Turkey’s Islamist PM Rocks Israel Ties

TURKEY’S ISLAMIST PM ROCKS ISRAEL TIES
Alexander Murinson

Baltimore Jewish Times
imes/news/jt/international_news/turkeys_islamist_p m_rocks_israel_ties/10388
Feb 5 2009
MD

The diplomatic tragic comedy in relations between Israel and Turkey,
its erstwhile ally in the Middle East and the sister democracy,
has reached its peak.

After an impassioned speech by the octogenarian Israeli head of state
Shimon Peres, in which he explained the Israeli rationale for striking
at Hamas during the Operation Cast Lead – a talk greeted by an applause
of the audience that included many world leaders–Turkish Prime
Minister Recipp Tayip Erdogan blurted out, facing Peres: "You have
the psychology of a culprit … You know how to kill people very well."

After that the Turkish leader, who represents the Islamist ruling
party, stormed from the stage of the Davos World Economic Forum,
probably the most prestigious informal global gathering today.

Such discourse from the leader of the Israel’s alleged friendly
neighbor in the Middle East can hardly be acceptable when Turkey
continues bombing the Kurdish Workers Party’s (PKK) bases and villages
in the Northern Iraq.

This tirade smacks of a recent trend among the European left-wing and
numerous Muslim preachers to equate the Israeli military operations
against armed and ideologically committed Hamas members, a Palestinian
branch of the Muslim Brotherhood, with the Nazis’ atrocities.

Erdogan’s unrehearsed outburst was captured on tape. The verbal
exchange of fire earned him immediate kudos from the Muslim world;
the Islamist Turkish leader received the congratulations of Hamas,
Iranian government and Lebanese members of parliament. The Turkish
leader received a triumphant welcome at home. Upon his return from
Davos, Edogan was greeted as the Fatih or Savior of the "Turkish honor"
by thousands of supporters at the Istanbul airport.

Meanwhile, most Western media outlets of record, softened the message
in their translation of what Erdogan actually said. BBC’s translation
was: "I find it very sad that people applaud what you said. You killed
people. And I think that it is very wrong."

But before leaving the Swiss resort, the Turkish leader gave a press
conference for the world audience. For the Western, especially
European, consumption (Turkey still holds a hope of joining the
European Union), he explained his precipitous departure by the fact
that he was given only 14 minutes against the 25 minutes allotted
for the Peres’s presentation.

He was presumably peeved by the obvious injustice as the leader of
Turkish Justice and Development party (AKP). He went further explaining
his parting exclamation on the Davos stage: "This is enough of Davos
for me. I will never come back."

He explained that he had been mad at the panel’s moderator, who did
not give him an equal time with the Jewish leader and was angered by
the loud voice of Shimon Peres. (To the Turkish audience, there was
a hint of the anti-Turkish conspiracy formed by the international
Jewry and American Armenians! The panel’s moderator David Ignatius,
of the Washington Post, has Armenian roots.)

This escapade was the crescendo in the Turkish diplomatic campaign
to make the Israeli defensive actions illegitimate in the world’s
opinion. Since the beginning of Operation Cast Lead, the Islamist
government harshly condemned the anti-terrorist incursion of the
Israeli troops into Gaza.

Shortly, after the panel, Shimon Peres called Erdogan and apologized
to the Turkish leader. The Israel’s President Office denied this fact
on the next day.

In many Israeli media outlets the offensive tirade was softened
for domestic audience. Allegedly, Erdogan said, "You are killing
people." This obviously is a statement of fact, namely that in the
well-documented conflict in Gaza like any other military conflict in
the highly populated area such as Dresden bombed into dust by the
American and British bombardment, and more recent carpet bombings
in Serbia and Afghanistan, where the civilian population suffered
"disproportionately."

The Israeli government was slow and too deliberative in its
reaction. This was especially striking on the background of the
anti-Semitic hysteria that swept Turkey in recent weeks. In fact, the
increasing anti-Semitic discourse became almost a daily occurrence
in Turkey since the AKP (Turkish abbreviation of the party’s name)
since the "moderate" Islamists came to power. In 2005, Mein Kampf, the
Hitler’s manifesto, had a very prominent place on Turkey’s bestseller
list. It was on display in all the major bookstores in Istanbul and
Ankara, when I visited there that year.

Despite Erdogan’s assurance that he is against anti-Semitism, Turkey’s
government remains in denial about the anti-Semitic hysteria that
swept through Turkish streets and more conservative neighborhoods.

There is evidence that vilification of the state of Israel and Jews
in the media, TV and radio networks is manipulated by the rhetoric
of the Turkish leader ands allegations fly from Erdogan’s mouth that
there is an anti-Turkish campaign unleashed by the "Jewish-owned"
international press.

The ultra-conservative dailies such as Yeni Safak, and Vakit spew daily
installments about Jewish crimes against humanity these days. Turkish
Vahdet daily, a mouthpiece of Hizballah, reads like Der Sturmer in
the 1930s. According to the American Jewish Committee there was even
outbreak of violence against Jews and Jewish property, in particular
in the seaport city of Izmir.

The liberal Turkish daily Radikal published an article critical of
the anti-Semitic and racist frenzy that seized the traditionally
Jewish-friendly country. The picture that accompanied the article
shows a group of Turkish men standing next to the restaurant. It
showed men holding slogans such as "Dogs are welcome. The Jews and
Armenians are not allowed."

The Israeli government took a long time to ignore this trend in Turkish
public sphere, but with the Erdogan’s tirade, it literally exploded in
the Israeli president’s face. The Israeli cautious, if not to say muted
reaction, has a lot to do with the reasons of the state. Israel holds
multi-million contracts in military procurement for the Turkish Army
and security forces. Turkey allows Israeli air force pilots to train
and fly over its terrain, which is very similar to the mountainous
terrains of Iran and Syria. But the military cooperation and the
sense of genuine camaraderie between two democracies in the Middle
East could be on the wane.

As the Israeli government ponders the immediate future of the
Israeli-Turkish relations, the Jewish state must give not only a due
weight the fate of military and other bilateral contracts, but the
tolerance, if not active sponsoring, of the anti-Semitic atmosphere
in Turkey reminiscent of Germany in the 1930s.

Under the Islamist government, Turkey has gone a long way toward
aligning itself with the likes of Hamas political leader Khaled Mashal
and Syria President Bashar Assad. As the concomitant of this turn
from its Kemalist foundations, the combination of the government’s
anti-Israeli rhetoric and the growing anti-Semitic campaign in
Turkish media puts in doubt the strategic and military partnership
which flourished in the 1990s.

Dr. Alexander Murinson, who specializes in Israeli-Turkish relations,
writes from Baltimore. He is author of the forthcoming "Turkey’s
Entente with Israel and Azerbaijan: State Identity and Security in
the Middle East and Caucasus." (Routledge)

http://www.jewishtimes.com/index.php/jewisht

Belarus–Armenian Inter-Parliamentary Commission To Conduct Session

BELARUS-ARMENIAN INTER-PARLIAMENTARY COMMISSION TO CONDUCT SESSION IN MINSK

ARMENPRESS
Feb 5, 2009

MINSK, FEBRUARY 5, ARMENPRESS: Belarus-Armenian inter-parliamentary
commission is planning to conduct a session in Minsk February 23-24,
chairman of the Belarus National Assembly’s House of Representatives
Vladimir Andreychenko said today at the meeting with the Armenian
ambassador to Belarus Oleg Yesayan.

Andreychenko noted that currently the Belarus side of the commission
has been created. According to him, the coming session will promote
the establishment of closer ties between parliaments of Armenia
and Belarus.

During the meeting Oleg Yesayan conveyed to Andreychenko the invitation
of the Armenian parliament speaker to pay official visit to Armenia.

ProCredit Bank In Armenia Marks First Year Of Its Activities

PROCREDIT BANK IN ARMENIA MARKS FIRST YEAR OF ITS ACTIVITIES

Noyan Tapan

Feb 5, 2009

YEREVAN, FEBRUARY 5, NOYAN TAPAN. ProCredit Bank in Armenia marked the
first year of its activities on February 5. Since February of last
year, the number of its customers has increased to more than 4,000,
including users of savings services. Its credit portfolio amounts to
24 million USD. Small credits of up to 10 thousand USD make up 90%
of the business credit portfolio.

According to the bank’s report, the total amount of sums attracted
from customers in the past 12 months made 9.3 mln USD, while the total
number of bank accounts of customers has reached 6.7 thousand. Most
of the money of customers has been attracted in savings and deposit
accounts, 80% of which are small sums of less than 1,000 USD.

In 2008 the bank opened 5 new branches: 4 in Yerevan and one in
Vanadzor.

Another 7 branches will open this year.

The activities of ProCredit Bank in Armenia with 100% foreign capital
are aimed at crediting small and medium entrepreneurship. The bank
is a member of ProCredit group composed of 22 financial structures in
Eastern Europe, Africa and Latin America. Their activities are managed
and controlled by ProCredit Holding AG in Frankfort (Germany). The
founders of ProCredit Bank in Armenia are ProCredit Holding (67.49%
share), KfW Bank (15.84%) and the EBRD (16.67%).

http://www.nt.am?shownews=1011882

Decision On Setting Up CSTO Rapid-Reaction Forces Reflects Armenia’s

DECISION ON SETTING UP CSTO RAPID-REACTION FORCES REFLECTS ARMENIA’S SECURITY STRATEGY PRIORITIES

armradio.am
05.02.2009 14:55

Commandant of the Institute for National Strategic Studies of the
Armenian Ministry of Defense, Major-General Hayk Kotanjian commented on
the decision singed in Moscow on the establishment of rapid-reaction
forces of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) in an
interview with Armenpress agency.

Asked about the importance of the decision on setting up rapid-reaction
forces of the CSTO adopted in Moscow for Armenia’s national security,
Mr. Kotanjian responded: "This decision reflects both the national
security strategy priorities of Armenia and other CSTO countries and
the collective security of the Organization as a whole.

"The decision made at the summit creates a political, contractual-legal
and military ground for collectively resisting aggression against
any CSTO member state. Taking into consideration the sad experience
of the war in South Ossetia last August, the formation of a real
mechanism is an additional guarantee to deter those who wish to
solve the Karabakh issue in a military way. The establishment of
the military component of the CSTO, which includes also elements of
other law-enforcement services, will allow raising the efficiency of
collective struggle against international terrorism, drug trafficking,
natural and technical disasters," the Commandant of the Institute
for National Strategic Studies said.

Are there any precedents of such decisions in the system of global
and regional security? "The CSTO decision on the establishment of
coalition forces evidences the dynamism of its development using the
best international experience, including that of NATO. This decision
actually reflects the principle of collective responsibility of all
member states, which effectively functions also in the system of the
Euro-Atlantic Alliance," Major-General Hayk Kotanjian stated.

Commenting on whether this decision coincides with Armenia’s
complimentary policy, Hayk Kotanjian said: "As usual Armenia
demonstrates strong adherence to its commitments on national and
international arenas. Assuming the presidency of the CSTO and having
successfully conducted "Rubezh 2008," "Cooperative Longbow/Lancer 08"
and "Brave Lynx" military exercises of international scale, Armenia
stands out for reliability in its political and security cooperation
with all partners in both bilateral and multilateral formats."

UAF Shipped to Armenia $36 Million of Aid in 2008

UNITED ARMENIAN FUND
1101 N. Pacific Avenue # 204
Glendale, CA 91202
Tel: 818.241.8900
Fax: 818.241.6900

5 February 2009

UAF Shipped to Armenia $36 Million of Aid in 2008

Glendale, CA – The United Armenian Fund contributed to Armenia $36 million
of humanitarian assistance during the fiscal year 2008, consisting primarily
of medicines and medical supplies, according to the latest audit of its
financial statements.

The UAF devoted less than 1% of its total revenues to administrative
expenses, allocating the remaining 99% to assisting the people of Armenia
and Artsakh, according to the audit.

During its 19 years of operations, the UAF delivered to Armenia a grand
total of $539 million worth of relief supplies on board 149 airlifts and
1,612 sea containers, as of September 30, 2008.

The UAF is the collective effort of the Armenian Assembly of America,
Armenian General Benevolent Union, Armenian Missionary Association of
America, Armenian Relief Society, Diocese of the Armenian Church of America,
Prelacy of the Armenian Apostolic Church of America, and The Lincy
Foundation.

For more information, contact the UAF office at 1101 North Pacific Avenue,
Suite 204, Glendale, CA 91202 or call (818) 241-8900.

###

Statistic Database In Sphere Of Tourism Being Improved In Armenia

STATISTIC DATABASE IN SPHERE OF TOURISM BEING IMPROVED IN ARMENIA

ArmInfo
2009-02-03 17:25:00

ArmInfo. The working group set up to improve the statistic tourism database
of Armenia held its first sitting. Head of Tourism Department at Armenian
Economy Ministry Mekhak Apresyan told ArmInfo correspondent that the sitting
of the working group set up within the frames of the Armenian Tourism
Development Conception for 2009-2012 by the decree of Armenian Economy
Minister Nerses Yeritsyan was held on February 2.

Mekhak Apresyan said that the working group includes representatives of the
Economy Ministry, Migration Department under the Territorial Administration
Ministry, National Statistical Service of Armenia, General Department of
Civil Aviation, Armenian Tourism Development Agency, USAID-funded
Competitive Armenian Private Sector Project.

According to Apresyan, at the initial stage the working group intends to
research the existing statistical data, introduce amendments in some
legislative acts, improve and enlarge the database. "The potential of high
technologies at customs points of the country will allow us to considerably
enlarge and specify the base, as well as the statistical data calculation
methods in the sphere of tourism",- he said. Apresyan stressed that the
settlement of this problem will allow gradually introducing a satellite
system in Armenia.

To recall, the Armenian Government approved the Tourism Development
Conception for 2009-2012 in October 2008. The activities stipulated in the
document for 2009-2012 aim to improve the regulating legal field, develop
tourism infrastructures, implement structural reforms, represent Armenia as
a tourism country in international markets, as well as to attract
investments and improve the transport communication. According to the
forecasts in the Tourism Development Conception, 1.5 mln tourists will visit
Armenia in 2020, and 3 mln in 2030.

According to the National Statistical Service of Armenia, about 560 thsd
tourists visited Armenia in 2008, this index being by 9.4% higher than in
2007. 516 thsd people left Armenia for tourism purposes in 2008, this index
being by 10.3% higher than in 2007.

The Oil Market Turnaround Is Damaging For Azerbaijan

THE OIL MARKET TURNAROUND IS DAMAGING FOR AZERBAIJAN
By Bedros Terzian, with permission of Petrostrategies

Civilitas Foundation
ysis/090130oil.html
Feb 2, 2009

Some hydrocarbon exporting countries are suffering more than others
from the decline in oil prices for economic, and sometimes political
reasons, too.

Azerbaijan belongs to the latter category. The fall in prices
is occurring just as the country’s production is on the verge of
peaking. If prices continue to flag, they could deprive Baku of
what should have been its golden oil age. Unlike other producer
countries, Azerbaijan extracts the lion’s share of its oil from a
single group of fields: the ones being developed and exploited by
the AIOC consortium, i.e. Azeri, Chirag and Deep Guneshli (ACG). The
AIOC’s production plateau risks lasting for only a short period of
time. As a result, it is the entire Azeri production that will decline,
as its profile cannot be enhanced by contributions from other fields,
unlike countries that have a large number of fields. The exploration
work carried out by over a dozen foreign oil groups, which have spent
more than $1 billion in two decades (ExxonMobil being the latest
to date), have led to no new oilfield discoveries in Azerbaijan,
putting aside that of Shah Deniz, since it contains gas. Peak oil
production is thus expected in 2010 and the decline could commence as
of 2013 for the ACG. The scheduled arrival of condensates from phase
2 of the Shah Deniz development could help postpone the downturn in
Azeri liquid hydrocarbon production until 2014-15 at the latest. Two
possible sources could emerge thereafter to slow down this decline in
production growth: an EOR program on ACG and/or the service start-up
of the Inam field, which is currently being explored.

For the time being, Azerbaijan is channeling a large chunk of its
oil revenues into amortizing the investments made by foreign firms to
develop ACG and Shah Deniz. According to the IMF’s statistics in 2007,
Azerbaijan put $5.2 billion into reimbursing the oil expenditure (opex
and amortizing capex) of foreign companies, and this left it with $5.3
billion in net export revenues. The country started reimbursing past
investments in 2006 (see table). But new development investments are
currently being made: $2.5 billion were planned for 2008, after the
$3.2 billion spent in 2007, for ACG and Shah Deniz. Thus, it will
take several more years of reimbursements to amortize these. Added
to the latter are operating expenses, which in 2008 were estimated
at around $750 million/annum for ACG and Shah Deniz and which are
100% reimbursed over the year. The lion’s share of the investments
coincided with the rise in costs in the global oil industry as of
2003-4, while prices are falling just as Baku is preparing to reap
the fruits of its production hike. In short, low-priced=2 0oil will
be used to reimburse oil developed at high costs.

The fall in global oil demand is another source of disappointment
for Baku.

Not that it is hard to sell its crude oil: no, Azeri oil is of a high
quality (apart from a number of recent problems related to temporary
sourness, it seems) and is generally sold at a comfortable premium
compared with Brent. The problem has more to do with the fall in
global demand, which has given rise to a production capacity surplus
of 5-8 million b/d around the world and which risks continuing up
to 2016, according to Cambridge Energy Research Associates (CERA –
PETROSTRATEGIES, January 12, 2009).

Thus, while in 2006 and 2007, the world could not do without Azeri
oil (nor could it do without any producer country of an equivalent or
bigger size than that of Azerbaijan), this crude oil is today no longer
essential for ensuring the balance of the international oil market.

The political consequences of these evolutions are of no benefit at
all to Azerbaijan. Baku was pinning high hopes on its strengths as
an oil producer to boost its negotiating power with Armenia in the
Nagorno Karabagh conflict. But now this trump card is being undermined,
as worrying signals are being sent from Georgia and Turkey, two key
countries for Azeri oil exports. The deterioration of the situation
in Georgia following the short Russia-Georgia war in August have been
the cause of20much concern: Baku made a public statement in which it
regretted "putting all its eggs in the same basket", which proved to
be "fragile" (PETROSTRATEGIES, October 6, 2008), by having all its new
hydrocarbon pipelines transit Georgia. But now that this has been done,
the Azeri government is left with no other choice; it is doing all it
can to help Georgia. At the beginning of December 2008, Baku guaranteed
that it would cover 85% of this country’s gas demand by committing to
supply it with 900 million cu.m/annum at a cut price. Baku has acquired
the Kulevi oil terminal in Georgia, has opened service stations in
the country, and has granted a $300-million loan at a 1% interest over
25 years for the construction of a Baku-Akhalkalaki-Kars railroad to
Turkey, etc. At the same time, Baku is coming to the aid of the Azeri
minority, which has a very strong presence in the North-east border
region (transited by the BTC oil pipeline) of Georgia, providing it
with social, medical and schooling assistance.

Azerbaijan is starting to experience problems with Turkey too, its most
powerful ally in the region. Over the last few months, three energy
sector disputes have come to light between the two countries. The first
of these involves the price at which Turkey has been purchasing the gas
(of Shah Deniz) from Azerbaijan since 2007. A price of $120/1,000 was
agreed for the first year. This was r espected, despite the price hike
on the international market. But this agreement expired in July 2008;
Azerbaijan rejected the new price of $150 that Turkey was offering,
saying Ankara should pay double this. The second stumbling block
concerns Turkey’s purchase of part of the gas to come from phase 2
of Shah Deniz and which will be exported to Europe. Ankara is asking
for 8 bcm/annum, while Baku is offering only 4 bcm/annum. The third
dispute is over the transit fees that Turkey is charging for the
Azeri oil that is piped through the Baku-Tbilissi-Ceyhan (BTC) oil
pipeline. At the outset, in order to encourage the construction of
this expensive structure ($4 billion), the Turks had agreed to charge
a fee of only $0.35/b. But as a result of the crude oil price hike,
they considered that a rise was justified, which Baku contests,
arguing that long-term agreements were reached with Ankara.

Turkey is in a very strong negotiating position. Not only does the
country serve as a transit corridor for two Azeri pipelines (the BTC
oil pipeline and the Shah Deniz gasline), but at any time it wishes,
it can open up the Armenian border, which it closed in 1993 to support
Baku in the Nagorno Karabagh conflict. Azerbaijan is now anxiously
observing how relations evolve between Armenia and Turkey. True, the
historical visit by Turkish President Abdullah Gul to the Armenian
capital in September 2008 led to nothing in=2 0concrete terms and
Ankara is maintaining its blockade on the border, but an increasing
number of people in Turkey are talking about re-opening it.

Furthermore, public opinion in Turkey, which had previously been
homogenous, is now riddled with contradicting opinions, even on the
ultra-sensitive issue of the Armenian genocide. Thus, in mid-December,
300 Turkish intellectuals launched a petition entitled: "We ask them
for forgiveness" for "the Great catastrophe that the Ottoman Armenians
suffered in 1915". More than 27,000 people signed the petition and
it is the source of hot debate in Turkey. Such an initiative was
inconceivable only a few months ago in this country, where even
the mention of genocide is punishable with a prison sentence. At
the beginning of January 2009, a Turkish state prosecutor opened an
inquiry in order to establish whether the intellectuals’ initiative
violated the famous Article 301 of the penal code, which punishes
"insults against the Turkish national identity". The Prime Minister has
spoken out against the petition, while the President of the Republic
says it proves that freedom of speech does exist in Turkey. Baku is
following these developments with much concern.

http://www.civilitasfoundation.org/anal

FM says Karabakh talks in Zurich "useful and constructive"

Mediamax, Armenia
Jan 28 2009

Armenian minister says Karabakh talks in Zurich "useful and constructive"

Yerevan, 28 January: Minister of Foreign Affairs of Armenia Edvard
Nalbandyan stated in Zurich today that the meeting of the Armenian and
Azerbaijani presidents had been "useful and constructive", a Mediamax
special correspondent reports from Switzerland.

As the Mediamax special correspondent reports from Switzerland, the
Armenian foreign minister stated that the "tone and the atmosphere of
the meeting were positive".

Edvard Nalbandyan noted that "the presidents stated that their
meetings are regular and the fact attaches certain dynamism to the
process".

"There is certain progress, which is expressed in the fact that from
meeting to meeting the presidents better understand each other’s
stances, the difficulties and the obstacles, which are there on the
way of the settlement," the Armenian foreign minister stated. He noted
that the presidents had discussed various issues, related to the
opportunities to make the stances on the Madrid principles closer.

The [OSCE Minsk Group] co-chairs agreed upon visiting the region
within a month, and the presidents charged the foreign ministers with
continuing talks, Edvard Nalbandyan stated.

Azerbaijani Foreign Minister Elmar Mammadyarov agreed to the words of
his Armenian counterpart concerning the fact that the sides have
started better understanding each other.

"There is dynamics, there is movement, and my Armenian counterpart and
I should continue talks with the participation of the mediators," he
noted.

The Armenian foreign minister stressed that the matter now is
coordination of the settlement principles. "Only after there is
agreement on the principles, the sides will start working on the basic
document," Edvard Nalbandyan stated.

The Mediamax special correspondent reports that the US and French
mediators, Matthew Bryza and Bernard Fassier, also stated that both
presidents described their meeting as "positive and constructive" and
noted presence of dynamics in the settlement process.

ANKARA: Erdogan Expects Sincerity From Armenia

ERDOGAN EXPECTS SINCERITY FROM ARMENIA

Hurriyet
Jan 30 2009
Turkey

ISTANBUL – PM Recep Tayyip Erdogan said he expected sincerity from
the Armenians, as he was scheduled to meet Armenian president Serge
Sarkisan on Wednesday evening in Davos, reported private CNNTurk
news channel.

Erdogan said after the meetings Wednesday, he would hold a meeting
about the issues of Azerbaijan and Armenia if Armenia adopted a sincere
approach during Thursday’s meeting; "Then we can draw a road map."

Turkey & Israel: Friends And Allies

TURKEY & ISRAEL: FRIENDS AND ALLIES
By Elif Aydýn

The Muslim News
Jan 30 2009
UK

Anomalous isn’t it that the one Muslim country that has strong
and cordial ties with Israel has been the one to speak out most
vociferously against the latter’s heinous assaults on Gaza?

It has surprised Turks themselves that among Muslim majority countries
observing the horrors, it has been Turkey that has been foremost
in its utter condemnation of Israel’s conduct. The Chairman of the
Turkish Assembly’s Foreign Relations Committee, Murat Mercan, quit
the assembly’s Turkish-Israel Friendship Group in protest at the
latter’s actions in Gaza.

Turkey’s Foreign Minister, Ali Babacan, accused governments and
international organisations of recklessly and irresponsibly engaging
in a ‘wait and see’ politics. He criticised these same governments
and international organisations for drawing distinctive reactions to
events in Georgia and those in Gaza.

The Turkish Prime Minister, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, spoke of Israel’s
actions as constituting "a crime against humanity" which would be
judged by history. And facing calls at home, similar to elsewhere, to
break off diplomatic ties with Israel and at the very least to expel
the Israeli Ambassador from Turkey, he replied, in his characteristic
vernacular style "We are running the Turkish Republic, not a grocery
store."

Indeed, which is why he dispatched his Foreign Minister and Chief
Foreign Policy Adviser, Prof Ahmet Davutoglu, to Cairo to lend Turkey’s
support to the Franco-Egyptian sponsored ceasefire negotiations.

It has been the AKP Government’s willingness to take tentative and
difficult steps, and withstand the emotive reactions of its detractors
that has helped it develop its policy of making friends and not enemies
in its neighbourhood. Its relations with Greece, Russia and Armenia
have all benefited from Davutoglu’s wisdom and Erdogan’s charisma.

Turkey boldly invited Head of Hamas Political Bureau, Khalid Mish’al,
after Hamas’ victory in the Palestinian elections, a move furiously
protested against by the Israeli Government at the time. It meant
that Mish’al’s visit had to be demoted from an official engagement
to a meeting with party’s officials and no audience granted with
Erdogan himself.

And from strong Syrian-Turkish animosity in the late 1990s, when the
PKK Leader, Abdullah Ocalan, was taking refuge in Syria, Turkey has
moved to a situation where it is able to confidently mediate in peace
talks between Syria and Israel. The question now faced by Turks is
whether the AKP has succeeded at all in using her relationship with
Israel to lean on an ally, using her own example of courageous first
steps, to help the peace process along and normalise relations between
Israel and the Arab regimes.

There are those who have argued that Turkey, better than others, should
appreciate Israel’s behaviour given that Turkey herself had crossed
into northern Iraq to conduct operations against PKK terrorists that
threatened Turkey’s own security. Turkey’s actions then, similarly,
merited muted responses from the Bush administration given her
importance to the US Government and the reconstruction effort in Iraq.

Perhaps the analogy is more revealing in it what it tells us of
the crimes that can be committed if the devil being resisted is
terrorism. And the term itself indiscriminately employed in the
same way the ‘war on terror’ phrase was and is deployed to quell and
silence legitimate opposition to a government’s excesses.

Of concern to those that have trusted in Turkey’s goodwill in
mediating for peace is the prospect, given prime ministerial and
ministerial statements, of impartiality on the part of Turkey in
future talks. While Turkish-Israeli relations are unlikely to remain
sour or strained for long, particularly given the close co-operation
and regular joint exercises between their respective militaries,
the statements made by Erdogan and others in his Government will be
exploited by neo-cons in the US and Israel that work to undermine the
AKP’s orientation by throwing at it a pejorative rendering of the term
‘Islamist’.

The critical voices of AKP ministers and deputies will be seized upon
as examples of a leopard not having changed its spots.

There are those also that will see in Turkey’s manoeuvres a tactical
move in service of aggrandising her role as a powerful and important
regional actor. And with domestic troubles like the Ergenekon case
continuing to uncover further plots and personalities that are accused
of supporting an anti AKP coup, rallying the support of Turks who are
outraged over Gaza seems a useful decoy in deflecting attention from
events closer to home.

Cool relations with Europe also offers Erdogan’s Government the
opportunity to impress on Europe one of Turkey’s most frequently
cited arguments in support of her membership bid – that Europe needs
Turkey to realise its aspiration of being a strong and credible actor
in international politics.

And there is no doubt that the "new way forward, based on mutual
interest and mutual respect," that US President Barak Obama hopes
for in his forging of a new era in relations between the US and the
Muslim world, will require a considerable presence from Turkey.

The hope that Turkey does hold out, as her response to the Gaza crisis
demonstrates, is her willingness to be the kind of critical friend
to Israel that former Prime Minister, Tony Blair, failed to be to the
ex-President George Bush. And if President Obama is true to his word of
wanting to enhance mutual interest and mutual respect in US relations
with the Muslim world, there are lessons in friendship that Turkey can
teach him far better than almost all the other Muslim majority states.

Elif Aydýn is a Researcher.

USE AS QUOTE: The hope that Turkey does hold out, as her response
to the Gaza crisis demonstrates, is her willingness to be the kind
of critical friend to Israel that former Prime Minister, Tony Blair,
failed to be to the ex-President George Bush.

–Boundary_(ID_Gt+AXFfbXW6Bywsl5MRYYw)–