, we do not recognize the occupation policy of Russia. Azerbaijan is a sovereign state. And Moscow is pursuing an occupation policy.

“Events in Moldova, Georgia, and now in Ukraine are unfolding before our eyes, though a similar situation is hardly possible in Azerbaijan for the reasons I have indicated.

“Russia itself should be interested in close economic and political relations with Azerbaijan,” Vahid Ahmedov concluded..

https://jam-news.net/azerbaijan-does-not-recognize-the-occupation-policy-of-russia-comments-from-baku/