Azerbaijan Archbishop: Our Holy Mission Is to Keep Peace

Christianity Today
Jan 5 2021
In exclusive interview, head of Russian Orthodox Church in Baku invites defeated Armenians into economic cooperation after Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and laments lost ethnic fraternity.
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Image: Aziz Karimov / Getty Images
Archbishop Alexander of the Baku-Azerbaijan Diocese of the Russian Orthodox Church prays during a 2020 Easter service at the Holy Myrrhbearers Cathedral in Baku, Azerbaijan.

Editor’s note: CT’s previous coverage of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict can be found here.

The saying is clear: To the victor go the spoils.

And morally, with it comes the burden of peace.

In November, Christian-heritage Armenia surrendered to Muslim-majority Azerbaijani forces besieging the Caucasus mountain area of Nagorno-Karabakh. The ceasefire agreement ended a six-week war that cost each side roughly 3,000 soldiers, and left unsettled the final status of the Armenian-populated enclave they call Artsakh.

Azerbaijan, however, recovered the rest of its internationally recognized territory, including the historic city of Shushi. The first Karabakh war ended in 1994, and displaced hundreds of thousands from their homes on both sides.

Archbishop Alexander, head of the Russian Orthodox Church in Azerbaijan, reached out to CT to promote a process of reconciliation.

It will not be easy.

Azerbaijanis returning to Adgam, left in ruins by Armenian occupation for 25 years, will see for the first time the damage to their once 30,000-populated city. Its mosque was relabeled “Persian,” while 63 of Nagorno-Karabakh’s 67 mosques are said to be razed to the ground.

Meanwhile, Catholicos Karekin II, head of the Armenian Apostolic Church, issued a plea to save the ancient heritage of Armenian church properties lost in the war. In 2005, a gravesite containing sixth-century khatchkar crosses was destroyed in the Azerbaijani enclave of Nakhchivan.

Azerbaijan has pledged to preserve them. But the United Nations’s cultural arm UNESCO stated that its authorities have failed to respond to several requests to deploy an independent fact-finding mission.

Meanwhile, members of Azerbaijan’s Christian Udi minority were dispatched to hold services in the ninth-century Dadivank Monastery. The Udi are related to the Caucasian Albanian Christians, assimilated into other ethnic groups a thousand years ago. But Azerbaijan maintains the churches of the region are actually “Albanian,” and not Armenian in origin.

International academics find it difficult to examine all the historical sources. But one nonaligned expert stated the theory has “little currency outside of Azerbaijan,” calling it “bizarre.”

Efforts at reconciliation must also overcome the trauma of war.

Azerbaijan stated that 100 civilians were killed in the shelling of populated areas, while Armenia stated at least 55 civilians were killed. Human Rights Watch condemned the use of cluster munitions on both sides.

Amnesty International has similarly documented video footage showing mistreatment of captured soldiers—including decapitations.

Alexander, elevated to archbishop in 2012, is not a neutral peacemaker.

Early in the war, he signed an Azerbaijani interfaith letter congratulating President Ilham Aliyev on his military victories. A later letter pledged that Azerbaijan was not seeking the displacement of Armenians in Nagorno-Karabakh, and offered them autonomy.

But after the war, amid claims of Azerbaijan erasing Armenian cultural heritage, a third letter endorsed the Albanian origin of churches, and defended the nation’s multireligious character.

Aliyev has since retracted the offer of autonomy.

Of Azerbaijan’s 10 million population, 96 percent are Muslim—roughly two-thirds Shiite and one-third Sunni. Alexander’s Russian Orthodox represent two-thirds of Christians, while over 15,000 Jews date back to the Old Testament era.

A peacemaker, however, does not need to be neutral, only committed.

Speaking through a translator, Alexander described his experience of past good relations between Armenians and Azerbaijanis, his hope for future economic cooperation, and his present willingness to meet with Catholicos Karekin II:

What is your vision for reconciliation?

We are both eastern Christian communities, and we have much in common.

At the same time, 1,500 years of separation between the Eastern Orthodox church and the Armenian Apostolic church has complicated relations. We have holy books and traditions in common, but we are not in fellowship.

Both of us have been living among Muslims since Islam was introduced in our region. But the manner of living has been very different. The Orthodox church in Azerbaijan found a way to live together with Muslims, but Armenians did not.

Relations were not always like this. Thirty years ago, many Armenians lived here in Azerbaijan, and they had their own churches where they could pray. The proof of these good relations are mixed marriages between them. Peoples in the same geographical areas have to find ways to live together, and not focus on their differences.

This is the main principle for how future relations between these two nations can be built. France, Germany, and Poland are an example. They endured many wars, but now they are all in one European Union.

What is Azerbaijan prepared to do to heal the wounds of this conflict?

Peace between the countries is a way to avoid the isolation Armenia suffers, with Azerbaijan, and perhaps with Turkey.

Transportation networks can be built, helping Armenian development. Political, economic, and cultural areas of cooperation exist with the south Caucasus nation of Georgia. Azerbaijan has repeatedly invited Armenia into this network, with the one condition of returning the occupied territories.

Azerbaijan has a high level of multicultural acceptance, and preserves its religious monuments. The Armenian churches and libraries in Baku are kept safe. In the case of a peace agreement, these can be used again, as they should. This will also help the spiritual and religious reconciliation.

In Matthew, Jesus says if your brother has something against you, then you must go to him to be reconciled. Armenians have issues against Azerbaijanis. Even if they are wrong, how can Azerbaijani Christians reconcile in Christ after this conflict?

Unfortunately, Armenians have lied to themselves.

Baku had a whole Armenian quarter in the Soviet era, living in better condition than other citizens. I travel to Russia, Georgia, Belarus, and other nations, and I see that Armenians raised in Baku communicate with Azerbaijanis as friends. They are very sorry they had to leave.

In the modern Christian world, unfortunately, there is no unity. We have a lot in common, but we cannot pray together. It is a great sorrow and pain of modern Christianity. When I meet Armenians, we discuss many things, but we cannot pray together.

Are you able to make a phone call to Catholicos Karekin II?

I know him, and we have had many discussions. But I don’t have his phone number [smiling].

What would you want to say to him now, in order to help make peace?

I would tell him he has respect in Azerbaijan as a religious leader. He can do a lot to reduce the tensions and hate that Armenians have toward Azerbaijan. So much depends on him.

What would you want the Catholicos to say or do in this time of conflict?

It is a time to stop discussions about negative issues, and to discuss common ground together—what unites us, not divides. Our common ground can be a common future: cooperation in economy, culture, and human rights.

In order to have peace with God, we must confess our sins. In times of war, both sides have sinned against each other. If you agree, what is it that Azerbaijan can apologize for, and seek forgiveness?

It is complicated. Islam as a religion has no confession. Of course, both sides did many negative actions.

As for confession, there is the example of Poland and Germany. They needed 50 years to understand that they were wrong during World War II. This is why we need peace, the building of new life. Only after this can we gain such a realization.

We need years, maybe a dozen years. That is why it is difficult to speak of confession right now.

Many Armenians are fearful of a new genocide. It does take many years to create peace, but God is greater than politics. Spiritual peace can come before political peace. Perhaps neither Islam nor the government have the capacity for confession. But it might help Armenians if you were able to confess some of the sins of your nation.

I carefully listened to your question.

But when the word genocide is used, we should be very careful. We have very sad facts about the actions of Armenian forces on the territory of Azerbaijan. We have thousands of Azerbaijanis killed from the Armenian side, so to whom should we address the word genocide?

Azerbaijanis still remember its ethnic character. That is why I think it is impossible to use the term in this situation. We will have accusations from both sides.

If there is to be peace and reconciliation, especially between Christians, then Armenians must apologize for their role. But what can be said from the Azerbaijan side, as the victorious party in this current conflict?

It is an interesting question.

We remember that in the first Karabakh war, Azerbaijan lost.

The victory of Armenia was due to the several problems going on in the Soviet Union. When it collapsed, countries appeared without military forces. Armenia won because the Soviet military forces left, and we did not have our own. But Armenia had prepared their own military forces.

That is why they won the first war, without resistance from the Azerbaijani side.

But these bloody events did not happen according to the will of Azerbaijani people, it was the will of ex-Soviet leadership.

In the first Karabakh war, we cannot say that Azerbaijan bears responsibility for these events. It was the Soviet leadership that created the negative situation in the south Caucasus.

In 1990, our cathedral church was totally destroyed by a missile. That has nothing to do with Azerbaijanis or Armenians. It is the responsibility of the Soviet military that entered Baku.

People from those times must confess. Both Azerbaijan and Armenia are their victims. So it is ridiculous to say that Azerbaijanis and Armenians cannot live together. Azerbaijanis do not have hate in their heart.

But as for the lands and the territory, the rule is strict. What is mine is mine, and yours is yours. That is why we had this recent war.

Jesus also said that when your brother sins against you, you must go to him privately. Armenians have sinned against Azerbaijanis. Will you be willing to go to Armenia and speak with the Catholicos?

I could speak to him face-to-face, in private. If the conditions are right, I will go.

The Bible also says: Blessed are the peacemakers, for they will be called sons of God. Our holy mission is always to keep peace.

But it is better to do it on neutral ground.

Beside the Catholicos, there is also a nation. Citizens of Armenia are very tense at this moment. They have made many negative statements against the Catholicos, their prime minister, President Putin, and of course against Azerbaijan.

But a meeting in a neutral place is possible.


Tokayev wishes Armenian President Armen Sarkissian speedy recovery from virus

Inform Kazakhstan
Jan 5 2021

5 January 2021 22:05

NUR-SULTAN. KAZINFORM – Kazakh President wished Armenian President Armen Sarkissian a quick recovery from the coronavirus infection, Kazinform reports.

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In his Twitter post, Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev wished the Armenian President, Armen Sarkissian, a speedy recovery and return to his duties to serve the Armenian people. The President also noted that the active efforts of the two countries and the entire world community would help defeat COVID-19.

President of Armenia Armen Sarkissian celebrated New Year holidays in London with family and grandchildren, the Presidential Office told Armenpress.

On January 3 the President underwent a successful leg surgery; however, he showed symptoms for the novel coronavirus. The result of his test for the coronavirus was positive.

The Armenian President will temporarily work remotely.

Serving Fleeing Families in Armenia

MISSIONS Box
Jan 5 2021

ARMENIA — Samaritan’s Purse is in Armenia working alongside Christian charity Mission Eurasia and their church partners on the ground to provide tons of warm clothing and blankets to help families who are fleeing war and need to prepare for the oncoming winter.

John Freyler, Samaritan’s Purse:

Every nation and people are precious to God, and Samaritan’s Purse is both in Armenia and Azerbaijan talking with families, assessing their needs, seeing what Samaritan’s Purse can do, what we can provide. It breaks my heart, it breaks our heart to see these families who’ve left everything literally with the clothes on their back.

Sergey Rakhuba, President, Mission Eurasia:

People are hiding, running for their lives, looking for places where they can protect their children and their elderly ones. Mission Eurasia, we reached out to Samaritan’s Purse, and we’re extremely grateful for their strategic response so that this aircraft loaded with winter supplies, warm clothing to help families to cope with their cold weather, you know, the winter is coming. And there are people on the ground now preparing thousands and thousands food packages.

John Freyler:

Samaritan’s Purse is here providing hope, providing for the physical needs, whether that’s coats, boots, winter items, blankets, but more importantly, we’re here to provide the Gospel.

Vazgen Zohrabyan, Pastor, Abovyan City Church:

So this is our church hall where we used to come together on Sundays, but because of the situation, this is also a warehouse. So we have packed some food here. For now, we have 50 people here, and on a daily basis, we help 200 to get food. We feel this responsibility on our shoulders to feed them, to help them, to provide shelter for them.

When you realize that you are alone, it’s very challenging for us. So thank you to the Mission Eurasia and Samaritan’s Purse for standing with us and for us. Praise God for it. Praise God for the help.

John Freyler:

Pray for these families. Pray for them as they prepare for winter. Pray for our teams and our distributions, but really pray for both sides of the border, that they heal from this conflict and that they would come to know the hope of the Gospel.


Samaritan’s Purse is a nondenominational evangelical Christian organization providing spiritual and physical aid to hurting people around the world. Since 1970, Samaritan’s Purse has helped meet the needs of people who are victims of war, poverty, natural disasters, disease, and famine with the purpose of sharing God’s love through His Son, Jesus Christ. The organization serves the Church worldwide to promote the Gospel of the Lord Jesus Christ.

The Samaritan’s Purse International Disaster Assistance Response Team (DART) program is committed to meeting the critical needs of victims of war, poverty, famine, disease, and natural disaster. We stand ready to respond at a moment’s notice whenever and wherever disaster strikes. The DART specializes in providing water, food, shelter, and medical care while sharing the Good News of Jesus Christ.


Turkish press: Turkey’s Orthodox community celebrates Christmas

Turkey’s Orthodox community celebrated the birth of Jesus Christ on Jan. 6, recognized as Christmas according to the Julian calendar.

Greek Orthodox citizens in Istanbul reenacted the baptism of Christ with a traditional cross-throwing ceremony at the Kuzguncuk dock in Üsküdar district.

The celebrations began in the morning with a three-hour ceremony held in Agios Georgios Greek Orthodox Church led by Bishop Smarağ.

Later, a group of priests and faithful Orthodox Christians went to the Üsküdar dock, where Bishop Smarağ threw a large cross into the sea.

A young man named Ilias Ouanis Tawadros kissed the cross he took from the sea and presented it to the Bishop.

Many Turkish Armenians living in the İskenderun district in the southern border province of Hatay attended a Christmas mass.

Avedis Tabaşyan, a religious officer from Hatay Armenian Churches, wished 2021 to be the year of hope at the ceremony, where participation was low due to the pandemic.

Due to a difference in calendars, many Orthodox churches mark Christmas Eve on Jan. 6 and celebrate Christmas on Jan. 7 and not on Dec. 25.

Several countries, including Russia, Georgia, and Armenia, celebrate Christmas in January.

The majority of Orthodox churches worldwide use the Julian calendar, created under the reign of Julius Caesar in 45 B.C., and have not adopted the commonly used Gregorian calendar, proposed by Latin Pope Gregory of Rome in 1582.

The former calendar runs 13 days behind.

Turkish press: Turkey: Court orders remand of 2 in Dink murder case

Murat Kaya and Basak Akbulut Yazar   |06.01.2021

ISTANBUL

An Istanbul court on Wednesday ordered that two former intelligence officers be remanded in custody over the 2007 killing of a prominent Armenian-Turkish journalist, according to a judicial source.

Heavy Penal Court no.14 in Istanbul issued interlocutory order and found Volkan Sahin and Veysal Sahin guilty of knowing the murder of Hrant Dink beforehand, said the source on condition of anonymity due to restrictions on speaking to the media.

Citing evidence against the two, the court ordered that arrest warrants be issued to nab Volkan Sahin and Veysal Sahin as "they spent short time under detention," the source added.

Dink, then editor-in-chief of the Armenian-Turkish newspaper Agos, was killed outside his office on Jan. 19, 2007.

The judicial control order for Ali Oz, former gendarmerie command, and Ecevit Emir were lifted by the court, while they are still banned from leaving the country.

Emre Cingoz, another defendant in the case, was banned to leave Istanbul, while his judicial control was released and his ban on leaving the country continues.

The next hearing of the case will be held on Jan. 8.

*Writing by Sena Guler

Turkey’s Frayed Ties With the West Are Unlikely to Improve Under Biden

World Politics Review



By Sinan Ciddi
Tuesday, Jan. 5, 2021

As President-elect Joe Biden prepares to take office later this month,
many U.S. allies and partners are eyeing an opportunity for better
relations with Washington. But Turkey, under the leadership of
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, will face an uphill battle to settle
its ongoing disputes with the United States, not to mention its other
NATO allies.

There are three major impediments to a reset in Turkey’s ties with the
West. First, the U.S. remains at loggerheads with Turkey over
Erdogan’s decision to purchase an advanced missile defense system from
Russia. Second, the European Union is considering tough sanctions
against Ankara over its drilling activities in the Eastern
Mediterranean, in waters that are also claimed by Greece and Cyprus.
And third, even independent of those external pressures, Erdogan’s
government will likely continue to undermine the U.S. and the EU as
part of his domestic campaign to keep Turkish voters on his side by
galvanizing nationalist sentiments.

Earlier this month, the Trump administration imposed narrowly targeted
but nonetheless stinging sanctions against Turkey in response to its
acquisition of the Russian-manufactured S-400 missile defense system
in 2019. The sanctions, which targeted Turkey’s defense industry, were
required by the 2017 Countering American Adversaries Through Sanctions
Act, known as CAATSA. Congress, angered by the delay, included a
provision requiring the sanctions be imposed within 30 days in the
annual defense bill that it overwhelmingly passed last month.

Erdogan’s decision to purchase the S-400 platform has long faced
fierce resistance from the U.S. and NATO, as the system is
incompatible with the alliance’s existing defense infrastructure. Its
advanced radar could also collect sensitive information about NATO
capabilities—most notably, the newly deployed F-35 stealth fighter
jets. Erdogan has paid a steep price for his insistence on keeping the
S-400. Following delivery of the first Russian missile batteries to
Turkey in mid-2019, the U.S. took the unprecedented step of removing
Turkey from the F-35 program and canceling its planned shipment of
around 100 of the jets.

Compared to that move, the recent sanctions under CAATSA were much
more limited in scope, to prevent broader damage to the Turkish
economy. They will mainly curtail the Turkish armed forces’ access to
American military hardware. Still, they reflect mounting animosity
toward Turkey among U.S. lawmakers. Unless Turkey dramatically alters
its course under the Biden administration, it is unlikely that the
U.S. government will lift these sanctions, isolating Turkey within
NATO.

The incoming Biden administration is also likely to more aggressively
pursue outstanding criminal cases against Turkish entities that had
stalled or slowed under President Donald Trump, which could further
embitter bilateral relations. In October 2019, U.S. federal
prosecutors indicted Halkbank, a major Turkish state-owned lender, for
its alleged involvement in “a multibillion-dollar scheme to evade U.S.
sanctions on Iran.” But prior to the indictment, Trump had apparently
yielded to pressure from Erdogan to hold off on pursuing the case, and
his Justice Department only granted permission to press charges
against Halkbank after Erdogan ordered Turkish troops into Syria,
provoking a backlash from the U.S. In June, the top federal prosecutor
in Manhattan, Geoffrey Berman, was fired, reportedly for his refusal
to grant a favorable settlement to Halkbank that involved immunity for
individuals suspected of involvement in the case.

Without significant policy and behavioral changes from Erdogan, Turkey
is likely to encounter further punitive measures from the U.S. and the
EU.

Berman’s successor, who will be appointed by Biden’s attorney general,
will certainly see this case through to its conclusion. If Halkbank is
convicted, it could face dire financial consequences, with fines in
the billions of dollars, and the ripple effects would be felt
throughout the Turkish economy. U.S. prosecutors could also indict
Halkbank executives and other individuals involved in facilitating the
suspect transactions.

Erdogan has lobbied hard to deter such moves, and is reported to
already be reaching out to the Biden team. But it is unlikely that
Biden would intervene in the Halkbank case, given his desire to
restore the Justice Department’s independence after Trump. Biden has
also pledged to rebuild America’s reputation among its allies and
partners as a champion of robust democratic institutions and the rule
of law. This means that in both the Halkbank case and the S-400
dispute, the onus will be on Erdogan to improve relations with the
U.S. Bold gestures, such as terminating the S-400 acquisition and
offering to settle the Halkbank case on terms that are agreeable to
career prosecutors in Biden’s Justice Department, would go a long way.

However, Erdogan is unlikely to do so given his persistently negative
attitude toward the U.S. and the West, often blaming them for Turkey’s
problems. Partly due to this history of harsh rhetoric, 48 percent of
Turks now identify the U.S. as the biggest threat to their country,
according to a recent survey.

A similar view prevails toward the EU, which is threatening to hit
Turkey with sanctions due to its aggressive moves in the disputed
waters of the Mediterranean Sea. Throughout 2020, Erdogan’s government
has expanded and acted upon its expansive claims over drilling rights
for oil and gas deposits in the Eastern Mediterranean seabed. Turkey
is particularly hostile toward Greece and Cyprus, accusing the former
of trying to transform the Aegean Sea into a “Greek Lake,” owing to
the multiplicity of Greek islands that Athens claims each have their
own exclusive economic zone extending 200 nautical miles outward.

Erdogan has pushed back hard against Greece’s claims by deploying
deep-sea exploration vessels to disputed waters, escorted by elements
of the Turkish navy. Other European countries, particularly France,
have responded by sending their own naval vessels to aid Greece and
Cyprus, raising tensions and even sparking fears of a military
altercation at sea. While Erdogan knows the standoff is damaging his
relations with both the EU and the U.S., he prefers to keep Turkish
public opinion focused against the West. Although this appears to be a
shortsighted strategy, it is of vital interest to Erdogan, who needs
to shore up his support at home if he hopes to maintain his grip on
power.

The Turkish government remains deeply worried at the prospect of a
Biden administration that has pledged to restore America’s position on
the world stage by working closely with its European allies. For
Turkey to be included under this umbrella, significant policy and
behavioral changes would be required from Erdogan, unlikely as that
prospect may be. Without such changes, Ankara is likely to encounter
further punitive measures in the form of sanctions, resulting in
further economic, diplomatic and military isolation.

Sinan Ciddi is an associate professor of national security studies at
the Command and Staff College, Marine Corps University, in Quantico,
Virginia.


 

Biden and Erdogan Are Trapped in a Double Fantasy

Foreign Policy



[Why Washington and Ankara don’t get each other at all—and need each
other anyway.]

By Aslı Aydıntaşbaş, Jeremy Shapiro
January 6, 2021

A year ago, then-presidential candidate Joe Biden sat with the New
York Times editorial board and said “I am very concerned about
[Turkey],” according to a video that caused controversy in Turkey over
the summer a few months ago. Biden said the United States should take
a different approach from the Trump administration and engage with a
broad cross-section of Turkish society, promote the opposition and
“speak out about what we think is wrong.” Biden seemed to think it was
possible to bring Turkey back into the transatlantic community and
even improve its worrisome human rights record.

Biden’s tough words reflect the fact that Turkey has been a major
headache for U.S. policymakers over the last few years. Not
surprisingly, senior Biden foreign policy officials have already
started scratching their heads to formulate a policy towards this
difficult ally.

The United States and Turkey do have an odd sort of relationship. As
officials from both sides frequently aver, they deeply value their
decade-long alliance, recognize that they need each other for key
priorities, and cooperate on a wide variety of foreign-policy issues
stretching from Iraq to the Islamic State to the Balkans. But at the
same time, they deeply distrust each other, sanction and condemn each
other publicly, and fight bitterly over a range of issues from the
Kurds to NATO to Israel.

These contradictory facts demonstrate the profound illogic and deep
dysfunction of the U.S.-Turkish relationship. Despite a decades-long
history and the clear usefulness of the alliance for both sides in a
time of increasing geopolitical strife, both sides seem intent on
sabotaging it. At times, the relationship appears like a bad marriage
in which both partners, cheat, lie, and use their intimacy to hurt one
another. So, the United States gives shelter to Turkey’s most wanted
domestic figure, Fethullah Gulen, and provides arms to subsidiaries of
the Turkish’s state most feared militia threat, the PKK. Meanwhile,
Turkey buys anti-aircraft systems from America’s geopolitical foe,
Russia, plays footsie with Islamist forces in Syria and Libya, while
oppressing and imprisoning journalists, civil society actors, and even
U.S. consulate employees.

Biden’s incoming national security team has an intense familiarity
with this bad marriage from their time in Obama administration. Since
that experience, both incoming Secretary of State Antony Blinken and
incoming national security advisor Jake Sullivan have penned articles
advocating tough love for Turkey and continued support of the Syrian
Kurds regardless of Turkey’s misgivings.

The diplomatic meetings between the two consist of a ritual list of
grievances, threats of sanctions and escalations, and
counterproductive assignments of blame to the other side for “starting
it.” If a psychotherapist were in the room for one of these meetings,
he would tap his pipe and say: “Clearly, we need to get to the root of
the problem.” The surface issues such as the S-400 missile system and
the fate of Fethullah Gulen matter greatly, of course, but from the
standpoint of the overall relationship even resolving them will simply
cause new disputes to appear.

The root of the problem lies in the two sides’ persistent fantasies
about each other. This was a marriage shaped by the Cold War. Both
America and Turkey have changed greatly since then, but their image of
one other have not. Turkey continues to see America as seeking to
control its domestic politics and play the role of kingmaker. America
continues to see Turkey as a tool in its larger geopolitical struggle
rather than an international actor in its own right. Correcting these
fantasies will not heal their relationship, but it is a prerequisite
for a more functional one.

From politicians to pundits, when Turks discuss their country’s
relationship with the United States, it is often with no sense of
proportion or comparative examination—with the notion of Ankara at the
center of the universe and U.S. officials waking up every morning
thinking, strategizing, or scheming about Turkey. Turkey is too
important, too strategic, and too consequential, according to Turkey’s
own historiography, for the United States to treat it as just one of a
dozen of key allies.

This belief in Turkey’s exceptionalism create the assumption of a
certain level of U.S. obsession with the country’s politics. Turkish
politicians and political commentators assume that American
decision-makers are busy picking victors or losers in Turkey’s
electoral races—and not the other way around, with Washington
gravitating towards whoever ends up winning the elections. For an
up-and-coming politician preparing for a national role, a trip to
Washington, D.C. is seen as a necessary seal of approval (“icazet”),
and when it happens, raises eyebrows, even though countless Turkish
politicians have passed through Washington, D.C., Brussels, or London
with no real impact on their political lives.

Turkey took its expansionist vision to new heights in 2020—but with a
battered economy, growing opposition, and now U.S. sanctions, it’s not
clear how long that can continue.
The Year in Review | Allison Meakem

This notion of the United States as the kingmaker in Turkish politics
is likely a residue from the Cold War, when Turkish military exerted
an oversized influence over politics, staged three coups between
1960-80, and all along continued to enjoy U.S. patronage. The Cold War
conditions led to Washington’s acquiescence on the behavior of
Turkey’s military, which often described its domestic repression as
fight against terrorism or communism. Today, a large cross section of
the Turkish society also believes that the failed coup attempt of July
2016 was supported, if not organized, by the United States—a view that
the present government has cultivated.

Turkey’s polarized political class agrees on little except the idea
that the United States is trying to control Turkish politics. Secular
Turks accuse the United States of bringing President Recep Tayyip
Erdogan’s Justice and Development Party (AKP) into power, and
Islamists in power worry that it is trying to topple Erdogan. For
them, the long-awaited S-400 sanctions legislation from the U.S.
Congress or the criminal inquiry by New York prosecutors into a
state-owned Turkish bank, Halkbank, suspected of bypassing Iranian
sanctions are further proof that the American deep state is targeting
Erdogan. The notion that any one of the several power centers in the
Turkish body politics—whether it is nationalists, Gulenists,
Transatlanticists, or Kemalists—could seek a power grab without active
U.S. participation in their plot—defies the conventional wisdom in
Turkish politics. In several recent high-profile political
trials—including the imprisonment of civil society leader Osman
Kavala, U.S. consular employees, or Andrew Brunson, an American pastor
living in Turkey—prosecutors made explicit references to the contacts
with Americans as proof of attempts to overthrow the Turkish
government.

One of the reasons the fantasy of “Amerika” as the puppet master has
survived over time is the expediency of this argument in Turkish
domestic politics. For decades Turkey’s leaders have blamed Turkey’s
Kurdish insurgency on “outside powers” (dis gucler)—as opposed to the
sorry state of democratic standards and ethnic rights in Turkey. For
Turkey’s secularist opposition parties, it was easier to explain
Erdogan’s ascent to power as a U.S. design—ostensibly to create a
“green belt” of moderate Islamists in the Middle East—than admit
incompetence.

Since the secular urban uprising of 2013, the Gezi Park
demonstrations, Erdogan has also resorted to blaming outsiders as the
instigator of domestic dissent, economic downturn, and other ills. He
has often peppered his speeches with references to ust akil (a higher
mind) a nebulous global force—presumably the United States—which acts
as the puppet master for Gulenists, the PKK, and even the opposition
in its attempts to bring him down. In a documentary for A Haber, a
network controlled by the Erdogan family, experts interviewed ascribed
responsibility to ust akil for many of the dramatic episodes in
Turkey’s recent history. In the run up to the elections in 2015,
Erdogan explained the growing popularity of the pro-Kurdish Peoples’
Democratic Party (HDP) with the intervention of ust akil, erroneously
suggesting that former campaign managers of then President Barack
Obama were advising the Kurdish party. Returning from a NATO summit in
2015 where he met Obama, Erdogan was asked, “Is the U.S.
administration pressuring Turkey on freedom of expression?”—to which
he replied, “This is what I mean by ust akil. Ust akil plays games
with Turkey—wants to divide, carve up, if it can, devour Turkey.”

But Turkey is not alone in its fantasies. Even if U.S. leaders do not
spend their spare time organizing conspiracies in Ankara, Turkey does
play an important, arguably oversized, role in U.S. foreign policy.
For U.S. foreign-policy leaders, Turkey is forever poised at the
crossroads, constantly bridging gaps, and always its role as a sort of
geopolitical swing state that has the potential to move between Europe
and the Middle East or between the United States and Russia. By virtue
of its strategic location, its status as a (struggling) Muslim
democracy, and its willingness to flirt with U.S. competitors,
Turkey’s allegiance remains for many U.S. officials the ultimate prize
in the new great game in Eurasia and the Middle East.

Turkey certainly has played an important and sometimes troubling role
in a wide variety of foreign-policy issues that have preoccupied
Washington over the last several decades. Turkey held up NATO’s
southern flank during the Cold War, supported its factions in the
Balkan Wars of the 1990s, denied the prospect of a second front in the
2003 war against Iraq, and served as the front line in the campaign
launched in 2014 against the Islamic State. It has played key roles in
Afghanistan as a NATO partner, in the Cyprus and the East
Mediterranean as a protagonist, and even at times attempted to mediate
between the Israelis and the Palestinians. In recent years, it has
started to participate in proxy wars in Somalia, Syria, and Libya. In
all these efforts, from a Washington perspective, Turkey failed to
fully align with U.S. efforts and proved, at best, a troublesome ally.

These roles in key U.S. foreign-policy priorities justifies attention
to Turkey. But even with (or perhaps because of) all the attention,
U.S. officials tend to interpret Turkish actions through their impact
on U.S. foreign policy rather than as the policy of an actor in its
own right. U.S. officials show little regard for the idea that Turkey,
like nearly all countries, sees itself as a destination rather than a
bridge. As Turkey grows more self-confident, it sees itself not as a
geopolitical prize but as an independent actor, seeking to hedge
against dependence of all sorts and carve out a foreign policy that
speaks to its own domestic political needs rather than its role in
some American-defined global struggle.

Turkish leaders, for example, saw the struggle against the Islamic
State primarily through the lens of their struggle against the PKK.
U.S. frustration that they would not privilege the more “global”
struggle against the Islamic State showed little understanding that
Turkey could have other priorities. Similarly, the Turkish decision to
buy a Russian S-400 anti-aircraft system—a decision that inspired
sanctions from the U.S. Congress—reflected more Erdogan’s fears of
another coup by his own air force than an effort to align with Russia.
The system is not compatible with NATO hardware precisely because it
was intended as a shield against a NATO army.

The United States has a well-earned reputation for solipsism and a
lack of understanding foreign cultures. As a continent-straddling
superpower with few direct threats to its security, the United States
can afford ignorance of the world and geopolitical fantasies more than
most countries. But as America’s relative power wanes, these fantasies
become ever more expensive. The new Biden administration seems to be
recasting a new type of Cold War, a global struggle of democracies
against an authoritarian challenge led by China and Russia. And so, it
needs the fantasy that the America’s Cold War allies will once again
rally to its leadership (or the fear that they will go over to the
other side.) But Turkey, for one, no longer sees the world in such
bipolar terms. It is not interested in allying for or against the
United States in the next global struggle. It wants to be a pole of
its own.

Turkish and U.S. officials like to describe their relationship in
grandiose slogans. They regularly employ the mantra “staunch ally” to
describe the role Turkey plays for the United States and NATO. On his
memorable visit to Turkey in 1999, then President Bill Clinton
described Turkey as a “strategic ally”. President Bush talked about “a
strategic partnership” and so, year after year, Turkish officials
asked their U.S. counterparts to repeat the term at every opportunity.
When Obama visited Turkey on his first official tour abroad in 2009,
he switched to “model partnership”. The Turkish public debated whether
this slogan constituted an upgrade—and largely concluded that it did.

Grandiose slogans make good diplomatic summits. But the fantasies in
the Turkish-American relationship have created nothing but
disappointment and tension over the last few years. The reality is
that Turkey and the United States have divergent interests and do not
even seem to like one another. So, a good place to start addressing
bilateral problems would be doing away with the myths and paranoia.
Instead of paying lip service to the everlasting strategic alliance,
they can start with a sobering definition of their ties and accept its
transactional nature.

For Washington, this means a new understanding of Turkey as an
independent power with an interest in expanding its regional
influence—and often pursuing policies that are no longer coordinated
with NATO allies. Turkey’s military footprint now expands from the
Caucasus to Libya, Syria, and Iraq, and its focus on domestic defense
capabilities means that over time, it will be less reliant on U.S.
defense exports and security guarantees.

The incoming Biden administration should certainly attempt to
formulate a reset in relations with Turkey but not obsess over the
relationship as the ultimate prize in a geopolitical competition.
Turkey is not a bridge to the Middle East nor a model for the Muslim
world. Biden has committed to ending the forever wars and dramatically
reducing the U.S. footprint in the region. In this context, Turkey is
a country pursuing its own path in a region to which the United States
is less and less committed.

Biden, as is his wont, will seek to relate to Erdogan on an
interpersonal level. In the Obama administration, when Turkey and the
United States started falling out, Biden emerged as the
“Erdogan-whisperer” for Washington. He visited Turkey’s strongman in
his home in 2011 and flew to Ankara to mend relations with the Turkish
government after the failed coup attempt in 2016.

But as the furious anti-American reaction to the coup attempt showed,
such an approach has its limits. Biden will have to square this effort
with a call greater support for democracy in Turkey both from within
the administration and from the Congress. His administration will be
forced to seek a balance between pragmatic, personal relations with
Erdogan and efforts to save Turkey’s democracy. A renewed focus on
Turkey’s deteriorating record on human rights and democracy would
certainly be welcomed by a large cross section of Turkish society that
has regularly shown a preference for a return to rule of law. Over the
past four years, Trump administration policy has ignored human rights
and civil society in Turkey. Biden’s notion of engaging with the
opposition, as described to the New York Times editorial board,
represents a welcome return to conventional U.S. diplomacy.

But there are limits to what the US can accomplish. Other than
consistently stating its core democratic principles on preference for
reform, Washington should not expect to serve as a change agent inside
the country. It can make a difference on a limited number of symbolic
cases, such as the imprisonment of U.S. consular employees or civil
society leader Osman Kavala—neither of which was picked up by the
Trump administration. America cannot anoint the opposition or impact
Turkey’s elections. Nor does it have the magic wand to reverse the
authoritarian drift inside Turkey—or replace its ruling cadres. At
best, it can state its own principles of free elections so that
Turkey’s leaders do not try to “pull a Belarus” next time.

Ankara in turn needs to understand that by choosing a new and
independent path, it is inevitably signing on to a more distant and
transactional relationship with the United States. It’s not surprising
that president-elect Jor Biden has still not responded to Erdogan’s
demand for a congratulatory call. Turkish politicians must see the
limits in U.S. foreign policy in the Middle East and stop fantasizing
that the American “deep state” is trying to design, split and reshape
Turkey—or create a Kurdish state on its borders. More importantly,
Ankara needs to reach its own assessment about the value its
partnership with the United States. Historically, the Ottoman Empire
and the Republic of Turkey sought western support against its powerful
neighbor to the east—Russia—and Turkey, too, might seek U.S. support
to hedge against Russian expansion or its own regional isolation.

Fantasies have their roles—they sustain optimism through hard times,
and they express our fondest desires, if not always our starkest
reality. The Turkish-U.S. double fantasy once had its uses, but now it
only serves to delude and embitter both sides. It is time to introduce
a dose or realism—or find some updated fantasies—to bring stability
and predictability to the U.S.-Turkish relationship.

Aslı Aydıntaşbaş is a fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations.
Jeremy Shapiro is the director of research at the European Council on
Foreign Relations and a non-resident Senior Fellow at the Brookings
Institution.


 

"The Second War over Nagorno-Karabakh and the Federal Republic of Germany" an online event of the German-Armenian Society


What:      "The Second War over Nagorno-Karabakh and the Federal
Republic of Germany"


An online event of the German-Armenian Society with H.E. Ashot Smbatyan,
Ambassador of the Republic of Armenia in Berlin, in German


When:     January 14, 7 pm CET

Where:   Zoom

Misc: Interested parties are kindly asked to email the following
information to [email protected] no later than Jan. 13:

- First name,
- Last name
- E-mail address
- Membership in an organization

Only after that they will be sent the link and the meeting ID.

Online Contact: [email protected]

Web:       



RFE/RL Armenian Report – 01/06/2021

                                        Wednesday, 

Pashinian, Entourage Shun Armenian Christmas Mass

        • Robert Zargarian

Armenia -- Catholicos Garegin II (C) leads a Christmas Mass at Saint Gregory the 
Illuminator’s Cathedral in Yerevan, January 6, 2021.

Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian declined to attend on Wednesday a Christmas mass 
celebrated by Catholicos Garegin II, the supreme head of the Armenian Apostolic 
Church increasingly at loggerheads with Armenia’s government.

Parliament speaker Ararat Mirzoyan and other key members of Pashinian’s 
political team were also conspicuously absent. Prosecutor-General Artur Davtian 
was the only senior state official present at the liturgy held at Saint Gregory 
the Illuminator’s Cathedral in Yerevan.

Pashinian congratulated Armenians on Christmas, marked by their ancient church 
on January 6, with an excerpt from the Gospel posted on his Facebook page. His 
spokeswoman, Mane Gevorgian, said later in the morning that he did not go to the 
mass because of the coronavirus pandemic.

“Due to the pandemic situation, the prime minister is self-isolated,” Gevorgian 
told the Armenpress news agency. She did not specify whether Pashinian has taken 
a coronavirus test.

Pashinian already went into self-isolation in June after announcing that he and 
members of his family have tested positive for COVID-19. He claimed to have 
recovered from the disease a week later.


Armenia -- Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian kisses a cross held by Catholicos 
Garegin II during an Easter Mass at Yerevan's St. Gregory the Illuminator 
Cathedral, April 21, 2019.

A group of Armenian opposition supporters warned on Tuesday that they will try 
to bar Pashinian from entering the Yerevan cathedral if he decides to attend the 
Christmas mass.

Virtually all major opposition groups blame Pashinian for Armenia’s defeat in 
the autumn war in Nagorno-Karabakh and want him to resign and hand over power to 
an interim government that would hold fresh parliamentary elections within a 
year.

Garegin and other senior clergymen in Armenia and its worldwide Diaspora have 
publicly backed the opposition demands rejected by Pashinian. Some Armenian 
Apostolic Church priests demonstratively attended recent anti-government rallies 
in Yerevan.

Another priest based in the southeastern town of Sisian publicly refused to 
shake Pashinian’s hand when the prime minister visited a local church last 
month. Garegin’s office pointedly declined to criticize the priest’s behavior 
condemned by Pashinian’s supporters.


Armenia -- Worshippers attend a Christmas Mass at Saint Gregory the 
Illuminator’s Cathedral in Yerevan, January 6, 2021.

Garegin mentioned the Karabakh war and its “disastrous consequences” in a homily 
read out during Wednesday’s church service attended by hundreds of believers. He 
lamented “destructive mistakes” which he said were made before the six-week 
hostilities.

“Necessary vigilance was not shown in the face of the threats of an unstable 
peace and war, the interests of the homeland and the people were subordinated to 
individual aspirations and goals. God-rejecting spirit and alien ideologies and 
habits permeated our society,” he said.

“Let us stand strong in the face of the lethal test for our nation and people 
with hope and faith, girded with the life-giving power of the Lord. Let us gain 
strength to rise from disasters, to dispel this heavy darkness that is forced 
upon us with heavenly support, and to illumine the new horizons of our lives,” 
added the Catholicos.


Reprinted on ANN/Armenian News with permission from RFE/RL
Copyright (c) 2021 Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty, Inc.
1201 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington DC 20036.

 


Armenpress: PM Pashinyan is self-isolated

PM Pashinyan is self-isolated

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 11:48, 6 January, 2021

YEREVAN, JANUARY 6, ARMENPRESS. Mane Grigoryan, the press-secretary of the Prime Minister of Armenia, explained why PM Pashinyan is not present at the Saint Gregory the Illuminator Cathedral of Yerevan where a liturgy is delivered over Holy Nativity and Theophany of Our Lord Jesus.

‘’Conditioned by the situation over the pandemic, the Prime Minister has self-isolated’’, Mane Grigoryan told ARMENPRESS.