Political Figures of Armenia Have Different Expectations from 2005

POLITICAL FIGURES OF ARMENIA HAVE DIFFERENT EXPECTATIONS FROM 2005

YEREVAN, January 21 (Noyan Tapan). The January 21 discussion organized
by the National Press Club with participation of representatives of
different political forces was dedicated to the discussion of the home
political situation formed in Armenia and representation of possible
scenarios of its development in 2005. The opinions of the participants
of the discussion divided. Thus, Samvel Nikoyan, a member of the Board
of the Republican Party of Armenia, an MP, Tigran Karapetian, Chairman
of the People’s Party, and Hamlet Haroutiunian, Chairman of “Artsakh”
compatriot union, assured that no great changes, including power
shift, will take place in Armenia in 2005. In their estimation, the
confrontation between the authorities and opposition won’t be global,
the struggle will rather move from streets to the NA. Meanwhile, all
of the 3 politicians expressed anxiety in connection with the possible
influence on the situation in the country. “The authorities may face
only external danger,” Tigran Karapetian declared. H.Haroutiunian and
T.Karapetian called on the political forces to unite around the
Karabakh problem. According to Hamlet Haroutiunian, if all the
political forces are united in the Karabakh issue the foreign forces
won’t be able to solve this issue. Aram Sargsian ansd Hrant
Khachatrian, leaders of the Democratic Party of Armenia and the
Constitutional Right Union, assured that great changes will take place
in 2005 and today both the authorities and the opposition are already
getting ready for the future complicated events. At the same time
A.Sargsian and H.Khachatrian for several times pointed to the
possibility to cooperate with coalition forces. Petros Makeyan,
Chairman of the Democratic Homeland party, gave assurance that “2005
will be a year of changes, which will take place in the form of
shocks, as its was in Georgia and the Ukraine.” Vahan Shirkhanian,
former Deputy Minister of Defence, former Minister on Coordination of
Industrial Infrastructures, expressed anxiety about the number of the
challenges, against which Armenia is to stand up. Thus, according to
him, this is not only the situation connected with the settlement of
Karabakh conflict, which starting from 1995 has becoming more and more
unfavorable for Armenians, but also the growing illiteracy among the
population, fall of birth rate, the fact that Armenia is, in essence,
becoming an old country as as the youth leaves the country searching
for a job.

US official’s Karabakh remarks not directed against Armenia – aide

US official’s Karabakh remarks not directed against Armenia – aide

Iravunk, Yerevan
21 Jan 05

Excerpt from Piruza Meliksetyan’s report by Armenian newspaper Iravunk
on 21 January headlined “‘It is clear to the president that nobody has
any privilege,’ Garnik Isagulyan is sure”. Subheadings as published:

An interview with the Armenian president’s advisor on national
security issues, Garnik Isagulyan.

“The US Department of State comment is important”

[Iravunk correspondent] Armenian political circles have not accepted
the latest statement by US Assistant State Secretary Elizabeth
Jones. Many public organizations expressed their protest. Some
officials ignored the statement and some described it as the final
failure of the government’s diplomacy.

[Garnik Isagulyan] Let us specify that Elizabeth Jones’s statement was
made in the run-up to the Russian-American high-level meeting. Before
making any statement of the sort, every state tries to make maximum
use of its resources to settle relations with the negotiating party
and put forward its viewpoint in the negotiating process. From this
point of view, Jones’s statement was made in the context of
Russian-American relations. The US Department of State’s comment on
Jones’s statement means that US policy regarding the Karabakh issue
has not changed and remains the same. And this means that Jones’s
statement is not directed against Armenia or the settlement of the
Karabakh issue.

[Correspondent] I am sorry, but your calm and silence are not clear.
Elizabeth Jones is not just one of a million people, she is an
assistant to the US State Secretary and represents her president and
state.

[Isagulyan] I would like to note once again that she made this
statement in the context of the Russian-American high-level meeting.

[Correspondent] Is that it?

[Isagulyan] Let me give you an example. As you remember, a Putin-Bush
meeting was to take place in 2001. The Key West agreement, which also
caused a big stir, was signed before that meeting. But in fact, it was
signed before the Russian-American high-level meeting. After that, no
American top official spoke about Key West any more. I am sure that
after the forthcoming negotiations, nobody will speak about Elizabeth
Jones’s statement any more. That will remain just a statement made by
somebody.

[Correspondent] In fact, you deny the fact that by describing the NKR
as an unstable, corrupt and criminal country, the Washington
administration gave [Armenian President] Robert Kocharyan, who has
always said that he represents the Nagornyy Karabakh Republic [NKR] in
the talks, a slap in the face by means of Jones who is leaving the US
Department of State.

[Isagulyan] I do not think you should comment on the issue in this
way. When the Department of State, ignoring Jones’s statement, says
that their policy has not changed and that the Karabakh issue is a
special problem, when the two states are trying to name names before
their talks and mention Dniester, Abkhazia and South Ossetia, it would
have been wrong if they had not mentioned Karabakh.

But there was no specific mention of the NKR authorities. One should
take into account that the USA is well aware of the situation in the
NKR. It is aware of the democratic processes in the NKR. It is aware
that the NKR authorities are not corrupt or criminal and that the NKR
is not a transit route for drug trafficking. And the fact that the USA
allocates money to the NKR means that it is well-aware of the
situation there. Naturally, there will be various comments on this. It
is very good that public and political organizations respond to such
statements very quickly. This proves once again that our society is
sensitive about the Karabakh issue and does not accept any unjust
statements irrespective of their context. This also means that the
position the Armenian authorities have been taking, especially
concerning the Karabakh issue, is correct.

“We have to wait for the processes to enter a specific phase”

[Correspondent] The statements of the Washington administration
regarding Iran have recently become harsher and do not rule out a
deterioration in US-Iran relations. In which situation will Armenia
find itself in the event of a US-Iran conflict? Is Armenia protected?
Does it have a concept of security?

[Isagulyan] Any process developing in our region is important to us
and we pay attention to it. As for the US-Iran relations, we have to
wait for the processes to enter a specific phase. I do not think that
this is the first time that Bush has touched on Iran. So there is no
need to conclude that certain actions will start tomorrow. If there
are other developments, I am sure that Armenia will find its bearings
and take relevant steps.

[Passage omitted: An Armenian peacekeeping contingent is in Iraq;
Details of Kocharyan’s recent meeting with tax and customs officials]

BAKU: Aliyev receives participants of the days of Itar-Tass

AzerTag, Azerbaijan State Info Agency
Jan 22 2005

PRESIDENT ILHAM ALIYEV RECEIVES PARTICIPANTS OF THE DAYS OF ITAR-TASS
IN AZERBAIJAN
[January 22, 2005, 23:32:14]

On 22 January, President of the Republic of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev
received at the Presidential Palace participants of the Days of the
Russian news agency ITAR-TASS in Azerbaijan.

Warmly greeting the guests, President Ilham Aliyev described the Days
of ITAR-TASS in Azerbaijan that had brought together heads of Russian
leading news agencies, highly reputable representatives of science,
culture, sport and other spheres of Russia’s social life, as a very
important event. He also pointed to its significance from the
standpoint of providing the public with true and objective
information about Azerbaijan.

The Head of State told of the problems Azerbaijan faced with in the
first years of its independence, re-establishment of stability in the
country which became possible thanks to the purposeful policy
initiated and pursued by national leader Heydar Aliyev, and the work
done for strengthening of ties of friendship and cooperation with
other countries including the Russian Federation. `The
Azerbaijan-Russia cooperation is steadily expanding in all fields,
and our countries have no contradictions in this regard,’ he said.
Pointing to the high level of ethnic and religious tolerance in
Azerbaijan, President Ilham Aliyev said that Russian-writing press in
the country had even more developed since independence.

The Azerbaijani leader also informed the guests on the large-scale
energy projects implemented in Azerbaijan, economic growth in the
country and progress gained in its provinces.

President Ilham Aliyev also touched upon the Azerbaijan’s most
painful problem, the conflict with Armenia over Nagorno-Karabakh,
emphasizing that `we want to solve the problem peacefully, but if
it’s not possible, Azerbaijan will have to resort to other means to
release its lands.’

Leader of the Russian delegation, Director General of ITAR-TASS
Vitaliy Ignatenko thanked the Azerbaijani President for hospitality,
and noted that the visit of such a large delegation representing
various spheres of the Russian society plays an exceptional role in
strengthening and deepening of friendship and cooperation between the
two countries.

Speakers at the meeting – Chief of the Federal Agency on Press and
Mass Communications Mkhail Seslavinski, Chairman of the Russian
Committee on Sport Vyacheslav Fetisov, Head of the Department of
Culture at the Ministry of Press and Culture Mikhail Shvydkoy,
Vice-President of the International Olympic Committee, Honorary
President of the Russian Olympic Committee Vitaliy Smirnov, renowned
Political Scientist Gennadiy Burbulis, Cardiologist, Academician
Renat Akchurin, Editor-in -Chief of the `Moskovskiye Novosti’
newspaper Pavel Gusev and First Deputy Director General of ITAR-TASS
Mikhail Gusman – pointed out apparent progress in all spheres of life
in Azerbaijan they had witnessed, and expressed confidence in good
prospects of the country.

In the end, President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev presented `Shohrat’
/Glory/ order to ITAR-TASS First Deputy Director General Mikhail
Gusman he had been awarded for contribution to development of
cultural ties between Azerbaijan and Russia.

Chilly reception: Playwrights French & Alianak draw tiny crowd

The Gazette (Montreal)
January 22, 2005 Saturday

Chilly reception: Travelling playwrights David French and Hrant
Alianak draw a tiny crowd for their recent meet-the-authors session

MATT RADZ, The Gazette

Our town hasn’t been lucky or much good for Toronto playwright David
French. He once rode a bus out of here, suicide on his brain, after
his Montreal girlfriend dumped him. There hasn’t been a major
production of instant classics like Leaving Home or Of The Fields,
Lately that established him as Canada’s “national playwright” in the
early 1970s. No mainstage French since Salt-Water Moon sold a lot of
tickets and won a handful of awards for the Saidye Bronfman Centre
three seasons ago.

And after the cold reception, and we’re not just talking about the
weather, that French and fellow travelling author Hrant Alianak
received this week, you can’t blame him if he never comes back.
Though he might be tempted, should we organize the kind of 15-play,
three-movie, 18-day festival that Winnipeg has put together to
celebrate the oeuvre of another national playwright, Michel Tremblay.

“Two playwrights and a critic … well, there’s Canadian theatre for
you,” Alianak grins after doing a quick head count of the audience
assembled, if that’s the word, for a mid-afternoon meet-the-authors
session in Centaur’s cafe on Monday.

“This is insulting, really,” Newfoundland-born French, 66, said with
a shrug in the lobby later. “There would have been more people if
this was in California.” Not to say warmer, all around.

Eventually, a few more dropped by, including Centaur’s
general-manager Chuck Childs, and they were rewarded with an
anecdotal history of how indigenous theatre was born in this country,
related by a tag team of stage veterans who have never collaborated
on a production during a lifelong friendship.

“My play, Tantrums, opened in April (1972) and David’s (Leaving Home)
opened in May,” Alianak notes. Born of Armenian parents in Sudan in
1950, he came to Canada in 1967. The author of explicitly surrealist
plays like Return of the Big Five, The Blues and Lucky Strike is
regarded as Canada’s foremost experimental playwright.

Filmgoers will remember him for his role in Atom Egoyan’s Family
Viewing (1987).

The smaller the audience, the better the show. A trooper’s anger at
those who stayed away, combined with a sense of obligation to those
who came, triggers a more focused and determined effort – especially
from Canadian playwrights who have to learn early on to swallow
rejection for breakfast, and to eat rebuffs for lunch, if they want
to survive another day of trying to break even.

Alianak and French are trained actors and the latter’s reading of Ben
Mercer’s speech that opens his 1973 classic Of The Fields, Lately was
as moving a moment of theatre as we have witnessed at Centaur – “It
takes many incidents to build a wall between two men, brick by brick.
Sometimes you’re not aware of the building …”

As poignant was French’s recollection of how he met, and walked out
on, the late Bill Glassco, who went on to produce premieres of all
his plays at Toronto’s Tarragon Theatre, including the latest
instalment of the Mercer saga, Soldier’s Heart, in 2001.

And French relived the quasi-mystical moment when he suddenly found
his vocation in Mr. Beane’s Grade 8 library class.

A sports-crazy “class clown” who “grew up in a home with no books,”
the playwright-to-be was ordered by the exasperated teacher, a stern,
well-dressed disciplinarian, to stand in the corner, get a book from
the shelf and SHUT UP!

As destiny would have it, the young French snatched up a copy of Tom
Sawyer and began to read. “After 15 minutes I knew I wanted to be a
writer – and that I was a writer,” he said. “It was so weird, a
strong sense, mystical. I don’t understand it. I never tell that
story.”

French and Alianak came to Montreal to talk about the early days of
Passe Muraille and Tarragon with Robert Astle’s Canadian Theatre
History class at Concordia.

“This is the first year I am teaching the course,” Astle said over a
smoked-meat sandwich with the visiting authors in the “poet’s corner”
at Ben’s deli earlier in the day, “and I thought rather than just
talk about the early days of Canadian drama, I’d introduce the
students to two of the people who were there, who started it all.”

– – –

Michel Tremblay told an interviewer this week that astonished and
flattered though he is by the festival of his works that opened in
Winnipeg Thursday, he’s also a little fearful, because playgoers
seeing so many of his plays at once might decide “je ne suis pas si
bon que ca (I am not as good as all that).”

Now in its fifth year, Winnipeg’s Master Playwright Festival has
already paid homage to Pinter, Brecht, Albee and Beckett. This is the
first time it has recognized a Canadian writer. This year’s bilingual
Tremblay program runs until Feb. 6. For details:

– – –

Jackie Maxwell, the Shaw Festival honcho who directed Tremblay’s Past
Perfect at Centaur last season, heads the search committee for the
next English-language artistic director at the National Arts Centre.
Marti Maraden, who has held the post since 1997, will be stepping
down at the end of this season.

www.tremblayfest.com

Armenia marks St. Sargis holiday

PanArmenian News, Armenia
Jan 22 2005

ARMENIA MARKS ST. SARGIS HOLIDAY

22.01.2005 15:03

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ Today the Armenian Apostolic Church marks St.
Sargis holiday. A holy liturgy will be offered in Armenian churches.
St. Sargis holiday is one of the favorite popular church events. The
saint is considered the patron of lovers, as well as soldiers. Being
initiated by Catholicos of All Armenians Garegin II, St. Sargis Day
has been marked as a youth holiday for already several years.
Historically St. Sargis was a Christian commander in the 4-th
century, who was killed along with his son Martiros by a Persian king
for refusal to change his faith.

Details of eviction of Armenians from Russian Krasnodar region

PanArmenian News, Armenia
Jan 21 2005

DETAILS OF EVICTION OF ARMENIANS FROM RUSSIAN KRASNODAR REGION

21.01.2005 17:30

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ “Many of the Armenians who were on board the plane
were without money, in slippers, without belongings and tickets,”
witness of the events Serik Voskanian, who was among illegal Armenian
migrants repatriated to Armenia by force by the Krasnodar authorities
January 17, told Aravot newspaper. Her disabled husband and daughter
remained in Krasnodar – the family was not given the chance to leave
together. Virtually, in Voskanian’s opinion, they remained hostages.
Their family has lived in Krasnodar region since 2000. In the words
of the editors of the newspaper, other forced repatriates from
Krasnodar also address them, protesting against violation of their
dignity and property rights by the region authorities.

From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress

Iran, Armenia stress cooperation in labor affairs

IRNA, Iran
January 22, 2005 Saturday 4:43 PM EST

Iran, Armenia stress cooperation in labor affairs

Tehran, January 22

Labor and Social Affairs Minister Nasser Khaleqi and his Armenian
counterpart Aghvan Vardanian stressed here Saturday expansion of ties
between the two countries in labor affairs..

Iran and Armenia have had cordial relation for many years and can
therefore increase their cooperation in other areas as well.

Cooperation between the two sides in employment and labor affairs,
technical and vocational training, research, and other areas in
industry can increase product quality in both nations.

The experts of the Labor Ministry are ready to hold discussions with
their Armenian counterparts, Khaleqi added.

For his part, Vardanian said the two nations have had over 2,000
years of friendly relations.

Armenia`s labor laws have been rewritten after the fall of Soviet
Union and Yerevan is eager to cooperate with Iran on employment and
labor affairs.

“Tehran and Yerevan have good cooperation in energy and
transportation sector,” he added.

A draft agreement was also signed between the two officials which
will be further discussed in the coming days and if agreed, will be
signed.

The two nations are engaged in various joint industrial projects.

Speaking in an interview with a Yerevan-based weekly in December
Iranian Ambassador to Armenia Alireza Haqiqian said, “Iran`s
relations with foreign countries, in particular its neighbors, is
based on mutual respect and non-interference in their domestic
affairs.”

Expressing satisfaction over the current level of Iran-Armenia
relations and its growing trend, he said that the visits of Armenia`s
President Robert Kocharian to Tehran and President Mohammad Khatami`s
trip to Yerevan played a crucial role in further strengthening mutual
ties.

. He referred to some of the projects on the agenda including the
meetings of the joint economic commission, active participation of
Iranian tradesmen in Armenia`s market, the activities of Iranian
economic institutions there and cooperation in the energy sector.

In response to a question whether Moscow-Baku-Tehran railway will
replace Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan route, he said that given Iran`s decisive
role in the regional transit system, the interest of the countries of
the region in cooperation with Iran is quite natural.

He added that according to a number of specialists, the Baku-Ceyhan
railway project is a political scheme, not economical.

Elizabeth Jones is sorry

PanArmenians News
Jan 22 2005

ELIZABETH JONES IS SORRY

22.01.2005 15:47

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ As reported by Haylur information program of the
Public TV Company of Armenia, in a telephone conversation with
Armenian Foreign Minister V. Oskanian US Assistant Secretary of State
E. Jones stated she was sorry her words that actually did not refer
to Nagorno Karabakh were negatively responded by the Armenian
society.

AM: Dubai: Rising cost of living dampens festivities for many

Gulf News, United Arab Emirates
January 22, 2005

RISING COST OF LIVING DAMPENS FESTIVITIES FOR MANY

by Daniel Bardsley, Staff Reporter

Regardless of race and religion, each of us enjoys the chance to meet
with family and friends and mark a big occasion.

With the UAE enjoying the Eid Al Adha holidays many people are taking
time out to relax and forget their day-to-day worries.

But the celebrations that accompany this important part of the Muslim
calendar can easily burn a large hole in the pocket. Likewise,
marking major Christian or Hindu festivals can prove expensive.

With costs in Dubai seeming to increase by the day, it could be that
residents are struggling to find the money needed to do justice to
the significant dates of the year.

Gulf News spoke to a cross-section of residents, representing several
of the city’s major religious groups, to canvass views.

Indian graphic designer Jordan Seerao, 30, said prices had gone up a
lot during the seven years he has been in the UAE. The worst rises
have been in rents, which he said had rocketed in the past couple of
years in particular.

As a result, Seerao, a Christian, said Christmas last year was a more
muted affair than normal, with fewer presents handed out to family
and friends.

“We have lost a lot of money because of rent. It has increased quite
a bit – in the past two years it has gone up by Dh4,500 a year. We
have had to cut back on shopping and we cut back on gifts as well,
which is a shame.

“Instead of sending people a present, we just sent them a card.”

His wife Rochelle, 30, a banker and broker who is also from India,
said it was not just rent that was denting the family budget more
than before.

“Normal expenditure has increased so much, including things like food
items. My salary has not increased to cope with the rises in these
items and rent,” she said.

She said the family had cut its spending on gifts by as much as half
in recent years because of the cost increases.

“We send gifts to family in India and give them to family and friends
in the UAE, although less so this year than before,” she said.

Habid Ahmad, a 24-year-old Muslim from Lebanon, said his rent had
jumped by about 20 per cent in the past year.

“Definitely I have less money available than I did before. You spend
all your money here and it’s hard to save. Nobody celebrates
religious festivals as much as they should. At the moment, everybody
should sacrifice a sheep, but how many people are buying a sheep and
doing that? Not many, because it costs money,” he said.

He said it was also becoming increasingly hard to send money home to
his parents in Lebanon and still have enough left over to live on.

“I send less money home than I did in the past because I have less
money left,” he said.

Englishwoman Julie McLaughlan knows all about the spiralling cost of
renting a property in Dubai, because she returned from a visit to
England over Christmas to discover her annual rent had shot up from
Dh40,000 to Dh45,000.

However, the 40-year-old, who works in the financial sector, said
this would not stop her from marking big occasions in future.

For example, she said she would not be put off flying back to England
in future to spend the festive season with her family.

“During the seven years I have been in Dubai, salaries have gone up
as well to cope with the price increases,” she said.

McLaughlan said in the time she had been in Dubai, costs had risen
more back home in Britain than in the UAE.

Cohan Majid, 38, from Iran, said it was not lack of money that
stopped him from marking the major events on the Muslim calendar.

“I never have any big celebrations because I am just too busy and I
don’t have any time,” the businessman told Gulf News.

Vikas Dikhit, 42, an Indian Hindu who has lived in Dubai for more
than four years and works as an engineer, is lucky enough not to have
to worry about rent increases because his employer covers the costs.
He said he had seen little effect from increasing prices. He said any
price rises had been “very marginal”.

“The way I celebrate religious festivals has not been affected by
inflation. I don’t feel there has been much of an increase in
prices,” he said.

UAE national Tariq Makki, 34, agreed with Dikhit that any price
increases had little effect.

“Things have not gone up too much. It’s easy to cope with. Prices
here are still better than in many parts of the world outside the
UAE, including Europe,”

“I have just as much money now as I had before. I don’t have less
money to spend on celebrations. I normally do not do a great deal
anyway – I just stay with my family,” the accountant said.

Armenian Syrian Harair Manjikian, 37, a steel fabricator who has
spent the past 18 years living in the UAE, said price rises were
hitting his budget hard.

“Everything seems to have become a lot more expensive lately. As well
as rent, the price of petrol has gone up a lot as well.

“It is not enough to affect the way we celebrate though. We still
give gifts to each other during the big occasions,” he said.

Fellow Syrian Armenian Maral Garjikain, 28, who has been living in
the UAE for nine years, agreed inflation was heavy, saying prices had
gone up “a lot”. “I was much more careful spending money over
Christmas than before, although I still bought presents for people.”
Mother-of-four Catherine Aggarao, 44, an advertising agency account
manager from the Philippines, said the heaviest price increases had
been rent, electricity and water.

“I am sure it does affect the way we celebrate Christmas because the
cost of living is so much more. For a lot of people, 50 per cent of
their wage now goes on rent and food. Previously you could buy a lot
more with your money.

“I cannot buy as many presents now as I could before. The
celebrations are not like they used to be.

“I don’t spend as much money at Christmas as I used to. You work more
here in Dubai but you earn less because more people are coming to
Dubai. It’s the law of supply and demand and salaries are lower now,”
she said.

Despite this Aggarao said the standard of living in the UAE remained
higher than that in her native Philippines.

UN resolution on Nagorno-Karabakh : a wasted effort?

Caucaz Europenews

UN resolution on Nagorno-Karabakh : a wasted effort ? [UN – KARABAKH]

By Laurence RITTER in Yerevan
On 20/12/2004

The vote which was asked by Azerbaijan at the UN General Assembly on last
November 23rd, was postponed sine die. Officially, Armenia expressed that it
was satisfied with this report, denouncing the azeri attempt to change the
framework for the negotiations of the Minsk group at UN.

The text submitted by Baku expresses the perpetual Azerbaijani stance : it
reaffirms Azerbaijan’s sovereignty over the Karabakh enclave and the serious
worries about the Armenian occupation of the Azerbaijani territories which
border this enclave.

For the Armenians, those territories, called « freed » territories,
constitute before all a security belt around the enclave de facto controlled
by Armenian forces since 1994. For the Azerbaijanis, those territories are «
occupied », and they should be placed back under the azeri authority, as
Karabakh itself.

As of today, Karabakh is at it was after the vote of 1991 which
self-proclaimed its secession from Azerbaijan : a self-proclaimed autonomous
republic. Technically, the enclave is attached to Armenia and directly
supplied by the development aid offered by the Armenian diaspora .For
instance, the last Armenian Phoneton organized by the United Armenian Fund
fund-raised 11 millions dollars, as donation promises for upkeeping the
Karabakh roads.
As regards the International Law, its statute is still difficult to
determine. On the first hand, Baku refuses to recognize the least secession
from its territory, and to give up on Karabakh definitively, what would
definitively confirm its military defeat. On the other hand, Armenia is also
holding the same firm positions.

Thus Armenians denounced the azerbaijani proposal for a UN resolution as a
manipulation. But according to Babken Artarktsian, Chairman of the National
Assembly under Ter Petrossian, this wasted effort from Baku which did not
get any vote from UN might show that you can’t see the wood for the trees.
According to declarations he made on December 2nd 2004, Azerbaijan would
have been discreetly reinforced by UN. Indeed UN might be trading the sword
of Damocles of this vote against Armenia for a softening of Armenian
positions.

But there is an issue : ones cannot really see how given the inefficiency
reached by UN, one of its resolutions might change the course of events.
>From the conflict in ex-Yugoslavia to the Irak’s matter, the world’s great
assembly seems to have widely proven UN’s free-fall. Moreover, the Armenian
side affirmed that the Minsk Group had intervened so that the vote does not
take place.
Why would the Minsk Group be blackmailing (threat of the resolution in order
to soften the Armenian stance) if it was so much convinced that it is only
by way of its mediation that the conflict may be solved ? Indeed, it would
mean to admit the failure of this very group of which three protagonists
(France, United States and Russia) have contradictory interests.
France, in the name of Europe is on a knife edge torn between its
pro-Armenian tradition and the upcoming Turkey’s entry into Europe. The
United States would have no scruples settling in favor of Azerbaijan since
it strongly needs stability in Caucasus. But Russia is certainly not ready
to concede Europeans, and even less Americans, a single square centimeter of
its Caucasian influence zone.

In fact, Artarktsian’s pro-Ter Petrosian position casts an immediate doubt
on his declarations. The former president and his clan have never concealed
– and the recent stealthily comeback of Ter Petrosian shows that his
position is still the same – that they favour a « step by step » solution of
the conflict. That is to say, to evacuate the freed/occupied territories for
a relative autonomy of the enclave.
By denouncing the alleged UN’s blackmailing Ter Petrosian would take the
advantage, as he would appear as a generous pacifist/visionary as compared
to Kocharian who promotes the integrity of the enclave inside its current
geographical limits. Finally, this is about convincing Armenians that as
regards Nagorno-Karabakh, they are better off with a bad solution negotiated
by Armenians than with a just as bad solution imposed by third parties.

And yet officially Armenia still holds the same position : the Armenian
minister of Foreign Affairs, Vartan Oskanian, repeatedly affirmed that in
case this resolution was passed by UN, Armenia would step out of the
negotiations process. Azerbaijan would then have to negotiate directly with
the Karabakh authorities.

Translated by Marie Anderson.