Dutch contractor to conduct feasibility study of Gyumri Dry Port and Industrial Estate project

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 12:17,

YEREVAN, MAY 30, ARMENPRESS. A Dutch company has been awarded the contract for the technical-economic study of the project on building a Dry Port and an Industrial Estate in Gyumri, Minister of Economy Vahan Kerobyan said on May 30.

The Dutch company that has won the tender is tasked to determine whether investments in the project would be justified.

“Preliminary technical-economic studies show this to be an attractive investment. The interest generated around the possible project and the fact that specialized firms are researching the document package and issuing a positive response allow us to assume that the process will proceed successfully, but let’s not get ahead of time,” Kerobyan said during parliamentary hearings on the budget report.

‘Red line’ – Armenia rules out extraterritorial corridor for Azerbaijan

 13:15,

YEREVAN, MAY 30, ARMENPRESS. Armenia is constantly ready to discuss the unblocking of regional connections, but the issue of a corridor will not be discussed, Deputy PM Mher Grigoryan has said.

He said the corridor is a red line for Armenia.

Grigoryan noted that Armenia has been stating that issues related to unblocking can be discussed as part of two highly important concepts.

“First, the infrastructures that we are referring to must be Armenia’s sovereign infrastructures, and second, the Republic of Armenia must have complete jurisdiction over these infrastructures. We’ve always been ready within the framework of these principles, and we stand ready to develop the topic, and eventually unblocking, which I believe has important significance for Armenia too. But no issue of a corridor will be discussed, that’s a red line for us,” Grigoryan said.

The 2020 Nagorno Karabakh ceasefire agreement, signed between Armenia, Azerbaijan and Russia, contains a term on unblocking of regional connections. Clause 9 of the agreement states, in part,  “All economic and transport connections in the region shall be unblocked. The Republic of Armenia shall guarantee the security of transport connections between the western regions of the Republic of Azerbaijan and the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic in order to arrange unobstructed movement of persons, vehicles and cargo in both directions.”

Azerbaijani leader Ilham Aliyev has been generating a false narrative claiming that this clause entitles his country to have a “corridor” through Armenia’s territory into Nakhchivan. Armenia has repeatedly denied any such deal, noting that Azerbaijan’s demands constitute a threat. At the same time, Armenia has numerously said that it is ready to open regional connections in line with its national laws and jurisdiction.

Sports: Hungary and Armenia win multiple golds at World Challenge Cup of Varna

Hungary won half of the women’s titles and the Armenian men, led by triple medalist Artur Davtyan, earned two victories at the World Challenge Cup of Varna that ended Sunday in Varna.

Women’s vault champion Tijana Korent (née Tkalcec), who turned 34 on April 27, captured her first World Cup or World Challenge Cup medal in four years. She was third on vault at the 2019 World Challenge Cup of Mersin and second on vault at the 2019 World Cup of Guimaraes. Korent placed eighth on vault at the 2013 and 2020 Europeans.

Bengisu Yildiz of Turkey earned her first World Cup or World Challenge Cup medal when she placed third on vault. Born September 29, 2006, in Cankaya, she was 59th all-around at the 2022 European Championships in Munich, and 66th all-around in qualifications at the 2022 World Championships in Liverpool.

Yildiz’s previous top World Challenge Cup results were fourth on uneven bars at the 2022 World Challenge Cup of Osijek, and fourth on vault at the 2022 World Challenge Cup of Mersin. Earlier this year she was eighth on vault at the World Cup of Baku.

2017 and 2023 European all-around silver medalist Zsofia Kovacs of Hungary finished first on uneven bars while teammate Bettina Lili Czifra won balance beam, her first World Cup or World Challenge Cup medal.

Czifra, a 16-year-old born in Dunaujvaros, placed 40th all-around in qualifications at the 2020 Junior European Championships in Mersin, and 12th all-around at the 2022 Junior Europeans in Munich.

France’s Silane Mielle took the title on floor exercise in her first World Challenge Cup competition. Mielle, a Voiron native who will turn 18 on July 28, finished third on uneven bars at the 2022 French Championships and was a member of the sixth-place French team at this spring’s European Championships in Antalya.

In the men’s competition, Bulgaria’s 32-year-old Eddie Penev won gold on floor exercise. Penev, a Sofia native who moved with his family to the U.S. when he was three, represented Bulgaria from 2007-2011 and then competed for the U.S. until resuming his career for his native country this year. He won gold on floor exercise and gold on vault at the 2014 World Challenge Cup of Anadia, and gold on floor exercise at the 2017 World Challenge Cup of Koper.

Albania’s Matvei Petrov notched his third World Challenge Cup gold in winning the title on pommel horse. Petrov, the 2020 European champion on pommel horse, placed first on that apparatus at the 2021 World Challenge Cup of Osijek and the 2021 World Challenge Cup of Koper.

Still rings champion Artur Davetisyan of Armenia added gold to his 2023 medal collection after winning bronzes on that apparatus at the World Cup of Cottbus and the World Cup of Cairo earlier this year. He was seventh on still rings at last month’s Europeans.

Davetisyan’s teammate Artur Davtyan won the title on vault, having earned gold on that apparatus at all six World Cup competitions he entered in 2022 and 2023. He also placed first on vault at last year’s Worlds. Davtyan was the only gymnast to win three medals in Varna, where he also placed fifth on parallel bars and sixth on floor exercise.

Rasuljon Abdurakhimov of Uzbekistan earned gold on parallel bars, his first World Cup or World Challenge Cup medal. He achieved all of his previous finals berths at these competitions on that apparatus, finishing seventh at the 2021 World Challenge Cup of Varna, fifth at the 2022 World Cup of Cairo and seventh at the 2023 World Cup of Baku.

On horizontal bar, Sofus Heggemsnes of Norway placed first and collected the second medal of his World Cup or World Challenge Cup career. He took bronze on vault at the 2019 World Challenge Cup of Szombathely.

2023 World Challenge Cup of Varna
May 26-28

Women:

Vault:

  1. Tijana Korent CRO 13.050
  2. Greta Mayer HUN 13.049
  3. Bengisu Yildiz TUR 12.849

Uneven Bars:

  1. Zsofia Kovacs HUN 14.166
  2. Djenna Laroui FRA 12.900
  3. Barbora Mokosova SVK 12.866

Balance Beam:

  1. Bettina Lili Czifra HUN 13.466
  2. Tina Zelcic CRO 12.266
  3. Naomi Visser NED 12.233

Floor Exercise:

  1. Silane Mielle FRA 12.933
  2. Maddison Hajjar CAN 12.833
  3. Emma Ross AUS 12.566

Men:

Floor Exercise:

  1. Eddie Penev BUL 14.366
  2. Botond Molnar HUN 13.833
  3. Emil Akhmejanov KAZ 13.800

Pommel Horse:

  1. Matvei Petrov ALB 14.800
  2. Abdul Azimov UZB 14.500
  3. Artur Davtyan ARM 14.233

Still Rings:

  1. Artur Avetisyan ARM 14.700
  2. Mehmet Kosak TUR 14.133
  3. Artur Davtyan ARM 14.066

Vault:

  1. Artur Davtyan ARM 14.799
  2. Sebastian Sponevik NOR 14.300
  3. Dusan Dordevic SRB 14.116

Parallel Bars:

  1. Rasuljon Abdurakhimov UZB 14.233
  2. Yordan Aleksandrov BUL 14.233*
  3. Jermain Gruenberg NED 14.066

*tie broken in favor of Abdurakhimov’s higher Execution score

Horizontal Bar:

  1. Sofus Heggemsnes NOR 13.833
  2. Yordan Aleksandrov BUL 13.733
  3. David Vecsernyes HUN 13.666

International Gymnast Online’s recent features on 2023 World Challenge Cup of Varna competitors includes:

https://www.intlgymnast.com/news/hungary-and-armenia-win-multiple-golds-at-world-challenge-cup-of-varna/

Ilham Aliyev on the fate of Karabakh Armenians




  • JAMnews
  • Baku

Aliyev on the fate of Karabakh Armenians

“There will be no third invitation. Either they themselves will come to us humbly, or events will develop in a different direction,” Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev said of the fate of the Armenian population of Karabakh. “We have every opportunity to carry out any operation in that region. Therefore, the “parliament” must be dissolved, the element calling itself “president” must surrender, all “ministers”, “deputies” and others must already leave their posts. Only in this case can we talk about any kind of amnesty,” he added.


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Aliyev met with the people who returned to the city of Lachin and handed them the keys to their houses.

Prior to Aliyev’s visit, the first group (20 families) of internally displaced people moved to Lachin, who left the city, occupied in 1992 during the first Karabakh war.

In a conversation with the residents of Lachin, Aliyev stated that a peace treaty should be signed between Azerbaijan and Armenia based on the principle of territorial integrity.

He also commented on the latest events that took place in the part of Karabakh where Russian peacekeepers are temporarily stationed:

“Having taken the necessary steps, we have achieved what we wanted in the territories in Karabakh, which are now under the control of the Russian peacekeeping mission. By establishing a border checkpoint on the Azerbaijani-Armenian border on April 23, we finally resolved the issue of territorial integrity.

Our territorial integrity was already restored as a result of the second Karabakh war. But the border checkpoint was the last point from which uncontrolled movement from Armenia to the Karabakh region of Azerbaijan and back was carried out. The movement is still there today, but it is under complete control.”

“After the end of the second Karabakh war, I said that a peace treaty between Azerbaijan and Armenia is possible only if they say: Karabakh is Azerbaijan!

Only 3-4 years ago they said “Karabakh is Armenia” and believed that they could keep our lands under occupation forever. They believed that we, Azerbaijanis, would put up with such a situation. I told you no, we won’t. And to them, and to their patrons, and to those who support them today, I said at that time that we would never reconcile. Life has shown once again: everything we say, we do.

The statement made a few days ago by the leadership of Armenia is in fact a repetition of my words said several years ago: “Karabakh is Azerbaijan!”.

And now, after Armenia has already recognized our territorial integrity, there are virtually no serious obstacles left for the peace treaty. I am sure that a peace treaty can be signed in the near future if Armenia does not again deceive and change its position again. If it is signed, it is very good, if it is not signed, in any case, the Azerbaijani state will not face any problem because of this, because we are a strong side, we have a strong position at the negotiating table, we have strong positions on the border. Even if the peace treaty is not signed, we will live in peace and security,” Aliyev said.

In Aliyev’s interview with state television, the Azerbaijani President talked about issues related to resolving the conflict between his country and Armenia

Aliyev expressed his opinion about the future fate of the Karabakh Armenians, with whose representatives official Baku held two meetings in Khojaly with the mediation of the leadership of the Russian peacekeeping contingent.

After that, the Azerbaijani authorities twice invited representatives of the Karabakh Armenians to Baku to continue negotiations, but the Armenian side refused.

“The checkpoint established on April 23 at the border should become a lesson for the Armenians living in the Karabakh region today. Unfortunately, they still rely on someone, as if someone will come and save them, someone will come and wage war with Azerbaijan. All this is nonsense.

During the second Karabakh war, we showed a strong will, and if at that time no one from outside dared to intervene against us, then today, after we again became the masters of all these lands, who will come and fight with us instead of the Armenians?

First, it’s illegal. We are on our native land, and the Karabakh region, where Armenians live today, is our ancestral land that belongs to us by right. Simply, we believe that they themselves will understand, they themselves will come and take a step in order to live under the flag of Azerbaijan. We are waiting for this. Therefore, we are not taking any other step, and I believe that the events that have taken place over the past two and a half years should awaken them, awaken them from this dream, from these dreams.

From here, from the Lachin region, which they exploited for many years and where they illegally settled, I tell them again: your book has been closed. The book “Miatsuma” was closed, separatism came to an end. Dreams of independence went the same way as status. And we sent the status to the right place during the second Karabakh war. Therefore, the only way left is to obey the laws of Azerbaijan, become loyal, normal citizens of Azerbaijan, throw their fake “state attributes” into the trash can and dissolve the “parliament”.

Allegedly, a “parliament” functions there, supposedly there is a president, a minister, all this is ridiculous. We’re just being patient. Although everyone is well aware that today we have every opportunity to carry out any operation in that region. Therefore the “parliament” must be dissolved, the element calling itself “president” must surrender, all “ministers”, “deputies” and others must already leave their posts. Only in this case can there be concessions. Only in this case can we talk about any kind of amnesty.”

“I must also say that recently international organizations have actually completely agreed with our position. I already see this in various meetings. So why did you agree? Because we are right, because we do not take a step away from our position. So today no one talks about either independence or autonomy, or anything else.

It’s just that the latest messages coming to us are: what will be the fate of the “leadership” there? Are they eligible for amnesty? I’m telling you to look. First, we sent a delegation there. My representative held the first meeting with them there, after which we invited them to Baku, come and talk. They refused. After that, we invited them to Baku for the second time. That is, representatives of the Armenian minority living in Karabakh. They refused that too. There will be no third invitation. Either they themselves will humbly come to us, or events will develop in a different direction.

They can fall under amnesty only if they themselves voluntarily leave all fictitious positions and apply for Azerbaijani citizenship. And then we’ll see.”

Speaking at the 10th Global Baku Forum, the President of Azerbaijan held forth on the Armenians of Karabakh

Ilham Aliyev touched upon the issue of the return of Azerbaijani soldiers detained and arrested in Armenia, and on delimitation of the state border between the two neighboring countries:

“Recently, two of our soldiers, having lost their way, crossed into the territory of Armenia, where they were tortured.

I must say that after the end of the second Karabakh war, the representatives of Armenia and Azerbaijan agreed that if someone gets lost, because the probability of this is high, especially in the winter months, you yourself know that the climate here is very severe, mountains, gorges, you can get lost – if this happens, then these people should be returned within a maximum of two days.

We kept it. We detained them for a maximum of two days, interrogated them and returned them – both civilians and military. Look t what they did. First, they brutally beat our lost soldiers, put handcuffs on them, humiliated their dignity, filmed the moment of their beating. After that, they were arrested and already convicted. Where is it seen?

At a trilateral meeting in Brussels on May 14, I said that this was unacceptable. If you violate this agreement, then you yourself will pay for it. Return our troops immediately. But instead they were sentenced to 11 years. There was no court, no lawyer, no judge, no representatives of the media. What kind of court? This is lawlessness.

That’s why I say today: before it’s too late. While Armenia, although not de facto, has legal independence, while the concept of Armenia’s borders is accepted in a certain sense. They must accept our terms. They don’t want delimitation, and they don’t need to. What will happen in this case? The border will pass where we say. They know that we can do it. No one will help them, neither the French retired policemen who arrived from Europe, nor anyone else, no one.

The delimitation of borders must take place on our terms, that is, on fair terms. The peace treaty must be based on international conditions, the road to Nakhchivan must be opened, and the representatives of the Armenian army, who are still dug in in Karabakh, must be withdrawn from there. These are our conditions.

I declare these conditions here, in the city of Lachin, so that everyone can see tht today we are here and we will be here forever. Let them also know that the villages of Armenia are visible from here. We also see these villages, that is, let them not forget about this.”

https://jam-news.net/aliyev-on-the-fate-of-karabakh-armenians/

Armenia and Azerbaijan on the brink of peace deal

Devin Haas

Armenia’s prime minister looks set to officially accept Azerbaijan’s territory as encompassing the long-disputed Nagorno-Karabakh region. A peace deal between the two countries could happen as soon as June 1.  

After decades of tension, clashes, and wars, Armenia and Azerbaijan appear to be the closest they have ever been to concluding an official peace following Armenia’s prime minister’s explicit recognition of Nagorno-Karabakh as Azerbaijani territory. 

“Armenia recognises Azerbaijan’s territorial integrity of 86,600 square kilometres, assuming that Azerbaijan recognises Armenia’s territorial integrity as 29,800 square kilometres,” said Armenian PM Nikol Pashinyan on May 22.

“Those 86,600 square kilometres also include Nagorno-Karabakh.” 


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Nagorno-Karabakh has a majority ethnic Armenian population but is internationally recognised as part of Azerbaijan. The Armenians who live there do so under the de factounrecognised government of the Republic of Artsakh (the Armenian name for the region) and reject Azerbaijan’s sovereignty.  

While Pashinyan has been hinting that he is willing to recognise Azerbaijan’s claim to Nagorno-Karabakh for over a year, his statement triggered outrage across Armenia, amongst Armenians in Nagorno-Karabakh, and the global Armenian diaspora. Support for the Republic of Artsakh has long been a third rail in Armenian politics.  

The National Assembly of the Republic of Artsakh convened a special session on May 22 and adopted a statement reading, “Any statement by Nikol Pashinyan ignoring the sovereignty of the Republic of Artsakh, our people’s right to self-determination and the fact of its implementation, as well as any document drafted on that basis is unacceptable and worthless to us.” 

The statement also cites a 1992 decision by the Supreme Council of the Republic of Armenia which ruled, “it is unacceptable for the Republic of Armenia to consider any international or interstate document which refers to the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic as part of Azerbaijan.”

The Armenians of Nagorno-Karabakh are protected by Russian peacekeepers under the terms of the trilateral 2020 ceasefire agreement that ended the Second Karabakh War.  

During that war, Azerbaijan reclaimed large portions of the territory controlled by the breakaway state of Artsakh, including Nagorno-Karabakh’s second largest city of Shusha. Many ethnic Armenians fled the region for Armenia.  

Those remaining in Nagorno-Karabakh believe Azerbaijan’s multi-month blockade of the Lachin Corridor, the only route to Armenia, is meant to squeeze them out. The blockade has now been formalised as an Azerbaijani checkpoint.  

“Whoever does not want to become our citizen, the road is not closed, it is open,” said Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev. “They can leave, they can go by themselves, no one will hinder them.” 

Karabakh’s gas operator says Azerbaijan has blocked the region’s gas supplies since March. The region has largely depended on the Sarsang Reservoir for electricity, but that has now reached critically low levels—leaving the region with both an energy crisis and environmental catastrophe.  

While Armenia has long advocated for the rights of Armenians in Karabakh—and indeed, Pashinyan clarified his recognition of Karabakh as Azerbaijani was conditional upon guarantees for the rights of Armenians living in the region—incursions into its territory by the Azerbaijani military in May 2021 and September 2022 has forced it to the negotiating table. 

Armenia is a member of the Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO), which also includes Russia, but the alliance declined to defend Armenia militarily, likely due to the close ties of its Central Asian members for Azerbaijan and Russia and Belarus’s preoccupation with the war in Ukraine.  

Let down by his treaty allies, Pashinyan has repeatedly criticised the alliance and most recently said he was “not ruling out” the possibility of Armenia withdrawing from the CSTO if Armenia determines “the CSTO has withdrawn from Armenia” at the same May 22 press conference as his comments recognising Karabakh as Azerbaijan. 

Sensing a decline in Russia’s influence, Western leaders have been eager to play an increased role in the peace process and increase their diplomatic presence in the region. 

Pashinyan met with Azerbaijani president Ilham Aliyev on the sidelines of the first European Political Community (EPC) Summit in Prague in October 2022 and agreed to facilitate a civilian European Union mission to their shared border.  

They met again in February 2023 at the 59th Munich Security Conference, where United States Secretary of State Anthony Blinken mediated talks concerning the blockade of the Lachin Corridor. Blinken also held talks with the Armenian and Azerbaijani foreign ministers in New York in September 2022 and for four days in Washington DC in early May of 2023. 

Pashinyan and Aliyev met again in Brussels on May 14 with European Council President Charles Michel and discussed border delimitation, reopening transport and economic links, and the release of two Azerbaijani soldiers captured in Armenia.  

Russia is still interested in an active role in the peace process, and Russian President Vladimir Putin hosted Pashinyan and Aliyev for talks in Sochi in November 2022 and most recently in Moscow on May 25. All sides seemed optimistic after the May 25 meeting, with Putin saying, “There are still unresolved questions, but in my opinion, and we discussed this with our Azeri and our Armenian colleagues, they are of a purely technical nature.” 

Both Pashinyan and Aliyev reiterated their mutual recognition of the other country’s territorial integrity. Aliyev, who had previously threatened to open a ‘Zangezur Corridor’ between mainland Azerbaijan and its exclave of Nakhchivan by force, walked back these comments. 

“I want to say that we have no such [territorial] claims [on Armenia] … As for the word ‘corridor,’ which I used, I used (it) in the same way about the North-South corridor, in the same way, this word is used about the East-West corridor, The word ‘corridor’ is in no way an encroachment on someone’s territory. It is an international term,” Aliyev said. 

The leaders are set to meet again at the Second EPC Summit in Moldova on June 1. 

“On June 1 in Chișinău we hope that finally a peace treaty can be signed,” said Baku’s envoy to France Leyla Abdoullayeva. 

Following Abdoullayeva’s comments, the Armenia Ministry of Foreign Affairs said the signing of a peace treaty is not included in the agenda of the meeting to be held in Chișinău. Several analysts and journalists have predicted the signing will occur at the Third EPC Summit in Granada in October instead.  

Nonetheless, for the topic of discussion to go from the cessation of hostilities to the date for a treaty signing ceremony is unmistakable progress.

 

Armenia’s Role In Helping Russia Circumvent Sanctions – Analysis

By The Jamestown Foundation

By Orkhan Baghirov*

On April 12, the United States Treasury Department’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) placed more than 100 people and entities across over 20 countries on its sanctions list due to violations of US export controls in helping Russia with its war effort (Treasury.gov, April 12). Among the newly sanctioned entities included on the list was TAKO LLC, a company registered in Yerevan in May 2022 that is fully owned by a Russian national and specializes in the wholesale trade of electronic and telecommunications equipment (News.am, April 13).

TAKO supplied electronic items to Russia’s defense industry through cooperation with Russian company Radioavtomatika, which was also sanctioned last year. According to OFAC, TAKO recently underwent a name change and was previously called TACO LLC, which had been sanctioned by the US back in September 2022 (Azernews, April 14). Along with TACO, now TAKO, Armenian-registered entities Areximbank-Gazprombank Group, VTB Bank Armenia, Bank Mellat, Flight Travel LLC and Milur Electronics LLC were also sanctioned in 2022 (Verelq.am, September 30, 2022).

Despite the fact that only a few Armenian companies, mostly owned by the Russian government or individuals, were subject to sanctions, Armenia’s role in helping Russia circumvent sanctions goes far beyond that. The unusual changes in Armenia’s trade statistics and in the level of economic relations with Russia after the start of Moscow’s war against Ukraine raise suspicions about Armenia’s role in re-exporting sanctioned products, including technological components, machinery and transportation equipment, to Russia.

According to the Armenian National Statistical Committee, Armenia’s foreign trade turnover surged by 68.8 percent in 2022 as compared to the previous year, reaching the level of $14.1 billion (Arka.am, January 31). During this period, Armenian imports increased by about 63.5 percent as compared to 2021, reaching over $8.7 billion. In parallel, in 2022, trade turnover between Armenia and Russia amounted to $5.03 billion, a 91.7-percent increase when compared to the previous year (Arka.am, March 20). Armenian exports to Russia surged by more than 2.4 times and registered a record total value of $2.4 billion. As a result, Russia’s share of Armenian exports reached 45 percent—hinting at Yerevan’s role in helping Moscow with its sanctions-plagued trade.

Along with the aforementioned figures, organizing this trade by product groups also seemingly demonstrates that Armenia is actively participating in the re-export of sanctioned products to Russia. In 2022, a significant increase was registered in Yerevan’s import of precious metals and stones (200 percent), vehicles (170 percent), electronics (100 percent), iron and steel products (76 percent), machinery and mechanical devices (52 percent), as well as technical and medical equipment (42 percent) (Tradingeconomics.com, accessed May 25). Interestingly, these products were among the top-ten main product groups that saw the highest quantity of exports from Armenia to Russia in 2022, and their volume of exports to Russia has increased significantly (Tradingeconomies.com, accessed May 25).

Specifically, the export of electronic products to Russia increased by about 37 times, vehicles increased by 30 times, machinery and mechanical devices by 10 times, precious metals and stones by about 200 percent and technical and medical equipment increased by 400 percent. These exponential increases imply that Armenia, at some level, is engaged in the re-export of these products to Russia, as they are the main categories that have been sanctioned by the West and are necessary for Moscow to continue its war effort against Ukraine. Additionally, Armenia does not have the economic capabilities and infrastructure to increase domestic production of these products to such an extent that it could increase exports by several times. And traditionally, these product groups have not represented a large share of Armenian exports overall.

In 2022, output in Armenia’s manufacturing sector grew by 13.5 percent (Armenpress, February 10). For agriculture, the growth in production was only about 0.4 percent, and industry grew by 7.8 percent for the year (News.am, January 31). Compared with these levels of growth for production in the main economic sectors, it becomes apparent that Armenia could not increase its exports to Russia by about 2.4 times given its actual domestic potential without supplementing this with the re-export of certain goods from elsewhere.

Also, it does not seem realistic that domestic demand in Armenia for various products, such as electronics, vehicles, mechanical devices and technical equipment, increased to the extent of expanding imports by more than 63 percent in one year, especially in the face of high emigration and demographic problems (Hetq.am, April 13, 2021; Iwpr.net, July 13, 2022).

When the war in Ukraine initially started and the first round of sanctions against Russia was announced in March 2022, Armenian exports to Russia decreased by about 30 percent (Armenpress, March 24, 2022). In response, many experts, including local analysts in Armenia, raised concerns about the expected economic crisis coming to the country due to its high economic dependence on Russia. At that time, several financial institutions, including the Central Bank of Armenia, slashed their forecasts for Armenian economic growth in 2022 (JAM-news, April 4, 2022). The Central Bank lowered its growth forecast from 5.3 to 1.6 percent, the International Monetary Fund from 5.25 to 1.5 percent and Fitch Ratings reduced its forecast from 5.3 to 1.3 percent. However, since these predictions were reduced, the opposite process has been observed, as in 2022, Armenia’s economy grew by 12.6 percent and, as mentioned, foreign trade turnover increased by almost 69 percent (Finport.am, February 20).

Thus, contrary to expectations, a significant increase in Armenia’s foreign trade turnover without any serious economic basis domestically, especially the remarkable increase in exports to Russia, as well as the list of products primarily traded, give reason to think that these dynamics are artificial and that Armenia is directly involved in re-exporting sanctioned products to Russia. Moreover, according to the US Bureau of Industry and Security, Armenia increased the import of microchips and processors from the US by 515 percent and from the European Union by 212 percent—then reportedly exported 97 percent of those products to Russia (Report.az, April 19).

This fact demonstrates that Armenia did not import these products for local use; instead, the aim was to re-export them to Russia, as Moscow has been lacking products that have strategic importance for its military sector. However, despite the aforementioned indicators, which raises substantial suspicions about Armenia’s complicity in helping the Kremlin circumvent sanctions, little political pressure has been exerted on Yerevan and any comprehensive investigation has not been initiated in this regard.

*About the author: Orkhan Baghirov is a Senior Research fellow at the Baku-based non-governmental independent research organization Center for Studies of the South Caucasus (CSSC), where he is in charge of research on regional economic affairs.

Source: This article was published by The Jamestown Foundation’s Eurasia Daily Monitor Volume: 20 Issue: 85

https://www.eurasiareview.com/29052023-armenias-role-in-helping-russia-circumvent-sanctions-analysis/

Normalizing relations with Turkey high on Armenia’s agenda

MEHR News Agency, Iran

TEHRAN, May 29 (MNA) – Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has said he is hoping to normalize relations with Turkey after the Turkish presidential election.

"Hopefully, we will be able to normalize Armenian-Turkish relations after the presidential election in Turkey. I also hope we can carry on with normalizing our relations with Turkey in a natural way. This is high on our agenda," Pashinyan said in parliament on Monday, Interfax News reported.

Peace is the only guarantee of external security, Pashinyan said. "There is no other way to guarantee external security," he said.

Pashinyan congratulated Recep Tayyip Erdogan on winning the Turkish presidential election on Sunday.

"We congratulate President Erdogan on reelection. I am looking forward to continuing our joint work until full normalization of relations between our countries," Pashinyan said on a social network.

RHM/PR

Armenia, Azerbaijan won’t sign peace treaty on June 1

MEHR News Agency, Iran

TEHRAN, May 29 (MNA) – Armenia and Azerbaijan haven’t yet agreed on a peace treaty that could be signed on the sidelines of the European Political Community summit in Chisinau on June 1, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan said.

Nikol Pashinyan made the remarks at the country’s parliament on Monday.

There was a discussion if the peace treaty could be signed when the European Council president, the French president, the German chancellor, the Azerbaijani president and Pashinyan meet in Chisinau, according to the Armenian prime minister.

"I must say we haven’t received answers to the fourth package of our proposals to Azerbaijan. To date, there’s no agreed package that could be signed," he said.

The Armenian prime minister also said that he was dissatisfied with the results of talks with Russia that took place in Moscow on May 25 regarding the lifting of the Lachin corridor blockade.

"I would like to note that one of the issues of the discussion was related to the humanitarian situation in Nagorno-Karabakh and the illegal blockade of the Lachin corridor. We discussed this issue with our colleagues from Russia. I cannot say that the results of this discussion are satisfactory. It is a very sad situation that the closure of the Lachin corridor occurred in the presence of Russian peacekeepers. We will continue negotiations with our Russian partners to resolve this situation," TASS quoted him as saying.

Pashinyan also commented on some statements by Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, adding that Yerevan was starting to doubt Baku's commitment to the agreements that were reached in Brussels on May 14.

MP/PR

https://en.mehrnews.com/news/201347/Armenia-Azerbaijan-won-t-sign-peace-treaty-on-June-1

​Armenia PM Dissatisfied with Results of Talks with Russia on Lachin Corridor

TASNIM News Agency, Iran

Armenia PM Dissatisfied with Results of Talks with Russia on Lachin Corridor

May, 29, 2023 

TEHRAN (Tasnim) – Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan is not satisfied with the results of the May 25 talks with his Russian counterparts in Moscow on unblocking the Lachin corridor.

"I note that one of the topics of discussion was related to the current humanitarian situation in Nagorno-Karabakh and the illegal blockade of the Lachin corridor. We’ve discussed this issue with our Russian colleagues," he said on Monday, speaking in parliament.

"I can't say that the results of this discussion are satisfactory. It is very sad that the closure of the Lachin corridor took place in the presence of Russian peacekeepers," he added, TASS reported.

"We will continue to negotiate with our Russian partners in order to resolve this situation," he stated.

Two Armenian soldiers detained after allegedly crossing into Azerbaijan

 

Armenian and Azerbaijani posts by the Sotk gold mine. Image via TASS.

Baku accused two Armenian soldiers of crossing the border into Azerbaijan on Friday to mount ‘sabotage’ operations. Following the soldiers’ detention, Yerevan accused Baku of abducting the two soldiers inside Armenian territory.

On 26 May, Azerbaijan’s State Border Service announced that they had detained two Armenian servicemen, Harut Hovagimyan and Karen Ghazaryan, in Azerbaijan’s southwestern district of Zangilan.

The border service has claimed that the two soldiers were members of a larger ‘sabotage group’ whose other members were able to avoid capture by taking advantage of the local terrain.

The following day, the state border service and the General Prosecutor’s Office stated that Hovagimyan and Ghazaryan were charged with illegal smuggling of arms and ammunition, illegal possession of weapons, terrorism, participating in actions aimed at inciting national enmity, and illegal border-crossing.

Armenia’s Ministry of Defence was quick to deny carrying out sabotage operations in Azerbaijan, stating that the two soldiers were transporting food to combat positions on Armenia’s southern border with Azerbaijan. 

Armenia’s Investigative Committee accused Azerbaijan of abducting the two servicemen from Armenian territory.

Last month, two Azerbaijani soldiers entered Armenia after reportedly getting lost due to poor visibility near the country’s border with Nakhchivan.

The two Azerbaijani soldiers were detained a week apart and stand accused of illegally crossing into Armenia. One of the two soldiers is additionally accused of murdering a 56-year-old security guard in Syunik.

https://oc-media.org/two-armenian-soldiers-detained-after-allegedly-crossing-into-azerbaijan/