Armenpress: Aliyev invites Lukashenko to visit Azerbaijan

 20:56,

YEREVAN, 26 DECEMBER, ARMENPRESS.  President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev has invited President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko to visit Baku,  BelTA reports.

"We are waiting in Azerbaijan," BelTA quoted Aliyev, as saying.

The two leaders discussed the international agenda and Aliyev provided a detailed overview of the situation in the Caucasus region.

The meeting of the leaders of Azerbaijan and Belarus took place in St. Petersburg, where they had arrived to take part in the unofficial summit of the heads of CIS member states.

RFE/RL Armenian Service – 12/26/2023

                                        Tuesday, 


NATO Official Hails Armenia’s ‘Foreign Policy Shift’

        • Astghik Bedevian

Georgia - Javier Colomina, the NATO secretary general’s special representative 
for the Caucasus and Central Asia.


Armenia is moving away from Russia and seeking closer links with NATO, according 
to a senior official from the U.S.-led alliance.

“Armenia has decided very clearly to make some shift in their foreign policy, to 
take some distance from Moscow,” Javier Colomina, the NATO secretary general’s 
special representative for the South Caucasus and Central Asia, told Georgian 
state television in an interview aired on Monday. “We have welcomed that.”

“Armenia’s citizens are free to make decisions and this is what they have 
decided. In my view, Armenia has already started moving closer to us,” Colomina 
said, adding that Yerevan is now asking NATO for “more cooperation and political 
dialogue.”

“We were and remain part of a security architecture which has demonstrated its 
inefficiency, and any rational sovereign state would draw conclusions from that 
and try to use new tools for ensuring its security,” Arsen Torosian, an Armenian 
lawmaker from the ruling Civil Contract party, said in this regard on Tuesday.

Torosian did not clarify whether that means Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian’s 
government could eventually pull Armenia out of the Russian-led Collective 
Security Treaty Organization (CSTO).

Pashinian declared in early September that his government is trying to 
“diversify our security policy” because Armenia’s long-standing heavy reliance 
on Russia has proved a “strategic mistake.” He claimed that Moscow is “unwilling 
or unable” to defend its South Caucasus ally. Russia denounced this and other 
“unfriendly steps,” accusing Pashinian of “destroying” Russian-Armenian 
relations at the behest of the West.

Despite mounting tensions between the two longtime allies, Pashinian and other 
Armenian officials insisted afterwards that they have no plans to change 
Armenia’s foreign policy “vector.” The Russian Foreign Ministry dismissed these 
assurances in late November as Pashinian boycotted a summit of the Russian-led 
Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO).

Still, Russian President Vladimir Putin downplayed the rift between Moscow and 
Yerevan earlier this month. The Russian ambassador to Armenia similarly said 
last week that the two nations remain “strategic allies.”




Parking Fees In Central Yerevan To Skyrocket

        • Narine Ghalechian

Armenia - A view of the Victory Bridge in central Yerevan, February 28, 2023.


Ignoring vehement objections from its opposition members, Yerevan’s municipal 
assembly approved on Tuesday a more than tenfold increase in car parking fees 
set for the city center.

The fixed annual price of on-street parking in the city’s central Kentron 
administrative district will jump from 12,000 drams to 160,000 drams ($400) 
starting next month. Mayor Tigran Avinian pushed the unpopular measure through 
the Council of Elders with the effective help of a notorious video blogger 
wanted by Armenian law-enforcement authorities.

The main official purpose of the measure is to reduce mounting traffic 
congestion in Kentron. The two main opposition groups represented in the council 
dismissed that rationale, saying that the municipal authorities should address a 
continuing lack of public buses in the Armenian capital before collecting much 
higher fees from motorists.

“Is our public transport fleet big enough to enable people to go to the city 
center by bus instead of paying 160,000 drams? I think the answer is obvious: 
it’s not,” said Hayk Marutian, a former mayor whose National Progress party 
finished second in recent municipal elections.

Council members representing the radical opposition bloc Mayr Hayastan, which 
came in third, were even more critical, calling the price hike a “plunder.” A 
group of its activists picketed the municipality building early in the morning 
in protest.

Armenia - Opposition members of the city council protest against a proposed suge 
in parking fees in central Yerevan, December 19, 2023.

Avinian, who is affiliated with Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian’s Civil Contract 
party, countered that proceeds from the much higher parking charges will finance 
the purchase of 30 new buses planned by him.

Mayr Hayastan and National Progress boycotted the beginning of the council 
session in a bid to prevent the legislative body from making a quorum and thus 
scuttle the price hike. However, councilors representing blogger Vartan 
Ghukasian’s Public Voice party did not join the boycott, allowing Civil Contract 
and its coalition partner to easily push the measure through. Some Mayr Hayastan 
councilors reacted furiously to that, accusing Ghukasian of secretly 
collaborating with the Armenian government despite his opposition rhetoric.

A former police officer nicknamed Dog, Ghukasian emigrated to the United States 
about a decade ago. He has since attracted large audiences with his hard-hitting 
YouTube videos on political developments in Armenia spiced up with foul 
language. Earlier this year, law-enforcement authorities issued an international 
arrest warrant for Ghukasian and arrested his associates in Armenia on charges 
of blackmail, extortion and fraud.

Ghukasian’s loyalists already helped Civil Contract install Avinian as Yerevan 
mayor in October after the ruling party fell well short of a majority in the 
council in the September 17 vote. They refused to back potential opposition 
candidates for the post of mayor and blocked an opposition attempt to force a 
repeat election.




Karabakh Dissolution Decree Not Valid For Armenian Opposition

        • Ruzanna Stepanian

Armenia - Hayk Mamijanian of the opposition Pativ Unem bloc attends a session of 
parliament,September 13, 2021.


A major Armenian opposition group on Tuesday joined Nagorno-Karabakh’s president 
in saying that his September 28 decree disbanding the self-proclaimed 
Nagorno-Karabakh Republic and its government bodies is null and void.

Samvel Shahramanian sparked a storm of criticism from Armenia’s ruling Civil 
Contract party late last week when he essentially described his decree, signed 
over a week after an Azerbaijani military offensive, as unconstitutional.

Senior Civil Contract figures also said that continued activities of Karabakh 
leadership bodies would pose a threat to Armenia’s national security. Some of 
them said that would be a “time bomb” planted under the country.

“It is [Prime Minister Nikol] Pashinian and those [pro-government] parliament 
deputies who are the biggest time bomb against Armenian statehood and the future 
of Artsakh,” said Hayk Mamijanian, the parliamentary leader of the Pativ Unem 
bloc mainly comprising former President Serzh Sarkisian’s Republican Party of 
Armenia (HHK).

“Artsakh had been set up by blood, not a piece of paper, and it cannot be 
liquidated by a piece of paper,” Mamijanian told reporters. “I will refrain from 
giving Mr. Shahramanian advice. I think that we have yet to see what the Artsakh 
authorities are going to do.”

Shahramanian’s office and other exiled Karabakh bodies must continue to operate 
from Armenia, he said, adding that this would help to keep the Karabakh issue on 
the international agenda.

Pashinian indicated last week that the issue is closed for his administration. 
Pativ Unem and other opposition groups hold him responsible for Azerbaijan’s 
recapture of Karabakh. They say that Pashinian paved the way for the Azerbaijani 
offensive by recognizing Azerbaijani sovereignty over the region.




Azerbaijan Expels Two French Diplomats


Azerbaijan - The Azerbaijani Foreign Ministry bulding.


Azerbaijan announced the expulsion of two French diplomats on Tuesday after 
repeatedly accusing France of siding with Armenia in the Nagorno-Karabakh 
conflict.

The Azerbaijani Foreign Ministry said that it summoned French Ambassador Anne 
Boillon to express a “strong protest over the actions of two employees of the 
French Embassy” which are “incompatible with their diplomatic status." The two 
were ordered to leave the country within 48 hours, it said without specifying 
those actions.

There was no immediate reaction from Paris to the move, and it was not 
immediately clear what prompted it. Tensions between the two countries have 
climbed in recent years, as France has stepped up support for Armenia and 
escalated its criticism of Azerbaijan.

Like other Western powers, France condemned Baku’s September 19-20 military 
offensive in Karabakh that restored Azerbaijani control over the region and 
forced its population to flee to Armenia. Paris also initiated an emergency 
session of the UN Security Council on the situation in Karabakh.

France has also pledged to provide military aid to Armenia, citing Azerbaijani 
threats to its territorial integrity. In late October, it became the first 
Western nation to sign arms deals with Yerevan.

Baku condemned those deals in November, saying that they will “bolster Armenia’s 
military potential and its ability to carry out destructive operations in the 
region.” Armenian officials countered that these and other arms acquisitions by 
Yerevan are a response to an Azerbaijani military build-up which has continued 
even after the 2020 war in Karabakh.

Earlier in October, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev cancelled a planned 
meeting in Spain with Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian, French President 
Emmanuel Macron, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and European Union Council 
President Charles. He objected to Macron’s presence at the talks.

Speaking on December 15, Aliyev said that “some political leaders in France want 
to be more Armenian than the Armenians.” He had earlier accused Paris of 
fomenting “Armenian separatism” in Karabakh.



Reposted on ANN/Armenian News with permission from RFE/RL
Copyright (c) 2023 Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty, Inc.
1201 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington DC 20036.

 

Blood and Oil—How Azerbaijan Greenwashes Its Human Rights Record | Opinion

Newsweek
Dec 20 2023
By Stephan Pechdimaldji

As one of the leading symposiums on climate change, the United Nations Climate Change Conference has become one of the most important dates on the environmental calendar as countries from around the world meet to measure progress and negotiate multilateral responses to global warming. Also known as COP, the annual summit represents all that is good in the world as attendees tackle one of the biggest existential threats of our time. The conference, however, can also be used for nefarious purposes.

Take for example, Azerbaijan, a country that has been ruled by a petro-dictator, Ilham Aliyev, who has exploited their vast natural resources to buy a seat at the world's table. For years, Azerbaijan has tried to shape the world's perception of them as a country that is open for business, with oil and gas playing a vital role in those efforts. It's one of the reasons why Azerbaijan is celebrating the U.N.'s decision to name them as next year's host for COP29, which is shortsighted, confounding, and dangerous. Put simply, Azerbaijan is trying to cover up its dreadful environmental and human rights record through events like COP.

By awarding Azerbaijan this honor, the U.N. is sending the wrong message to the world and is undermining the core mission and ethos of the annual conference and organization as a whole.

When Azerbaijan hosts COP29 next year, it will do so as a country that relies heavily on oil and gas, which accounts for around 95 percent of its total export revenues. That production will only increase as the European Commission inked a deal with Azerbaijan in 2022 to double imports of natural gas by 2027, to help the bloc reduce its reliance on Russian energy.

And when attendees attend COP29 in Baku, they will also be visiting an area known to be "the ecologically most devasted area in the world," due in large part to oil spills and a country home to one of the most polluted places on Earth.

While there is no denying how Azerbaijan's oil and gas has done irrefutable harm to the planet, it is their weaponization of environmentalism that is more troubling. It promises to create a dangerous precedent for other autocrats looking to greenwash their ulterior motives. It was under the false pretense of environmentalism that Azerbaijan implemented their illegal road blockade of the Lachin corridor that forced more than 120,000 ethnic Armenians from their homes in Nagorno-Karabakh, which many leading scholars including Luis Moreno Ocampo, the former chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court, called a "genocide." The group of Azeris who initiated the blockade claimed that they were raising the alarm about eco-terrorism in the region, but were also from the same country that inflicted harm on the environment during the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh war with Armenia.

During that conflict, Azerbaijan used chemical weapons to burn down forests where civilians took shelter from Azerbaijan's attacks. Video evidence showed Azeri military forces using white phosphorous munitions containing elements of chemical weapons in the primary forests of Nagorno-Karabakh.

Azerbaijan did not just limit their harm to the environment during the war with Armenia. They also continued to spread their ongoing policy of Armenophobia.

As the host city for COP29, Baku is also home to Azerbaijan's Military Trophies Park, Aliyev's ethnic hatred theme park that glorified and extoled his 2020 victory over Armenia by featuring hundreds of helmets taken from Armenian soldiers killed during the war. And when global heads of state meet to discuss how to address climate change, Armenian political prisoners, who are former leaders of Nagorno-Karabakh, including Armenian humanitarian Ruben Vardanyan, will be sitting near them in Azeri jail cells.

Environmentalism has historically been used as a platform for good and enacting change. Cities like Paris (The Paris Climate Agreement) and Kyoto (Kyoto Protocol) have become symbols for environmental justice and models for climate transparency and openness. But environmentalism can also be used to mask injustices. As this year's host for COP28, the United Arab Emirates used the forum to whitewash its poor human rights and environm

Environmentalism has historically been used as a platform for good and enacting change. Cities like Paris (The Paris Climate Agreement) and Kyoto (Kyoto Protocol) have become symbols for environmental justice and models for climate transparency and openness. But environmentalism can also be used to mask injustices. As this year's host for COP28, the United Arab Emirates used the forum to whitewash its poor human rights and environmental record, which drew widespread criticism from climate advocates like former U.S. Vice President Al Gore.

Azerbaijan is the latest country to turn to this playbook. That is why environmentalism and human rights are not mutually exclusive. It allows dictators like Aliyev to use their natural resources to fund their illegal wars and armed aggressions, and then hide behind international forums for perceived legitimacy.

Trusted public institutions like the United Nations have a responsibility to ensure that human rights and the rule of law are conditions for hosting events. They should expect countries that attend these gatherings to be good stewards of their land and people. The bar should be the same for where those meetings are being held.

Stephan Pechdimaldji is a communications strategist who lives in the San Francisco Bay Area. He's a first-generation Armenian American and grandson to survivors of the Armenian genocide.

https://www.newsweek.com/blood-oilhow-azerbaijan-greenwashes-its-human-rights-record-opinion-1853936 

Azerbaijani President and Armenian PM Shake Hands: A Step Toward Peace?

 bnn 
Hong Kong – Dec 26 2023

By: Momen Zellmi

In an unanticipated turn of events during an informal summit of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev and Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan made a significant gesture, extending hands to each other. This handshake, simple yet profound, carries weight in a context of strained relations and unresolved issues, particularly in the wake of the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.

The conflict, an intense six-week battle, concluded with a ceasefire orchestrated by Russia. However, the ceasefire, while halting immediate hostilities, left many issues hanging in the balance, keeping the diplomatic atmosphere between Azerbaijan and Armenia taut. It’s in these troubled waters that the handshake between the two leaders emerges, a potential beacon signaling a willingness to engage in dialogue.

Being an informal summit, the CIS provides a unique platform for leaders to engage in direct, less rigid discussions. This setup can sometimes pave the way for progress in diplomatic relations, as it allows for more relaxed, personal interactions. The handshake between President Aliyev and Prime Minister Pashinyan, while not necessarily indicating a breakthrough in Azerbaijani-Armenian relations, is a gesture that could be interpreted as a step towards more constructive engagement in the future.

While it’s crucial not to overstate the handshake’s significance, it’s equally vital not to dismiss it outright. The broader implications of this interaction are yet to unfold. Given the lingering tension from the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and the historical rivalry between the two nations, this handshake might just be the seed of a more conciliatory phase in Azerbaijani-Armenian relations. It could be the beginning of a dialogue that brings these two nations closer to resolving their differences and fostering peace in the region.

Azerbaijan and Armenia Leaders Ready to Finalize Peace Treaty

 bnn 
Hong Kong – Dec 26 2023
By: Momen Zellmi

The longstanding conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia over the Nagorno-Karabakh region may soon see resolution. This follows an announcement by Dmitry Peskov, the Press Secretary for the President of Russia, stating that the leaders of the two nations have shown readiness to finalize a peace agreement. This development signifies a major stride towards ending hostilities and establishing enduring peace in the South Caucasus.

According to Russian media reports, the Prime Minister of Armenia, Nikol Pashinyan, and the President of Azerbaijan, Ilham Aliyev, have expressed their willingness to finalize a peace treaty. This came to light during an informal CIS summit in Saint Petersburg on December 26. The leaders’ readiness to reach a consensus on a single document underscores a potentially historic breakthrough in the protracted dispute.

The conflict over the Nagorno-Karabakh region, which dates back to the times of the Ottoman and Qajar empires, has triggered two wars between the countries. Despite ongoing negotiations, challenges and tensions continue to persist. The Azerbaijani Foreign Minister stressed that a peace treaty would not resolve all disputes, while the Armenian Prime Minister expressed optimism about signing a peace agreement if Azerbaijan accepts mutually agreed principles.

Amid these hopeful developments, relations between Azerbaijan and France have been strained, with Azerbaijan declaring two French embassy employees as personae non gratae. This comes as Baku accuses France of favoritism towards Armenia in European-mediated peace talks. Despite initial hopes for a comprehensive peace agreement by the year’s end, negotiations between Armenia and Azerbaijan, facilitated by international mediation, have shown minimal progress.

https://bnnbreaking.com/politics/azerbaijan-and-armenia-leaders-ready-to-finalize-peace-treaty/




Festive Bonuses for Armenian National Assembly Members

 bnn 
Hong Kong – Dec 26 2023

By: Momen Zellmi

As the year draws to a close, the members of the Armenian National Assembly and their staff are celebrating with festive bonuses, equivalent to a month’s salary. The decision was taken by the Speaker of the National Assembly, Alen Simonyan, as an advance gesture for New Year’s and Christmas festivities.

The Head of Public Relations and Communication of the National Assembly, Laura Antonyan, revealed that over half a billion drams, approximately 1.25 million dollars, were allocated for these bonuses. This figure is inclusive of taxes, and marks a significant increase from last year when nearly 300 thousand dollars were designated for similar bonuses for the National Assembly members, staff, and other workers.

While the gesture is sure to be welcomed by the recipients, it may raise questions about the use of public funds, especially given the substantial increase from last year’s allocation. Amidst the festive cheer, it remains to be seen how the public and various stakeholders within the political arena react to this development.

The Armenian National Assembly is the legislative branch of the government of Armenia, consisting of 105 seats. It is responsible for passing laws, ratifying international agreements, and overseeing the work of the government. The Speaker of the National Assembly, currently Alen Simonyan, is the third-highest official in the country.

The Child’s Sorrow: A Poignant Tale Amid Nagorno Karabakh Conflict

 bnn 
Hong Kong – Dec 26 2023

By: Momen Zellmi

The sorrow of a child in the midst of conflict is a poignant reminder of the human cost of war. Eight-year-old Artur, from Chartar, is a living testament to this harsh reality. He’s been missing his classmates from Artsakh for three months now, a direct result of the turmoil in Nagorno Karabakh. The absence of his friends, their whereabouts and well-being unknown, provokes a quick emotional response at the mere mention of their names. Undoubtedly, the innocence of childhood has been swept away by the tides of conflict.

For weeks, Azerbaijan and Armenia locked horns in Nagorno Karabakh, a region marred by bloody clashes and escalating hostilities. The anti-terrorist operation launched by Azerbaijan was a catalyst, triggering an international outcry. The shelling claimed the lives of civilians and military personnel alike, while the bombardment of Stepanakert, the de facto capital, was reported by ethnic Armenians within Nagorno Karabakh.

Caught in the crossfire, the civilian population faced a deteriorating humanitarian situation. The conflict has led to chronic malnutrition and energy deficiencies, as the blockade of the Lachin Corridor potentially edged the local Armenian population towards genocide. Despite the efforts of the ICRC, there’s an urgent need for impartial humanitarian relief to reach this beleaguered region.

The blockade has resulted in a dire humanitarian crisis in Nagorno Karabakh. UN experts have called for its lifting to alleviate the suffering of thousands, but tensions escalated after Azerbaijan tightened a checkpoint and claimed contraband discovery in Red Cross vehicles. Both Armenia and separatist authorities accused Azerbaijan of blockading the region, while Baku offered an alternative route for supplies.

The remote southern reaches of the Syunik Region, home to the village of Nrnadzor, bear witness to the human cost of this conflict. The village, known for its harsh living conditions, is home to 141 residents, including 13 displaced from Artsakh. Here, amidst rocky roads, a lack of water, gas, and cable internet infrastructure, the primary source of income is dwindling pomegranate orchards. The insufficient irrigation further paints a picture of the grim reality.

Yet, amidst these dire circumstances, the story of Artur stands out. His longing to reconnect with his friends, their shared laughter, and games resonate deeply. It is through his eyes that we see the true cost of conflict – a child’s stolen innocence, a generation’s uncertain future.

https://bnnbreaking.com/world/armenia/the-childs-sorrow-a-poignant-tale-amid-nagorno-karabakh-conflict/

How Azerbaijan Found Victory, and Armenia Defeat, in Nagorno-Karabakh

Dec 26 2023
Armenia has played a weak hand badly while Azerbaijan has grabbed a once in many generations opportunity with both hands. After taking over Nagorno-Karabakh, Azerbaijan now eyes a corridor through Armenian territory to the Azeri enclave of Nakhchivan. This could draw Turkey and Iran into the fight, threatening the stability of the entire region.
BY ATUL SINGH, ANTON SCHAUBLE

DECEMBER 26, 2023 01:40 EDT
SAVE

On February 21, one of the authors of this piece explained the backstory of the Armenia–Azerbaijan conflict. Armenia was once a part of the Ottoman Empire, while Azerbaijan belonged to the Qajar dynasty of Iran. As both empires weakened and fell, Armenia and Azerbaijan ended up in the Soviet Union.

In 1991, the Soviet Union fell as well. Since then, Armenia and Azerbaijan have been at odds with each other over Nagorno-Karabakh and Nakhichevan. Until two months ago, Armenians lived in Nagorno-Karabakh, an area within Azerbaijan. Azeris still live in Nakhichevan, an area within Armenia that borders Iran and Turkey. Yes, this sounds complicated but so are most imperial hangovers.

Map dated 2016 © osw.waw.pl/.

On September 19, Azerbaijan launched a large-scale military offensive against Nagorno-Karabakh. This autonomous ethnic Armenian enclave called itself the Republic of Artsakh. Within 24 hours, this so-called republic ceased to exist. Now, Azerbaijani military forces control Nagorno-Karabakh. The Artsakh Defense Army stands disbanded and people who lived here for centuries, if not millennia, have fled to Armenia.

David J. Scheffer of the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) states that Armenians are “experiencing ethnic cleansing at warp speed.” Others defend Azerbaijan and argue that its troops are only restoring sovereignty to territory that is rightfully theirs. Armenia had controlled Nagorno-Karabakh and surrounding areas, all legally Azerbaijani territory, until a few years ago.

Azerbaijanis claim that this Armenian exodus is voluntary. Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev promised to protect Armenian civil rights in Nagorno-Karabakh, but fleeing Armenians feared persecution and massacre “after years of mutual distrust and open hatred between Azerbaijan and Armenia.”

Over time, various empires have conquered and controlled the South Caucasus. Generals like Cyrus, Alexander and Pompey swept through this mountainous region. In antiquity, winning in the South Caucasus was essential if you wanted to be called “the Great.”

Why is the South Caucasus so important for the likes of Cyrus or Alexander the Great? Geography provides us the answer.

The South Caucasus lies at the crossroads of empires. To its west, lies the Mediterranean Sea which was the locus of the Macedonian, Roman and Ottoman empires. To its north and east (beyond the Caspian Sea), lie the great Eurasian grasslands that were once dominated by the Mongols and now by the Russians. To the south of the South Caucasus lie the Tigris and Euphrates rivers — historically known as Mesopotamia — and the Iranian plateau that was the power base of the Persian Empire.

This mountainous region has been the meeting place for great empires and the battleground for great powers. Romans and Persians traded Armenia back and forth. Over the past five centuries, Safavid Persia, Ottoman Turkey and the Russian Empire have controlled different parts of this territory at different times. Their successor states still jostle over the South Caucasus today.

World War I was critical in forging modern South Caucasus. Tsarist Russia faced disastrous defeat. In 1917, a revolution erupted and Russian control of this region evaporated. Idealists forged the Transcaucasian Democratic Federative Republic, which disintegrated into Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia within five weeks. In this age of ethnic nationalism, a multiethnic state proved a bridge too far, especially for the fractious South Caucasus.

Like the Russians, the Ottomans fared poorly in World War I. Armenia took advantage of Ottoman weakness to take control over Nakhchivan. Rebellions by the local Muslim population followed but Armenia managed to retain control. In the case of Zangezur and Karabakh, Azerbaijan stood in Armenia’s way and both these young countries fought inconclusively. 

When World War I ended, the Ottoman Empire collapsed as well. Mustafa Kemal Atatürk set out to create a modern Turkish nation state. Out went a multiethnic empire, in came a more ethnically homogeneous nation. The Turks expelled the Greeks and the Armenians from this new state. Modern Turkey was built through ethnic cleansing, although the Ottomans had set the ball rolling with the Armenian Genocide in 1915.

Atatürk was rebelling against the peace settlement imposed by the victorious allies in 1920. The Treaty of Sèvres wrested the Arab and Greek portions of the Ottoman empire from Turkish control. The British and the French divvied up the Arab lands between themselves. Along with Italy, they also carved Turkey into spheres of influence. Atatürk defeated the occupying forces, scrapped the old treaty and negotiated the far more favorable 1923 Treaty of Lausanne.

The now largely forgotten Treaty of Sèvres provided for an independent Armenia. The idealistic Woodrow Wilson proposed that the US be the protector of this new Armenia. The 1920 treaty envisioned an Armenia four and a half times larger than the one today. Sadly for Wilson and Armenia, the US turned isolationist at the end of the war. The US Senate withdrew from the League of Nations and torpedoed Wilson’s plans for Armenia.

While the US turned inward, the newly formed Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR), now better known as the Soviet Union, went back to its expansionist imperial Russian roots. As one of the authors explained in his earlier piece, the Soviet 11th Army took over the South Caucasus, including Armenia and Azerbaijan, in 1920 itself. The Treaty of Sèvres was stillborn.

For the next seven decades, Armenia and Azerbaijan were Soviet republics. Moscow drew their borders largely on ethnic lines. The USSR granted Zangezur to Armenia, Nakhchivan became an Azerbaijani exclave and Karabakh became an autonomous province within Azerbaijan. The Soviets dubbed Karabakh the Nagorno-Karabakh Autonomous Oblast (NKAO) because Nagorny Karabakh in Russian simply means the highlands of Karabakh.

By the late 1980s, the Soviet empire began disintegrating. The Berlin Wall fell on November 9, 1989. On December 31, 1991, the Soviet Union itself dissolved. Ethnic tensions held in check by communist repression erupted like a dormant volcano. 

In 1988, ethnic Armenians living in the NKAO demanded their region be transferred from Soviet Azerbaijan to Soviet Armenia. Conflict exploded into all-out war when the Soviet Union collapsed. Fighting only ceased in 1994 and Armenia emerged as the winner. Armenian troops took control over Nagorno-Karabakh and seven adjacent districts. Armenia now controlled 20% of Azerbaijan. An estimated one million Azerbaijanis became refugees and internally displaced persons. Armenia did not have it all its own way though. About 300,000–500,000 Armenians from Azerbaijan, Nagorno-Karabakh and Nakhchivan made their way to Armenia.

The end to war in 1994 did not lead to peace. Deadly incidents continued. Both sides used troops, special operations forces, artillery, other heavy weaponry and, more recently, drones. In April 2016, fighting broke out but stopped after just four days. Yet hundreds died on both sides. On the whole, an uneasy peace persisted until 2020.

During this uneasy peace, Armenia forged a security partnership with Russia while Azerbaijan developed a close relationship with Turkey. A shared Muslim faith and a common Turkic ethnic identity helped. Even though Armenia and Russia are part of the Oriental Orthodox Christian traditions, Moscow still sold weapons to Azerbaijan and played both sides.

Starting 2007, things changed dramatically. BP discovered gas at “a Caspian-record depth of more than 7,300 meters” about 70 kilometers southeast of Baku. Flush with gas wealth, the balance of power began to shift in Azerbaijan’s favor in the 2010s. Under President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, Turkey rejected Atatürk’s secular European identity and embraced a neo-Ottoman foreign policy. Erdoğan’s political Islam led to greater military support for Azerbaijan and Baku’s geostrategic position improved. More gas money and Turkish military support gave Azerbaijan the edge over Armenia in the latest edition of South Caucasus geopolitical chess.

In late 2020, Azerbaijan made its decisive move and succeeded in reclaiming much of the territory Armenia had occupied since 1994. The Second Nagorno-Karabakh War lasted 44 days and left at least 6,500 dead. Azerbaijan was unable to break through the defenses of Artsakh and Russia brokered an uneasy truce. Nearly 2,000 Russian peacekeepers were to enforce the peace. These troops were deployed along the three-mile-wide Lachin corridor, the sole overland route connecting Nagorno-Karabakh to Armenia.

The ceasefire agreement granted Azerbaijan control of Nagorno-Karabakh’s cultural capital, Shusha, which Armenians refer to as Shushi, and several other towns. Azerbaijan also gained surrounding Azeri territories that Armenians had held since 1994. Local Armenians got to retain control of the northern half of the region, along with Stepanakert, the capital of Artsakh. Future peace talks were to decide the final political status of Nagorno-Karabakh.

Needless to say, the peace did not hold. In December 2022, Azerbaijan closed off the Lachin corridor. The Russia-Ukraine War had broken out on February 24, 2022. The 2018 Velvet Revolution had ousted the Russia-friendly Republican Party that had been in power since 1999. After the revolution, Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan took charge. Armenia began to extricate itself from the arms of Russia and started flirting with the US. This poked the Russian bear and earned Pashinyan’s Putin’s ire.

Azerbaijan had a once in many generations opportunity and Baku seized it with glee. In December 2022, Azerbaijan violated the 2020 ceasefire agreement and closed off the Lachin corridor. This ten-month blockade denied 120,000 Armenians in Nagorno-Karabakh food, fuel and medicine. Putin’s peacekeepers stood idly by and Artsakh’s fate hung in the balance.

By April, Armenians found themselves in a dire situation. Pashinyan dramatically relinquished Armenia’s claim to Nagorno-Karabakh in an effort to stop the long-running conflict. This failed to bring peace. On April 23, set up a checkpoint on the Lachin corridor, which was called “the road of life” for Artsakh. Neither Russian peacekeepers nor Western powers did much to help. By September, it was all over. Azerbaijan controlled all of Nagorno-Karabakh, Artsakh evaporated and Armenians fled to Armenia.

A little more than two weeks before Azerbaijan’s decisive move, Pashinyan had declared that “solely relying on Russia to guarantee its security was a strategic mistake.” History may judge his ill-judged statement as a historic blunder. Pashinyan turned to the West in general and the US in particular to guarantee Armenia’s safety. However, to paraphrase a Chinese proverb, the mountains were high and the emperor was faraway. The US had far too many pots on the boil to worry about Armenia.

Pashinyan forgot one simple fact: realpolitik is a rough game. The EU needs Azerbaijani gas after putting sanctions on Russia. In 2021, Europe imported 8 billion cubic meters (bcm) of gas from Azerbaijan. This year, gas imports are expected to be 12 bcm and are on track to double by next year. Clearly, gas supplies trump the unity of Christendom for the EU. Post-Brexit UK is in the money because of BP. So, Armenia can expect little help from a land that was once the realm of Richard the Lionheart.

Azerbaijan has also been able to win over Israel to its side. According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), 13% of Israel’s arms exports were destined for Azerbaijan in the 2017-2021 period. They comprised more than 60% of Azerbaijani arms imports and included drones, missiles, and mortars. Furthermore, the Observatory of Economic Complexity (OEC) reveals that 65% of Israel’s 2021 crude oil imports came from Azerbaijan.

Much more discreet than SIPRI and OEC figures are the close strategic collaboration between Israel and Azerbaijan for realpolitik reasons. Intelligence Online claims that Israeli military and intelligence contributed to Azerbaijan’s victory in Nagorno-Karabakh. Naturally, Israel has an ax to grind. Azeris comprise 16% of Iran’s population, three times the population of Azerbaijan. Although they have yet to rebel against Tehran, Azeris report widespread discrimination despite being largely Shias. By backing Azerbaijan, Israel is winning over Azeris and could foment trouble in the future against Iran. More importantly, Israel’s elite organizations — Unit 8200, Mossad and Sayeret Matkal — reportedly use Azerbaijan as a base of operations against Iran. For Israel, Armenia is eminently expendable in the pursuit of its national security goals.

For the US, Azerbaijan is of vital national interest because it borders both Russia and Iran, two key enemies. Washington cannot displease Baku too much and push it into the arms of Russia. Despite a powerful Armenian American diaspora that has historically backed the Democrats, the Biden administration turned the Nelson’s eye to Azerbaijan’s actions and did not back Armenia.

In contrast, Turkey is backing Azerbaijan to the hilt. Less than a week after Azerbaijan’s victory in Nagorno-Karabakh, Aliyev hosted Erdoğan in Nakhchivan. The two hailed this victory and signed a deal for a gas pipeline. Erdoğan was “very pleased” to “connect Nakhchivan with the Turkish world.” Turkey’s support for Azerbaijan paralyzes NATO, which cannot support Armenia. Most Muslim countries in the nearby Arab world to the more distant Pakistan, support Azerbaijan.

Poor Pashinyan is isolated. He has found himself with two not-very-useful friends: neighboring Iran and faraway India. Both are not powerful enough to stave off disaster for landlocked Armenia. Besides, the Israel-Hamas war raging has cast Armenia further into the shadows. No one is likely to act against further Azerbaijani aggression.

Erdoğan and Aliyev have clearly signaled that Nakhchivan is next on the menu. They fear that Armenia could do this 460,000 strong Azeri enclave what Azerbaijan did to the Armenian enclave in Nagorno-Karabakh. Ethnic cleansing is a game two can play and Azerbaijan must press home its advantage before the tide turns.

Therefore, Baku seeks the Zangezur corridor, a transport link through Armenia’s southernmost province Syunik to Nakhchivan. This landlocked Azerbaijani territory has a small border with Turkey and a much larger one with Iran. The former backs the Zangezur corridor while the latter opposes it. The descendants of the Ottomans and Safavids are clashing again in the South Caucasus. 

Under Erdoğan, Turkey aims to breathe fire into the Organization of Turkic States, an attempt to bring together Turkic peoples all the way till Kazakhstan. Once Turkish horsemen dominated Central Asia. Today, Erdoğan is looking east and south, not west and north, to expand Turkey’s influence. Therefore, the Zangezur corridor is an opportunity to create a new trade route between Europe, the Middle East, Central Asia and China.

Despite academics like Anna Ohanyan calling the Zangezur corridor a violation of Armenian sovereignty and a challenge to the global rules-based order, Yerevan and Baku are engaged in peace talks. On December 7, they agreed to exchange prisoners of war. After failed mediation by the EU, the US and Russia, Armenia and Azerbaijan are engaged in direct bilateral discussions. Yet mutual distrust is high and both sides are unlikely to come up with a lasting peace deal.

So far, Armenia has played a weak hand badly. Pashinyan has lost much of the goodwill he gained during the Velvet Revolution. Even before Azerbaijan’s conquest of Nagorno-Karabakh, Pashinyan’s popularity was declining precipitously. Now, many Armenians revile him as a weak and ineffective leader who has led the country to disastrous defeat.

Pashinyan has continued to offend Moscow by refusing to allow Russian troops to conduct military exercises and declining to attend an alliance summit. Armenia has also joined the Treaty of Rome that established the International Criminal Court (ICC). The ICC has issued an arrest warrant for Putin. By joining such an organization, Pashinyan is spitting in the tsar’s face and inviting further Russian wrath.

Notably, Armenia is economically dependent on Russia. The country’s landlocked geography does not make things easy. Turkey lies west, Azerbaijan east, Georgia north and Iran south. Therefore, about 40% of Armenian exports make their way to Russia. Armenia depends on Russian grain, oil, gas and basic goods almost completely. Gazprom owns all of Armenia’s gas distribution infrastructure. The country depends on remittances from Armenians working in Russia. In 2022, $3.6 billion out of the total remittances of $5.1 billion came from Russia.

Armenia still remains a member of the Russia-led Collective Security Treaty Organization, Commonwealth of Independent States and Eurasian Economic Union. Since the beginning of the Russia-Ukraine War, the Armenian economy has become even more dependent on its Russian counterpart. Currently, Pashinyan is visiting Russia, promising greater economic bloc cooperation but Putin is unlikely to give his rebellious satrap much of a break. Russia is grinding down Armenia into submission and will only relent when Pashinyan is no longer prime minister.

With little external support or internal legitimacy, Pashinyan is in no position to make peace. With Turkey’s help, Azerbaijan will put Armenia under duress and drive a hard bargain. If Pashinyan does not capitulate, Azerbaijani troops can drive home their advantage. This time, the conflict might draw Turkey and Iran into the fight. Russia will wait and watch but eventually intervene. Israel, NATO, the UK and the US might also find themselves sucked into this conflict. Yet again, the South Caucasus has become a powder keg but few are paying this region the attention it deserves.

The views expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect Fair Observer’s editorial policy.

https://www.fairobserver.com/world-news/how-azerbaijan-found-victory-and-armenia-defeat-in-nagorno-karabakh/#

Armenia to preside over EAEU in 2024, Moscow to host next summit

Belarus – Dec 26 2023

ST PETERSBURG, 26 December (BelTA) – Armenia will preside over the structures of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) in 2024. This decision was made at the EAEU summit in St Petersburg on 25 December, BelTA has learned.

In accordance with the EAEU Treaty, the chairmanship is carried out on a rotational basis in the order of the Russian alphabet. Accordingly, Armenia will take over Russia as the EAEU president.

It was also decided where and when the next meeting of the Supreme Eurasian Economic Council will take place. Speaking at the summit, Belarusian President Aleksandr Lukashenko noted: “We are grateful to Vladimir Vladimirovich that Moscow will host the next meeting of our organization, this will be an anniversary summit [timed to coincide with the 10th anniversary of the EAEU Treaty]. Nikol Vovayevich [Prime Minister of Armenia Nikol Pashinyan] and I put forward such an initiative. The president of Russia upheld it. All members of the EAEU agreed. In May next year we will hold the next summit of the heads of state of our union in Russia.”

Armenia, Egypt taking steps towards developing defence cooperation: Armenian Ambassador to Cairo

Daily News, Egypt
Dec 26 2023

Imagine embarking on a journey through time, where you can hear the echoes of ancient Egyptians whispering alongside tales of Armenian kings. Picture the sands of the Sahara dancing with the snow-capped peaks of Mount Ararat. This is the rich tapestry of history woven between Armenia and Egypt, a vibrant thread that stretches from ancient trade routes to the bustling streets of Cairo and Yerevan today. In this interview, Hrachya Poladyan, the Armenian Ambassador to Egypt, discusses the current state of bilateral ties, exploring areas of cooperation, challenges, and future prospects.

How would you describe the current state of relations between Armenia and Egypt? What are some of the key challenges and opportunities in further strengthening these ties?

First of all, I would like to seize this opportunity to congratulate the people of Egypt and President Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi for his re-election, wishing Egypt continued prosperity and stability.

Coming to the bilateral relations between Armenia and Egypt, I would note that during the last three decades, since the Independence of the Republic of Armenia, we have developed close relations with the Arab Republic of Egypt, which have constantly been growing and expanding. Armenia has always attached great importance to political cooperation with Egypt, and bilateral political relations have been rich in high-level mutual visits. In this regard, the historic visit of President Al-Sisi this January as well as the visit of the President of Armenia to Egypt to attend COP-27, have raised the Armenian-Egyptian political dialogue to a new level. 

Armenia highly appreciates the stabilising political role of Egypt in maintaining and fostering security and cooperation in the Middle East, Africa and beyond, and its balanced, peace-oriented foreign policy as well as its effective role and experience in countering terrorism and extremism. Armenia is deeply interested in developing defence and security cooperation with Egypt, as well.   

Furthermore, our interstate relations are strong and have great potential for even further growth since they are based on the historically friendly ties between Armenian and Egyptian nations. There is complete historical information indicating that Armenians had already settled in Egypt since at least the eleventh and twelfth centuries, in the era of Fatimid Egypt and have since then been quite influential and contributed greatly to the foundation of the modern state of Egypt. Even today, there are streets named after Nubar Pasha (the first Prime Minister of Egypt who was of Armenian origin) in both Cairo and other cities, as well as a city called Nubaria. Also, during World War I, escaping the Genocide committed by the Ottoman Empire, Armenians received safe shelter in the Arab countries, including Egypt, where they found a new home. 

I can say that, in contemporary Egypt as well, the Armenian community has played an important role in the country’s cultural, educational and social life. Among the most prominent artists of Armenian origin who played a tangible role in Egyptian modern culture, I can mention the names Anushka, Lebleba, Nelly, Fayrouz, Sarukhan etc. And I proudly note that during the meetings with the political figures and religious leaders of Egypt, they always emphasise the great contribution of the Armenian community to the state-building process and overall development of Egypt. At the same time, the Armenian community of Egypt plays the role of a unique bridge between our two states.

To sum up, I can state that the Armenian-Egyptian political dialogue is on a very high level, the bilateral agenda is quite fruitful and includes the fields of economy, investments, tourism, education, culture, health, etc. The existence of the mutual political will to further expand the cooperation and explore new areas of collaboration, by itself generates opportunities to further strengthen these ties and the challenges that might exist in this regard are merely on the technical operational level.

We’ve seen recent high-level visits and agreements. What concrete steps are being taken to implement them and advance bilateral cooperation?

President Al-Sisi’s visit was historic since it was the first time that an Egyptian president visited Armenia. The President of Egypt had meetings with his Armenian counterpart, as well as with Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan. And as a gesture to mark the historic visit of President Sisi to Armenia, one of the squares of our capital city, Yerevan, has been named “Square of Egypt”. 

About a month after the visit, Ararat Mirzoyan, Minister of Foreign Affairs of Armenia, paid a working visit to Egypt. Although the main goal of his visit was to participate in the 159th session of the Council of Arab Foreign Ministers at the Arab League, he also had a bilateral meeting with Egyptian Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry and discussed with him the ongoing efforts to implement the arrangements that were agreed upon during the Egyptian President’s visit. The Armenian Foreign Minister also held very important meetings with Ahmed Al-Tayeb – the Grand Imam of Al-Azhar Al-Sharif and Pope Tawadros II – Pope of Alexandria and Patriarch of the Coptic Orthodox Church. 

This year was significant also in terms of making specific steps towards developing defence cooperation between Armenia and Egypt. In December, Armenia (High-tech Ministry) participated in the international exhibition of defence and security technologies “EDEX 2023” in Cairo, with a joint pavilion that included 12 Armenian companies which demonstrated their solutions and products in the sphere of defence and security under the joint pavilion “Armenia”. In the framework of “EDEX 2023” minister of High-Tech Industry of the Republic of Armenia, Robert Khachatryan had bilateral meetings with Lieutenant General Mohamed Ahmed Zaki Mohamed, Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces, Minister of Defense and Military Production of Egypt, Mohamed Salah El Din Mustafa, Egypt’s State Minister for Military Production, Amr Talaat, Minister of Communications and Information Technology, Mokhtar Abdellatif, Chairperson of the Arab Organization for Industrialization. During these meetings, certain agreements have been reached between the parties on military cooperation. In this context, I would like to highlight Armenia’s deep interest in developing security and defence cooperation with Egypt, a country that plays a pivotal role as a pillar of security and stability in the Middle East, the Mediterranean Basin, and Africa 

Alongside the official visits, high-level meetings regularly take place in various international areas, such as in the framework of the UN General Assembly, COP, etc. 

The high-level visits that followed the historic visit of the Egyptian President to Armenia themselves embody the concrete steps that are being taken to implement the agreements reached in Yerevan. We are expecting other high-level mutual visits in the near future and further expansion of our mutual cooperation in various fields. 

Specifically, can you share any potential joint projects or initiatives in areas like tourism, cultural exchange or education?

Cooperation in the field of tourism plays an important role in Armenian-Egyptian relations. We have recently made tangible achievements in the field of tourism. In February of this year, the first business forum between Armenian and Egyptian touristic companies was held in Cairo. During the forum, agreements were reached to enhance cooperation between countries in the relevant field. Representatives of Egyptian tourism companies will exchange visits to Armenia in the near future.

According to current data, about 105,000 tourists from Armenia visited Egypt during 2022. We expect that in 2023 the number of Armenian tourists will reach 140-150 thousand tourists. On the other hand, the number of Egyptian tourists visiting Armenia is still quite low, about 8000 in 2023. However, the number of Egyptian tourists wishing to travel to Armenia to explore our culture, history and traditions has significantly increased. Thus, in December there will be direct charter flights from Cairo to Yerevan taking Egyptian tourists to celebrate the holidays in Armenia. We hope that the start of regular direct flights between our capitals, expected shortly, as well as the recent facilitation of visa requirements by Armenia (Egyptian citizens can now apply for a visa, without any invitation, directly at the Embassy of Armenia or through the e-visa system, while Egyptians having a valid residency or a valid visa of over 40 countries (including GCC, EU and Schengen countries, USA, New Zealand, etc.) can obtain a visa upon arrival at any border-control point of the Republic of Armenia) will be a great contribution in increasing the number of Egyptian tourists visiting Armenia. 

I mention with satisfaction that the cultural cooperation between Armenia and Egypt is witnessing significant development. We are working to strengthen cooperation between the National Library and Archives of Egypt and “Matenadaran” Mesrop Mashtots Institute of Ancient Manuscripts in Armenia. In this context, an exhibition of Arab-Islamic manuscripts preserved in the Matenadaran will soon be organised in Cairo. In order to consolidate cooperation, the two parties are working to stimulate mutual visits by official delegations and cultural groups. In September 2023, the Yerevan State Puppet Theater participated in the 30th Cairo International Festival of Experimental Theater. Moreover, for two years in a row, the Ararat Armenian National Dance Youth Ensemble has represented Armenia at the World Children Festival, organised under the auspices of the Ministry of Youth and Sports of Egypt.

Also, to further enhance people-to-people ties, from time to time, the Armenian Embassy in Cairo and the Egyptian Embassy in Yerevan organise cultural events and concerts in the hosting countries. The last cultural days were organised in Yerevan by the Egyptian Embassy in 2019. Now the Armenian side is conducting preparatory work to organise Armenian cultural days in Egypt during the next year.

Besides this, we continued our intensive cooperation in the fields of education, and science. Mutual programs are being implemented to teach Armenian and Arabic to Armenian and Egyptian students. In the context of this cooperation, The Center for Armenian Studies at Cairo University continues its work. A lecturer from the Yerevan State University teaches the Armenian language to Egyptian students. In February a scientific symposium, dedicated to the 125th anniversary of the birth of the famous Armenian poet Yeghishe Charents, was held by the Center for Armenian Studies at Cairo University. This scientific symposium will be followed by an international scientific conference that will be held by the Center for Armenian Studies.

There is significant and fruitful cooperation with the Egyptian Agency of Partnership for Development, which continues hosting tens of Armenian officials (policemen, diplomats, military personnel, etc.) and other specialists (doctors, professors, etc.) in various training courses every year. Throughout the last three decades in total more than 2000 Armenian specialists have participated in the courses organised by the Egyptian Agency of Partnership for Development.  

Given the geographical distance, what are the main obstacles to increasing trade volume between our two countries? What role can Armenian and Egyptian business communities play in promoting bilateral trade and investment?

Firstly, I would like to point out that the Egyptian President’s visit to Armenia gave a new impetus to our economic relations. In fact, President Sisi’s visit to Yerevan was also significant due to the immediate and promising results that it has produced so far. With great excitement, I would note that several Egyptian and Armenian companies have since expressed reciprocal interest and willingness to explore business and investment opportunities in our friendly countries. Several companies have paid visits in order to get acquainted with the available opportunities on the ground. Thus, I can state that the representatives of the Armenian and Egyptian private sectors view President Sisi’s visit to Yerevan as a signal to further develop economic relations between Armenia and Egypt. In their announcements, the leaders of Armenia and Egypt have emphasised the need for expanding the partnership and mutual investments in various sectors of the economy, such as industry, high-tech, tourism, communications, electricity, etc. 

On its part, the Armenian Embassy in Cairo is making great efforts to strengthen and develop economic cooperation between the two countries, hoping that bilateral trade and mutual investments will increase in the coming years. It should be noted that the year 2022 was very promising as the volume of trade exchange increased four times compared to the numbers of 2021. However, given the geographical distance, the trade turnover volume between our two countries continues to face challenges, and the launch of direct cargo flights between the capital cities can assist in achieving more tangible results in the coming years. 

Armenia is also interested in participating in many international exhibitions held in Egypt. This year, Armenia participated in the 56th session of the Cairo International Fair. The products of nearly twenty Armenian companies were presented in the Embassy’s pavilion and the Armenian side intends to continue and increase participation in such events in Egypt.

In the first quarter of 2024, we are planning to convene the sixth session of the Armenian-Egyptian intergovernmental committee in Cairo, to follow up on the implementation of previously reached agreements, as well as to explore possibilities of reaching new ones aimed at further expansion of economic ties. For that purpose, in particular, in the framework of the intergovernmental committee session, a business forum will be organised between the two countries’ business representatives. 

The infrastructure development projects that the Egyptian government is pursuing are really impressive and the Embassy is constantly informing Armenian stakeholders about them. I can say that there are currently several Armenian IT companies that have expressed interest in implementing projects in the New Administrative Capital. Hopefully, in the near time, there will be some tangible outcomes to announce. 

Armenia’s participation in regional organisations, in turn, creates new avenues for cooperation with non-member states. For instance, this is the case with the Eurasian Economic Union: Egypt (along with several other countries in the region) is interested in cooperation with the EEU, and this interest broadens the scope of our cooperation with Egypt. In this regard, I would like to reiterate Armenia’s interest, as a member of the Eurasian Economic Union, in continuing to make efforts to help Egypt complete the process of drafting and signing a free trade agreement with the Union as soon as possible, noting that this agreement will provide new opportunities to support economic, trade and investment cooperation between Armenia and Egypt. 

Do you see any potential for Egypt to become a gateway for Armenian exports to Africa or vice versa?

Indeed, Egypt can and I think will become in the near future the main gateway for Armenian exports to Africa. At the moment, Armenian business with Africa is quite insignificant, but the expected increase in Armenian trade-business involvement in Egypt, will result in more and more Armenian companies getting interested in further expanding to other African countries and Egypt will be the natural gateway for them. In this context, we are interested in participating in the regional exhibitions held in Egypt, such as the Food Africa Expo, etc., believing that exhibitions are the best places to explore the regional markets and to find business counterparts in order to conduct targeted work and pursue profitable economic achievements.  

Armenia has set ambitious climate goals. How can Egypt’s experience and resources following COP28 support Armenia’s climate change mitigation and adaptation efforts? Are there any specific areas for potential collaboration, such as renewable energy development or sustainable agriculture practices? 

Firstly, I would like to note that the climate change agenda and new and renewable energy projects are among the priorities of the Armenian government. During the official visit by the President of the Arab Republic of Egypt to Armenia, as well as during the meeting that took place between the President of Armenia Vahagn Khachaturyan, and the President of Egypt, within the framework of COP 28 in Dubai, the two governments stressed the importance of enhancing direct and indirect investments between the states in all possible fields, including the energy sector. I would like to point out that the participation of the President of the Republic of Armenia in COP27 as well as in COP28 particularly emphasised Armenia’s readiness to develop cooperation in the field of energy with Egypt. 

Armenia believes that in order to address the challenges of Climate Change it is needed to change our lifestyle and the way that we deal with natural resources. To this end, Armenia works with Middle Eastern countries, especially with Egypt on the agenda of using water resources and with the UAE, on the projects of Solar energy generation. Also, we work closely with the EU on making amendments to the country’s Environmental Legislation.

I am convinced that in the near future, Armenian-Egyptian relations will also witness fruitful cooperation in this area in the form of concrete joint projects and initiatives. 

How can international actors, including Egypt, help address humanitarian concerns arising from the conflict, such as the displacement of civilians? 

Firstly, I would like to state that this conflict has never been about the Armenia-Azerbaijan Conflict, it has been about the right of Armenians of Nagorno-Karabakh to live freely and in security in their homeland without the fear of being slaughtered. 

Armenia is committed to its vision of building stability and peace in the region and continues its constructive participation in the negotiations on the normalisation of relations with Azerbaijan. Seeking to establish lasting peace in the South Caucasus, Armenia has initiated “The Crossroads of Peace” project, expressing its readiness to ensure the safety of cargo, vehicles, people, pipelines, and electric lines in its territory, thus connecting all the neighbouring countries with its further continuation by linking the East with the West, the North with the South, thus, ensuring economic benefits for the region and countries beyond. Armenia believes that this project is able to play the role of an important guarantee of peace in the region.  

On December 7, 2023, Armenia and Azerbaijan jointly declared their commitment to normalising relations and are set to exchange prisoners captured during the recent conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh. Nonetheless, despite the fact that Armenia has always stated its commitment and readiness to normalise relations, the Azerbaijani side continues occupying around 150 square kilometres of Armenia’s sovereign territory during its aggressions in 2021 and 2022 and continues its warmongering and Armenophobic rhetoric laying territorial claims on other sovereign territories of Armenia (including capital Yerevan). In fact, the agreement to release the POWs all-for-all had been reached immediately after the end of the 44-day war, in 2020, and Baku did not comply with that agreement, although Yerevan did release all the POWs at the moment. So, this recent statement and the release by Azerbaijan of 32 POWs came only after Azerbaijan in September 2023 committed another aggression against the Armenians of Nagorno Karabakh and ethnically cleansed the region from its indigenous population. Within a few days, more than 105 thousand Armenians were forcibly displaced from their ancestral homes. Another 26 thousand Armenians were already displaced from Nagorno-Karabakh as a result of the devastating war of 2020. It should be mentioned that in its recent decision, the International Court of Justice ordered Azerbaijan to “ensure that persons who have left Nagorno-Karabakh and who wish to return are able to do so in a safe, unimpeded and expeditious manner”. Armenia welcomes this decision and fully supports the realisation of this legally binding decision.

As far as currently there are no appropriate conditions to guarantee the security and rights of the people of Nagorno-Karabakh, Armenia has been taking all necessary steps to address the needs of refugees. While the Azerbaijani mass media is busy spreading “scenes” claiming that there are Armenians who want to be integrated into Azerbaijan. It is clearly a false propaganda of Azerbaijani authorities trying to get rid of the status of a country that committed ethnic cleansing. It is pretty cynical, indeed, to force over 100 thousand Armenians out of their homeland and then to simulate the integration of a couple of dozens (not more than 40 people), especially if “integration” in Baku’s terms means forced assimilation. 

We expect the international actors, including Egypt, to support Armenia’s policy and efforts to establish peace in the region, as well as we expect them to firmly condemn the ethnic cleansing of Nagorno Karabakh and make efforts to secure the rights of the indigenous Armenian population to return to their homeland and live in security and peace.  

Can you share your thoughts on the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, including Egypt? What implications do you see for Armenia and the region?

Concerning the ongoing events in and around Gaza, we express our condolences for all the thousands of innocent lives that are being lost as a result of military escalation, highly appreciating Egypt’s efforts to ensure the flow of humanitarian assistance to Gaza, receive wounded Palestinians and evacuate foreign nationals.

With regard to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict Armenia has always supported the “two-state” solution as the only viable option for establishing lasting peace in the Middle East.  

We encourage the parties to reserve peaceful means for resolving the conflict and come back to the negotiation table. We fully support Egypt’s efforts, in reaching negotiated solutions to all the outstanding issues and its mediating role. Armenia, as a direct neighbour of the Middle Eastern region, is a natural beneficiary of such a foreign policy of Egypt, since we are greatly interested in a peaceful and cooperative regional environment not only because of the economic and trade opportunities but also because of the security and wellbeing of thousands of our compatriots that live in the region (Egypt, Syria, Lebanon, Iraq, Palestine etc.) for centuries. 

How can Armenia and Egypt work together to counter regional threats like terrorism and extremism?

The challenges that terrorism and different types of extremism pose are universal, and Armenia itself is trying to fight terrorism in its surrounding area with any means available. In this regard, we highly appreciate Egypt’s effective role and experience in countering terrorism in the Middle East and Africa, but this, of course, is not a challenge that a single country can overcome. Unfortunately, there are other players in the region that support and foster various terrorist activities. We faced it ourselves during the 44-day war in 2020 when Azerbaijan used terrorists and mercenaries to fight against the Armenians of Nagorno Karabakh, and, as a matter of fact, two of those mercenaries are currently under detention in Armenia.  

With regard to the cooperation between Armenia and Egypt, Armenian security and police officers participate in various training courses organised by the Egyptian Agency of Partnership for Development, including in the field of the fight against terrorism, gaining much-valued experience and knowledge from our Egyptian partners. I can state that such courses have greatly enhanced the security collaboration between our countries and I see readiness and potential on both sides to further expand security dialogue. 

https://www.dailynewsegypt.com/2023/12/26/armenia-egypt-taking-steps-towards-developing-defence-cooperation-armenian-ambassador-to-cairo/

Mohamed Samir